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108You could look at that. Due to high oil prices, the situation is difficult for airlines, especially for AirBaltic, which had a net loss of 44m in 2025, but significantly less than the 118m loss in 2024.
However, what creates "confidence" is that Lufthansa $LHA (+2,65%) about 10% on AirBaltic holds. Moreover, it is rather unlikely that the Lithuanian government would simply let its national airline go bankrupt.
+ 1
Good evening everyone,
Almost two weeks ago I told you about my new portfolio experiment with warrants (https://getqu.in/gCh37k/ ) . Something has happened since then, so here is a brief update.
My starting capital is around €300, so far I have invested €277.74. At the beginning I built up the following positions:
There was a first change in the portfolio today. I sold the SAP inliner for around € 131 and then bought a Lufthansa 7x long for around € 120.
This currently results in around € 34 in the clearing account. This is made up of a realized profit of €11 and a liquidity buffer of €23 in case I want to add to a position or switch warrants again soon.
Overall, after two weeks with my starting capital of € 300, I currently have a portfolio value of around € 374. Of this, around € 340 is accounted for by the warrants and € 34 by the clearing account. I'm happy with this to start with and I'm excited to see how the experiment develops. As the volatility here is sometimes 20% or more per day, it probably won't get boring any time soon.
Lufthansa Long
I bought the Lufthansa long with a leverage of 7 after @Multibagger shared his idea that there could be a possible downward exaggeration here. In addition, Lufthansa has hedged around 80% of its oil consumption for this year, and the share $LHA (+2,65%) is currently at the 200-day line. A possible end to the war, as hinted at by Trump, could additionally help the stock break back above the 200-day SMA on a sustained basis.
My exit scenario would be if the share confirms the downward trend in the next few days and closes below €7.51 (today's low).
On the other hand, I initially have two possible target areas in mind:
With this in mind, I wish you a pleasant evening.
LG
Small investor 😊
Ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders,
The Lufthansa Group can look back on a successful year 2025. We have achieved important turning points in many areas. In implementing our strategy, we are making further progress towards becoming an increasingly networked and integrated airline group with significant synergies and shared processes.
Our flight operations were able to implement numerous operational improvements last year, resulting in significantly higher stability and punctuality figures. In combination with the increased product quality and new service offerings, we were able to provide our 135 million guests on board our aircraft with a noticeably improved travel experience.
In the reporting year, we not only recorded an increase in customer satisfaction, but also improved our key financial figures, increased our share price and at the same time strengthened the satisfaction of our employees.
We achieved these successes in a global environment that was characterized by geopolitical crises on the one hand and macroeconomic uncertainties on the other.
Nevertheless, global air traffic remained stable and continues to be very resilient, even in a volatile environment. In total, almost 5 billion passengers were counted last year, 4% more than in the previous year. As the fourth-largest airline group in the world, the Lufthansa Group was able to benefit from the positive market environment and its successful transformation.
Overall, the Lufthansa Group achieved an Adjusted EBIT of around EUR 2 billion in the financial year 2025, which corresponds to an improvement of 19% compared to the previous year. As in previous years, we will allow our shareholders to participate in the positive result. We will therefore propose the distribution of a dividend of EUR 0.33 per share at the Annual General Meeting. This corresponds to a payout ratio of 30% and represents an increase of 10% per share compared to the previous year.
Looking ahead, we expect capacity and sales to grow again in the 2026 financial year and Adjusted EBIT to be significantly higher than in the 2025 financial year.
The largest fleet modernization in our history is crucial to our positive development. It goes hand in hand with a further improvement and enhancement of our products and services for our passengers.
At our Capital Markets Day in September 2025, we explained our strategic direction to our investors, shareholders and analysts and published new medium-term financial targets. Our transformation programs pave the way for higher profitability, which is essential for the planned fleet investments. Among other things, we are aiming to achieve an Adjusted EBIT margin of 8% to 10% in the period from 2028 to 2030.
2026 is a very special year for us, as we are celebrating the 100th anniversary of our founding. Aviation has been a growth industry for one hundred years - and will remain so in the future. Our mission remains unchanged: to connect people, cultures and economies across continents and borders - in a sustainable way and with responsibility for future generations.
This is also expressed by the Lufthansa Group's new brand identity with the leitmotif "Trust at every altitude".
Trust is the basis for everything we do. We want to lead your Lufthansa Group, dear shareholders, successfully and sustainably into the next 100 years. For you, for our guests and for our more than 100,000 employees.
We are delighted that you are with us on this journey.
Further information on the development of the Lufthansa Group in the 2025 financial year and the outlook for the 2026 financial year can be found in our online Annual Report 2025, which also contains video statements by the Executive Board and many more
other interesting content.
