Tesla with sales decline + SAP maintains cloud growth rate and confirms outlook + Danaher's statements also drive Sartorius, Stedim and Evotec

Tesla $TSLA (+2,01 %)with decline in sales

• Tesla recorded a nine percent drop in sales to 19.3 billion dollars and a 71 percent drop in profits to 409 million dollars in the past quarter.
• Analyst Dan Ives from Wedbush Securities estimates that Elon Musk's political activities could permanently reduce demand for Tesla by 15 to 20 percent.
• In its current quarterly report, Tesla refrains from its usual forecast of a return to growth.
• For the first time in its Q1 earnings report, Tesla does not mention when the company intends to return to growth.
• Tesla Inc. misses analysts' estimates of USD 0.42 with earnings per share of USD 0.27 in the first quarter. Revenue of USD 19.34 billion below expectations of USD 21.4 billion.
• Tech billionaire Elon Musk initiates withdrawal from Washington.
• From May, he will spend "considerably" less time in the government apparatus as President Donald Trump's cost-cutter, said the Tesla boss.
• Instead, he will focus more on the interests of the electric car manufacturer.

SAP $SAP (-0,94 %)maintains cloud growth rate and confirms outlook

• SAP maintained its cloud growth in the first quarter and significantly increased its operating profit.
• The Walldorf-based software group confirmed its outlook for the current year.
• According to the DAX-listed company, the environment is characterized by high dynamics and uncertainty and further developments are difficult to predict.
• SAP is targeting currency-adjusted cloud growth of 26 to 28 percent to 21.6 to 21.9 billion euros this year.
• Cloud and software combined are expected to grow by 11 to 13 percent to 33.1 to 33.6 billion euros.
• The non-IFRS operating result is expected to reach EUR 10.3 to 10.6 billion after EUR 8.15 billion in 2024.
• In the first quarter, cloud revenue rose by 26% in constant currency to just under EUR 5 billion.
• Analysts had expected a consensus of EUR 5.06 billion from Visible Alpha.
• Currency-adjusted growth had already amounted to 26% in the fourth quarter.
• Non-IFRS operating profit rose by 58% to EUR 2.46 billion.
• The Current Cloud Backlog (CCB), which quantifies secured orders over the course of a year, rose by 29% to EUR 18.2 billion after adjusting for currency effects.
• The initial reaction of the share in after-hours trading in Germany was positive. They rose by more than 5 percent to 231 euros at the broker Lang & Schwarz.
• The SAP share had closed 3.32 percent lower at 218.50 euros on XETRA on Tuesday.
• SAP ADRs traded on the NYSE rose 6.48 percent to 268.75 US dollars in after-hours trading.

Danaher's $DHR (-0,46 %)statements also drove Sartorius$SRT (+1,14 %)Stedim $DIM (+0,35 %)and Evotec $EVT (+1,21 %)on

• The quarterly figures of the US pharmaceutical equipment manufacturer Danaher boosted the shares of Sartorius and its subsidiary Sartorius Stedim Biotech on Tuesday.
• The shares of pharmaceutical contract researcher Evotec also benefited.
• The reason for this was not only the better than expected results in the first quarter and the confirmation of the Group's annual targets.
• The fact that Danaher performed particularly well in the bioprocess technology segment, which is also an important pillar of the Göttingen-based Sartorius Group, probably put investors in a good mood.
• In addition, Danaher spoke of continued robust spending on research and development in the pharmaceutical sector.
• In the afternoon, the Sartorius preference share rose 5.9 percent to 221.30 euros at the top of the leading German Dax index and is thus back at its highest level since the end of March.
• The 21-day line, which signals the short-term trend, had already been overcome on Wednesday.
• The 50-day line as an indicator of the medium-term trend at just under EUR 226 and the long-term 200-day line at just over EUR 234 are now the next decisive resistances.
• The shares of French company Stedim Biotech recently rose by 3.9% to EUR 194.35 in Paris.
• In the MDax, the mid-cap index below the Dax, Evotec shares rose by 6.7 percent to 6.82 euros, while in the USA Danaher shares rose by 5.0 percent to 194.09 US dollars.
• Analyst Rachel Vatnsdal from the US bank JPMorgan spoke of Danaher "comfortably exceeding expectations" and "remarkable strength" in the bioprocessing sector.
• The bioprocessing division was the leader in the first quarter, she wrote.
• Compared to the previous quarter, orders there had increased significantly, while the company had also noted that it had not noticed any pull-forward effects in view of impending tariffs.
• According to stock market analysts, this should also have a positive effect on the industry as a whole.
• Like Sartorius, Danaher is broadly positioned in the healthcare sector with businesses in biotechnology and diagnostics.

Wednesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

• ex-dividend of individual stocks
• Lenzing EUR 3.00
• Heineken EUR 1.17
• Proximus EUR 0.10
• Adecco Group 1.00 CHF

• Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia
• 12:30 AT&T | GE Vernova | Boston Scientific quarterly figures
• 13:00 Philip Morris quarterly figures
• 13:30 Boeing quarterly figures
• 15:30 Goldman Sachs AGM
• 16:00 Cigna AGM
• 22:00 IBM | Texas Instruments | Lam Research
• 22:00 ResMed | Whirlpool quarterly figures
• No time specified: BYD quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
• 07:30 Danone | Essilor-Luxottica 1Q sales
• 07:30 Volvo AB | Akzo Nobel quarterly figures
• 08:00 Reckitt Benckiser Trading Update 1Q
• 09:00 Just Eat Takeaway Trading Update 1Q
• 10:00 ASML | Sulzer Holding AGM
• 17:45 Kering quarterly figures

• Economic data

09:15 FR: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing | Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing (1st release)

09:30 DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing (1st release) April PROGNOSE: 50.3 PREVIOUS: 50.9 Total Purchasing Managers' Index (1st release) PROGNOSE: 51.0 PREVIOUS: 51.3

09:30 DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing (1st release) April FORECAST: 47.6 PREVIOUS: 48.3

10:00 EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing Eurozone (1st release) April FORECAST: 50.5 PREVIOUS: 51.0

10:00 EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing Eurozone (1st release) April FORECAST: 47.5 previously: 48.6 Total Purchasing Managers' Index (1st release) FORECAST: 50.4 previously: 50.9

10:30 UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing (1st release) Apri PROGNOSE: 51.6 previous: 52.5 | Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing (1st release) April PROGNOSE: 44.2 previous: 44.9

11:00 EU: Trade Balance February

15:00 US: IMF, Fiscal Monitor

15:30 US: Fed St. Louis President Musalem and Fed Governor Waller, participate in Fed Listens Event

15:45 US: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Services (1st release) April Forecast: 52.8 Previous: 54.4 | Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (1st release) April Forecast: 49.5 Previous: 50.2

16:00 US: New Home Sales March FORECAST: +1.3% yoy previous: +1.8% yoy

16:30 US: Crude oil inventories data (week) from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) previous week

18:00 US: Governing Council member Knot, speech at Peterson Institute conference

20:00 US: Fed, Beige Book

21:15 US: ECB Chief Economist Lane, participation in panel at IMF Spring Meetings

21:45 US: ECB Director Cipollone, participation in panel at IMF Spring Meetings

No time specified: CN: Auto Shanghai 2025 exhibition in Shanghai

The first quarter of 2025 is over. In March, real assets recorded declines, both in equities and ETFs and especially in cryptocurrencies. The markets have become increasingly volatile. While many are panicking, I have been enjoying the first signs of spring, hiking and continuing to winter bathe diligently.

For the past month of March 2025, I present the following points:

➡️ SHARES

➡️ ETFS

➡️ DISTRIBUTIONS

➡️ CASHBACK

➡️ AFTER-PURCHASES

➡️ P2P CREDITS

➡️ CRYPTO

➡️ AND OTHER?

