Source: Finchat

Shopify
Price
Debate sobre SHOP
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145Portfolio review 21 year old investor
Good evening everyone!
I have been investing since the age of 18 and learned a lot since then although I was still a student for most of the time so didn't have a lot of money to invest. Since the end of last year I have a fulltime job and most of the money goes into the stock market. Honestly I just want your opinion on my portfolio since I have a lot of cash coming in because of my bonus at the end of the month. With current market opportunities I'm wondering what to buy and thinking of positions in $SHOP (+4,78 %)
$SOFI (+4,03 %)
$ABNB (+2,52 %) and increasing my positions in $GOOGL (+7 %)
$HIMS (+4,08 %)
$AMZN (+4,72 %) . Be brutally honest like the dutch always are, thanks!
Estamos de Vuelta a los 10k 😆
Después de esta corrección he aprendido algunas cosas valiosas que me gustaría compartir con vosotros ✍️
1° Al Mercado no le Importa cuán Infravalorada parezca una Acción 📉
He visto por mi propia experiencia como una empresa como $HPE (+4,58 %) caía casi un 20% en días incluso por debajo de su valor en libros, haciendo una corrección casi igual de grande o más que otras empresas de PER +30
2° Siempre hay que mantener reservas de EFECTIVO 💵
No podemos predecir que va a hacer el mercado pero si tenemos reservas de efectivo podremos aprovechar cuando el mercado caiga un 7, 8, 10 o 20%
Y precisamente eso será lo que probablemente nos haga superarlo en el largo plazo 🚀📈
3° La Inversión en Valor es Mejor que la Inversión en Altas Expectativas 💰>💸
Aunque mi cartera haya caído otras empresas con ratios PER mucho más elevados han corregido mucho más empresas como $SPOT (+2,16 %)
$SOFI (+4,03 %)
$TSLA (+4,15 %)
$SHOP (+4,78 %) y una larga lista han llegado a corregir hasta un 40-50%
Time to buy: My top 30 companies that I am particularly looking at in the current crash
It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.
Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.
Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.
Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)
Airbnb $ABNB (+2,52 %)
Alphabet $GOOGL (+7 %)
Amazon $AMZN (+4,72 %)
ASML $ASML (+1,87 %)
Axon $AXON (+0,37 %)
Cadence $CDNS (+6,67 %)
Constellation Software $CSU (+1,98 %)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (+7,44 %)
Fair Isaac $FICO (-0,09 %)
Hermes $RMS (+1,31 %)
Intuit $INTU (+4,76 %)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+4,14 %)
Mastercard $MA (+0,47 %)
Meta $META (+5,96 %)
Netflix $NFLX (+4,53 %)
Microsoft $MSFT (+2,77 %)
Palantir $PLTR (+8,06 %)
Tesla $TSLA (+4,15 %)
Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)
Booking $BKNG (+1,55 %)
Costco $COST (-0,29 %)
Ferrari $RACE (+3,38 %)
Moody's $MCO (+1,38 %)
MSCI $MSCI (-1,07 %)
Transdigm $TDG (+0,52 %)
Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (+4,08 %)
Robinhood $HOOD (+8,42 %)
Roblox $RBLX
Shopify $SHOP (+4,78 %)
Spotify $SPOT (+2,16 %)
The Trade Desk $TTD (+8,88 %)
I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.
Where are you buying?
Purchases for next week:
1 Meta Platforms (A)
Meta is investing heavily in AI and the metaverse - an exciting tech giant with solid cash flow after the correction.
2. paypal
Fintech giant with a strong market position in digital payments - currently valued more favorably due to the correction.
3. realty income
Stable dividend payer ("Monthly Dividend Company") from the real estate sector - down due to interest rate concerns, now an attractive entry point.
4. salesforce
Market leader in CRM software with good growth prospects - the correction is pushing the price down to a more interesting level.
5 Shopify (A)
E-commerce enabler with potential to profit from global online trade - more attractive again after setbacks.
6. target
Solid retail company with stable sales - fallen due to economic uncertainties and now valued more excitingly.
7 The Trade Desk (A)
Profiteer of growing digital advertising - currently cheaper due to tech sector correction.
8 Zeta Global Holdings
Growing in data-driven marketing - still a small cap with opportunities due to current valuation weakness.
9 Alphabet (A)
Google parent with strong AI and cloud position - correction offers long-term investors favorable entry opportunities.
10. amazon.com
Market leader in e-commerce and strong in the cloud sector (AWS) - currently more exciting again after declines.
11. ASML
Monopolist in EUV lithography machines for the chip industry - cheaper due to market downturn, but essential in the long term.
12. diageo
Strong consumer goods stock (e.g. spirits) - currently under pressure due to economic concerns, which creates good opportunities for additional buying.
13. HCA Healthcare
Largest private hospital operator in the USA - defensive business model, more interesting valuation after the correction.
14. Lam Research
Important supplier for the semiconductor industry - currently affected by the weak semiconductor market, but enormously important in the long term.
