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53Company presentation: PeptiDream - The architect of tomorrow's medicines
Hello my dear GQ community, since dear @Tenbagger2024 somehow has problems with his company presentation post, I'm jumping in for a change 😝 so that you have something to read 😂 I hope I still reach a few of you readers 🤓
have fun 😬
Today I would like to introduce you to a company that I am sure many of you are not yet familiar with.
It is the Japanese BioTech Pharma / Tech (?) company with the name: PeptiDream $4587
PeptiDream $4587 is not a classic pharmaceutical company that only sells its own pills. It is a technology platformthat provides the "operating system" for the discovery of new active ingredients. In the world of biotechnology, PeptiDream $4587 is the undisputed king of macrocyclic peptides.
👤 Management: Visionary & Strategic
- CEO: Patrick C. Reid
- Reid is not a typical Japanese CEO, which gives the company a very international and agile culture. Under his leadership, PeptiDream has been transformed from a small university spin-off to a global player with over 120 research programs.
- Strategy: He consistently focuses on collaborations with "big pharma" (Novartis $NOVN (-0,25%) , Eli Lilly $LLY (-2,07%) Merck $MRK (+0,48%) Genentech $GENETEC ) in order to shift the risk of failures in clinical trials onto the partners, while PeptiDream $4587 profits from milestone payments and license fees.
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🔬🏭The business model: "The Discovery Powerhouse" 🎯
PeptiDream $4587 pursues a strategy of massive scaling through partnerships. Instead of investing billions in their own research and hoping for a "blockbuster", they let the giants of the industry work for them.
1-core technology PDPS: The Peptide Discovery Platform System is a kind of "Google high-speed search engine" for active ingredients. It can screen trillions (!) of different peptides in just a few weeks to find exactly the one molecule that binds to a disease target.
PDPS in detail:
Imagine you are looking for a matching key 🔑 for a very complicated lock (a protein that causes a disease). Classic pharmaceutical companies laboriously try out a few thousand keys 🔐.
- PDPS (Peptide Discovery Platform System): PeptiDream builds a "library" in a test tube trillions (10¹²) different macrocycles (ring-shaped peptides).
- The highlight: Each peptide is labeled with a DNA "barcode". When a peptide binds to the target protein, the barcode is read and the company knows immediately: "This is the active ingredient!"
- Success rate: PeptiDream $4587 states that for over 95 % of all biological objectives🎯 (targets) within just 4 weeks. This is record-breaking in the industry.
Technology licenses: Partners such as Lilly $LLY (-2,07%) or Novartis $NOVN (-0,25%) pay millions to be allowed to use the PDPS technology themselves.
🚀2 The growth pillar:
The "PDRadiopharma" transformation:
Through the acquisition of the radiopharmaceutical business of Fujifilm Toyama Chemical PeptiDream has $4587 vertically integrated. They now own the entire chain: from the discovery of the peptide to the production and marketing of nuclear medicine diagnostics and therapeutics in Japan.
This is currently the most exciting transformation. With the acquisition of PDRadiopharma (formerly Fujifilm $4901 (-0,73%) ), PeptiDream is no longer just a software developer, but also a logistics giant. logistics giant in Japan.
- Why radiopharmaceuticals? These drugs decay quickly (radioactivity!). You need an extremely precise network to get them from the reactor to the patient. PeptiDream now has this infrastructure in Japan.
🔁3 The " $AMZN (-3,88%)
Amazon model" of the pharmaceutical world
PeptiDream $4587 follows the principle of reinvestment:
They are using the stable cash flows from radiopharma sales in Japan to further automate their PDPS platform. The screening system is now largely robotized, which reduces the marginal costs per new project to almost zero.
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🆕📰- Latest news (February/March 2026): PeptiDream $4587 has just completed the first patient dose in a Phase 2 trial for a new treatment for prostate cancer (177Lu-PSMA-I&T) in Japan. This is in collaboration with the Curium Group.
Strategic realignment 2026
The latest earnings calls (February 2026) show that
- Focus on in-house development: PeptiDream is moving to bring more programs to clinical phase 1 or 2 itself before licensing them. Although this will increase costs in the short term (R&D budget for 2026 increased to approx. JPY 6.4 billion), but massively increases the value of the deals.
- Pipeline turbo: The number of clinical programs (the phase where it gets really expensive and valuable) has almost doubled in the last year. The target for T2026 is 6 to 12 new clinical programs
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🤝The "Big Three" alliances
These are the most lucrative and strategically important partnerships, often worth billions (in milestones).
