Posts
239This week, we have once again included some titles in our simulation game. At the suggestion of @serkeftin to prepare for Donald Trump's tariff announcements and have reduced our call money position and added short warrants with a 4 - 5 leverage for $VOW (-1.37%) , $MBG (+0.41%) , $P911 (+2.82%) , $BMW (-0.05%) . We are hoping for good returns with a higher risk in a short period of one week.
Do you have any comments or suggestions for the coming weeks?
I am considering joining $MBG (+0.41%) to get in. The current share price is a real bargain and the current dividend yield is a brilliant hit. No idea what will happen tomorrow, but the Americans will still want to buy Mercedes........ What do you think?
- 14 positive surprises
- Three negative surprises
- Dividend increases
- Dividend decreases
- Overview of all DAX stocks
Link:
$ALV (+0.2%)
$MUV2 (+1.01%)
$RHM (+3.74%)
$MBG (+0.41%)
$SAP (-1.02%)
$BMW (-0.05%)
$AIR (-2.05%)
$VOW (+0.03%)
$DBK (-3.23%)
$CBK (-1.47%)
$SIE (-2.58%)
$P911 (+2.82%)
$DTE (+1.07%)
$IFX (-1.49%)
Trump tariffs burden German car manufacturersDonald Trump's announcement to impose tariffs of 25 percent on car imports to the USA is causing great concern in the German automotive industry. Companies such as Volkswagen $VOW3 (+0.53%)BMW $BMW (-0.05%) and Mercedes $MBG (+0.41%) in particular must be prepared for considerable consequences. These new tariffs particularly affect vehicles imported into the USA from Europe. Fortunately, cars produced in the USA will be spared these additional duties. Nevertheless, the pressure on German manufacturers will increase as they will have to adjust their prices in order to remain competitive. Uncertainty over future trade relations between the USA and Europe remains a crucial issue for car manufacturers.
Von der Leyen stands up for EU workersIn the current situation, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has clearly positioned herself and emphasized that the EU must stand together as a major trading power to protect the interests of its workers, companies and consumers. In view of the new tariffs, it is important that the EU stands united in order to minimize any negative impact on the European economy. EU Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič had recently held talks in Washington to avert the punitive tariffs, but without success. The challenges for the automotive industry, especially in Germany, are palpable and the coming months will be crucial in finding solutions. If the EU does not act together, the economic consequences could be even more serious than they already are.
Sources:
Technical analysis
Shares of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Plc are in a downtrend. According to TradingView, the technical rating for the stock currently indicates a Sell recommendation. Investtech reports that the stock has broken the lower line of a downtrend channel to the downside, indicating a possible further decline in the share price. These technical indicators point to continued weakness in the share price.
Fundamental analysis
The fundamentals of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Plc point to challenges. According to finanzen.net, the company's market capitalization is approximately $0.95 billion, with an expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.88 for 2027. Long-term growth is estimated at +51.69%, however, the number of analysts following the company is small, which may affect the reliability of these forecasts. In addition, the stock has a negative relative 4-week performance of -32.17%, indicating an underperformance versus the market.
Current developments
Aston Martin is facing financial challenges. The new CEO, Adrian Hallmark, has announced plans to make the company profitable by 2025, with a focus on cost savings and improved operational discipline. However, the company is still struggling with significant losses and a debt level of 1.16 billion pounds. In addition, delivery delays and weakening demand in China have led to reduced sales and profit expectations.
Conclusion
Both technical and fundamental analysis suggest that Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Plc is currently facing significant challenges. Potential investors should carefully consider these factors and make their investment decisions accordingly.
What do you think of the company I got in at the price, not with a large position, but still 100 shares 😉
$AML (+2.53%)
$P911 (+2.82%)
$MBG (+0.41%)
$RACE (-0.98%)
#luxus
At 53 billion euros, the 40 DAX companies are likely to pay out almost one billion euros more this year than a year ago - more than ever before.
The reason for the strong development is high consolidated profits and unexpectedly rising dividends at a good dozen companies, including $ALV (+0.2%) Allianz, $MUV2 (+1.01%) Munich Re and $RHM (+3.74%) Rheinmetall.
