$RACE (+2,28%) is on 🔥 today

Ferrari
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135Quarterly figures 09.02-13.02.26
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$981
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Will the sell-off continue next week?
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📊 My portfolio update January 2026
January was a challenging but generally constructive month.
A strong start to the year was followed by a significant tech correction in the middle of the month, triggered by risk-off flows, interest rate sensitivity and caution after the first US earnings.
Despite this volatility, I closed the month clearly in the plus the month:
👉 Monthly performance: +2.5 %
👉 Portfolio value: € 39,576
1st performance & comparison 🚀
January was characterized by sectoral rotation:
Software & high-beta corrected significantly, while selected cyclicals, commodities and special situations remained stable.
Performance in comparison (31.01.2026):
- My securities account:
+2,50 %
- NASDAQ 100: +0.47 %
- S&P 500: +0.30 %
- DAX: -0.33 %
- FTSE All-World: +0.98 %
👉 The outperformance is not the result not from broad tech exposurebut from targeted themes, anti-cyclical positions and active allocation.
2. purchases, sales & allocation 💶
The focus in January was clearly on Risk management and cash management:
Acquisitions: Siemens ($SIE (+1,39%)) (twice) - Partial reinvestment of realized gains. Euro Overnight Rate Swap ETF ($XEON (+0,02%))- targeted liquidity build-up
Sales: Partial sale Rheinmetall ($RHM (-0,7%))after an extreme run (+735% since entry)
👉 Currently Cash / cash equivalents at ~4 % of the portfolio - deliberately increased in an environment of increasing uncertainty.
3rd top mover in January 🟢
January was clearly dominated by special situations and cyclical themes carried.
The strongest performer was IREN m($IREN (-4,72%)), which rose by +40,8 % benefited massively from the recovery in the mining sector. Another strong performer was the VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF ($NUKL (-3,45%))with +21,7 %driven by structural demand, supply shortages and geopolitical reassessment.
American Lithium placed +19,1 % and showed a technical countermovement after months of weakness. Alibaba ($BABA (-3,4%)) was convincing with +15,9 %supported by valuation levels, margin stabilization and the first signs of regulatory easing.
Also Novo Nordisk ($NOVO B (-0,27%)) (+15,4 %) also benefited from sustained demand in the GLP-1 segment, while Rheinmetall despite a partial sale again +14,1 % and confirmed its role as a structural profiteer.
4th flop mover in January 🔴
The weaker side of the portfolio was clearly in the high-multiple-tech segment segment.
Cloudflare ($NET (-1,91%)) lost -11,2 % in the wake of a massive revaluation of AI and infrastructure software. Ferrari ($RACE (+2,28%)) (-10,9 %) and Snowflake ($SNOW (-2,79%)) (-10,3 %) suffered from profit-taking and higher expectations after strong previous quarters.
Also CrowdStrike ($CRWD (-0,7%)) (-6,6 %) and Datadog ($DDOG (-0,63%)) (-6,4 %) were under pressure, although there was little change in operational quality. Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.B (+1,01%)) rounded off the list of losers with -6,1 % burdened by interest rate and insurance discussions.
👉 Important: These are primarily valuation and sentiment moves. valuation and sentiment movesnot fundamental breaks.
5. conclusion 💡
January was not an easy month, but a good start to the year:
- Outperformance against all relevant indices
- Profits realized, cash increased
- Volatility consciously accepted instead of blindly smoothed out
The environment remains challenging:
Interest rates, Fed expectations, political uncertainties and earnings will continue to shape the markets in February.
The focus therefore remains clearly on quality, liquidity and selective opportunities.
❓ Question for the community
Which stock surprised you the most in January - positively or negatively?
👇 Write it in the comments!
+ 3
Watchlist 📉 💵 👀
I'd like to share my current watchlist with you, which stocks are on the shortlist and at what buy-in.
Buy - In: ~ 220-240 €
Buy - In: ~ 1500 €
Buy - In: ~98€
Buy - In: ~60-62€
Buy - In: ~170$
Buy - In: ~ 3900€
Buy - In: ~ 400€
$RACE (+2,28%) (subsequent purchase)
Buy - In: ~ 230€
$V (-1,54%) (subsequent purchase)
Buy - In: ~ 260€
And you?
Ferrari Today: Solid Numbers, High Expectations, No Room for Errors
🔴
Ferrari is currently in a very specific phase of its market life:
operationally strong, financially solid, but already fully priced by the market.
📊 Where Ferrari stands right now
Ferrari’s recent results confirm a few key points:
Revenues are growing at a high single-digit rate, driven more by price/mix than by volume.
Operating margins remain above 25%, levels that most automakers can only dream of.
Free cash flow is strong and predictable, with limited capex needs compared to mass manufacturers.
Net industrial debt is low and under control, giving flexibility for dividends and buybacks.
The Purosangue, personalization programs, and limited special series continue to lift average revenue per car, reinforcing Ferrari’s luxury positioning rather than its automotive identity.
🧠 What the market is really betting on
At current levels, the stock implies:
Continued pricing power without damaging exclusivity
No brand dilution from expansion (especially SUVs & lifestyle products)
Smooth transition toward hybrid and full-electric models
Zero execution mistakes
In short: Ferrari must keep being perfect.
⚠️ The main risks (often underestimated)
Valuation risk: multiples are closer to top luxury brands than industrial companies. Any slowdown hits hard.
Luxury cycle risk: ultra-rich clients are resilient, but not immune forever.
Execution risk: EV transition is more cultural than technological for Ferrari.
Sentiment risk: when a stock becomes “untouchable”, expectations quietly become dangerous.
🔮 Where could the stock go?
Base case: sideways to moderate growth, aligned with earnings growth.
Bull case: continued re-rating as a pure luxury asset → new highs.
Bear case: even a small earnings miss could trigger a sharp but temporary correction.
Ferrari doesn’t look fragile — but it does look expensive and unforgiving.
Ferrari today is not about survival or growth — it’s about living up to a legend already priced into the stock.
So here’s the real question for investors:
will Ferrari outperform expectations… or just meet them?
Increasing my position in Ferrari ( now 10% of my portfolio)
Even today $RACE (+2,28%) is a buy!
deeeep
$ONDS (-2,69%) INNNN. Let's go
Got some doubts:
Which stocks would buy in this deep phase between these ones?
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