Enphase Energy

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Ticker: ENPH

ENPH

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Discussion about ENPH

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Aktien Stammtisch

@Aktien_Stammtisch

1D·

𝐄𝐧𝐩𝐡𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲: 𝐐𝟑 𝐄𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐮𝐞 𝐌𝐢𝐬𝐬 𝐄𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬, 𝐐𝟒 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐚𝐫 𝐁𝐞𝐥𝐨

$ENPH (-0.96%)

⠀

📊 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬

• Adj. EPS: $0.41 (Est. $0.50) ❌, vs. $0.90 YoY.

• Revenue: $293.3M (Est. $305.15M) ❌, -29% YoY.

• GAAP EPS: $0.17 (vs. $0.50 YoY).

• Adj. Gross Margin: 45.0% (vs. 49.2% YoY).

• GAAP Gross Margin: 43.3%.

• Adj. Operating Income: $53.6M.

• Battery Shipments: 129.9 MWh (vs. 113.8 MWh QoQ).

• Operating Cash Flow: ~$0.1M.

• Cash & Marketable Securities: $931.8M.

⠀

🎯 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞

• Q4 2026 Revenue: $225M–$255M, midpoint $240M (Est. $300.51M) ❌.

• Q4 2026 Adj. Gross Margin: 40%–43%.

• Q4 2026 GAAP Gross Margin: 38%–41%.

• Q4 2026 Battery Shipments: 100–120 MWh.

• Q4 2026 Sell-Through: -10% QoQ.

⠀

📌 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬

• Q3 Adj. EPS missed consensus by 18%, while revenue fell ~3.9% below estimates.

• Q3 earnings included a $0.14 per share non-GAAP impact from investment impairments.

• Global sell-through increased just 1% QoQ versus management's 10% growth expectation.

• U.S. residential solar sell-through declined 35% YoY, reflecting continued market weakness.

• Q4 revenue guidance midpoint stands ~20.1% below consensus and implies an 18.2% sequential decline.

• Enphase demonstrated its IQ solid-state transformer converting 13.8 kV AC to 800 VDC for AI data centers.

• IQ SST customer and partner pipeline more than doubled to over 50, with pilots planned for 2027 and commercial shipments expected in 2028.

• Management is developing IQ SST solutions for two global technology leaders.

⠀

💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐲

“Our core U.S. residential solar market continues to face headwinds from higher interest rates and the expiration of the Section 25D federal tax credit.”

SanSebastian

@WarrenamBuffet

2Mon·

Juli 2026 Rewind

Top Performer

$AOF (-4.91%) +26%

$CTAS (+0.36%) +21%

$PAYX (-0.38%) +17%

$CNQ (+1.87%) +17%

$DPZ (-0.53%) +16%

Low Performer

$KLAC (+5.51%) -40%

$ENPH (-0.96%) -31%

$WSO (-3.25%) -27%

$HIMS (+4.78%) -24%

$JEDI (+0.48%) -22%

2 Comments

A@xxx

2Mon

Follow-up question $FGEQ —you've had it for a while now.
Are you convinced? Dividends have been falling in recent years…

•

Show answer

Code & Capital

@Codeandcapital

3Mon·

Quarterly Results: July 27–July 31, 26

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$BA (-0.48%)
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SanSebastian

@WarrenamBuffet

3Mon·

Juni 2026 Rewind

High Performer

$KLAC (+5.51%) +63%

$HIMS (+4.78%) +35%

$OC (-0.22%) +26%

$ASML (-0.46%) +24%

$WSM (-0.13%) 20%

Low Performer

$YMST (-0.77%) -51%

$XS3087774306 (+3.37%) -44%

$SPCE (-1.87%) -41%

$3350 (-0.03%) -31%

$ENPH (-0.96%) -27%

2 Comments

structure@structure

3Mon

Is the " $KLAC " or "Portfolio Monthly View" buggy for you, too, because the split isn't recorded correctly?

••

Show answer

SanSebastian

@WarrenamBuffet

4Mon·

Mai 2026 Rewind

Top Performer:

$ENPH (-0.96%) +122%

$QCOM (-2.73%) +40%

$JEDI (+0.48%) +34%

$ARE (-1.95%) +23%

$ASWM (-0.24%) +15%

Low Performer

$ZTS (-0.55%) -23%

$CPNG (+1.06%) -20%

$8002 (-2.46%) -17%

$WSO (-3.25%) -15%

$ROL (+0.15%) -14%

Chris

@Multibagger

4Mon·

Belly vs. head challenge!

So that everyone here can see that everything is above board, I am of course also posting the transactions.

