Hi everyone,

My savings plans as of 01.06.25:

$NOVO B (+2,99 %) - 400€

$NADQ (+0,06 %) - 400€ + 15€ cashback

$HMWO (+0,19 %) - 400€

$VHYL (+0,23 %) - 200€

makes €1,415 for the month of June.

Where are you investing next month?

Looking forward to your ideas.

My focus is on dividend stocks and would like to bring the ETF - stock ratio to 60/40, therefore currently higher investment in ETF.

Hello everyone.

I would now like to build up a small position in $NOVO B (+2,99 %) and am currently hesitating about the trading platform. The unpleasant FX fees on foreign exchanges are starting to get on my nerves. In the long term, does it really make any difference whether I buy on Xetra or the NYSE?

As always, first the link to the first post, where you will also find the links to all the other parts https://getqu.in/cbIOkg/

Thanks to the bad weather, the next part will be published before the weekend! 🌨🌨 Next week I'll be traveling for work from Monday to Wednesday - so long posts will be difficult. But maybe I'll be able to pick up some exciting insights from SAP & Amazon. 😊

I'm pretty busy, but if anyone happens to be at SAPPHIRE in Madrid... 🍻

Today I'll give you an insight into my trading setupbut first I'll briefly talk about the outcome bias. This is an important topic that can become a trap, especially at the beginning of trading.

Outcome bias

Outcome bias is the misconception that the quality of a trade is determined by the result. Anyone who enters into a trade on the straight and narrow and then makes a profit often thinks they have got the hang of it. I like to compare it to a casino: I bet on red, win and consider myself "strategic" 🤪😅

When trading, it is important to success or the strategy by the repeatability by repeatability. By clear rules. A strategic trade can lead to a loss. An intuitive decision can lead to a profit. Anyone who makes the latter the yardstick for their trading is undermining long-term success.

👉 Remember: In trading, it is not those with courage and luck who are rewarded in the long term, but the systematic ones!

This leads us straight to the first details of my setup.

What are my premises?

• I only trade shares - no derivatives, leveraged products, KOs, Forex or anything else

I have tried a few things, but for my trading behavior shares have proved to be the most sustainable with the best profit/loss ratio.

• Keep it simple - Only a handful of indicators

Over the years I have tried all kinds of indicators and oscillators. From RSI, MACD, Fibonacci, all possible trend lines, so that the actual chart progression was barely visible 🤪

• I only trade when it makes sense according to my rules

Trading not just for the sake of trading. Quality before quantity, if it doesn't fit or if time is tight, then I don't trade for a week or two.

Now that you know that my focus is only on equities, I'll move on to stock selection. In my opinion, this is just as important as chart analysis and deriving entry and exit points.

What are my filter criteria for screening?

• ADR Average Daily Range

The daily range is the range between the daily high and the daily low, a large range facilitates short-term trading, e.g. intraday or only a few days

• ADV Average Daily Volume
• $VOL
  Average daily volume multiplied by the last daily closing price

These two filters ADV and $VOL ensure the liquidity to get out of the trade at any time.

• Market capitalization

I am not a fan of penny stocks and very small market capitalization

• Gap greater than 5% on earnings

• Upcoming earnings

I also like to trade around earnings, there's often a lot of movement.

In general, I like stocks that are moving in a sideways trend, or prices that are at the VWAP or at one of the outer edges of the deviation bands.

What are my indicators for chart analysis?

• SMA 200 / 50 / 5 for trend determination

Attention ONLY for trend determination - is not used for entry/exit points!

• VRVP Visible Range Volume Profile - the volume profile on the Y-axis. You can usually see it on the left-hand side of my charts. This shows me volume areas where there was a lot of trading. I derive my entry/exit points from this indicator and the VWAP

• VWAP Volume Weighted Average Price - shows me the average volume-weighted price at the various time levels. I usually look at this on a monthly and weekly basis. For very short-term trades such as intraday also on a daily basis or on a session basis. I then use the "anchored" VWAP for the entry/exit prices. In return for the fixed values of the VWAP such as month, week or day, I can place it exactly where I want to see the VWAP from. Points for anchored VWAP are swing changes.

• Volume per time unit I usually hide it again after the first glance in order to keep a clear overview. It's about seeing the interest per candle.

Conclusion: I only use SMA and volume, no more, but also no less.

PS: A short "deepdive" on the indicators, the exact settings, etc. will follow in a separate post👆 https://getqu.in/Ka18zh/

In general, I always start my analysis on the stock's home exchange. First a quick look at the last 10 years in the weekly chart, then I continue with the daily chart looking at the last 2-3 years and then the close range of the last months or even just days, depending on how the time horizon of my trade is set up. In the close range, I also like the 4h, 1h or 15min chart. The whole thing is overlaid with the 3 SMAs 200 / 50 and 5 days for the short-term trend.

Once I have a good overview of the trend, I move on to the 2nd layout with VRVP and VWAP or aVWAP. I am always happy when significant volumes of the VRVP coincide with the VWAP or the bandwidths 1 and 2 of the anchored VWAP. According to my statistics, the success rate is highest here. Depending on which exchange I want to trade on, I then also set the chart to this exchange.

I could write endlessly about volume in connection with the VWAP, but that would go beyond the scope of this article. Volume highs, volume lows, POC, volume area, deviation bands 1 and 2, etc...

To see how I use these indicators, you are welcome to read my posts on $NOVO B (+2,99 %) or also $UBER (+0,03 %) to see them. Or also my short 5min analysis for $MRK (+1,19 %) which I recently created for my compatriot @7Trader recently. You can find them all in the feed of my profile from the recent past.

Should I go into more detail on charts & inferences in my future trading posts? Let me know in the comments!

So, that's it again for today - have a nice week!

Click here for part 4

https://getqu.in/Ka18zh/

$RDC (-0,85 %)
$KTN (+0 %)
$ZAL (+1,03 %)
$MMK (-0,13 %)

#trading

As part of my ETF DIY project, I analyzed $NOVO B (+2,99 %) analyzed them using my self-developed valuation system:

Moat: 5/5

• Market position: +
• Uniqueness / differentiability: +
• Switching costs: +
• Technological advantage: +
• Brand loyalty: +

Growth: 5/5

• Turnover & profit: +
• Scalability: +
• Industry trends: +
• Ability to innovate: +
• Geographic expansion / penetration: +

Risk: 3/5

• Regulatory & geopolitical: -
• Market risks: +
• Competitive situation: +
• Balance sheet quality: +
• Sales diversification: -

Dividend: 1/1

• Dividend yield >2.5% + Dividend growth

Faith: 0/1

• Stable company, but don't see the mega explosion in the future.

Total: 14/17

• Novo Nordisk is invested with a factor of 4.

If you are not yet familiar with my system and the ETF DIY project, just take a look at my profile.

The complete analysis and my thoughts on it can also be found on YouTube:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAmJOpgirlQ&t=8s