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RENK Group
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Debate sobre R3NK
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26📉 RENK bought after the dip. Focus on the military industry
On June 10, the $R3NK (-4,8 %)-share fell by -6.7 %. I added to my position at € 70.16, based on an analysis from a well-founded Reddit post (r/mauerstraßenwette). My position currently stands at €1,280.88, with a slight book profit of +1.43%.
Why I got in:
RENK is a German company with decades of expertise in propulsion systems for tanks, navy and industry. The "Vehicle Mobility Solutions" and "Marine & Industry" segments in particular are benefiting from the geopolitical rearmament cycle in Europe.
Reddit points that convinced me:
- Clear growth potential: RENK supplies Leopard 2, Puma & Co - systems that are in massive demand in the EU right now.
- IPO effect not yet played out: RENK has been on the stock exchange since the beginning of 2024 - many institutional investors have not yet fully invested.
- Strategic tailwind: Defense is (unfortunately) becoming a priority in Europe again. RENK supplies key technology, not an interchangeable product.
Risks that I see:
- Political change could slow down the trend
- Relatively high valuation (P/E ratio > 130)
- Limited diversification in the portfolio
I consider RENK to be volatile in the short term, but strategically strongly positioned. My entry after the -6.7% dip was deliberately speculative.
📷 See screenshot: Entry at € 70.16, current position slightly up.
No investment advice. DYOR.