- Novartis $NOVN (-0,25%)
: Probably the closest partner. In May 2024 the collaboration was massively expanded. Novartis paid USD 180 million in advancewith the prospect of a total of up to USD 2.71 billion. Focus: Radioligand therapy (RLT). Novartis uses PeptiDreams peptides to precisely steer radioactive particles to tumors.
- Eli Lilly $LLY (-2,07%) A partnership worth up to 1.2 billion USD. Lilly is using the PDPS platform primarily to find peptides that can deliver drugs across the blood-brain barrier or for the next generation of metabolic drugs (keyword: weight loss injection optimization).
- Bristol Myers Squibb $BMY (-1,37%): BMS has "inherited" an existing alliance with PeptiDream through the acquisition of RayzeBio. This is also about targeted cancer therapy.
The global network (excerpt)
In addition to those mentioned above, there are over 120 research programs. The partners include:
- Merck (MSD) $MRK (+0,48%)
: Focus on various therapeutic areas.
- Genentech (Roche): $ROG Collaboration on multi-specific antibodies and PDCs.
- Astellas $4503 (+0,87%)
& Takeda $4502 (-0,93%) Strong local partnerships in Japan.
- Amgen $AMGN (-1,61%)
& Bayer $BAYN (-0,31%)
: Licensees of the PDPS technology.
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📊Sales development (growth leap through acquisition) in recent years:
- 2021: approx. JPY 9.4 billion
- 2022: approx. JPY 26.8 bn (massive leap due to the integration of the Fujifilm radiopharmaceuticals business)
- 2023: approx. JPY 31.1 bn
- Trend: Sales have more than tripled within three years. While milestone payments used to account for almost 100% of revenue, stable revenue is now generated from the sale of radiopharmaceutical diagnostics in Japan.
📈Profitability and margins
PeptiDream $4587 is an exception in the biotech sector, as they have been almost consistently profitable:
- Operating margin: This often used to be over 40-50% (before 2022) as there were hardly any production costs. Since the acquisition of the radiopharmaceutical business, the operating margin has fallen to around 20-25 % has fallen. This sounds like a step backwards, but it is a sign of a more mature business model with physical products.
- Net result: After a dip in 2022 (acquisition costs), net profit stabilized significantly in 2023 and 2024. For 2025/26 the economies of scale of the PDPS platform are expected to lead to rising margins again.
Expenditure on research and development
A critical point for biotech:
- PeptiDream $4587 continuously spends about 20-30 % of its turnover on R&D.
- The special feature: Since partners (such as Eli Lilly $LLY (-2,07%) or Novartis $NOVN (-0,25%) ) pay for phase 2 and 3 clinical trials for the joint programs, PeptiDream's burn rate remains extremely low compared to US biotechs. $4587 remains extremely low compared to US biotechs. They conduct research "at the expense of others".
💴The cash position and debt:
- Cash reserves: At the end of 2023/beginning of 2024, the company held approx. JPY 28-30 billion in cash and cash equivalents.
- Debt: Debt was raised through the acquisition of PDRadiopharma, but the ratio of net debt to EBITDA is very healthy (often below 1.0), which means a very conservative balance sheet for a growth company.
The "pipeline" key figures
The most important non-financial key figure for PeptiDream $4587 is the number of programs:
- 2020: approx. 100 programs
- 2024: over 120 programs️
- Meaning: Each program is a "ticket" in a lottery in which PeptiDream $4587 does not pay for the stake, but participates in the winnings. According to management, the hit rate of PDPS technology in identifying binding agents is almost 100%.
The current key figures 2025/26 📊
- Market capitalization: approx. USD 2.5 - 3 billion (depending on exchange rate).
- Exchange rate: approx. 2,200 - 2,500 JPY (TSE: 4587).
- Sales forecast 2026: approx. 32 billion JPY.
- Profitability: PeptiDream $4587 is one of the few biotech companies that has been consistently profitable for years.
- Growth turbo: For 2026, profit growth of over 30 % driven by new clinical programs (target: 6-12 new programs in 2026).
- Return on equity (ROE): Forecast at approx. 17 %which is exceptionally efficient for the biotech sector.
Key figures for the last few years:
The market often punished the share between 2021 and 2023 because the integration of the radiopharmaceuticals division diluted the clean "software margins".
Since 2024, however, the market has recognized the strategic value 👀:
PeptiDream $4587 is now no longer just a supplier of ideas, but controls the platform and the delivery (PDCs).
