When it comes to Bitcoin $BTC (-3,32 %) opinions are divided: Some see it as just a digital casino, others as the hardest currency in the world. For me, Bitcoin is digital gold but with a significantly better return potential than physical gold $IGLN (+0,81 %)

Especially with Bitcoin I find the technical chart analysis particularly exciting. Because here human psychology, value attribution, cycles play an even greater role here than with many traditional shares, which in my opinion often makes it easier to predict future movements.

As with any hobby, a bit of coffee grounds reading for men and in the case of Bitcoin, this is not only entertaining but also relevant. Because here timing can be crucial and a cleverly placed Lump Sum purchase quickly turns into digital gold, literally!

Those who only rely on DCA (dollar-cost averaging) have historically often been at a disadvantage with Bitcoin, even more so than with conventional equities. That's why I'm sharing my analysis here for all those who want to take a bit of a gamble when investing in Bitcoin. timing to achieve a better return than would be possible with pure DCA.

Fibonacci levels - the magic of numbers (colored bars)

Hardly any analysis can do without the famous Fibonacci retracements without the famous Fibonacci retracements. The idea: markets do not move randomly, but react to certain percentage retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 ...). The chart shows how Bitcoin repeatedly reacts to these levels. Whether these are laws of nature or self-fulfilling prophecies is up to you. The fact is that many traders pay attention to them.

Elliott waves - five up, three down (1,2,3,4,5 / A,B,C)

In the big picture, the chart currently fits well into the classic Elliott wave theory theory:

- We had five waves up (1-5 in green).

- Now comes the logical consequence: an ABC correction.

The pattern: wave (A) down, a countermovement (B) up, and then another deeper crash (C).

My tactics - DCA and Lump Sum

I plan to trade in the green boxes with DCA (Dollar-Cost-Averaging) to enter the green boxes. However, should Bitcoin cross the yellow line reaches the yellow line, I will make a lump sum purchase (a larger sum at once).

The boxes are my "retreat zones", so to speak, where I expect the market to stop sooner or later. The lower the box, the less likely it is to reach this green box, but in the case of Bitcoin, with corrections of between -30% and -90% in the past, this is still within the realm of possibility!

And now the questions for you

This is my strategy. But how do you do it?

- Are you betting on DCA, regardless of the price?

- Do you wait patiently for a major correction?

- Or do you go all-in as soon as a certain level is reached?

In the end, every investor and trader has their own philosophy and that's what makes the world of charts so exciting!

Greetings Lord Vader!

(Disclaimer: The analysis discussed in this post can just as easily be right as it can be wrong. Technical analysis is only based on the past and is not a given for the future. Therefore, regardless of how Bitcoin performs, I have a fixed hodl position that will not be touched. The mentioned strategy refers to new investments of mine with a short to medium term holding period. Even if Bitcoin never reaches these prices again, I am well invested! No investment advice, just my opinion).

#crypto
#stockanalysis
#tech
#bitcoin
#krypto
#technischeanalyse

Good morning to all Getquiners,

Today I would like to share with you my train of thought and the associated changes in my portfolio...

What my portfolio looked like:

Predominance of quality stocks like Siemens, Airbus, Telekom etc.

Small part in the FTSE World

With a small weighting in warrants and Bitcoin

Now that I have studied the stock market in depth, I have decided at my age (not 20) to invest more in faster-growing and smaller companies and more in Bitcoin in order to increase the return to 20%+...

My portfolio in the future, partly already today (currently in the process xD):

Predominantly riskier stocks with higher growth rates such as $RKLB (-1,47 %) , $IOS (-0,97 %) ...

Increase of the $BTC (-3,32 %) Bitcoin position to approx. 30% of the portfolio...

Approx. 15% of the portfolio in warrants...

If you have a few more stocks that fit into my new investment strategy, I would appreciate your suggestions freuen✌️:

I currently have on the WL

$TTR1 (+0,39 %) , $VSAT (-1,71 %) , $ENR (-1,61 %) , $VWS (-2,91 %) , $GEN (-0,77 %) , ($GOOGL (-0,2 %) )

Target:

20%+ p.a. & save for a future house purchase

Anyone who enjoys it can also see my portfolio with the current weightings and realize that I have already implemented some things 😁 The OS are not always up to date because I always have to enter them manually...

Could you let me know what you think of this approach?

