Growth potential of up to 120-130 certainly possible

Hensoldt
Price
Debate sobre HAG
Puestos
59Podcast episode 101 "Buy High. Sell Low."
00:00:00 Introduction
00:03:50 WisdomTree Europe Defense ETF (WKN: A40Y9K)
00:27:58 Rheinmetall (WKN: 703000)
00:38:58 Airbus (WKN: 938914)
00:49:20 Hensoldt (HAG000)
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6ykwFYV8kqqbTrzAHOqMXw?si=7BU7fBseTh2zHOqH8wpksQ
YouTube
Apple Podcast
$RHM (+3,27 %)
$HAG (+2,68 %)
$AIR (+1,73 %)
$BA (+0,21 %)
$EUDF (+1,8 %)
#etf
#etfs
#podcast
#spotify
Defense Portfolio Update
I wanted to give you a little update on my current defense portfolio and the planned changes.
📍Status Quo:
📍Capability areas and benefits for the portfolio:
Air & missile defense
$RTX (+0,53 %) ,$LMT (-0,16 %)
Patriot, PAC-3, THAAD - core systems for the protection of cities, bases and fleets
Combat aircraft & air dominance
$LMT (-0,16 %) , $BA. (-1,31 %)
F-35 program (LMT), Eurofighter Typhoon, future Tempest/FCAS
Maritime strike capability
$HII (-0,06 %) , $GD (+0,72 %) , $BA. (-1,31 %)
Nuclear submarines (Virginia, Astute), Type-26 frigates, combat systems
Sensors & electronic reconnaissance
$HAG (+2,68 %) , $QQ. (+0,84 %) , $CHRT (-1,54 %) , $BA. (-1,31 %)
AESA radars, ESM/ECM, BAE Raven ES-05 radar
Autonomous systems & drones
Almost all companies play me here. $KTOS (+6,02 %) as the only drone pure play.
Unmanned jets (XQ-58) and tactical UAS - rapidly growing budget item
Cyber / AI & data fusion
$PLTR (+4,18 %) ,$CACI (+0,91 %)
AI-supported command and control systems (PLTR Gotham/Apollo) and US government IT services
Ground-based large-scale systems
$GD (+0,72 %) ,$NOC (+0,59 %) , $BA. (-1,31 %)
Abrams modernizations, artillery rockets and ground-based sensors, CV90-IFV, M109 howitzers
Multidomain space flight
US nuclear deterrence - from delivery systems to warning and command and control networks
💰Realized partial sales at $HAG and $PLTR
I had already reduced $HAG and $PLTR by 50% each this year with large gains (+651% and +346%):
The valuations of both companies are currently extremely sporty.
PLTR
Trailing P/E ratio (TTM): 580 - 590x
Forward P/E ratio: ~240x
Price-to-sales: >100x
HAG
Trailing P/E ratio (TTM): 120 - 130x
Forward P/E ratio: ~80x
Price-to-sales: >5x
I will nevertheless remain invested in both positions for the time being. Mainly because I currently see no significant change in the underlying investment story.
Position sizes are relativized by new planned purchases and the concentration risk falls from 34% → 25% of the sleeve.
📊Planned adjustments:
❓Why these changes?
New position$AVAV (+3,21 %)
(drones/loitering ammunition):
Covers the fastest growing budget line (attritable UAS), which was previously barely represented.
New position $RHM (+3,27 %)
(Ammunition & Platforms)
Adds the "155 mm grenades" bottleneck and European land systems to the portfolio; beneficiary of EU armament.
Increase $RTX (+0,53 %)
Most favorable US prime (forward P/E ≈ 25), high visibility in air/missile defense systems.
Top-up $GD (+0,72 %)
Diversified towards submarines, ground vehicles and ammunition; reliable free cash flow.
📉Planned, staggered entries:
$AVAV: $220 - $185
$RHM: €1550 - €1450
$RTX: $125 - $120
$GD: $285 - $270
🤔 What does your portfolio look like?
Which defense stocks do you hold and why?