➡️ OUTLOOK

➡️ Shares

There was a considerable setback in March, and not just in equities. The reason for this is the customs issue, on which I have already formulated my thesis, which many believe to be correct. To summarize briefly: Markets are being depressed to get investors into bonds, which lowers bond yields and allows US debt to be refinanced at a lower interest rate. After the refinancing of short-term US government bonds, the tariffs are put into perspective and the next upswing follows, which Trump can boast about. Whether this assumption is correct remains to be seen. However, it would make sense in the long term to slash US spending. Even if the D.O.G.E. does a good job, you can't cut everything without incurring the displeasure of the population.

A look at the depot shows the front-runner $AVGO (+5,22 %) and its companion $NFLX (+4,18 %) both currently only 150% up, despite a significant setback. I am unimpressed by this development, as the capital market is always facing worse times, which will be followed by better ones. According to André Kostolany, it is now the "shaky hands" that are significantly triggering the sell-off. Yes, change your perspective: the red sign in your portfolio is irrelevant, now is the time to buy more. Enormous overvaluations in tech stocks have been reduced and they may now be available at a fairer price. There are also attractive defensive value stocks on offer, ideal for a dividend portfolio.

Second and fourth place in my individual share portfolio are still occupied by $WMT (+0,44 %) and $SAP (-0,94 %) . Walmart can now prove that it acts as a stable anchor in the portfolio even in bad times. In sixth place is a stock that I did not expect to be in the top 10. Like me, many of you have shares in $WM (-1,16 %) but the stock I am looking for is its competitor: $RSG (+2,95 %) . I have been watching the rise of this stock even before the pressure from Trump and I am happy about it. This is an example of a defensive stock. Garbage collection is necessary and Republic Services, like Waste Management, will literally turn garbage into gold for shareholders 50 years from now. Anyone complaining about their portfolio being down 50% probably has too much tech and too little defensive. My overall portfolio currently stands at around -12%. That's OK in the current macro environment.

Which brings us to the subject of performance: $NKE0 and $DHR (-0,46 %) returned around -39% at the end of March.

➡️ ETFs

They are also recording significant losses. It is important to remain calm and continue investing. Such phases are part of the game. I will not repeat further details.

➡️ Distributions

In March, I received 31 distributions on 15 payout days. I am grateful for this additional income stream. Everyone should build up such additional income.

This time, the distributions from my three large ETFs were not made on March 31, but in the first few days of April. This means that there should theoretically be 34 distributions. Numerous corrections and cancellations of dividends from REITs were not taken into account. With $O (-1,7 %) , $OHI (-1,04 %) , $LTC (-0,61 %) and $STAG (+0,62 %) there were therefore some cancellations and new dividend distributions. Although this was a major bureaucratic effort, it was usually a cause for celebration. This is because the REITs initially distribute dividends from current net income. If there are then corrections in the following year, it is determined that a distribution is also made from the already taxed retained earnings. This subsequently reduces the company's tax burden and I have noticed that I pay less capital gains tax and solidarity surcharge. So more cash in my pocket for reinvestment.

➡️ Cashback

In March, I received a small amount of income from an expense report, which I invested directly in my custody account. More on this under subsequent purchases.

➡️ Subsequent purchases

The additional purchases were financed from the expense report and, above all, from the bonus paid out by my employer. I am grateful for this, as my employer is not doing well at the moment.

I made numerous additional purchases in several ETFs that are in my small old portfolios. I invested smaller sums $GGRP (+0,47 %) , $JEGP (+0,79 %) , $SPYW (+0,67 %) , $FGEQ (+1,06 %) and $SPYD (-0,13 %) and bought a larger sum in shares of the $IWDP. On the last Friday in March, I checked my portfolio and realized that, despite careful use of the surplus, there was more cash left than I had expected. I therefore made a small additional purchase in the $VNA (+2,12 %) . For me, Vonovia (like the REITs) is a kind of hedge against my own rising rent.

➡️ P2P loans

With my last P2P platform, Mintos, there were no interest or redemption payments. I still intend to withdraw all funds where released. I would even accept a full write-off to get out of the platform. The remaining amount is no longer relevant to me.

➡️ Crypto

Crypto investors continued to experience significant volatility in March. The double top predicted by some does not seem to be materializing and the indicators do not currently point to a steep rise. I am studying the charting and the macro environment for crypto, although I still have a lot to learn here. Patience and calm are still required. I am sticking to my cycle strategy, the macro situation confirms me, so there is no need for me to take any action.

