Short interest still at 12%
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L'Oreal
Price
Debate sobre OR
Puestos
41Added again, quite oversold (RSI 17.91) and exaggerated in my opinion
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Beauty Q3'25 Earnings Highlights
- EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.76) ❌
- Net Sales: $355.3M (Est. $329.67M) ✅ ; UP +31% YoY
Updated FY25 Guidance (Revised Downward):
- Net Sales: $1.30B-$1.31B (Prev. $1.315B-$1.335B) ❌
- Adjusted EBITDA: $289M-$293M (Prev. $304M-$308M) ❌
- Adjusted Net Income: $193M-$196M (Prev. $205M-$208M) ❌
- Adjusted EPS: $3.27-$3.32 (Prev. $3.47-$3.53) ❌
- Adjusted Effective Tax Rate: 19-20% (No Change) ❌
Other Key Metrics:
- Gross Margin: 71% (Est. 71.15%) ; UP +40 bps YoY
- SG&A Expenses: $218.2M (Est. $175.43M) ; UP +36.3% YoY
- Adjusted SG&A: $192.9M (54% of net sales)
- Net Income: $17.3M (Est. $44M)
- Adjusted Net Income: $43M
- Adjusted EPS: $0.74
- Adjusted EBITDA: $68.7M (Est. $72.57M) ; UP +16% YoY
Comment from the CEO and CFO:
- CEO Tarang Amin: "We continue to gain market share, with net revenue growth of 31% and market share gains of 220 basis points in the US. We see significant new territory opportunities in digital, color cosmetics, skincare and international markets."
- CFO Mandy Fields: "Given the weaker than expected trends in January, we are taking a cautious approach and lowering our outlook for the 2025 financial year."
$OR (+1,22 %)
$COTI (+0,47 %)
$EL (+1,18 %)
$MC (+0,4 %)
#earnings
#quartalszahlen
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+ 2
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Beauty Q3'25 Earnings Highlights
- EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.76) ❌
- Net Sales: $355.3M (Est. $329.67M) ✅ ; UP +31% YoY
Updated FY25 Guidance (Revised Downward):
- Net Sales: $1.30B-$1.31B (Prev. $1.315B-$1.335B) ❌
- Adjusted EBITDA: $289M-$293M (Prev. $304M-$308M) ❌
- Adjusted Net Income: $193M-$196M (Prev. $205M-$208M) ❌
- Adjusted EPS: $3.27-$3.32 (Prev. $3.47-$3.53) ❌
- Adjusted Effective Tax Rate: 19-20% (No Change) ❌
Other Key Metrics:
- Gross Margin: 71% (Est. 71.15%) ; UP +40 bps YoY
- SG&A Expenses: $218.2M (Est. $175.43M) ; UP +36.3% YoY
- Adjusted SG&A: $192.9M (54% of net sales)
- Net Income: $17.3M (Est. $44M)
- Adjusted Net Income: $43M
- Adjusted EPS: $0.74
- Adjusted EBITDA: $68.7M (Est. $72.57M) ; UP +16% YoY
Comment from the CEO and CFO:
- CEO Tarang Amin: "We continue to gain market share, with net revenue growth of 31% and market share gains of 220 basis points in the US. We see significant new territory opportunities in digital, color cosmetics, skincare and international markets."
- CFO Mandy Fields: "Given the weaker than expected trends in January, we are taking a cautious approach and lowering our outlook for the 2025 financial year."
$OR (+1,22 %)
$COTI (+0,47 %)
$EL (+1,18 %)
$MC (+0,4 %)
#earnings
#quartalszahlen
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+ 2
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20% discount today? I can't believe it^^
Megatrend: Investment opportunities due to an ageing population worldwide
The world's population is getting older and older, an irreversible demographic change with considerable economic consequences.
This article is intended to provide investment ideas and impetus. The stocks mentioned do not, of course, constitute investment advice, but merely serve as examples of potential beneficiaries of demographic change. Historical developments are no guarantee of future returns.
The main source is the short analysis "How to invest as the global population ages" by Goldman Sachs [1], which, however, does not name any specific stocks.
I have also added additional sources and charts.
__________
🌍 Demographic change: growth and ageing of the world's population
The world's population will grow to almost 10 billion people by 2050. But it is not just the number of people that is increasing, their age structure is also changing dramatically. [2]
Increase in the older population:
- The proportion of people aged 60 and over is rising from 8% (1950) to 21.5% (2050).