Or smaller companies like $MILDEF.
I myself am also in $AVAV
But then also more with suppliers and companies that only partly cover armaments.
Such as $KIT as a drone contract manufacturer and supplier for Rheinmetall, Kongsberg, Safran etc..
Or $MTX in the consortium for the Eurofighter and maintenance company for the German Armed Forces.
Then $ERJ supplies transport aircraft for NATO countries. And smaller combat aircraft.
$PNG supplies the navy.
$TDG is also a supplier.
$IVG I also have the defense division for sale.
My new addition is $GILT. They have now also entered the defense sector.
Profit-taking Hensoldt
With so much price fantasy, it's easy to pocket the euros. 💰
I last bought at $PLTR (+4,18 %) and then it went up another 50%... 🥲
For me, the rally is over for now
I have just finished the small rally in Hensoldt. I am up around 37.5% (after tax) and have let the profits (around 600 euros) run for the time being. I'm still a bit more cautious for now because of my lack of experience. You just have to pocket the + and be happy about it. Investors seem to be increasingly taking profits at the moment. Let's see what the near future brings, personally I could imagine a correction coming soon. PS: No expert opinion! LG to the community
When it's at its best...
$HAG (+2,68 %) sold with 95% profit via stop loss.
F-35, Patriot, HIMARS & Co: Macron openly advises Europe against buying US armaments
It seems like my post about Europas F-35-Sicherheitsdilemma could not have come at a better time:
Dependence on US armaments is increasingly perceived as a risk factor for Europe's military and security sovereignty and is now being publicly addressed at the highest political level faster than I would have expected.
French President Emmanuel Macron
President of France Emmanuel Macron has made it clear in an interview with Le Parisien that he is critical of Europe's purchase and use of US armaments and proposed replacing them with European alternatives.
Macron was also quite clear: "Those who buy Patriot systems should be offered the next generation of the Franco-Italian SAMP/T. Those who buy F-35s should be offered the Rafale fighter aircraft."
His main concern is greater strategic autonomy for Europe:
- Criticism of US systems: Poland plans to buy American F-35 fighter jets ($LMT (-0,16 %)) and Patriot ($RYTT34). Macron questions these decisions and proposes European solutions.
- European optionsMacron specifically mentions approaches such as joint European development projects to reduce dependence on the USA. Examples include European fighter jets such as Saab Gripen ($SAAB B (-0,07 %)), Eurofighter ($AIR (+1,73 %) - $BA. (-1,31 %) - $MTX (+3,04 %) - $LDO (+1,75 %)) or Dassault
Rafale ($AM (+0,67 %)) or air defense systems (e.g. SAMP/T from $HO (-0,34 %), $BA. (-1,31 %), $AIR (+1,73 %) and $LDO (+1,75 %) or Oerlikon Skynex from $RHM (+3,27 %)). - Long-term strategyMacron's proposals aim to strengthen Europe's military independence by pooling technology, production capacities and resources in the EU member states' own economic area in the long term.
Macron is thus sending a clear signal for more European cooperation in the defense sector and against an excessive focus on US technology.
#emmanuelmacron
#usa
#defense
#verteidigung
#rüstungsindustrie
#europa
$R3NK (+0,46 %)
$IE0002Y8CX98 (+1,8 %)
$HAG (+2,68 %)

Possible IPOs of German defense companies 🇩🇪📈
- KNDS (Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, Leopard 2, Boxer 2000 self-propelled howitzer, ammunition, AI)
- Quantum Systems (drones, customers in Ukraine & USA)
- Helsing (drones, AI)
Source: https://www.br.de/nachrichten/wirtschaft/ruestungsboom-bayerische-firmen-vor-boersengang,Uf2aNSq
#rheinmetall
#hensoldt
#renk
$RHM (+3,27 %)
$HAG (+2,68 %)
$R3NK (+0,46 %)
$LMT (-0,16 %)
$BAE (+0 %)
$GD (+0,72 %)
$SAAB B (-0,07 %)

Sale Hensoldt (profit taking)
For the time being, I am parting with $HAG (+2,68 %) as the share prices currently seem overvalued to me due to the political situation.
I will consider buying again at a price of €40 and below.
Valores en tendencia
Principales creadores de la semana