With these words, I wish you a pleasant Sunday evening and a successful week! $META (+5,96 %)
$LRCX (+3,48 %)
$HCA (+1,06 %)
$DGE (-0,17 %)
$ASML (+1,87 %)
$AMZN (+4,72 %)
$GOOGL (+7 %)
$ZETA (+3,02 %)
$TTD (+8,88 %)
$TGT (+2,65 %)
$SHOP (+4,78 %)
$CRM (+3,65 %)
$O (-1,7 %)
$PYPL (+3,38 %)
Not the same: Forward P/S ratio of 16 selected tech growth stocks
Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)
Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (+4,08 %)
Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+2,16 %)
Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+2,52 %)
Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX
Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+8,42 %)
The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+8,88 %)
Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (+4,09 %)
Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+4,78 %)
Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (+4,37 %)
ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW
Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL
Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (+0,37 %)
Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (+7,44 %)
Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (+5,55 %)
Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+8,06 %)
Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...
Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.
Your opinion?
The only list you need: The top 24 companies I look out for in the correction process
Airbnb $ABNB (+2,52 %)
Amazon $AMZN (+4,72 %)
Axon $AXON (+0,37 %)
Cadence $CDNS (+6,67 %)
Constellation Software $CSU (+1,98 %)
Costco $COST (-0,29 %)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (+7,44 %)
Fair Isaac $FICO (-0,09 %)
Ferrari $RACE (+3,38 %)
Hermes $RMS (+1,31 %)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (+4,08 %)
Intuit $INTU (+4,76 %)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+4,14 %)
Mastercard $MA (+0,47 %)
Microsoft $MSFT (+2,77 %)
Moody's $MCO (-0 %)
MSCI $MSCI (-1,07 %)
Palantir $PLTR (+8,06 %)
Robinhood $HOOD (+8,42 %)
Roblox $RBLX
Shopify $SHOP (+4,78 %)
Tesla $TSLA (+4,15 %)
The Trade Desk $TTD (+8,88 %)
Transdigm $TDG (+0,52 %)
Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.
Your opinion?
Canada boycotts the USA - and turns to the EU? 🇨🇦➡️🇪🇺
Economic tensions between Canada and the USA are escalating: Canadian retailers are removing US products such as whiskey and wine from their shelves, and more and more Canadians are avoiding travel to the US. Frustration with the protectionist US policy is growing - and with it the idea of closer economic ties with Europe.
Boycott hits US economy hard
❌ US whiskey and wine are disappearing from Canadian stores - manufacturers such as Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's) ($B1FC34 ) are feeling the consequences.
❌ Fewer Canadians are traveling to the USA - the tourism sector in Florida, California and New York could suffer as a result.
❌ Rising demand for European products - French wine and Scotch whiskey in particular are benefiting.
Canadian shares as winners?
While US companies are suffering losses, there are clear winners in Canada:
📈 Shopify ($SHOP (+4,78 %) ) - e-commerce benefits from increasing online purchases of Canadian and European products.
📈 Air Canada ($AC (+1,52 %) ) - More Canadians are traveling to Europe instead of the US, which could strengthen transatlantic flight routes.
📈 Magna International ($MG (-0,53 %) ) - The automotive supplier already exports massively to Europe and would benefit from even closer market access.
📈 Nestlé ($NSRGY (-0,86 %) ) - European food manufacturers could gain market share in Canada if US products are replaced.
EU accession as the next step?
The growing rift with the USA is making discussions about closer ties with the EU louder. Full EU accession remains unlikely, but an extended economic partnership - perhaps even with the use of the euro? - is no longer ruled out.
Conclusion
Canada's departure from the USA could have far-reaching economic and geopolitical consequences. How do you see this? Is this just a short-term boycott or the start of a long-term realignment?

Hims & Hers: Still "cheap" after a strong run?
Hims & Hers $HIMS (+4,08 %) has recently had a strong run:
Performance YTD: +140%
Performance 1 year: +553%
Currently Hims & Hers $HIMS (+4,08 %) with a price / sales ratio of 10,6x with an expected annual sales growth of >50% for the next 2 years.
Here you can see the ratio for other selected companies with expected double-digit sales growth for the next few years:
Tesla $TSLA (+4,15 %) 11.7x (17% sales CAGR next 2 years)
ServiceNow $NOW : 18,5x (19%)
Shopify $SHOP (+4,78 %): 18,7x (22%)
Robinhood $HOOD (+8,42 %) : 19,6x (16%)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+4,14 %) : 25,4x (15%)
Axon Enterprise $AXON (+0,37 %) : 26,9x (28%)
Duolingo $DUOL : 27,6x (35%)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (+7,44 %) : 29,7x (25%)
Palantir $PLTR (+8,06 %) : 94,7x (29%)
The comparison is, of course, a bit of a stretch, but it is still interesting to see how Hims & Hers $HIMS (+4,08 %) stands relative to other companies.
What do you think?