At 109 billion euros net profit, the DAX companies are likely to have earned as much in 2024 as in the previous year, according to Handelsblatt calculations. Slump in earnings for the three car manufacturers $BMW (-0.05%) BMW, $MBG (+0.41%) Mercedes and $VOW (+0.03%) VW will be offset by companies in other sectors, in particular the major insurers Allianz, Munich Re and $HNR1 (+1.21%) Hannover Re, but also $DTE (+1.07%) Deutsche Telekom, $HEN (+0.88%) Henkel and $EOAN (+3.52%) Eon.
More than a dozen DAX companies have announced higher dividends than the market had previously expected. For example $ALV (+0.2%) 15.40 euros per share after 13.80 euros in the previous year. Analysts had forecast just under 15 euros. The insurer is thus distributing just under six billion euros. This is a record in the German corporate landscape.
The biggest jump is at $MUV2 (+1.01%) Munich Re: The reinsurer is increasing its dividend by five euros per share to 20 euros.
The two healthcare specialists $FRE (+1.87%) Fresenius and $FME (+2.73%) Fresenius Medical Care, the brand manufacturer $HEN (+0.88%) Henkel, the automotive supplier $BTR Continental, the $CBK (-1.47%) Commerzbank, $RHM (+3.74%) Rheinmetall and $HNR1 (+1.21%) Hannover Re have raised their dividends, in some cases significantly more than expected. This is also due to rising profits, which justify a higher profit share for shareholders.
The largest dividend payers in the DAX are
Like the car manufacturers, a number of companies in the DAX remain below the usual international payout ratios, including the family-run groups $BEI (+1.17%) Beiersdorf and $MRK (+0.36%) Merck. They pass on less than 30 percent of their profits. This leaves enough of a buffer so that dividends do not have to be reduced immediately in more difficult times.
Germany's most valuable group, $SAP (-1.02%) SAP, with a payout ratio of 85%, is pushing the limit: net profit of 3.1 billion euros in the past year compares with a total dividend payout of 2.7 billion euros. However, the profit was burdened by a one-off effect.
So far, a total of 20 companies have increased their dividends, with only $BAS (-1.75%) BASF and the three car manufacturers. Four companies have yet to do so: $RWE (+2.01%) RWE, $SY1 (-1.13%) Symrise and $VNA (+5.71%) Vonovia are likely to increase their dividends, while analysts expect $PAH3 (-0.56%) analysts expect a reduction at Porsche Holding.
Source (excerpt) & chart: Handelsblatt, 15.03.25
Mercedes-Benz appoints new head of North America
Mercedes-Benz $MBG (+0.41%) has brought a new captain on board for its North American journey. Jason Hoff will now be at the helm, steering the fortunes of the company in a turbulent climate. It is a decisive step, as the automotive industry is facing numerous challenges. There are also exciting developments at Volkswagen. CEO Oliver Blume will benefit from an increase in his remuneration, which will rise by 6.6 percent to an impressive 10.35 million euros in 2024. This is despite the members of the Board of Management forgoing 5 percent of their salary, which will still earn Blume 65,000 euros. These measures are part of a comprehensive savings program that will be continued in the coming years and are intended to strengthen the company's position.
Northvolt insolvency shakes Scania and Porsche
In the USA and beyond, Northvolt's insolvency has had the effect of an earthquake and has shaken up the automotive industry, especially the giants Scania and Porsche. Although the subsidiaries in Germany and North America are not directly affected by this insolvency, the situation in Skellefteå, Northvolt's headquarters, remains tense. The mayor and the head of administration are asking the Swedish government for support, as the city and the province cannot cope with the crisis on their own. The employees are currently being supported by a state wage guarantee, but uncertainty hangs over the municipality, particularly with regard to the residence permits of many foreign employees who are hoping for a quick solution.