- In 2050, 2.1 billion people will belong to the over-60 age group.
Source: [2]
Regional differences:
Europe & North America have the oldest populations & remain the most affected demographically.
Latin America, the Caribbean & Asia: The proportion of over-60s will more than double between 2015 and 2050, reaching around 25 %.
Africa remains the youngest region: in 2015, there were 21 countries worldwide with a birth rate of 5 children per woman, 19 of which were in Africa. However, it should be noted that current statistics from 2024 show that the birth rate per woman in Africa was already just 4.07 in 2023 and could fall to 2.79 by 2050. [3]
While industrialized countries are struggling with an ageing society, Africa remains the most dynamic and youngest region in the world. This development can also have an economic impact and open up new investment opportunities. [2]
Goldman Sachs also comments in the article with similar figures, according to which the global population is expected to increase by around 20% by 2050 and senior citizens will make up a disproportionate share. The number of people over the age of 65 is expected to double from 800 million to 1.6 billion during this period. [1]
In view of this demographic development, there are opportunities to benefit from precisely this trend. Opportunities lie in targeted investments in sectors that could benefit from the growing proportion of older people.
🚑 Healthcare: A growing market worth billions
Facts:
- In the USA, people over the age of 65 already account for 36% of healthcare expenditure, although they only make up 18% of the population. Age-related diseases such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes and neurological disorders are driving up costs. [1]
- Alzheimer's cases are even expected to double worldwide by 2050.
Possible profiteers:
Medical technology
- Medtronic ($MDT (+2,67 %) ) - (cardiac pacemakers, diabetes technology)
- Stryker ($SYK (-0,56 %) ) - (orthopaedic implants, surgical devices)
- Siemens Healthineers ($SHL (+0,45 %) ) - (imaging, diagnostics)
Pharmaceuticals
- Novo Nordisk ($NOVO B (+5,32 %) ) - (Diabetes & Obesity)
- Eli Lilly ($LLY (+0,32 %) ) - (Alzheimer's, Diabetes)
- Roche ($ROG (+1,31 %) ) - (Oncology, Diagnostics)
🏡 Senior Living & Care: Bottlenecks in nursing homes worldwide
Facts:
The UK has a shortfall of over 30,000 senior units by 2028. [1]
In Germany, France and Italy there is a shortage of nursing home places due to the ageing population. [1]
In the US, only 2% of people over 65 live in nursing homes, leading to an increasing demand for home care and telemedicine. [1]
Potential beneficiaries:
Care providers
- Brookdale Senior Living ($BKD (-0,96 %) ) - (senior living, care facilities)
Homecare
- ResMed ($RMD (-0,09 %) ) - (sleep apnea, ventilators)
- Fresenius Medical Care ($FME (+0,32 %) ) - (dialysis, home therapy)
- Coloplast ($COLO B (+0,16 %) ) - (ostomy care, incontinence products)
Telemedicine
- Teladoc Health ($TDOC (-8,8 %) ) - (virtual doctor visits, digital health solutions)
- Hims & Hers ($HIMS (-26,15 %) ) - (telemedicine & e-health)
Anti-Aging
- L'Oréal ($OR (+1,22 %) ) - (skin care, cosmetics)
- Estee Lauder ($EL (+1,18 %) ) - (luxury cosmetics, skin rejuvenation)
- Revance Therapeutics ($RVNC ) - (Botox alternative, wrinkle treatment)
🚢 Leisure & consumption: The new "silver economy"
The following chart shows the distribution of wealth in Germany depending on the age of the main income earner. [4]
It is clear that older people tend to have higher wealth than younger age groups. This is reflected in the significantly higher values for the percentiles for age groups aged 50 and over. In particular, the groups aged between 50 and 74 have the highest assets.
The trends are also similar internationally:
- The wealth of older people is 3x that of millennials.
- Over-60s control more than 50% of consumer spending in many developed countries.
- The global silver economy could reach a volume of USD 15 trillion by 2030 (Oxford Economics).
This observation underlines the economic importance of the older generations and their central role in wealth distribution and consumer spending.