➡️ And what else?

I'm currently deepening my knowledge of AI. The posts on my Instagram channel that I published in March (and others that will follow in April) were created with the help of AI. I explained my approaches, beliefs about finance and the frugal lifestyle, and my goals to AI. The AI then created suggestions for Instagram posts, including prompts and allowing for a week break at the end of the month.

There is still a lot for me to learn. I am using AI more and more intensively and deeply in my professional and private life. While colleagues are happy that an AI can write emails for them, I use it much more extensively, for example to have technical content and its effects on departments and companies explained to me at work or to have economic relationships explained to me in my private life. In addition to ChatGPT, I particularly like Grok by X, as this AI always asks questions and thus enables a fluid conversation. The AI doesn't just reproduce facts, but also evaluates my ideas and classifies them, for example whether I should already use part of my nest egg to buy more quality stocks at favorable prices. Her suggestion was perhaps to wait until after the refinancing of short-term US government debt, when there might be less downward volatility in the market. This recommendation is based on my thesis mentioned above.

March was also a month of fasting for me, not for religious reasons, but because I want to and always intend to. I like to use the time after fasting to change my habits, adjust my diet and vary my sports units and routines. For me, this is particularly easy after fasting - the time afterwards generally feels like a new beginning.

➡️ Outlook

In April we will continue to see negative signs in the portfolio. I have now placed a limit order, which I hope will be triggered. The annual electricity bill is also due. I'm curious to see how much will be returned, the refund will certainly go into the custody account. It will also become clear whether I will increase my discount due to higher electricity costs. Until then!

Links:

Social media links can be found in my profile, you can also take a look at the Instagram version of my review.

SAP shines with Buy rating from Jefferies & Company

The shares of SAP $SAP (-0,94 %) recently attracted the attention of analyst Charles Brennan of Jefferies & Company Inc. Despite lowering the price target from 295 to 280 euros ahead of the quarterly figures, the rating remains at 'Buy'. Brennan sees only minor hurdles for SAP to maintain stable business momentum in the first quarter. Notably, while SAP is not immune to a prolonged downturn, it has been a 'relative safe haven' over the past quarter. The new price target is based on moderate adjustments to forecasts, especially given the weak performance of other stocks in the sector. On the day of the analysis, SAP shares fell 4.1 percent to 238.95 euros, but offer a promising upside potential of 17.18 percent compared to the new price target. The trading volume increased to 1,191,970 shares, while the stock gained 1.1 percent over the course of the year. Investors can look forward to the next balance sheet presentation on April 22, 2025, which will provide further insights into the company's performance.

DAX under pressure due to US tariff war

In the US, the announcement of new tariffs is causing unrest on the German stock market. On Thursday, the DAX fell by 3.1 percent to 21,717 points. The news from overseas was seen as a serious burden for the German economy. While a 20 percent tariff on imports from the EU was widely expected, the higher tariffs of over 50 percent on Asian imports surprised many and could trigger a stronger global trade shock. The effects are already being felt: shares in sporting goods manufacturers suffered particularly badly, with Adidas down 11.7 percent and Puma 11.2 percent. Siemens suffered a fall of 8 percent after announcing the takeover of a company for 5.1 billion dollars. In contrast, companies without export exposure, such as Vonovia, showed a positive development and rose by 7.4 percent. Yields on ten-year German government bonds also fell by 8 basis points, while the euro rose by 2 percent to around 1.1050 dollars.

