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15 increases

13 unchanged

7 decreases

Insurance

Banks

Utilities

Auto stocks

Tap here if you like to collect dividends: https://shorturl.at/83W8R

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$523232
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You go on vacation and "miss" the biggest gold/silver run in recent history and yesterday's probably biggest silver crash in decades!

Until the day before yesterday, I had the best start to a new year on the stock market since I started trading. Up 120,000 euros or almost +10% within a few weeks. And on Thursday + Friday, the market went down again with the biggest daily losses ... -90,000 euros in two days. Both extremes right at the beginning of the year! But in the end there is still a small plus 😉

👉🏻 January:

Start: 1,336,908 euros + 400 cash

End: 1,368,240 euros + 100 cash

Deposit: 2,000 euros

Profit: +29,032 euros (+2.17%)

It will certainly come as no surprise to you, but the high volatility in the portfolio is due to the high weighting of my gold mining shares. When precious metal prices rise, you benefit particularly strongly, but you are also at the forefront on the downside. K92 Mining ($KNT (-7,83 %)), Equinox Gold ($EQX (-10,37 %) ) and Euro Sun Mining ($ESM (+0,43 %) ) have all lost double digits in two days. But the bottom line is that we are still higher than at the beginning of the year! 👍🏼

Apart from that, there have only been minor changes in my portfolio. Among other things, I bought $SAP (-0,3 %) Ubisoft $UBI (-1,49 %) (see post) and PayPal $PYPL (-0,93 %) . I sold my position in $DTG (+1,53 %) (Daimler Truck) and partially sold $PUMA and Accenture ($ACN (-0,37 %)).

Despite the turbulent end to the week, I am satisfied with the start to the year. I have already realized around 5,000 euros in capital gains (including dividends). I hope that the pace will pick up a little more, but let's see. You shouldn't get too greedy! 😊

➡️🆓: On my way towards 4 million total assets, the target achievement rate is now 44.5%.

I hope you've also had a good start on the stock market and have weathered the upheavals on the gold/silver market well!

See you in a few days! 😊

After more than 25 years of negotiations, the EU and the South American economic alliance Mercosur (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay) have concluded a historic free trade agreement. This creates one of the largest free trade zones in the world - with over 700 million people and a combined economic area worth around 22 trillion USD.

This agreement could trigger global economic and stock market effects - for companies, industries and investors.

_________________________

🛃🚢 What will happen to the Mercosur agreement?

• Tariffs on up to 91% of EU exports and 92% of Mercosur exports are to be gradually eliminated.
• The aim is to create a larger single market, better market access, simplified rules and more stable trading conditions between Europe and South America.
• Until now, high tariffs have applied to cars (approx. 35%), machinery (14-20%) and chemical products (up to 18%).

_________________________

📊 Possible effects on the stock market

📈 1. industries with strong exports benefit from higher demand

Europe can sell its products more easily in South America:

• 👩‍🏭 Cars & car parts
• 🏭 Mechanical engineering
• 🧪 Chemicals & pharmaceuticals
• 🪄 Electronics & high-tech

The elimination of customs duties and fewer trade barriers will increase the margins and competitiveness of these industries.

Possible examples of Frofiteurs:

• VW $VOW (+0,13 %) BMW $BMW (-0,36 %) Daimler $DTG (+1,53 %)
• Siemens $SIE (+0,2 %)
• BASF $BAS (+1,25 %) Covestro $1COV (-0,33 %)
• SAP $SAP (-0,3 %) , ASML $ASML (-0,5 %)

➡️ Expected share price impetus from higher export revenues and capped production costs.

_________________________

🍖 2. agricultural & food sector in focus

The agricultural business is also becoming more closely networked on both sides:

• Tariffs on wine, oil, cheese, dairy products and luxury foods are being reduced or gradually created.
• EU producers will gain greater market access in South America; conversely, South American agricultural exports (e.g. beef, sugar) will have better access to the EU.

Possible beneficiaries:

• Nestlé $NESN (+0,37 %) Danone $BN (-0,27 %)
• Heineken $HEIA (-1,23 %) AB InBev $ABI (-0,15 %)
• FrieslandCampina $FCEPL

⚠️ However, critics point out that price pressure on local farmers* also arises and environmental risks can increase, for example due to cheaper imports.

_________________________

🚗 3. raw materials & energy: medium to long-term effects

Mercosur countries export large quantities of raw materials:

• Soy, sugar, coffee, ethanol, grain
• Brazil is also a major supplier of crude oil and minerals

One of the aims of the agreement is more stable commodity trade with fewer tariffs, which can influence commodity prices and move the shares of commodity and energy companies.

Possible beneficiaries:

• Vale $VALE3 (+0,25 %) Petrobras $PETR3 (+0,39 %)
• Bunge $BG (-0,11 %) , ADM $ADM (-0,53 %)

_________________________

🏦 4. finance & services sector

The agreement also facilitates:

• Market access for financial services
• Opening of telecom and transportation markets
• Opening of public procurement to EU suppliers

➡️ This could strengthen banks, insurers and logistics companies that operate across borders.