Possible beneficiaries:
Luxury
- LVMH ($MC (+0,4 %) ) - (fashion, jewelry, wine & spirits)
- Hermès ($RMS (+0,11 %) ) - (Exclusive Fashion & Accessories)
- Richemont ($CFR (+0,31 %) ) - (Swiss luxury watches & jewelry)
Cruise (Over 60s book a third of all cruises worldwide [1])
- Royal Caribbean ($RCL (-3,06 %) ) - (Cruises for seniors & families)
- Carnival ($CCL (-5,34 %) ) - (mass market cruises)
- Norwegian Cruise Line ($NCLH (-5,77 %) ) - (premium cruises)
Motorhome manufacturers/ recreational vehicles (47% of motorhome users are over 55 years old, In the UK, two thirds of over 55s have a motorcycle license, which may indicate a growing market for motorcycles and accessories. [1])
- Thor Industries ($THO (-1,13 %) ) - (motorhomes, campers)
- Winnebago ($WGO (-1 %) ) - (motorhomes & caravans)
- Harley-Davidson ($HOG (-0,68 %) ) - (motorcycles and entry-level electric motorcycles)
🤖 Technology & automation: solution to the labor shortage
Facts:
The labor shortage caused by an aging society is becoming a global challenge. Automation, AI and robotics could help close the skills gap. [1]
Profiteers:
- ABB ($ABBNY (-0,56 %) ) - (industrial robotics, automation)
- Fanuc ($6954 (+0,98 %) ) - (robotics, factory automation)
- Intuitive Surgical ($ISRG (-1,15 %) ) - (robot-assisted surgery)
- Siemens ($SIE (-0,45 %) )- (automation & also medical technology)
🧠 Conclusion:
Demographic change offers long-term investment opportunities. Early investment in the right sectors can benefit from rising spending on health, care, leisure and technology.
I myself am still looking for one or two individual investments and am a little annoyed that I didn't get into Hims & Hers earlier, although I have been on the verge of doing so several times. Apart from the luxury segment with LVMH, the portfolio also includes Siemens as a conglomerate in the field of automation.
Do you explicitly take demographic change into account in your investments, e.g. in the form of individual shares?
Which shares do you have in your portfolio or do you still see them as an opportunity?
Thanks for reading!
_________
Sources:
[1] https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/how-to-invest-as-the-global-population-ages
[2] https://www.bpb.de/kurz-knapp/zahlen-und-fakten/globalisierung/52811/demografischer-wandel/
[4]
https://www.iwd.de/artikel/mit-dem-alter-waechst-das-vermoegen-489710/
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ETF customization
Happy New Year everyone! We are starting the new year with adjustments to the Sina ETF. (The performance here below somehow no longer corresponds to the actual performance, but so be it...) After this post you'll have peace and quiet from my ETF again :D
I sold some stocks and invested the dividends I received last year. That left me with 19 euros in cash, so it's still a 40-share ETF ;)
If this were my only portfolio, I would probably have held more cash and not reinvested directly, as the entry point doesn't always seem optimal. But I also proceeded without regard to entry points.
For the question of how high the profits or losses were, please refer to the portfolio.
Out are:
$STLAM (-0,34 %) (loss)
$AFX (-0,59 %) (loss)
$MC (+0,4 %) (loss)
$OR (+1,22 %) (loss)
$7203 (-0,72 %) (loss)
$D05 (+0,91 %) (Profit)
$RHM (-1,89 %) (Profit)
$ENR (-4,27 %) (Profit; also dropped from my "real" portfolio)
Partial sale:
$WMT (-2,31 %) at 50%
Increased by:
$ASML (-0,72 %) Since the position was down over 20%, but I am convinced in the long term
New additions:
Why I am selling LVMH and betting on an ETF 🇫🇷 🥐🥖🇫🇷 🥳
The French stock market offers a large number of interesting stocks that are also very popular with investors.
Popular?
Well, yes,
Who wouldn't like LVMH, Sanofi, Air Liquid, Airbus, Safran, L'Oreal,
Essilor-Luxottica, Hermes, Danone, Pernod-Ricard and perhaps even more in your portfolio.
in the portfolio.
However, there are some hurdles and risks here.
On the one hand, we have to deal with the selection of stocks and the valuation and try to buy the stocks that we believe will rise in value at a favorable time.
Secondly, buying French shares is subject to French financial transaction tax (FTT) and 30% withholding tax on dividend distributions.
My optimization suggestion:
Instead of dealing with a large number of French shares and ending up doing everything wrong, I choose an ETF.