HG Kleinanleger 😊

- Forecast: +3.0%

- Actual: +3.3%

👉 The current data, with US GDP growth of 3.3% in Q2, could be a signal for the Fed not to cut interest rates in September. In view of the robust economic data and the fact that inflation remains above target, the Federal Reserve would be more likely to pursue a more restrictive monetary policy. Bad for risk assets $BTC (-3,32 %)

Hello together

I haven't been investing for long and have so far focused mainly on a core-satellite strategy (still with relatively small amounts). Simple FTSE All-World $FWRG (-1,13 %) in the center for very long-term wealth accumulation and also a very small amount of trial and error / play money in $NVDA (-3,35 %) and $BTC (-3,32 %) . At the moment there is only a small savings plan on the ETF.

I still have around CHF 2,000 lying around in an account, which becomes an issue for me exactly once a year - when I do my tax return. In short, I really don't need this money right now and have considered investing it with a really high level of risk. If it's gone, I don't care, if something comes out of it, all the better. The investment period is medium-term, 5-10 years. Can anyone give me some ideas on what would be a suitable addition to my current portfolio? I have thought about leveraged ETFs, but I am very open. Can also be commodities, crypto, bonds, derivatives or whatever. As I said, really absolute play money.

Looking forward to your ideas and have a nice rest of the week!

#personalstrategy
#portfoliofeedback
#highriskhighreward
#anlagestrategie

Have you ever thought about how you can not only diversify your portfolio, but also make it more stable? For example, through a mix of gold and Bitcoin, which together can help to reduce the drawdown and at the same time increase the potential returns?

The 21Shares Bytetree BOLD ETP (ISIN CH1146882308) $BOLD (+0,85 %) combines the characteristics of gold and Bitcoin in one product. The weighting is adjusted monthly according to the principle of inverse volatility: The less volatile asset receives a higher weighting, while the more volatile asset is weighted correspondingly lower. This creates a dynamic balance between stability and growth opportunities.

The ETP is physically backed, i.e. the units are actually backed by gold and Bitcoin. With annual costs of around 0.65% and accumulation of income, the product has a transparent structure. The fund volume is still small at around EUR 20-30 million, but the performance since launch has been very strong: in 2023 it was around +14%, in 2024 even +58%. Over the year (as at summer 2025), the return is around +40 %, with volatility of around 27 %.

Risks of the 21Shares BOLD ETP (CH1146882308)

1. high volatility

Despite the "balance" strategy, Bitcoin remains a very volatile asset. Price fluctuations of double-digit percentages in a short period of time are possible.

2. issuer risk

This is an ETN. This means that you are a creditor of the issuer (21Shares). In the event of insolvency, there could be problems with repayment - despite physical collateralization.

3. low fund volume

With a current fund size of only around EUR 20-30 million, the product is relatively small. This can have an impact on tradability (liquidity, spread).

4. market risk of gold

Gold also fluctuates, albeit much less than Bitcoin. Gold can come under pressure, particularly in phases of rising interest rates.

5 Regulatory risk

Cryptocurrencies are heavily dependent on regulation. Changes in legislation could have an impact on tradability or taxation.

6. costs

At 0.65% TER, the product is more expensive than traditional ETFs. However, it can provide tax savings in the custody account as you do not have to reallocate.

7. currency risk

The product is traded in CHF/EUR/GBP. If you invest in euros, you also have an exchange rate risk against the US dollar (as gold and Bitcoin are quoted in USD).

"Possible 1-year scenarios of the 21Shares BOLD ETP (example: USD 10,000 investment) from the fact sheet" - recalculations

Stress scenario (2017-2018): USD 530 → -94.7%

Pessimistic scenario (2018-2019): USD 2,710 → -72.9 %

Medium scenario (2023-2024): USD 14,970 → +49.7 %

Optimistic scenario (2016-2017): 143,770 USD → +1,337.7 %

What does your asset allocation look like? What do you think of BOLD? How do you weight gold, BTC etc.?

BOLD | 21Shares Bitcoin Gold ETP https://share.google/n1eapJCeUCXvoxcd9

$BTC (-3,32 %)
$IWDA (-0,91 %)
$VWRL (-0,75 %)
$965515 (+0,68 %)

$BTC (-3,32 %) hello everyone #crypto

@stefan_21 Unfortunately, I can't make a better contribution to Bitcoin 😅

I placed my second tranche today and hope to do another one this year...