$ABBN (-0,79%)
$GE
$RTX (+0,06%)
$HAL (-2,39%)
$MMM (-0,75%)
$NOC (+0,13%)
$MSCI (-1,11%)
$ISRG (+1,91%)
$SPCX (+1,13%)
$NFLX (-1,1%)
$DB1 (-0,49%)
$CME (+0,73%)
$T (-0,29%)
$PM (-1%)
$MCO (-0,23%)
$NEE (-1,58%)
$UAL (-0,12%)
$MONC (-1,28%)
$TXN (-0,01%)
$META (-0,77%)
$IBM (+2,56%)
$SAP (+1,35%)
$QS (-2,79%)
$LRCX (+3,27%)
$TSLA (+4,52%)
$RMS (+0,53%)
$NESN (-0,09%)
$BARC (-3,44%)
$ROP (+0,66%)
$DOW (+0,51%)
$SPOT (-2,44%)
$NDAQ (-0,24%)
$AAL (+0,15%)
$LMT (+0,58%)
$PG (-0,29%)
$BX (+0,8%)
$BESI (+3,79%)
$VLO (-1,29%)
$KER (+0%)
$OR (-0,5%)
$VRSN (+1,93%)
$WDC (+5,3%)
$BE (+2,39%)
$NEM (+0,44%)
$TOM (+1,82%)
$AXP (+1,31%)
$FIX (+3,06%)

Morningstar published its list, and 14 of the 16 companies are British. I ran the 13 I’ve already analyzed through my tool:

🟢 EXCELLENT (4)

• $NWG (-3,1%) NatWest - 5.06%, P/E ratio 8.68x, quality 75/100

• $RKT (-0,73%) Reckitt - 4.16%, P/E ratio 11.6x

• $HSBA (-1,11%) HSBC - 3.70%, P/E ratio 10.36x

• $LLOY (-0,73%) Lloyds - 3.58%, P/E ratio 15.6x

🟣 WATCH (3)

• Relx, AstraZeneca, and Unilever ($REL (+0,49%) , $AZN (-0,03%) , $ULVR (-0,86%) ). Quality businesses, but valuations no longer offer room to run

🟠 CAUTION (4)

• BP (4.87%), Shell (3.39%), Rio Tinto (4.52%), and Barclays ($BP. (-0,64%)
$SHEL (-0,77%) , $RIO (-0,73%) , $BARC (-3,44%) ). High returns that mask cyclicality. The 78% marginal tax rate on oil in the UK doesn’t help

🔴 LOW THRESHOLD (2)

• Rolls-Royce $RR. (-0,64%) : It’s on Morningstar’s list, but pays 0.39%. Quality 35, Opportunity 5

• Glencore $GLEN (-3,84%) : Quality 10/100. A high yield can also mask a declining business

$BARC (-3,44%) downgrades $VWS (-0,76%) to Underweight and lowers the price target to DK 80, which corresponds to around EUR 10.70.

https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/news/ueberblick/vestas-wind-systems-a-s-aktie-dk0010268606-barclays-stuft-ab-was/69422533

The share falls like a kite without wind and my S/L was triggered at €14. I am happy to take the profit and remain loyal to Vestas in my $XDG7 (+0,18%) which was increased by 20 shares with a small partial amount from the sale.

Further parts will be used to increase existing shares, 10 to be precise $TDIV (-0,6%) 3 shares $NOW (+2,57%) and 2 shares $CRM (+0,58%) .

If I had known this earlier, I could have saved myself the sale of $NRGV (-1,9%) in the morning, but that's the way it is. What's left over goes into the cash reserve before the vacation. That's not wrong either. Then the next milestone will be reached a little later.

$VZ (-0,52%)
$DPZ (-0,36%)
$CDNS (+1,63%)
$BARC (-3,44%)
$SPOT (-2,44%)
$BP. (-0,64%)
$SPGI (+0,5%)
$KO (+0,34%)
$UPS (-0,26%)
$AIR (-1,79%)
$SBUX (+1%)
$ENPH (-1,13%)
$NXPI (+0,72%)
$STX (+3,17%)
$BE (+2,39%)
$V (+0,44%)
$MDLZ (-0,66%)
$HOOD (-1,52%)
$MBG (-0,35%)
$UBSG (-0,99%)
$DBK (-2,42%)
$LMND (-2,19%)
$SOFI (-0,76%)
$TER (+3,99%)
$ADS (-0,03%)
$ABBV (-0,14%)
$G24 (-0,69%)
$WM (+0,52%)
$APH (+0,93%)
$CMG (-0,66%)
$GOOG (+1,17%)
$META (-0,77%)
$MSFT (+1,33%)
$AMZN (+5,07%)
$005930
$BAS (-0,78%)
$SU (-1,62%)
$INGA (-1,42%)
$ULVR (-0,86%)
$IDR (-3,63%)
$DHL (-1,91%)
$CAT (-0,41%)
$MA (+0,44%)
$PUM (+2,32%)
$MRK (-0,55%)
$CNHI (-2,91%)
$LLY (-0,11%)
$FSLR (-1,1%)
$WDC (+5,3%)
$RBLX (+2,04%)
$RDDT (-0,72%)
$SNDK (+6,06%)
$AAPL (+0,26%)
$TWLO (+5,71%)
$EL (+1,37%)
$CL (+0,06%)
$XOM (+0,09%)
$CVX (+0,22%)

