$VZ (-0,33 %)
$DPZ (+2,66 %)
$CDNS (-1,78 %)
$BARC (+0,69 %)
$SPOT (+1,29 %)
$BP. (-1,48 %)
$SPGI (+3,46 %)
$KO (-0,55 %)
$UPS (+1,69 %)
$AIR (+3,44 %)
$SBUX (+3,37 %)
$ENPH (+3,62 %)
$NXPI (+4,51 %)
$STX (-4,72 %)
$BE (-0,7 %)
$V (+1,58 %)
$MDLZ (-0,04 %)
$HOOD (+1,96 %)
$MBG (+1,28 %)
$UBSG (+0,89 %)
$DBK (-0,03 %)
$LMND (+2,51 %)
$SOFI (+5,66 %)
$TER (-5,02 %)
$ADS (+2,61 %)
$ABBV (-0,81 %)
$G24 (+7,29 %)
$WM (+2,86 %)
$APH (-2,04 %)
$CMG (-0,09 %)
$GOOG (-0,29 %)
$META (-1,01 %)
$MSFT (+0,19 %)
$AMZN (-0,25 %)
$005930
$BAS (+0,31 %)
$SU (-1,67 %)
$INGA (-1,07 %)
$ULVR (+1,29 %)
$IDR (+0,56 %)
$DHL (+2,1 %)
$CAT (-1,89 %)
$MA (+1,5 %)
$PUM (+3,49 %)
$MRK (-2,12 %)
$CNHI (-0,84 %)
$LLY (+2,64 %)
$FSLR (-0,99 %)
$WDC (-2,94 %)
$RBLX (+6,35 %)
$RDDT (+6,79 %)
$SNDK (-1,61 %)
$AAPL (-0,85 %)
$TWLO (+0,27 %)
$EL (+4,76 %)
$CL (-0,8 %)
$XOM (-1,9 %)
$CVX (-1,63 %)
Roblox
Price
Debate sobre RBLX
Puestos
26Quarterly figures 27.04-01.05.26
Quarterly figures 02.02-06.02.26
$DIS (+1,28 %)
$PLTR (-0,35 %)
$SRT (+1,83 %)
$NXPI (+4,51 %)
$PYPL (+0,96 %)
$PEP (-1,21 %)
$TER (-5,02 %)
$CPRI (+4,98 %)
$MRK (-2,12 %)
$PFE (+0,23 %)
$TTWO (+3,35 %)
$EA
$AMD (-2,13 %)
$MDLZ (-0,04 %)
$LUMN (+4,61 %)
$SMCI (-2,34 %)
$7011 (-0,94 %)
$6752 (-6,44 %)
$6367 (+1,2 %)
$UBSG (+0,89 %)
$GSK (+1,79 %)
$UBER (+2,3 %)
$ABBV (-0,81 %)
$LLY (+2,64 %)
$GOOG (-0,29 %)
$ELF (+7,03 %)
$QCOM (+2,32 %)
$SNAP (+5,13 %)
$WOLF (+4,22 %)
$ARM (+2,36 %)
$VOLCAR B (-1,62 %)
$6758 (+1,48 %)
$SHL (+2,18 %)
$SAAB B (+4,27 %)
$5401 (+1,86 %)
$MAERSK A (-0,06 %)
$R3NK (+4,76 %)
$BMY (+1,66 %)
$BMW (+1,15 %)
$EL (+4,76 %)
$ROK (-0,9 %)
$PTON (+4,69 %)
$KKR (+2,03 %)
$LIN (-0,63 %)
$RL (+2,66 %)
$AGCO (-1,12 %)
$RBLX (+6,35 %)
$FTNT (-1,72 %)
$REDDIT
$ILMN (-1,97 %)
$WMG (+5,86 %)
$IREN (+0,15 %)
$MSTR (+1,24 %)
$AMZN (-0,25 %)
$KOG (+1,26 %)
$ORSTED (-1,71 %)
$PM (-2,39 %)
$WEED (+3,99 %)
Next week will be really interesting
$PLTR (-0,35 %)
$GOOGL (-0,22 %)
$AMZN (-0,25 %)
$IDXX (+2,85 %)
$RMBS (-0,16 %)
$AMD (-2,13 %)
$PEP (-1,21 %)
$MRK (-2,12 %)
$ETN (-1,95 %)
$AMGN (+1,43 %)
$ADM (-2,12 %)
$PFE (+0,23 %)
$UBER (+2,3 %)
$LLY (+2,64 %)
$NOVO B (+2,74 %)
$BSX (+2,13 %)
$ABBV (-0,81 %)
$QCOM (+2,32 %)
$ARM (+2,36 %)
$ELF (+7,03 %)
$CCI (+0 %)
$IREN (+0,15 %)
$BMY (+1,66 %)
$MSTR (+1,24 %)
$RBLX (+6,35 %)
$TEAM (+5,8 %)
$EL (+4,76 %)
$SYM (+5,33 %)
$DIS (+1,28 %)
$PYPL (+0,96 %)
$CMG (-0,09 %)
$ALV (+1,68 %)
$LIN (-0,63 %)
Which figures do you pay particular attention to?
Short? My current favorites!
I am often asked what I should do if my high-risk portfolio strategy with small caps no longer works out in order to still generate above-average returns. I always answer that the advantage of my strategy is that I can play risk in both directions. So today I would like to share with you my current favorites for a short entry, which I will add to my portfolio depending on how the market develops. I know that some of you are big fans of some of these stocks and I would like to emphasize that this is not a qualitative selection for the next few years.
And if you are a buy & hold shareholder and have no interest in short stocks, just keep scrolling.