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Why is the share exciting? (Bull case) 🚀
1. Validation by giants: When companies like Eli Lilly $LLY (-2,07%) (market leader in weight loss products) sign contracts worth USD 1.2 billion with PeptiDream $4587 shows the quality of the technology.
2. Scalability: PeptiDream $4587 can earn money on hundreds of drugs simultaneously without bearing the full development costs.
3. Radiopharma boom: The market for targeted radiation therapy (radioligand therapy) is exploding right now. PeptiDream $4587 is perfectly positioned here thanks to PDRadiopharma and the $NOVN (-0,25%) Novartis deals perfectly positioned.
4. Enormous upside potential: Many analysts see a price target of over JPY 3,000which corresponds to a potential of +30 % to +50 %.
Risks (bear case) ⚠️
- Dependence on partners: If a major partner stops a program, planned milestone payments are lost.
- Currency risk: As many contracts are in USD but invoiced in JPY, exchange rate fluctuations affect the balance sheet.
- Clinical setbacks: Despite the best technology, drugs can fail in phase 2 or 3 due to side effects.
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✍️Meine personal conclusion & rating:
At first glance $4587 an absolute disaster in terms of share price and key figures, but Peptidream $4587 is the "paddlewheel stock" in the gold rush of modern drug discovery. If you don't want to bet on a single drug, but on the technology that makes them all possible, you will find a highly profitable niche king here. The potential is definitely there.
- Status: Growth stock with solid cash position (approx. JPY 28 bn reserves).
- They do not develop drugs, but the "peptide keys" that bring active ingredients precisely into the cell. In 2026, their radiopharma division will be the big driver.
- Status: Platform model with many global partners (license fees)
-The big $LLY (-2,07%) & $NOVN (-0,25%) - effect
unfortunately the share is not (yet) tradable in Germany only on the Tokyo Stock Exchange 🥲
Your stock master ✌️
Looking forward to your assessment of how you rate the company?
@Tenbagger2024
@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin
@PikaPika0105
@Multibagger
@Klein-Anleger
@Raketentoni
@Liebesspieler
@HoldTheMike
@Shiya and of course others from the community 🙇♂️
Here's the analysis according to my strict rules and the peppery answer for the stock master. (Copy it to him, he should know that the Dane can also bite).
Reply to @Aktienhauptmeister:
"Moin Hauptmeister! 🇩🇰
All right. My assistant just woke me up: You meant PeptiDream ($4587.T) 😂
I had a look at the Japanese. You call that a chance? I call that 'kamikaze with announcement'.
Here's the unvarnished truth about your 'dream value' (as of March 2026):
1. the reality check (2025 was a bloodbath)
Check the books before you buy! The 2025 financial year was a disaster:
* Sales: slumped to ~JPY18.5 billion (down 60%!).
* Earnings: Slipped from a fat profit to a loss (approx. JPY -3.7 bn net loss).
* Share price: The share price has plummeted from over JPY 2,000 to ~ JPY 1,400. This is not a 'dip', this is a crater.
2. the acid test with my formulas
* A) Core Quality Formula (The Substance):
* Growth: negative (-60% in 2025).
* Margin: Negative (operating loss).
* Score: Underground.
* Hope: Management promises a 'miracle cure' for 2026 (sales to jump to JPY 32 bn, profit to come back).
* My verdict: You are not buying a quality company here, but a restructuring case. You are betting that the forecasts will be right this time (they missed them last time).
* B) Cash flow quality (the combustion engine):
* PeptiDream burned money in 2025 (negative operating cash flow ~JPY13bn).
* FCF Yield: Negative.
* My verdict: Failed. A company that burns cash to finance its pipeline is 'poison' for me as a conservative investor.
* C) Dividend Filter (The Silence):
* Yield: 0.0%.
* Verdict: Failed. If you make a loss, you don't pay a dividend. Logical.
3 My honest opinion ('heartily' served):
Tell me, main master, do you want to invest or bet 'all on red' at the Tokyo casino?
PeptiDream is a bet on two things:
* That their 'Peptide Discovery Platform' (PDPS) will finally deliver fat license deals again.
* That the radiopharma business (PDRadiopharma) explodes.
But:
The stock is still expensive even after the crash (price-to-sales ratio still ~9x!). You're paying 9x sales for a company that is currently making a loss? That's sporty.
If the 2026 forecast is canceled again, we will see triple-digit prices here (below JPY 1,000).
My conclusion for you:
This is a gamble for biotech experts who know the pipeline better than the back of their hand.
For a normal portfolio, this is Harald-Glööckler-style: lots of glitter (promises), but currently little substance under the make-up.