The military escalation between the USA, Israel and Iran is causing strong market movements worldwide. Investors are shifting out of cyclical sectors and into security, energy and defense.
_________________________
Bitcoin $BTC (-0,03%) shows surprising stability
Despite geopolitical risks, Bitcoin is apparently being used as a liquidity parking lot in the short term. At the same time, volatility remains high - further escalations could trigger new spikes.
_________________________
🛢 Oil prices up significantly
According to the report, the USA is currently no release from the strategic oil reserve. The market is still considered to be supplied, but the situation remains tense.
_________________________
🏦 Banks under pressure
The European banking index loses around 3,5 % - sharpest decline since April 2025.
Particularly affected:
In the USA also weaker until the US opening:
Reason: Strong Middle East business of many institutions and general risk aversion of investors.
_________________________
✈️ Travel industry collapses
High oil prices and uncertainty weigh heavily on tourism stocks:
Flights to the region are canceled, travel offers suspended. Investors fear rising costs and falling booking figures.
_________________________
💎 Luxury stocks clearly in the red
The European luxury index loses almost 4 %.
Strongly affected:
Background:
Luxury is heavily dependent on global travel. Capital flows out of cyclical stocks.
_________________________
🛡 Defense stocks as clear winners
Geopolitical tensions drive up defense stocks:
Partial price increases of 3-6 %.
The focus is particularly on missile defense systems and possible increases in defense budgets.
_________________________
🚢 Shipping companies benefit
Transport values increase due to detour (avoidance of Hormuz, Suez Canal & Bab al-Mandab):
Reason: Shortage of transport capacity and speculation on rising freight rates.
_________________________
🥇 Gold in demand
Profiteers in mining stocks:
The sector has been showing relative strength for several days.
$4GLD (+2,73%)
$GOLD
$GOLD (+7,89%)
_________________________
📊 Market logic clearly recognizable
Winner:
🛡 Armaments
🚢 Shipping companies
🥇 Gold
₿ Bitcoin (short-term)
Losers:
🏦 Banks
✈️ Travel
💎 Luxury
_________________________
🔎 Conclusion
The market reaction follows the classic pattern of geopolitical crises:
The decisive factor remains whether the situation eases diplomatically - or escalates further.
_________________________
Source:
Reuters: Anleger greifen bei Bitcoin als "Fluchtvehikel" zu (Via TradingView)
$KSPI (+4,56%)
$NCLH (+5,43%)
$STNE (+6,58%)
$BEI (+0,57%)
$SE (+3,65%)
$ONON (+2,11%)
$TGT (+2,8%)
$GTLB (+0,1%)
$CRWD (+7,45%)
$BAYN (+2,37%)
$WIX (-4,86%)
$ADS (+2,6%)
$AVGO (+3,89%)
$DHL (+2,99%)
$R3NK (-2,95%)
$JD (+0,81%)
$BILI (+0,48%)
$1913 (+3,63%)
$MRK (+0,9%)
$MRVL (+12,41%)
$GPS (+3,42%)
$COST (-0,84%)
$IOT (+0%)
$LHA (+2,65%)
The online custody account transfer to 212 is in progress and will be available soon. Of course, transferring from 212 already works now.
212 is also tax-simple and everything has worked quite well so far. I treated myself to a €100 exemption there at the beginning of the year, which didn't really make sense as I actually filled it up quickly at Volksbank. But I wanted to see if the calculations and deductions worked so far.
And for the dividend fans among you, the dividends arrive on time on payday in 99% of cases.
Of course I would be grateful if you are interested in switching, please use my link and get free shares up to 100€
https://www.trading212.com/invite/1Bl7fzXX7K
Finally, my current best pie I would not have expected 5 months ago that it outperforms my other pie's 😉
$O (-0,65%)
$MAIN (+0,01%)
$LHA (+2,65%)
$RIO (+5,35%)
$LUG (+1,44%)
$BNP (+2,03%)
$BP. (-1,04%)
$KO (-1,69%)
$SIKA (+1,28%)
$MO (-2,47%)
So here's another little update on my 212 gadget. I'm still testing it and can't say anything negative so far.
I have created a second pie with a start date of 15.9. I'm mainly interested in dividend stocks here. The Schbeeball should slowly start rolling there
My target there is 100k and I'm currently paying in €50 every 2 weeks on Wednesdays.
I have received €2.63 so far, of which €1.59 is already invested. The rest will be invested automatically when the next savings plan is executed.
My holdings are as follows
$LUG (+1,44%)
$LHA (+2,65%)
$PETR4 (+0,78%)
$BNS (+1,22%)
$RIO (+5,35%)
$SIKA (+1,28%)
$O (-0,65%)
$KO (-1,69%)
$MO (-2,47%) and $MAIN (+0,01%) all have a target weighting of 10%
Here is the last savings plan execution, the Pie is self-balancing which I personally absolutely love. You don't have to change anything manually, dividends are also reinvested automatically and the whole thing costs no fees, plus the advantage that I can choose the stock exchanges, so I trade Coke etc. directly on the NYSE.
