1Dยท

๐„๐ง๐ฉ๐ก๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐„๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ฒ: ๐๐Ÿ‘ ๐„๐š๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Œ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐„๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ, ๐๐Ÿ’ ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐…๐š๐ซ ๐๐ž๐ฅ๐จ

$ENPH (-0.31%)

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๐Ÿ“Š ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ

โ€ข Adj. EPS: $0.41 (Est. $0.50) โŒ, vs. $0.90 YoY.

โ€ข Revenue: $293.3M (Est. $305.15M) โŒ, -29% YoY.

โ€ข GAAP EPS: $0.17 (vs. $0.50 YoY).

โ€ข Adj. Gross Margin: 45.0% (vs. 49.2% YoY).

โ€ข GAAP Gross Margin: 43.3%.

โ€ข Adj. Operating Income: $53.6M.

โ€ข Battery Shipments: 129.9 MWh (vs. 113.8 MWh QoQ).

โ€ข Operating Cash Flow: ~$0.1M.

โ€ข Cash & Marketable Securities: $931.8M.

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๐ŸŽฏ ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž

โ€ข Q4 2026 Revenue: $225Mโ€“$255M, midpoint $240M (Est. $300.51M) โŒ.

โ€ข Q4 2026 Adj. Gross Margin: 40%โ€“43%.

โ€ข Q4 2026 GAAP Gross Margin: 38%โ€“41%.

โ€ข Q4 2026 Battery Shipments: 100โ€“120 MWh.

โ€ข Q4 2026 Sell-Through: -10% QoQ.

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๐Ÿ“Œ ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐“๐š๐ค๐ž๐š๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ

โ€ข Q3 Adj. EPS missed consensus by 18%, while revenue fell ~3.9% below estimates.

โ€ข Q3 earnings included a $0.14 per share non-GAAP impact from investment impairments.

โ€ข Global sell-through increased just 1% QoQ versus management's 10% growth expectation.

โ€ข U.S. residential solar sell-through declined 35% YoY, reflecting continued market weakness.

โ€ข Q4 revenue guidance midpoint stands ~20.1% below consensus and implies an 18.2% sequential decline.

โ€ข Enphase demonstrated its IQ solid-state transformer converting 13.8 kV AC to 800 VDC for AI data centers.

โ€ข IQ SST customer and partner pipeline more than doubled to over 50, with pilots planned for 2027 and commercial shipments expected in 2028.

โ€ข Management is developing IQ SST solutions for two global technology leaders.

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๐Ÿ’ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ

โ€œOur core U.S. residential solar market continues to face headwinds from higher interest rates and the expiration of the Section 25D federal tax credit.โ€

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