The military escalation between the USA, Israel and Iran is causing strong market movements worldwide. Investors are shifting out of cyclical sectors and into security, energy and defense.

_________________________

Bitcoin $BTC (+0,9%) shows surprising stability

• 📈 In the meantime +8,1 %
• 💰 Just over 70,000 dollars
• Stabilization at around 69,000 dollars

Despite geopolitical risks, Bitcoin is apparently being used as a liquidity parking lot in the short term. At the same time, volatility remains high - further escalations could trigger new spikes.

_________________________

🛢 Oil prices up significantly

• Brent: + just under 6 %
• WTI: + a good 5 %
• In the meantime even +13 %

According to the report, the USA is currently no release from the strategic oil reserve. The market is still considered to be supplied, but the situation remains tense.

_________________________

🏦 Banks under pressure

The European banking index loses around 3,5 % - sharpest decline since April 2025.

Particularly affected:

• HSBC - $HSBA (-1,11%)
• Barclays - $BARC (-3,44%)
• Standard Chartered - $STAN (-2,15%)
• Deutsche Bank - $DBK (-2,42%)
• BNP Paribas - $BNP (-2,37%)
• BBVA - $BBVA (-1,27%)
• Commerzbank - $CBK (-2%)

In the USA also weaker until the US opening:

• Bank of America - $BAC (-1,48%)
• Citigroup - $C (-1,38%)

Reason: Strong Middle East business of many institutions and general risk aversion of investors.

_________________________

✈️ Travel industry collapses

High oil prices and uncertainty weigh heavily on tourism stocks:

• TUI - $TUI1 (+0,19%) (-11 %)
• Lufthansa - $LHA (-0,67%) (-11 %)

Flights to the region are canceled, travel offers suspended. Investors fear rising costs and falling booking figures.

_________________________

💎 Luxury stocks clearly in the red

The European luxury index loses almost 4 %.

Strongly affected:

• Richemont - $CFR (+0,08%)
• Swatch - $UHR (-0,08%)
• LVMH - $MC (-1,15%)
• Hermès - $RMS (+0,53%)
• Kering - $KER (+0%)
• Brunello Cucinelli - $BC (-1,83%)
• Moncler - $MONC (-1,28%)
• Ferragamo - $SFER (+0,83%)

Background:

Luxury is heavily dependent on global travel. Capital flows out of cyclical stocks.

_________________________

🛡 Defense stocks as clear winners

Geopolitical tensions drive up defense stocks:

• BAE Systems - $BA. (-1,38%)
• Lockheed Martin - $LMT (+0,58%)
• RTX - $RTX (+0,06%)
• Kratos - $KTOS (-2,09%)
• Hensoldt - $HAG (-0,67%)
• Leonardo - $LDO (-1,92%)
• Renk - $R3NK (-0,26%)
• Rheinmetall - $RHM (-2,92%)

Partial price increases of 3-6 %.

The focus is particularly on missile defense systems and possible increases in defense budgets.

_________________________

🚢 Shipping companies benefit

Transport values increase due to detour (avoidance of Hormuz, Suez Canal & Bab al-Mandab):

• Maersk - $MAERSK A (+0,26%)
• Hapag-Lloyd - $HLAG (+0,04%)
• Torm - $TRMD A (-2,5%)
• Frontline - $FRO (-5%)
• Hoegh Autoliners $HAUTO (+1,2%)

Reason: Shortage of transport capacity and speculation on rising freight rates.

_________________________

🥇 Gold in demand

• Gold price: +2,5 %

Profiteers in mining stocks:

• Evolution Mining - $EVN (-1,48%)
• Northern Star - $NST (+1,28%)

The sector has been showing relative strength for several days.

$4GLD (-0,44%)
$GOLD
$GOLD (-4,46%)

_________________________

📊 Market logic clearly recognizable

Winner:

🛡 Armaments

🚢 Shipping companies

🥇 Gold

₿ Bitcoin (short-term)

Losers:

🏦 Banks

✈️ Travel

💎 Luxury

_________________________

🔎 Conclusion

The market reaction follows the classic pattern of geopolitical crises:

• Risk is reduced
• Capital seeks security
• Energy prices rise
• Defense stocks benefit

The decisive factor remains whether the situation eases diplomatically - or escalates further.