Possible beneficiaries:

• Allianz $ALV (-0,11 %) Deutsche Bank $DBK (+0,19 %)
• DHL/Deutsche Post $DHL (+0,04 %) Kuehne + Nagel $KNIN (-0,22 %)

_________________________

🔄 Short-term market risks

Not everything is automatically positive:

• 🇪🇺 Agricultural protests in Europe show resistance to cheap imports.
• Political uncertainties remain - many parliaments need to ratify.
• Sectors with low competitiveness could come under price pressure.

_________________________

📌 Conclusion

The Mercosur agreement could be an issue with far-reaching effects:

✅ Strong export industry gains new sales markets

✅ Agricultural and luxury food sector gains sales opportunities

✅ Financial and service sector benefits from market expansion

✅ Raw material exporting countries in South America could become more integrated

⚠️ At the same time, there are risks for local producers and price distortions that could have a regional impact on share prices

_________________________

Question for you: What is your opinion on the agreement? And in which sectors or listed companies do you see the biggest winners in the long term?

_________________________

Sources:

- 🌎🤝 Mercosur-Freihandelsabkommen zwischen EU & Mercosur unterzeichnet – größte Freihandelszone weltweit

- 💶📈 Wirtschaftliche Chancen für EU-Exporteure und Importeure durch Zollerleichterungen

- ⚙️🚗 Branchenanalysen mit Zollabbau-Effekten für Maschinen, Autos, Chemie etc.

- 🌾🥩 Agrar- und Rohstoff-Impakte durch neue Marktchancen und Quotenregelungen

$DTG (+1,53 %)

https://www.hartpunkt.de/daimler-truck-und-arquus-sollen-7-000-zetros-lkw-an-die-franzoesische-armee-liefern/

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$DKNG (-0,48 %)
$LAC (-0,78 %)
$KKR (+1,75 %)
$PETR3 (+0,39 %)
$CEG
$WEED (+0,29 %)

Bank of America (BofA) has put together a basket of stocks to list the winners of the German infrastructure package.

The basket contains 14 stocks that the US bank expects to benefit in particular.

• The German technology group Siemens
  $SIE (+0,2 %) (weighted at 10.3 percent, as of August 21)
• The French construction group Eiffage $FGR (+0,52 %) (9 percent)
• The German building materials manufacturer Heidelberg Materials
  $HEI (+1,52 %) (8.8 percent)
• The German energy technology group Siemens Energy $ENR (+0,61 %) (8.6 percent)
• The German truck manufacturer Daimler Truck
  $DTG (+1,53 %) (8.4 percent)
• The Italian building materials company Buzzi S.p.A.
  $BZU (+0,7 %) (7.9 percent)
• The Swiss cement group Holcim $HOLN (-0,2 %) (7.6 percent)
• The Swiss chemicals group Sika AG $SIKA (-0,31 %)
  
  (7.4 percent)
• The German forklift manufacturer Kion
  $KGX (+1,01 %) (6.7 percent)
• The French communications and energy company Spie $SPIE (-0,52 %) (6.4 percent)
• The German industrial group Thyssen-Krupp $TKA (-0,42 %) (6.4 percent)
• The German wind turbine manufacturer Nordex
  $NDX1 (-0,18 %) (4.6 percent)
• The Swedish steel group SSAB $SSAB A (-0,53 %)
  
  (4.1 percent)
• The German industrial services provider Bilfinger
  $GBF (-1,39 %) (4.0 percent)

Hopes for the infrastructure package have already caused the shares to rise significantly in some cases in recent months. Since the beginning of the year, the shares included in the basket have risen by around 47 percent. BofA has been offering the share basket to its major clients since the beginning of July.

Despite the jump in the prices of many infrastructure stocks in the first half of the year, BofA manager Klein is confident that the stocks in the basket will continue to rise. According to him, it now depends on when the investments really show up in the profits of the companies.

Oliver Schneider, portfolio advisor at US asset manager Wellington, says: "In the past six to nine months, investor interest in infrastructure stocks has grown rapidly." This is particularly true for European investors.

He cites two factors that he believes will drive infrastructure stocks worldwide in the future. Firstly, there is a great need to modernize infrastructure. Secondly, the demand for electricity is growing due to artificial intelligence. Schneider says: "This is a growth topic that will be with us for the next ten to 20 years."

Source: Text (excerpt) & graphic, Handelsblatt 01.09.25

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$005930
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$XOM (+0,48 %)
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$NTDOY (-3,33 %)
$CL (-0,19 %)
$DTG (+1,53 %)
$UNH (-0,18 %)

$DTG (+1,53 %) Daimler Truck intends to buy back its own shares worth up to EUR 2 billion from the second half of 2025. The Board of Management and Supervisory Board have decided on a corresponding program.

https://stock3.com/news/daimler-truck-2-mrd-eur-fuer-aktienrueckkaeufe-heute-kapitalmarkttag-16497045