If you have nerves of steel: good luck with the turnaround.
If you want to make money: buy something that is already making a profit today.
Help yourself (and wake up!),
Mister Prompt"
Zealand Pharma down over 30% today
$ZEAL (-0,73%) The reason for this was that the weight loss of 10.7 percent after 42 weeks fell short of expectations. With the drug Petrelintide, the company, together with $ROG into the booming market for weight loss drugs, which is currently dominated by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly.
Q: https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/der_boersen_tag/Pharma-Aktie-stuerzt-ab-id30438110.html

Quartalszahlen 26.01-30.01.2026
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Podcast episode 125 "Buy High. Sell Low." 20 European dividend stocks
Novo Nordisk 3.0% $NOVO B (-4,71%) NVO
LVMH 2.0% $LVMH
Pernod Ricard 6.35% $RI (+5,02%)
Imperial Brands 5.5% $IMB (-0,07%)
BAT 6.2% $BATS (+0,6%)
Sunrise Communications 8.00%
Nestle 4.05% $NESN (-0,44%)
Roche 2.85% $ROG
Novartis 3.07% $NOVN (-0,25%)
Shell 4.07% $SHEL (-0,14%)
German Post 3.86% $DHL (-2,29%)
Swisscom 3.75% $SCMN (-4,87%)
German Telekom 3.52% $DTE (-1,08%)
Strabag 2.72% $STR (-2,86%)
Vonovia 4.82% $VNA (-0,19%)
BASF 5.01% $BAS (+1,97%)
Puma 2.8% $PUMA
Hannover Re 3.62% $HNR1 (+0,23%)
Munich Re 3.8% $MUV2 (+0,23%)
Allianz 4.00% $ALV (-0,55%)
BP 5.76% $BP. (+0,95%)
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/1zt05UZlehInr81iaZMdY5?si=e676f0a812014943
YouTube
Appple Podcast
Review of 2025 and outlook for 2026
Another strong year with a lot of profit. After a return of around 40% in 2024, I was able to achieve another strong return of 26% in 2025. I was able to realize a large part of the profit with my two Tenbagger shares $RGTI (-7,92%) and $PLTR (-3,41%) but the rest also performed quite well.
Due to the high gains in the two individual stocks, the weighting in my portfolio shifted massively and I took this as an opportunity to really tidy things up.
Portfolio realignment 2026
I would like to share the strategy I am pursuing with you. I have not yet reached the desired weighting, but I am slowly getting closer again.
The strategy is based on 3 different pillars and looks as follows:
CORE: ALL WORLD AND SWITZERLAND(40%)
The core consists of the broadly diversified world ETF $VWRL (-1,71%) (approx. 30%) and with approx. 10% $CHSPI (-1,04%) as an overweight of the home market
GROWTH AND QUALITY (35%)
The second part consists of some quality stocks with solid growth or dividends such as $SREN (-1,23%)
$ROG
$BION (-2,8%)
$MSFT (-2,37%)
$SIE (-2,99%) and the two trend tech ETFs $SMH (-1,54%)
$XAIX (-3,41%)
TENBAGGER SATS (20%)
Here I look for promising companies that have the potential to multiply and invest small amounts (currently max. CHF 1000). This is of course a high-risk investment, but I try to outperform with these stocks. By selling some of my tenbaggers, I was able to add new candidates to my portfolio.
These are all my potential price rockets:
$PLTR (-3,41%) : my first Tenbagger. Here I have already realized about ten times my investment through partial sales. The rest will remain in the long term.
$RGTI (-7,92%) : my second Tenbagger. I have realized approx. 8.5 times the stake through partial sales. The remainder is also left lying around.
$TER (-2,29%) Chip testing, benefits massively from the AI chip boom.
$CELH Fitness energy drinks with strong growth and expansion into the mass market.
$CRSP (-4,1%) Gene editing with huge health potential.
$MIPS (-2,74%) : Safety systems for helmets. The technology is licensed to numerous helmet manufacturers in the sports and industrial sectors.
$RKLB (-8,58%) : Rocket launches and satellites and established SpaceX chaser.
$JOBY (-4,73%) Pioneer in urban mobility with air cabs and vertical take-offs.
$NU (-2,95%) Digital neobank with enormous scaling potential in underserved markets such as Brazil, Mexico, etc.
$RBRK (-4,34%) Cybersecurity
$IONQ (-8,41%) Quantum computing. Highly speculative moonshot potential for computing power beyond classical computers.