📊 Investment Analysis: RENK Group AG (R3NK)
💡 Core Investment Thesis
RENK Group dominates mission-critical defence systems (tank transmissions, naval propulsion) with a record €5bn order backlog. Surging 367% YTD on NATO spending tailwinds, it offers high growth potential but trades at extreme valuations (60× P/E) – demanding flawless execution to justify premium pricing.
🚀 Business Profile
- Core Expertise: Military vehicle transmissions (70% revenue), naval propulsion, industrial gear systems.
- Competitive Edge: Near-monopoly in armoured vehicle drive trains; 99% reliability for NATO systems.
- Strategic Clients: Rheinmetall, BAE Systems, and NATO governments.
💷 Financial Health & Performance
2024–2025 Snapshot
- 2024 Revenue: €1.14 billion (23% year-on-year growth)
- 2024 Profit Margin: 4.7% (modest but improving)
- Q1 2025 Warning:
- Revenue growth: +15% year-on-year
- Profit collapse: Margins crashed to 0.2% (supply chain inefficiencies)
- Order Backlog: €5 billion (4 years of revenue visibility)
2025–2027 Outlook
- Revenue target: €1.35–1.85 billion
- Margin expansion goal: 19% EBIT by 2027
- Free cash flow acceleration: €112–198 million
🌍 Growth Catalysts
Defence Spending Surge
- NATO’s 3% GDP target unlocking €300+ million revenue upside
- Next-gen tank contracts (e.g., Rheinmetall Panther)
Operational Improvements
- Automation investments to boost margins
- U.S. facility ramp-up targeting Pentagon orders
Market Expansion
- Naval propulsion systems for European frigates
- Industrial gear units for energy transition projects
⚠️ Key Risks
Execution Challenges
- Q1 margin collapse signalling production bottlenecks
- Delays in scaling U.S. operations
Valuation Sensitivity
- 60× P/E (vs sector average 18×)
- Vulnerable to earnings misses or contract delays
Geopolitical Dependencies
- Election-driven defence budget pauses
- Tariff impacts on transatlantic supply chains
📈 Valuation & Price Targets
- Current Price: €84.59
- Consensus View:
- Base case: €60.41 (29% downside)
- Bull case: €72.00 (Deutsche Bank – NATO windfall)
- Bear case: €46.00 (margin erosion)
- Long-Term Potential: €140 by 2030
🎯 Investment Recommendation
Tactical Hold, Strategic Buy Below €70
- Short-Term: Profit-taking advised after 367% YTD surge
- Long-Term Entry: Accumulate dips for NATO exposure
- Hedging: Pair with value industrials (e.g., Siemens)
Total Return Scenarios
- Base Case: 15% upside by 2026
- Bull Case: 40%+ with margin recovery
- Bear Case: -45% if execution fails
Bottom Line: RENK is a high-octane defence play with explosive backlog potential. Its premium valuation requires perfect execution – monitor Q2 margin recovery. Ideal for growth investors with 5-year horizons and risk tolerance.
Does RENK’s €5bn backlog justify 60× P/E?
How exposed is your portfolio to European defence rearmament?
Can automation offset Q1’s profit warning?
Disclaimer: Not investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence.
RENK flying high
$R3NK (-4,8 %) is currently trading at around 69,80 € and is therefore only just below its all-time high of € 70.73, which was reached on May 22, 2025. This means that in May alone, the share 35 % increase in price in May alone - a remarkable performance for a company that only went public just over a year ago.
However, the rapid rise in the share price has also prompted the first critical voices. Analysts now consider the share to be ambitiously priced. According to current estimates, the expected price/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) for 2025 is around 36 - a level that is rather unusual in the defense sector. By comparison, competitor companies such as Rheinmetall or Hensoldt are traded at significantly lower multiples.
Nevertheless, RENK is fundamentally convincing with robust figures. In the first quarter of 2025, sales increased by 14,7 %increased, while incoming orders even rose by 163,5 % skyrocketed. The order backlog currently stands at around 5 billion euroswhich gives the company solid planning security for the coming years.
The trend towards military rearmament - particularly through support for Ukraine and long-term modernization plans of NATO countries - plays directly into RENK's hands. The highly specialized drive and chassis systems for tanks and other military vehicles are particularly in demand.
F-35, Patriot, HIMARS & Co: Macron openly advises Europe against buying US armaments
It seems like my post about Europas F-35-Sicherheitsdilemma could not have come at a better time:
Dependence on US armaments is increasingly perceived as a risk factor for Europe's military and security sovereignty and is now being publicly addressed at the highest political level faster than I would have expected.
French President Emmanuel Macron
President of France Emmanuel Macron has made it clear in an interview with Le Parisien that he is critical of Europe's purchase and use of US armaments and proposed replacing them with European alternatives.
Macron was also quite clear: "Those who buy Patriot systems should be offered the next generation of the Franco-Italian SAMP/T. Those who buy F-35s should be offered the Rafale fighter aircraft."
His main concern is greater strategic autonomy for Europe:
- Criticism of US systems: Poland plans to buy American F-35 fighter jets ($LMT (-0,34 %)) and Patriot ($RYTT34). Macron questions these decisions and proposes European solutions.
- European optionsMacron specifically mentions approaches such as joint European development projects to reduce dependence on the USA. Examples include European fighter jets such as Saab Gripen ($SAAB B (-1,26 %)), Eurofighter ($AIR (+0,24 %) - $BA. (-0,78 %) - $MTX (-0,09 %) - $LDO (-4,2 %)) or Dassault
Rafale ($AM (+0,66 %)) or air defense systems (e.g. SAMP/T from $HO (-0,12 %), $BA. (-0,78 %), $AIR (+0,24 %) and $LDO (-4,2 %) or Oerlikon Skynex from $RHM (-1,04 %)). - Long-term strategyMacron's proposals aim to strengthen Europe's military independence by pooling technology, production capacities and resources in the EU member states' own economic area in the long term.
Macron is thus sending a clear signal for more European cooperation in the defense sector and against an excessive focus on US technology.
#emmanuelmacron
#usa
#defense
#verteidigung
#rüstungsindustrie
#europa
$R3NK (-4,8 %)
$IE0002Y8CX98 (-1,34 %)
$HAG (-2,57 %)

Reverse IPO KNDS N.V. by Renk?
Speculation for me: Reverse IPO for KNDS through takeover of $R3NK (-4,8 %) .
Dramatic acceleration to go public and carry out capital increase. Extended capitalization.
Urgently needed expansion of production capacities and purchase of the drive and chassis division for Leopard 3 to keep Rheinmetall's KF51 at bay
3. proximity to the Augsburg - Munich site (KMW)
4. with the company name in Germany, extended access to funds from the special assets and tax advantages in Germany compared to KNDS N.V. Holding Netherlands.
KNDS already holds 25% of Renk. Renk is comparatively inexpensive.
Renk's share price should multiply if my speculation proves correct.
Possible IPOs of German defense companies 🇩🇪📈
- KNDS (Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, Leopard 2, Boxer 2000 self-propelled howitzer, ammunition, AI)
- Quantum Systems (drones, customers in Ukraine & USA)
- Helsing (drones, AI)
Source: https://www.br.de/nachrichten/wirtschaft/ruestungsboom-bayerische-firmen-vor-boersengang,Uf2aNSq
#rheinmetall
#hensoldt
#renk
$RHM (-1,04 %)
$HAG (-2,57 %)
$R3NK (-4,8 %)
$LMT (-0,34 %)
$BAE (+0 %)
$GD (+0,54 %)
$SAAB B (-1,26 %)

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