This has the following advantages, among others:
1 The individual share risk is spread.
2 Tax advantage for withholding tax, thanks to the double taxation agreement (see below)
3 Automatic rebalancing - the worst stocks are removed at regular intervals and new promising stocks are added to the ETF.
4 Low trading fees
Biggest disadvantage:
1 Most likely you will only achieve the average market return.
I have therefore opted for the Xtrackers CAC 40 LU0322250985 and will no longer buy French equities. Alternatively, the accumulating iShares MSCI France IE00BP3QZJ36 would also have been a good choice in my opinion.
Both ETFs offer a tax advantage, although you cannot avoid FTT. However, both Luxembourg and Ireland have a double taxation agreement with France. This means that the withholding tax on French dividends is reduced to 15%. Of course, this tax advantage applies not only to distributing ETFs, but also to accumulating ETFs.
I consider the already low TER of 0.2x% to be completely negligible, as both ETFs have had a positive TD for years.
In view of the weak performance of the current year, we could now be in a phase in which it could pay off to collect shares "cheaply" in order to benefit later from a higher personal dividend yield.
Conclusion:
I am selling LVMH and betting on the Xtrackers CAC 40 ETF to cover my entire exposure to France.
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$MC (+0,4 %)
$AIR (-3,2 %)
$AI (+4,21 %)
$OR (+1,22 %)
$RMS (+0,11 %)
$EL (-1,14 %)
$RI (+2,31 %)
$DX2G (-0,02 %)
$IS3U (-0,15 %)
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+ 1
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End of the year
Hello everyone. I started my journey on the stock market in April and I definitely don't regret the decision.
(According to GQ since 2022, but I only tested the stock market and Bitcoin with play money of €125, but sold it again straight away and the stock market was then next to nothing).
I'm now in my mid-21s and still live at home. My strategy is to build the basis with the $SPYI (-0,98 %) ACWI IMI, and with the $CSNDX (-1,63 %) NASDAQ 100 and stocks (maximum 10) that are high quality and buy to hold and should yield good dividends in maybe 20 years (small side income). With $BTC (+0,48 %) or altcoins I am currently testing myself and trying to understand it better.
The $CSPX (-1,14 %) S&P 500 with €500 per month
This is for a possible house construction in 7-10 years. (I am aware of the risk)
On the other hand, I put €50 in the $IWDA (-1,03 %) MSCI World for my parents in 10 years when they retire and €100 in the $VWRL (-0,91 %) FTSE-all world as a fixed pension. (An additional €200 per month via insurance-linked provisions such as Rürup and private pensions)
The Nvidia position is only so highly weighted because I got in at 104 euros with my nest egg (2.5k). It was a risky move, but as I don't need any big reserves apart from my car, I thought, why not?
Future goal: continue to expand the base with ACWI IMI and NASDAQ, and also add a few individual stocks that are perhaps not so heavily weighted in the existing ETFs. $MC (+0,4 %) LVMH $OR (+1,22 %) L'Oreal or $MCD (+0,5 %) McDonalds, for example
The only thing I'm still wondering about in my first year on the stock market and don't know...tax.
I was thinking of selling the Nvidia nest egg position to take advantage of the tax-free allowance and have the money safely back in my account. The problem is that Nvidia is currently falling sharply. How do you do this or what is your advice? Or would you rather sell some of the ETFs? Thank you very much!
I think the breakdown is quite good, but I wonder if you know that all ETFs are 60% the same. Also nasdaq and S&P.
Leads to a very strong US focus, which is fine for me. It's just more risk than adding EM.
I would never sell just for the free cash.
If you want to sell Nvidia, do so, the consolidation will slowly come here too, but perhaps the momentum will return.
Don't sell ETFs just to take the allowance, think about that in 20 years' time.
The gray November showed what it can do. Rain, clouds, cold and wet. It was just the perfect weather for me to go hiking and ice bathing. Especially in the second half of the month, the temperatures headed towards freezing point. I was finally able to hike and ice bathe in temperatures that were perfect for toughening up. So while I was trudging through Saxon Switzerland in the first decent snow from sunrise to sunset and bathing in ice water at 1°C for two proud minutes, on the other side of the pond the newly elected president unleashed the "Trump wave", which lifted all our deposits and wallets. Time for a look back.