I also hold approx. 5% in Bitcoin
Loss pots 🍯
I have a question for the community, maybe some of you here are a bit more familiar with a few tax issues that are bothering me.
I transferred my custody account from Onvistabank to ING in 2025. As there were sanctioned securities in my Onvistadepot, the custody account still exists and the 2025 loss pot was not transferred to ING. If I have now realized gains at ING in 2025, can I request a loss declaration from Onvista and claim this on my tax return for 2025?
On Thursday, I have withdrawn from the values $WCH (-2,06%) and $AFX (-3,52%) at a loss, these losses were also shown in the loss pot at ING. Now, on Friday, I sold my $ROG with profit on Friday, but I paid the full rate of capital gains tax on the profits and the loss pot remained unchanged.
Does anyone have any experience with this? In my opinion, this should be offset directly.
I know this is a very dry topic, but I would be grateful for any feedback 😁
Morningstar Best Stocks to own 2026
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Best Companies to Own: Methodology
The companies on this list are covered by Morningstar Research Services’ equity analysts and have shares available to US investors. This means that Morningstar equity analysts have calculated fair value estimates for the shares of the companies that trade on US exchanges. As a result, most of the companies on this list are based in the US.
Within that coverage list, the best companies meet the following criteria:
- Wide Economic Moat. The Morningstar Economic Moat Rating summarizes the length of a company’s competitive advantages. An economic moat is a structural feature allowing a firm to generate excess profits over a long period. If Morningstar Research Services believes that excess returns will persist for 20 years or more, that company earns a wide moat rating.
- Standard or Exemplary Capital Allocation.The stock’s Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating is an assessment of the quality of management’s capital allocation, with particular emphasis on the firm’s balance sheet, investments, and shareholder distributions. Capital allocation is judged from an equity shareholder’s perspective, considering companies’ investment strategy and valuation, balance-sheet management, and dividend and share buyback policies on a forward-looking basis. A company can receive an Exemplary, Standard, or Poor Capital Allocation Rating.
- Low or Medium Fair Value Uncertainty. The fair value Morningstar Uncertainty Ratingrepresents the predictability of a company’s future cash flows and, therefore, the level of certainty in the fair value estimate of that company. The Uncertainty Rating for a company can be Low, Medium, High, Very High, or Extreme. It captures a range of likely potential intrinsic values for a company based on the characteristics of the business underlying the stock, including such things as operating and financial leverage, sales sensitivity to the economy, product concentration, and other factors. The more predictable cash flows, the smaller the range of potential intrinsic values, the lower the uncertainty.
What Gives a Company an Economic Moat?
Companies with moats have one or more of the following characteristics:
- Network Effect. Lots of people are using the service, which then makes the service more valuable to the people who use it.
- Intangible Assets. Patents, brands, regulatory licenses, and other intangible assets can prevent competitors from duplicating a company’s products or allow the company to charge a significant price premium.
- Cost Advantage. Firms with a structural cost advantage can either undercut competitors on price while earning similar margins or charge market-level prices while earning relatively high margins.
- Switching Costs. When it would be too expensive or troublesome to stop using a company’s products, the company often has pricing power.
- Efficient Scale. When a niche market is effectively served by one or a small handful of companies, there is no room or incentive for potential competitors to enter the market.
To maintain analysts’ independence, Morningstar Research Services does not publicly rate its parent company Morningstar Inc. Therefore, Morningstar, Inc. is not on the list of the best companies available to US investors.
https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/best-companies-own-2026-edition
Roche continues strong sales growth momentum of 7% (CER) in the first nine months of 2025; full-year earnings outlook raised
- Group sales grew by 7% at constant exchange rates (CER; 2% in CHF) in the first nine months, driven by high demand for our innovative medicines and diagnostics.
- Pharmaceuticals Division sales rose by 9% (4% in CHF) due to continued high growth in sales of medicines for the treatment of severe diseases; Phesgo (breast cancer), Xolair (food allergies), Hemlibra (haemophilia A), Vabysmo (serious eye diseases) and Ocrevus (multiple sclerosis) were the top growth drivers.
- Diagnostics Division sales increased by 1% (-4% in CHF) as demand for pathology solutions and molecular diagnostics more than offset the impact of healthcare pricing reforms in China.
Outlook for 2025 earnings raised
Roche $ROG expects an increase in Group sales in the mid single digit range (CER). Core earnings per share are targeted to develop in the high single to low double digit range (CER). Roche expects to further increase its dividend in Swiss francs.
https://www.roche.com/investors/updates/inv-update-2025-10-23
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