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ISIN: GB0031348658
Ticker: BARC
GB0031348658
BARC

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34
immagine del profilo
Der Spekulant
@Derspekulant1
2G·

Quarterly figures 27.04-01.05.26

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1 Commento
immagine del profilo
TradingHase@TradingHase
1G
Lemonade will be interesting and may already point the way forward.
Mercedes could hurt...
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immagine del profilo
HoldTheMike
@HoldTheMike
1Mes·

🌍 Middle East escalation moves the markets - capital flees to security & defense

The military escalation between the USA, Israel and Iran is causing strong market movements worldwide. Investors are shifting out of cyclical sectors and into security, energy and defense.

_________________________


Bitcoin $BTC (-0,54%) shows surprising stability


  • 📈 In the meantime +8,1 %
  • 💰 Just over 70,000 dollars
  • Stabilization at around 69,000 dollars


Despite geopolitical risks, Bitcoin is apparently being used as a liquidity parking lot in the short term. At the same time, volatility remains high - further escalations could trigger new spikes.

_________________________


🛢 Oil prices up significantly


  • Brent: + just under 6 %
  • WTI: + a good 5 %
  • In the meantime even +13 %


According to the report, the USA is currently no release from the strategic oil reserve. The market is still considered to be supplied, but the situation remains tense.

_________________________


🏦 Banks under pressure


The European banking index loses around 3,5 % - sharpest decline since April 2025.

Particularly affected:



In the USA also weaker until the US opening:



Reason: Strong Middle East business of many institutions and general risk aversion of investors.

_________________________


✈️ Travel industry collapses


High oil prices and uncertainty weigh heavily on tourism stocks:



Flights to the region are canceled, travel offers suspended. Investors fear rising costs and falling booking figures.

_________________________


💎 Luxury stocks clearly in the red


The European luxury index loses almost 4 %.

Strongly affected:



Background:

Luxury is heavily dependent on global travel. Capital flows out of cyclical stocks.

_________________________


🛡 Defense stocks as clear winners


Geopolitical tensions drive up defense stocks:



Partial price increases of 3-6 %.

The focus is particularly on missile defense systems and possible increases in defense budgets.

_________________________


🚢 Shipping companies benefit


Transport values increase due to detour (avoidance of Hormuz, Suez Canal & Bab al-Mandab):




Reason: Shortage of transport capacity and speculation on rising freight rates.

_________________________


🥇 Gold in demand


  • Gold price: +2,5 %


Profiteers in mining stocks:



The sector has been showing relative strength for several days.

$4GLD (-1,5%)
$GOLD
$GOLD (-1,26%)

_________________________


📊 Market logic clearly recognizable


Winner:


🛡 Armaments

🚢 Shipping companies

🥇 Gold

₿ Bitcoin (short-term)


Losers:


🏦 Banks

✈️ Travel

💎 Luxury

_________________________


🔎 Conclusion


The market reaction follows the classic pattern of geopolitical crises:


  • Risk is reduced
  • Capital seeks security
  • Energy prices rise
  • Defense stocks benefit


The decisive factor remains whether the situation eases diplomatically - or escalates further.

_________________________

Source:

Reuters: Anleger greifen bei Bitcoin als "Fluchtvehikel" zu (Via TradingView)

previw image
de.tradingview.comAnleger greifen bei Bitcoin als "Fluchtvehikel" zu
22
2 Commenti
immagine del profilo
TradingHase@TradingHase
1Mes
Nice summary of the trading day. $HAUTO is also one of the winners of the last few days.
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immagine del profilo
Der Spekulant
@Derspekulant1
2Mes·

Quarterly figures 09.02-13.02.26

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1 Commento
immagine del profilo
S.A.U.@SAUgut777
2Mes
Tuesday: $VAR is missing 😉

Apart from that, I'm still looking forward to $TMUS because of $DTE and $BATS on Thursday.
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growth_ninja_2238
@growth_ninja_2238
1Anno·

Barclays share shave

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immagine del profilo
Hennington Global
@HenningtonGlobal
1Anno·

HennRes | Possibly billions in losses due to Trump's tariffs

According to $JPM (+0,26%) the neuen Zölle
$GM (+1,58%) could cost up to 14 billion US dollars, which would eat up almost the entire forecast global EBIT of 12.5-14.5 billion US dollars for 2025. For $F (-0,89%) is expected to have an impact of around USD 6 billion, which corresponds to approximately 75% of the estimated global EBIT of USD 7.75 billion for 2025.


$GM (+1,58%) imports around USD 56 billion worth of vehicles annually from Mexico and Canada, resulting in estimated tariffs of around USD 10 billion on finished vehicles and an additional USD 4 billion on parts, totaling USD 14 billion.


The tariffs could increase vehicle prices by $3k to $12k, potentially reducing US sales by 500k units.


$JPM (+0,26%) has lowered the price target for $GM (+1,58%) from 64 US dollars to 53 US dollars and for $F (-0,89%) from 13 US dollars to 11 US dollars


$BARC (-0,28%) warns that the tariffs could make car manufacturers "structurally unprofitable" if they remain unchanged.