I present the following points for the past month of November 2024:
➡️ SHARES
➡️ ETFS
➡️ DISTRIBUTIONS
➡️ CASHBACK
➡️ AFTER-PURCHASES
➡️ P2P CREDITS
➡️ CRYPTO
➡️ WHAT IS REALLY IMPORTANT
➡️ OUTLOOK
➡️ Shares
$AVGO (-3,16 %) , cooled off in terms of performance in the past month. Of course, its +169% is impressive, but the positions behind it are not sleeping. $NFLX (-1,73 %) is close behind with +151%. This also applies to the volume invested. It's hard to believe that the streaming giant is doing so well. I didn't think the company would see such rosy times again. All due respect! Together with Netflix, it is also $WMT (-2,31 %) in terms of volume and is already at +89% in terms of performance. I would hardly have expected such a boring business model to deliver such a stable performance. At the lower end $DHR (+1,24 %) Dick is still in the red. For me, this is still the result of the unbundling. $NKE (-0,48 %) and $TGT (-2,56 %) have problems with their business figures and $OR (+1,22 %) certainly also. I would be happy to add to this, if only I had significantly large sums to spare.
➡️ ETFs
I'll spare myself the typical "everyone has to have this" blah-blah-blah this time and my $VWRL (-0,91 %) is the heavyweight of my entire securities portfolio at 13.41%. You know what I mean. The only thing I have to say is that financial education in Germany is still inadequate and something needs to be done about it. Now one party is stating in its platform that capital gains should be taxed as a secondary type of income like a main type of income. Such a demand is simply the result of a lack of financial education and - excuse my language - stupidity. For me, this party is absolutely unelectable. But that goes beyond the scope. Politics does not belong in my program, but perhaps there will be a separate post here about why I am ultimately an absolute fan of the capital gains tax - simple flat tax. Hopefully, more and more young people will join the capital markets and use their votes to ensure that left-wing non-performance-related blah-blah-blah will soon be a thing of the past. Because we must not leave Germany behind.
➡️ Dividends
I received 19 distributions on 8 payout days in November. I am grateful for this additional income stream. My minimum target has been met again. Even in this low-distribution month. I can therefore now safely increase the size of the reinvestment of the distributions. From next month, €105 will be reinvested instead of the planned €80. I have already explained how my reinvestment strategy works in a separate article. The snowball rolling down the slope is getting bigger and bigger.
➡️ Cashback
In November there was a small payout from the health insurance bonus program. Otherwise the month was poor in terms of cashback. But that will come again in December.
➡️ Subsequent purchases
Two small additional purchases were made to boost the cash flow in my old portfolios On November 7 and 8, small sums went into the $GGRP (-0,99 %) and $SPYD (+0,62 %) .
➡️ P2P loans
I want to continue to cut back and get rid of the two remaining platforms. Only Mintos and Peerberry are left. There has been no interest for a long time.
This asset class will soon be history for me
➡️ Crypto
Wow! What a month. The red Trump wave has really boosted my crypto portfolio. Can you still remember the days when $BTC (+0,48 %) were bobbing around at under 70K? The price level was totally unusual. I'm wide awake now and haven't just been on the sidelines for a long time. I regularly check the prices and a few indicators. The first limit orders were already triggered at $xrp in November. At USD 1.10, this token was kicked out of my portfolio. Of course I could have done more, but I went home with a good profit. As I write now, the next limit orders will be triggered soon. I described how my strategy works, what assumptions I make and where I see the exits in great detail in two posts earlier this month. As of now, no subsequent dividend stock or dividend ETF has been bought from the proceeds, from whose dividends the additional purchases will be made in the new bear market. But I am sure that this will happen this year.
➡️ What is really important
Thanks to the automation of long-term wealth accumulation, there is enough time to focus on the important things in life. Because the end of it is sure to come.
With a healthy lifestyle, I want to delay the end as much as possible. And yet I'm currently thinking about who I want to leave my estate to at some point. It certainly won't be the state, it's already cashing in well on taxes. Regular readers can now imagine who might be in my favor. I'll have to deal with the subject of wills at some point. In any case, I want to sort it out somehow when I'm young, even if it's subject to change.
At the end of the month, I spent time with the kids again, whose father I would have liked to have been myself. The older one has now reached an age where she's slowly beginning to realize that she's not growing up in such good financial circumstances. After I made a firm commitment to her during our trip to Berlin to support her with her dreams and her future, I also took action. It is important to me to introduce the child to financial education step by step. My principle is not to encourage and challenge at the same time. Let's see how well I succeed, I'm certainly very optimistic.