01.06

Enphase Energy

Sold x10 at €55.01

€550.05

36.90%

2 Comments

Epi@Epi

4Mon

is watching you! 🕵️

•

imarkation

@imarkation

4Mon·

First purchase Microsoft

After the stop loss of $ENPH (-0.96%) has pulled (thanks to the great rise last month even in the plus :-) and the allocation of $CEC (-0.43%) is no longer to my liking, I used the freed-up cash to add a Mag7 to the portfolio for the first time and invested the rest of the proceeds in the $IS3R (+0.44%) put the rest of the proceeds into the I'm pleased that my portfolio looks a bit tidier again, and further adjustments are already planned.

01.06

Microsoft

Bought x2 at $460.81

$921.62

Chris

@Multibagger

4Mon·

Head against stomach challenge!

There has been a change in my challenge portfolio today.

$ENPH (-0.96%) has left this portfolio today. At the end of the day it was up around 38%. However, I had also bought this share in the growth portfolio. It will remain there, as I see even more potential.

I invested part of the proceeds directly in the highly speculative $SPCE (-1.87%) directly.

50 shares at 7$.

The other two stocks $BB (-4.41%) and $RIOT (+3.3%) will continue to run for the time being.

12 Comments

fund_manager_1967@fund_manager_1967

4Mon

I started buying some last year because I expected it to go up this year during the tests. last year my shares were still at just under €4 and I was able to push the price down further by buying more. When the news about Space x came on the 21st, I made another big purchase and increased my stock to 5800 at an average price of €2.52. Well, you can imagine that I was walking around with half a heart attack just today🤣

•

Chris

@Multibagger

4Mon·

Tops and flops in May!

I still owe you my top & flops.

In 1st place by a wide margin $DGX (+1.02%) with + 84% in only 8 days! After that I sold it again. It was also part of my Wiki Challenge.

$BB (-4.41%) with + 56% also from the challenge depot follows in 2nd place

$CORT (-1.25%) with + 48% followed by the 3rd value from the challenge portfolio

$ENPH (-0.96%) with + 45%.

After that comes

$IREN (-0.41%) with + 41%

And what I generally find quite surprising is that $JEDI (+0.48%) has made it into the top list as an ETF with + 39%. If there hadn't been a serious setback on Friday, it would even have been in the top 3.

Yes, there were also losers, although the word doesn't really fit.

$FTC (-3.36%) with - 6.5%

$NRXS with - 5.9%

$KYTX with - 2.5%

These are normal fluctuations for these values.

The top 3 have accumulated in the portfolio:

$PPTA (+0.3%) with + 130%

$CORT (-1.25%) with + 110%

$2GB (-2.25%) with + 81%

Flop 3:

$KVHI with - 13 %

$KYTX with - 7,25%

$FTC (-3.36%) with - 6.5%

This shows that the most important thing in such a high risk strategy is to limit losses. Shares that do not perform are eliminated at - 20% at the latest.

I have also reduced the number of positions from over 80 to around 50.

The performance in May according to TTWROR was + 20.5%.

On a YTD basis, I am also at 20.7% due to the disastrous March.

The internal rate of return, because that was also important here recently, is at 55% YTD.

By way of comparison, the TTWROR for the whole of last year was

TTWROR was 91.6%

and the interest rate

was 82.6%.

Of course, it will be difficult to repeat that. But there's no such thing as impossible!

Have a nice weekend!🌞

Your Multibagger

Chris

2 Comments

Sven@Thunderbolt1978

4Mon

Everything that has -20% after the purchase flies out mercilessly ? So a hard stoploss ? Isn't that a bit low for one or the other volatile stock ?

•

Show answer

Chris

@Multibagger

4Mon·

Belly vs. head challenge! Month 1!

So dear community. The 4th week and therefore the 1st month of our challenge is over.

And how?

Well, our @Epi didn't really get off the ground this week and after the first month stands at

+ 1,76 %

@Krush82 will certainly not be satisfied with the month.

It ended the first month at - 4.14%

That leaves the multibagger. I haven't changed anything in my values this week.

$RIOT (+3.3%) has performed well and now stands at + 11.77%

$ENPH (-0.96%) has also performed well and is now up 44.5%.

$BB (-4.41%) but has taken the cake and now stands at

+ 55,5 %

Overall, the multibagger in the Challenge is thus at a monthly plus of

+ 55,62 %. And that's without any derivatives so far.

That's pretty good and I think and hope that my two opponents want to and will improve their performance with new players.

I don't know yet whether I'll change one or more values at the start of the new month, but if I do, you'll be there live!

Start. Status Change € %

879,36. 894,82. 15,46 1,76 %

942,60. 903,54 - 39,06 - 4,14%

1000. 1556,23 556,23 55,62%

25 Comments

Epi@Epi

4Mon

You've had a lucky month: one of the strongest stock rallies ever right at the start.

It is built into GTAA that it underperforms during stock rallies. This is one of the systematic costs of a low-beta strategy.

If you had started at the beginning of 2024 or so, the comparison would certainly look different. In this respect, I'm rather curious to see where we stand at the end of 2026 and 2027. 👍

•

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