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immagine del profilo
Hennington Global
@HenningtonGlobal
1Anno·

Day 2 | WEF 2025

$BARC (-0,28%) CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan expects under Donald Trump a relaxation of regulations in the USA. For Barclayswhich generates a significant proportion of its revenues in the US market, these changes would be of great importance as they could promote "economic dynamism" and create new business opportunities.


He is also confident that this trend could spread to Europe and the UK. Governments there are increasingly beginning to recognize the developments in the USA and considering possible adjustments to their own regulations to provide economic stimulus.


Venkatakrishnan also spoke positively at the #wef2025 also positive about the outlook for M&A in the USA. The stabilized interest rates and the new government could create better framework conditions that could facilitate such activities.


Despite challenges in the UK, such as stagnating growth, high government debt and a weak pound, he sees potential. Barclays continues to focus on investments in the UK, as the infrastructure is considered stable and reliable. He sees the government's new economic program as a promising approach, but one that will need time to take full effect.

its full effect.

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immagine del profilo
Hennington Global
@HenningtonGlobal
1Anno·

World Economic Forum 2025

January 20-24, 2025, Davos, Switzerland


The World Economic Forum (WEF) is an international organization founded by Klaus Schwab in Switzerland in 1971. It promotes cooperation between business, politics, science & civil society. The Annual Meeting takes place in Davos. The motto for this year:


"Cooperation in the age of intelligence"


The World Economic Forum 2025 is dedicated to a wide range of topics, including geopolitical tensions, economic growth and the transition to clean energy. At the same time, tech, AI, quantum computing & biotech also play an important role.


As always, there will be posts on all relevant topics from @HennRes & @Michael-official will be published. Under the #wef2025 you will be able to view all posts in chronological order.


Main topics:

  • Rethinking growth: How can we tap into new sources of economic growth?


  • How can companies respond to tech and geopolitical upheaval?


  • What measures promote education, health & human capital?


  • How can innovative partnerships & techs drive climate protection?


  • How can cooperation be strengthened to overcome social divisions?



Participants from politics & business.

Over 350 government representatives, including 60 heads of state & government, 1600 people from the private sector, including 900 CEOs and over 170 people from NGOs, trade unions, academia and indigenous peoples are also present.


The key figures from politics are:

  • 🇺🇸 Donald J. Trump(soon to be) President of the USA (via video link)
  • 🇪🇺 Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission
  • 🇨🇳 Ding XuexiangVice Prime Minister of the People's Republic of China
  • 🇦🇷 Javier MileiPresident of Argentina
  • 🇩🇪 Olaf Scholz, Chancellor of Germany
  • 🇿🇦 Cyril Ramaphosa, President of South Africa
  • 🇪🇸 Pedro Sánchez, Prime Minister of Spain
  • 🇨🇭 Karin Keller-Sutter, President of the Swiss Confederation 2025
  • 🇺🇦 Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine


Executives from the private sector (who are expected/ not offical)


Technology sector

  • 🇺🇸 $MSFT (+1,05%) (Microsoft) - Satya Nadella, CEO
  • 🇺🇸 $AMZN (-0,55%) (Amazon) - Andy Jassy, CEO
  • 🇺🇸 $IBM (+2,47%) (IBM) - Arvind Krishna, CEO
  • 🇺🇸 $MSFT (+1,05%) (Microsoft) - Bill Gates, co-founder and head of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
  • 🌎 Cohere - Aidan Gomez, CEO
  • 🌎 $META (-0,87%) (Meta) - Yann LeCun, AI scientist
  • 🌎 OpenAI - Sam Altman, CEO
  • 🇺🇸 $TSLA (-0,53%) (Tesla) - Elon Musk, CEO


Financial sector

  • 🇪🇺 ECB - Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank
  • 🇫🇷 ECB - Francois Villeroy de Galhau, President of the French Central Bank
  • 🇩🇪 German Bundesbank- Joachim Nagel, President
  • 🇺🇸 $BLK (BlackRock) - Martin Lück, Chief Investment Strategist
  • 🇳🇱 $ING (+0%) (ING) - Carsten Brzeski, Chief Economist at ING Germany


Banking sector


Industry sector

  • 🇩🇪 $BAYN (-2,73%) (Bayer) - Bill Anderson, CEO
  • 🇨🇭 $NESNE (Nestlé) - Mark Schneider, CEO
  • 🇬🇧 $ULVR (+0,28%) (Unilever) - Hein Schumacher, CEO
  • 🇨🇳 SHEIN - Donald Tang, Vice Chairman
  • 🇮🇳 ADANIENT (Adani Enterprises) - Gautam Adani, Chairman


... and many more from the Tech, Banking, AI, Biotech, Pharma, Industrial, etc. sectors.

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1 Commento
immagine del profilo
Hennington Global@HenningtonGlobal
1Anno
🇨🇭🏔️Unter the #wef2024 you will find the most important contributions from last year.
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immagine del profilo
Marco
@RABINATOR
1Anno·
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4 Commenti
immagine del profilo
Alpalaka@Alpalaka
1Anno
for three months...
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immagine del profilo
Marco
@RABINATOR
1Anno·

$BARC (-0,28%) sees rally after US elections 🙋‍♂️✌️

How do you think the markets will react after the election?

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