➡️ Outlook
Why I have dollar signs in my eyes when I see my utility bill and where I'm donating some of my earnings in December, as well as the further course of my implemented crypto strategy, will be revealed in December. In any case, the month is full of excitement, as 2 more cryptocurrencies will soon be released from my wallet.
Links:
Social media links can be found in my profile, also feel free to check out the Instagram version of my review.
Good morning dear community,
I've been busy building up my portfolio recently and would now like to present my final selection.
Briefly about me, I am 23 years old and used to gamble with a lot of penny stocks. After I suffered a major loss last year, I stopped doing that and have been building up a growth-oriented portfolio for the last few months or am still in the process of investing in all stocks.
My investment horizon is long (at least 20 years plus), as I only invest money that is not needed. A corresponding cash position is available to be able to react to private matters.
Now to the portfolio:
As mentioned above, I follow a more classic buy and hold strategy, which is made up of growth-oriented stocks and some gold as another asset class for admixture.
My ETFs are currently saved through standing orders with a corresponding weighting.
My largest position is the $IWDA (-1,03 %) This is constantly being saved with the highest weighting and, together with my $EIMI (+0,06 %) a long-term basic investment and broad diversification in developed markets.
Added to this is the $CSNDX (-1,63 %) as I continue to focus on technology growth in the long term and am therefore invested in many interesting future-oriented companies.
Nevertheless, Europe should not be neglected and is also important for my diversification. To this end, I have selected $LU0224105477 (-0,4 %) selected. I chose this fund because it performs better in the benchmark test than other common Europe ETFs (measured over the entire term).
As mentioned above, I also have a small gold investment through $WGLD (+0,27 %) .
Finally, we come to my equities:
$PLTR (-3,33 %) , definitely an up-and-coming growth company for me in the area of Big Data and AI, (I've also been on board here since the beginning of this year).
$OR (+1,22 %) and $NOVO B (+5,32 %) were added to the portfolio because they are two strong market leaders in the consumer staples and healthcare sectors, which are fundamentally well positioned and, in my view, will bring long-term growth with corresponding quality through constant new innovations and developments. This allows me to diversify further by sector and country.
$RACE (-0,5 %) For me, this is a long-term runner from Italy. Thanks to its strong brand and exclusivity, Ferrari can separate itself from other car manufacturers and, for me, is a share with constant growth and secure profitability.
In the future, I would also like to invest in Japan as a percentage. Here I have placed my bet on a share with a large industry positioning, which can also be regarded as a qualitative long-term runner. It is $8001 (+0,66 %) .
$NU (-11,11 %) an up-and-coming fintech company that still has strong growth ahead of it. Nu Holdings has made an established name for itself and has also achieved significant fundamental successes and is aiming for further expansion. For me, this is an in-depth risk investment alongside Palantir, which I can enter into and am positive about.
Finally $OCGN (-1,49 %) . Ocugen is a biotechnology company for innovative gene therapies for the treatment of eye diseases. The share dates back to the earlier gambling days (Corona hype). I missed the jump back then and have been stuck here since 2020. Unfortunately, I have no further involvement with the investment and am considering selling and investing elsewhere (opportunity) or simply sitting it out until I return to profit.
That was my more or less "brief" portfolio presentation.
Perhaps I have been able to generate new ideas for some of you and I would be happy to receive feedback or stocks that I could include in the future or that I should take a closer look at.
Have a nice weekend everyone.
I can understand your thoughts on the combination of ETFs.
World ETF with EM and NASDAQ as a booster, since you are convinced of technology yourself.
Of course, Europe or something like Japan will then fall behind, as you are overweighting the USA. With the Europe fund, you are reweighting it to the NASDAQ in the same proportion as in the world ETF, except that you then completely underweight / "throw out" something like Japan.
Furthermore, I critically question whether the <security:n/a:LU0224105477> is really better. 1.8% running costs p.a.
-Why not a Stoxx 600 ETF, or something like
something like Momentum/Quality-Europe?
-Which benchmark did you compare your fund with? Due to the costs, the fund must ALWAYS generate >2% more return, which is logically not possible if it includes the same stocks - unless it takes on a larger cluster risk of individual stocks.
Regarding your individual stocks, it looks like you have thought about why you want them.
In short:
Carry on like this and strongly reconsider the Europe fund.
Analyst updates, 29.11.