Porsche AG shares fall sharply
Porsche AG $P911 (+2.82%) is facing drastic pressure as a decline in profits has dampened sentiment and the stock has also been affected. CEO Breckner has commented on the company's long-term goals and emphasized that the company is aiming for a return on sales of over 20 percent. However, the tense market situation will make a medium-term target of 15 to 17 percent necessary, which represents an adjustment of previous expectations. This year, around 800 million euros will be invested in adapting the model range and expanding the battery business. The operating margin is expected to be between 10 and 12 percent, while turnover is estimated at between 39 and 40 billion euros.
Sources:
Zalando $ZAL (+1.91%) has big plans and wants to take over its smaller rival About You by the summer. This majority takeover is a strategic step to strengthen its market position and expand its reach in online retail. Zalando intends to squeeze out the remaining shareholders of About You. The amount of cash compensation that will be offered as part of this squeeze-out is still unknown. However, Zalando assures to make an "appropriate offer" after the deal is finalized. On Friday, About You shares remained stable at 6.66 euros, which is higher than Zalando's offer of 6.50 euros. This could make the negotiations even more exciting, as it gives shareholders an incentive to consider whether or not they want to accept the offer.
In the USA, Mercedes-Benz $MBG (+0.41%) also has big plans and wants to significantly expand its military vehicle business. The head of the Special Trucks division sees huge opportunities in this area and wants to significantly increase market share. The focus is on developing innovative solutions for military applications and expanding the product range. However, details of the specific plans have not yet been published. With this expansion, the company wants to position itself in a growing market that could become increasingly important in the coming years. With these steps, Mercedes-Benz wants to secure its competitiveness in a rapidly changing environment and open up new areas of business.
Sources:
As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week.
Also as a video:
https://youtube.com/shorts/jsEEQ7p900o?si=YxUmTubdAPwHFSPq
Sunday:
Trump announces a strategic crypto reserve, the price of Bitcoin rises again. In addition to Bitcoin and Ether, investments are also to be made in Cardano, Solana and Ripple. 'The USA is to become the crypto capital of the world'
https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Trump-kuendigt-strategische-Krypto-Reserve-an-article25599761.html
Monday:
The EU Commission wants to relax the climate targets. The shares of the car manufacturers, $VOW3 (+0.53%) VW, $BMW (-0.05%) BMW and $MBG (+0.41%) Mercedes can rise significantly. The annual targets are to be combined into a compensation period. This would give the car manufacturers more time in case of doubt.
Inflation is falling slightly less than expected. In February, inflation in the eurozone was 2.4%. The expected figure was 2.3%, compared with 2.5% in January. The next interest rate cut is expected on Thursday.
Wednesday:
Sales at$BAYN (+2.77%) Bayer stagnated in 2024, EBITDA fell by 22%. However, things are expected to pick up again in 2026. The bottom line was a loss of 2.55 billion euros. Shareholders will receive a dividend of 0.11 euros per share. Bayer had already cut the dividend to the minimum last year in order to reduce debt. A dividend is to be paid again from 2027. On Friday, it was announced that the company plans to seek approval for the possibility of a capital increase at the AGM.
The economic data from the USA is better than expected. The purchasing managers' index in particular is above expectations. However, there is much to suggest that prices will continue to rise. The order situation and employment are also improving compared to the previous month.
https://finanzmarktwelt.de/usa-ism-index-service-2-341270/
Thursday:
$DHLGY (-2.47%) DHL cuts 8,000 jobs in the mail and parcel business after poor figures. Earnings per share fell from 3.09 to 2.86 euros. The dividend is to be kept stable at 1.85 euros per share. The revenue forecast, which was lowered in the fall, was exceeded.
Thursday:
No big surprise: the ECB cuts the key interest rate for the 6th time to 2.5%. However, the debate about further interest rate cuts becomes more heated. A pause in interest rates is likely to come at the latest at an interest rate of 1.75%.
https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/EZB-senkt-Leitzins-zum-sechsten-Mal-seit-Sommer-article25611145.html
These are the most important dates for the coming week:
Tuesday: 00:50 GDP figures (Japan)
Wednesday: 13:30 Inflation data (USA)
Thursday: 13:30 Producer prices (USA)
Can you think of any other dates? Write it in the comments 👇