Sources:

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/sap-se-aktie-jefferies-company-inc-gibt-buy-bewertung-bekannt-14367936

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/xetra-schluss-us-zollkrieg-wirbelt-kurse-durcheinander-dax-3-1-14368156

SAP overtakes Novo Nordisk as the most valuable company in Europe

The SAP share $SAP (-0,94 %) shares are currently showing an impressive upward trend. In an exciting race, the technology group from Walldorf has overtaken Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (+1,43 %) and thus secured the title of the most valuable company in Europe. With a market capitalization of 314 billion euros, SAP has overtaken the Danish company, whose value has fallen to around 310 billion euros. This remarkable change is the result of a successful recovery in SAP shares, which have benefited greatly from the company's innovative cloud strategy. This strategy marks a turning point: instead of just selling software licenses, SAP now offers a form of rental via the cloud that is more flexible and appealing to customers. In addition, the boom in the field of artificial intelligence has significantly supported the positive development. In contrast, Novo Nordisk shares have suffered a dramatic fall of almost 50% since their record high last June, due to increasing competition in the lucrative field of weight loss drugs.

Trump threatens new tariffs on oil from Russia

President Trump is causing a stir in the US by announcing a series of tariffs that could have a fundamental impact on trade. On Wednesday, he unveiled the introduction of 25% tariffs on all foreign vehicles, to come into force from April 2. Trump referred to this day as "Liberation Day" and hinted that other trade agreements could also be on the brink. Particularly alarming is his threat to impose 25% tariffs on oil and gas from Venezuela, which could not only strain US trade relations with several countries but also destabilize global energy markets. The EU has already responded with countermeasures to the previously introduced tariffs on steel and aluminum. Trump emphasizes that the tariffs should be fair and pleasant for other countries, but at the same time he hints that higher tariffs are on the cards if other countries try to harm the US economically.

Sources:

https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/SAP-ist-jetzt-Europas-wertvollstes-Unternehmen-article25651782.html

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/trump-tariffs-live-updates-trump-threatens-oil-tariffs-on-russia-scholz-says-eu-prepared-to-respond-to-steel-aluminum-levies-191201517.html

- 14 positive surprises

- Three negative surprises

- Dividend increases

- Dividend decreases

- Overview of all DAX stocks

Link:

https://shorturl.at/Tdnfw

$ALV (-0,01 %)
$MUV2 (-0,48 %)
$RHM (+0,97 %)
$MBG (-0,34 %)
$SAP (-0,94 %)
$BMW (-0,32 %)
$AIR (-1,27 %)
$VOW (+2,19 %)
$DBK (+0,77 %)
$CBK (-1,98 %)
$SIE (+2,75 %)
$P911 (-0,53 %)
$DTE (-1,56 %)
$IFX (+6,2 %)

$SAP (-0,94 %)

In Europe, Tesla $TSLA (+2,01 %) is currently struggling with a significant decline in its sales figures. According to a report by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association Acea, new registrations of the electric car manufacturer fell by an impressive 49 percent in the first two months of 2025 compared to the previous year. This means that Tesla now only has a market share of around 1.1 percent in the European Union. Fewer than 20,000 vehicles have been sold since the beginning of the year - a development known as the "Elon effect", which impressively shows how much pressure the brand has come under in Europe. The reasons for this decline are manifold: from intense competition and regulatory challenges to changing consumer behavior. It remains to be seen how Tesla will respond to these challenges and whether a turnaround is in sight.

In the meantime, SAP has $SAP (-0,94 %) has recently undergone an astonishing development and established itself as Europe's most valuable company, overtaking Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (+1,43 %) overtaking Novo Nordisk. The rise in SAP shares is the result of a successful recovery, aided by the continued weakness of Novo Nordisk. SAP is benefiting in particular from its cloud strategy, which aims to comprehensively transform its business model towards cloud-based rental. Rising demand for AI software has also contributed to the positive performance of the shares. This combination of strategic changes and adaptation to market needs has catapulted SAP to the top of the market capitalization in Europe. It is impressive to see how the company is consolidating its position with innovative approaches and a clear focus on future technologies.

Sources:

https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/acea-tesla-verkaeufe-in-europa-seit-jahresbeginn-um-fast-die-haelfte-geschrumpft-a-a80c4c28-673e-4e8e-a23b-73c625a062f6

https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/sap-ist-jetzt-europas-wertvollster-konzern-ueberholt-novo-nordisk-a-0d46788b-6169-4327-8b95-5289ef82521e

+42% for $SAP (-0,94 %)

Trade is now hedged with an SL shortly after entry, so losing money would no longer be possible (unless we open on a day with a large downward gap)