_________________________

Source:

Reuters: Anleger greifen bei Bitcoin als "Fluchtvehikel" zu (Via TradingView)

$UCG (-1,7%)
$MNDY (+3,35%)
$KER (+0%)
$BARC (-3,44%)
$OSCR (+1,31%)
$CVS (-0,5%)
$SPOT (-2,44%)
$DDOG (+6,37%)
$BP. (-0,64%)
$SPGI (+0,5%)
$HAS (+1,58%)
$KO (+0,34%)
$JMIA (-3,99%)
$MAR (+1,01%)
$RACE (-0,37%)
$UPST (-2,56%)
$NET (+1,08%)
$LYFT (+1,34%)
$981
$NCH2 (-1,41%)
$DSY (+0,98%)
$1SXP (+3,88%)
$HEIA (+0,57%)
$ENR (-0,48%)
$DOU (-3,36%)
$OTLY (+4,48%)
$TMUS (+0,23%)
$SHOP (+1,47%)
$KHC (-1,57%)
$FSLY (+2,78%)
$HUBS (+0,48%)
$CSCO (-0,04%)
$APP (+0,61%)
$SIE (-0,79%)
$RMS (+0,53%)
$BATS (-0,79%)
$MBG (-0,35%)
$TKA (-1,89%)
$VBK (-1,4%)
$DB1 (-0,49%)
$NBIS (-0,17%)
$ALB (-0,19%)
$BIRK (-3,24%)
$ADYEN (-2,14%)
$ANET (+3,37%)
$PINS (+1,28%)
$AMAT (+1,65%)
$ABNB (+1,32%)
$TWLO (+5,71%)
$RIVN (-1,46%)
$COIN (-2,05%)
$TOM (+1,82%)
$OR (-0,5%)
$MRNA (+5,17%)
$CCO (-0,48%)
$DKNG (+3,87%)

$NDAQ (-0,24%)
$RTX (+0,06%)
$KO (+0,34%)
$MMM (-0,75%)
$NOC (+0,13%)
$LMTB34
$OR (-0,5%)
$TXN (-0,01%)
$NFLX (-1,1%)
$HEIA (+0,57%)
$SAAB B (+0,14%)
$UCG (-1,7%)
$BARC (-3,44%)
$GEV (-0,9%)
$TMO (-1,14%)
$T (-0,29%)
$MCO (-0,23%)
$IBM (+2,56%)
$SAP (+1,35%)
$TSLA (+4,52%)
$AAL (+0,15%)
$FCX (+0,46%)
$HON (-0,03%)
$DOW (+0,51%)
$NOKIA (+0,44%)
$TMUS (+0,23%)
$INTC (+2,9%)
$NEM (+0,44%)
$F (-1,83%)
$PG (-0,29%)
$GD (-0,15%)

According to $JPM (-1,13%) the neuen Zölle
$GM (-1,77%) could cost up to 14 billion US dollars, which would eat up almost the entire forecast global EBIT of 12.5-14.5 billion US dollars for 2025. For $F (-1,83%) is expected to have an impact of around USD 6 billion, which corresponds to approximately 75% of the estimated global EBIT of USD 7.75 billion for 2025.

$GM (-1,77%) imports around USD 56 billion worth of vehicles annually from Mexico and Canada, resulting in estimated tariffs of around USD 10 billion on finished vehicles and an additional USD 4 billion on parts, totaling USD 14 billion.

The tariffs could increase vehicle prices by $3k to $12k, potentially reducing US sales by 500k units.

$JPM (-1,13%) has lowered the price target for $GM (-1,77%) from 64 US dollars to 53 US dollars and for $F (-1,83%) from 13 US dollars to 11 US dollars

$BARC (-3,44%) warns that the tariffs could make car manufacturers "structurally unprofitable" if they remain unchanged.

$BARC (-3,44%) CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan expects under Donald Trump a relaxation of regulations in the USA. For Barclayswhich generates a significant proportion of its revenues in the US market, these changes would be of great importance as they could promote "economic dynamism" and create new business opportunities.

He is also confident that this trend could spread to Europe and the UK. Governments there are increasingly beginning to recognize the developments in the USA and considering possible adjustments to their own regulations to provide economic stimulus.

Venkatakrishnan also spoke positively at the #wef2025 also positive about the outlook for M&A in the USA. The stabilized interest rates and the new government could create better framework conditions that could facilitate such activities.

Despite challenges in the UK, such as stagnating growth, high government debt and a weak pound, he sees potential. Barclays continues to focus on investments in the UK, as the infrastructure is considered stable and reliable. He sees the government's new economic program as a promising approach, but one that will need time to take full effect.

its full effect.