And the dividends arrive punctually in the account on payday.
https://www.trading212.com/invite/1Bl7fzXX7K
Here is my invitation link for everyone who is not yet a member but would like to have a really cool broker. There are random free shares worth between €10 and €100
And thanks again to the many people who used my link last time. I myself only get the free shares for 5 customers, but that doesn't matter for you. Even the fiftieth still gets the free shares, just not me 😉
+ 3
Airbus
Air France-KLM
Boeing
Bombardier
Dassault Aviation
Embraer
Fraport
GE Aerospace
Honeywell
Lufthansa
MTU Aero Engines
Pratt & Whitney
RollsRoyce
Saffron
$AIR (+2,63%)
$BA (+5,39%)
$LHA (+2,65%)
$FRA (+0,98%)
$GE
$HON (+6,67%)
$MTX (+4,57%)
$RR. (+2,8%)
$EMBR3
$KDP (-1,66%)
$7751 (+0,74%)
$NXPI (+6,37%)
$WM (-2,56%)
$CDNS (-0,1%)
$BN (+1,36%)
$SOFI (+5,1%)
$UNH (-0,57%)
$AMT (-1,78%)
$UPS (+4,88%)
$BNP (+2,03%)
$NVS (+4,67%)
$DB1 (+0,57%)
$MSCI (-2,41%)
$ENPH (+9,69%)
$BKNG (+1,15%)
$LOGN (+0,4%)
$V (-1,21%)
$MDLZ (-1,71%)
$PYPL (+1,09%)
$000660
$MBG (+2,36%)
$BAS (+2,97%)
$UBSG (+2,35%)
$SAN (+3,73%)
$CVS (+1,99%)
$OTLY (-1,39%)
$GSK (+2,37%)
$ETSY (+2,07%)
$CAT (+5,04%)
$KHC (+0%)
$ADYEN (-0,82%)
$ADS (+2,6%)
$AIR (+2,63%)
$SBUX (+3%)
$CMG (+2,67%)
$META (-0,31%)
$KLAC (+1030,03%)
$MELI (+1,2%)
$WOLF (+8,4%)
$GOOGL (+1,34%)
$EQIX (-0,2%)
$MSFT (-1,39%)
$CVNA (+1,09%)
$EBAY (+2,53%)
$005930
$6752 (+2,08%)
$KOG (+3,94%)
$VOW3 (+0,46%)
$GLE (+3,35%)
$LHA (+2,65%)
$STLAM (+5,1%)
$SPGI (-3,17%)
$MA (-0,66%)
$PUM (+4,73%)
$AIXA (+6,47%)
$FSLR (+9,39%)
$AAPL (+0,96%)
$REDDIT (-0,07%)
$AMZN (+1,58%)
$NET (+4,32%)
$MSTR (+4,29%)
$GDDY (-6,52%)
$TWLO (+0,95%)
$COIN (+4,49%)
$066570
$CL (-0,51%)
$ABBV (+0,35%)
$XOM (-3,12%)
Hello everyone,
I appreciate your feedback on my strategy.
I'm in my mid-50s and we currently put aside €2,900 every month. 1,900 goes into
$B161SX (+0,06%) to build up reserves. Current annual return 1.9%.
The aim here is to reach €50k in the next 20 months in order to be able to make the upcoming investments in the house.
As soon as this is achieved, I will reduce the savings in favor of the ETF's and in the next 5 years we will have paid off all debts and the free amounts will also go into asset accumulation.
Dream goal at the start of retirement 500T€UR. 😉
50% of the remaining €1,000 will go into
and 10% each in
$RBOT (+4,26%) and
I want to monitor the performance of the two momentum ETFs to see whether they outperform the MSCI World and the Eurostoxx600. Over the next 12-24 months, I will then switch depending on the results.
I am still holding on to the existing individual stocks in order to sell them at a (larger) profit and have no time pressure here, even with the stocks in the red.
My price target is
$AIR (+2,63%) 240-250€
$CCL at 28-30€
$LHA (+2,65%) at 9-10€
and the rest should bring 20-30% when I sell them.
This year I have still been working a lot with direct investments (currently +20% in 2025) but will continue to reduce this. The funds released will then go into the above-mentioned ETFs according to the above key.
I'm leaving out crypto, as the topic doesn't appeal to me, and commodities are too volatile for me, and gold is currently too expensive, even though many people are saying that we'll soon be at 5T€UR.
I look forward to your feedback or questions if something is unclear.
BG