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- BOFA raises the price target for SIEMENS ENERGY from EUR 48 to EUR 52. Neutral. $ENR (-4,27 %)
- GOLDMAN raises the target price for DEUTSCHE TELEKOM from EUR 37 to EUR 39. Buy. $DTE (+0,67 %)
- BERENBERG raises the price target for PFIZER from USD 27 to USD 29. Hold. $PFE (+1,91 %)
- JPMORGAN raises the target price for JUST EAT TAKEAWAY from GBP 14.15 to GBP 16.02. Overweight. $TKWY (+0,67 %)
- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the target price for RATIONAL from EUR 800 to EUR 810. Hold. $RAA (+1,23 %)
- BOFA upgrades SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC from Underperform to Neutral and raises target price from 175 EUR to 255 EUR. $SU (+0,5 %)
- BOFA raises the price target for NORDEX from 17.90 EUR to 19.30 EUR. Buy. $NDX1 (+0,87 %)
- BERENBERG raises the target price for ZALANDO from EUR 29.70 to EUR 38. Buy. $ZAL (-1,25 %)
- WARBURG RESEARCH upgrades WACKER NEUSON from Hold to Buy. Target price EUR 17. $WAC (+0,59 %)
- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for ALZCHEM from EUR 75 to EUR 77.50. Buy. $ACT (-0,43 %)
- ODDO BHF upgrades NORMA GROUP from Neutral to Outperform. Target price EUR 18.10. $NOEJ (-2,91 %)
- BOFA raises the price target for KNORR-BREMSE from EUR 68 to EUR 70. Underperform. $KBX (+0,71 %)
- BOFA upgrades ABB to Buy. $ABBNY (-0,56 %)
- BOFA upgrades KION from Neutral to Buy and raises target price from EUR 39.50 to EUR 48.50. $KGX (-0,36 %)
- BOFA upgrades JUNGHEINRICH from Underperform to Neutral and raises target price from EUR 24 to EUR 26. $JUN3 (-0,22 %)
- BERENBERG raises the price target for GLOBAL FASHION GROUP from EUR 0.23 to EUR 0.27. Hold. $GFG (-1,94 %)
- HSBC raises the price target for DEUTSCHE BÖRSE from EUR 230 to EUR 236. Buy. $DB1 (-0,57 %)
⬇️⬇️⬇️
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX lowers the price target for HUGO BOSS from EUR 59 to EUR 41. Buy. $BOSS (+0,31 %)
- BOFA downgrades GENERALI from Neutral to Underperform and raises target price from EUR 26 to EUR 27. $G (-1,43 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for L'OREAL from EUR 335 to EUR 280. Sell. $OR (+1,22 %)
- BOFA lowers the target price for BAE SYSTEMS from GBP 13.75 to GBP 12.40. Underperform. $BA. (-0,14 %)
- BERENBERG lowers the price target for ALLGEIER from EUR 22 to EUR 19. Buy. $0RQZ
In the end, you can only hope that you don't regret it. European shares in the summer sale.
Today I bought the last tranche of Carl Zeiss Meditec $AFX (-0,59 %) today. The reason is of course that I am still convinced of the company, but nobody can say how long it will be before the share comes back to life.
It could probably go down even further, but I have decided not to buy any more from now on as the position is large enough and otherwise my risk management will no longer work.
Overall, I have increased my position size from around 1% to just over 3%, which already represents a clear commitment to a German company, which is known to be particularly volatile.
The same applies to L'Oreal $OR (+1,22 %) here, too, I have finished buying with a buy-in of €365 and have reached a position size that is already approaching the 4% portfolio weighting. The shares will probably continue to fall for the time being, which I will simply have to hold on to.
I would now rather concentrate on other opportunities such as Thermo Fisher $TMO (-0,59 %) where I have already doubled down this month. Here, however, I can well imagine buying significantly more if prices fall.
It cannot be ruled out that, if the market as a whole weakens, LVMH $MC (+0,4 %) and $ASML (-0,72 %) a first purchase could take place. With the four stocks already mentioned here (+ $NOVO B (+5,32 %) ) mentioned here, I believe that the potential of Western European equities has already been fully exhausted.
It's just a difficult case. Europe is currently more attractive than ever before compared to the hot American market. Either you can seize the opportunity of the decade NOW and bet on a recovery of the European economy, then the champagne corks will pop here in two years' time. Or there will be a complete implosion of the European economy (and then the double-digit losses in the portfolio will be the least of our problems)
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