So here are my favorites as of today:
$APP (+5,92 %) MM5Y1H
$VRT (-4,37 %) MJ8K89
$RBLX (+6,35 %) MK8AJ0
$CVNA (+4,2 %) MJ95TP
$NTNX (-0,38 %) JU9USB
$CDNS (-1,78 %) MK9MQR
And for the more cautious, more general view a put on the
Nasdaq100 e.g. $UQ0WAZ.
In terms of leverage and maturity, these are not hara-kiri instruments, but in my opinion a broadly diversified way to hedge your portfolio.
As always, this is of course not investment advice and not an invitation to buy these bills. As always, it is your money, your opportunity and your risk.
Roblox Q3’25 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Bookings: $1.92B (Est. $1.65B) 🟢; UP +70% YoY
🔹 Revenue: $1.36B; UP +48% YoY
🔹 Avg. DAUs: 151.5M; UP +70% YoY
🔹 Hours Engaged: 39.6B; UP +91% YoY
🔹 Monthly Unique Payers (MUPs): 35.8M; UP +88% YoY
Guidance
🔹 Q4’25 Bookings: $2.00–$2.05B (Est. $1.80B) 🟢
🔹 Q4’25 Revenue: $1.35–$1.40B
🔹 Q4’25 Consolidated Net Loss: $(345)–$(375)M
🔹 FY’25 Revenue: $4.83–$4.88B
🔹 FY’25 Bookings: $6.57–$6.62B (Est. $6.16B) 🟢
🔹 FY’25 Consolidated Net Loss: $(1.10)–$(1.13)B
Other metrics:
🔹 Consolidated Net Loss: $(257)M
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $45.7M
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $546M; UP +121% YoY
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $443M; UP +103% YoY
CEO Commentary
🔸 “Our third-quarter results demonstrate the tremendous progress we’ve made toward our goal of capturing 10% of the global gaming market.”
GROWTH TECH: Sales growth & forward P/S ratio
The price/sales ratio (P/S) relative to sales growth is a one-dimensional view, but nevertheless provides a good initial overview:
Table = sorted in descending order by market capitalization
Which companies do you see as having the greatest potential in the next 5 years?
Roblox Q1'25 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Bookings: $1.21B (est. $1.14B) 🟢 (▲ 31% YoY)
🔹 Adj EPS: -$0.40 (Est. $0.32) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $1.04B (▲ 29% YoY)
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $58M (ex-deferral adj. of +$147M)
User & Engagement Metrics
🔹 DAUs: 97.8M (▲ 26% YoY)
🔹 Hours Engaged: 21.7B (▲ 30% YoY)
🔹 Avg Bookings per DAU (ABPDAU): $12.34 (▲ 4% YoY)
🔹 Monthly Unique Payers: 20.2M (▲ 29% YoY)
🔹 Avg Bookings per Monthly Unique Payer: $19.92
Other Key Metrics:
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $426.5M (▲ 123% YoY)
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $443.9M (▲ 86% YoY)
🔸 Creator earnings hit a quarterly record $281.6M
🔸 Over 100 devs earned $1M+ in last 12 months
🔹 Total Cash & Investments: $4.51B
🔹 Net Liquidity: $3.50B
Q2'25 Guidance
🔹 Revenue: $1.02B–$1.045B
🔹 Bookings: $1.165B–$1.19B
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $25M–$45M
🔹 FCF: $105M–$120M
🔸 Includes $30M payout delayed from Q1
🔸 Adjusted for timing, FCF guide would be $135M–$150M (▲ 21–34% YoY)
FY25 Outlook (Updated)
🔹 Revenue: $4.29B–$4.365B
🔹 Bookings: $5.285B–$5.36B
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $205M–$265M
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $885M–$930M
🔹 CapEx: $285M
Time to buy: My top 30 companies that I am particularly looking at in the current crash
It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.
Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.
Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.
Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)
Airbnb $ABNB (+3,66 %)
Alphabet $GOOGL (-0,22 %)
Amazon $AMZN (-0,25 %)
ASML $ASML (-0,26 %)
Axon $AXON (+1,31 %)
Cadence $CDNS (-1,78 %)
Constellation Software $CSU (+5,17 %)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (-2,63 %)
Fair Isaac $FICO (+6,85 %)
Hermes $RMS (+3,78 %)
Intuit $INTU (+6,44 %)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+1,93 %)
Mastercard $MA (+1,5 %)
Meta $META (-1,01 %)
Netflix $NFLX (+2,29 %)
Microsoft $MSFT (+0,19 %)
Palantir $PLTR (-0,35 %)
Tesla $TSLA (-1,87 %)
Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)
Booking $BKNG (+2,66 %)
Costco $COST (-0,53 %)
Ferrari $RACE (+2,28 %)
Moody's $MCO (+3,35 %)
MSCI $MSCI (+2,03 %)
Transdigm $TDG (+1,46 %)
Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (+4,71 %)
Robinhood $HOOD (+1,96 %)
Roblox $RBLX (+6,35 %)
Shopify $SHOP (+2,69 %)
Spotify $SPOT (+1,29 %)
The Trade Desk $TTD (+7,22 %)
I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.
Where are you buying?
Not the same: Forward P/S ratio of 16 selected tech growth stocks
Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)
Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (+4,71 %)
Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+1,29 %)
Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+3,66 %)
Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX (+6,35 %)
Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+1,96 %)
The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+7,22 %)
Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (-1,72 %)
Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+2,69 %)
Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (-1,61 %)
ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW
Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL
Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (+1,31 %)
Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (-2,63 %)
Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (-2,79 %)
Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (-0,35 %)
Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...
Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.
Your opinion?
