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Tencent Holdings
Price
Discussion sur 700
Postes
179Quarterly figures 10.11-14.11.25
AI bubble: exit strategies
A question for the swarm knowledge: What exit strategies do you have? How do you secure your profits through a possible bursting of the AI bubble burst?
Maybe it's just me, but somehow I still don't have a real exit strategy to protect my profits in case the AI bubble threatens to burst. My portfolio has been doing quite well recently and with $IREN (+5,37 %)
$CIFR (+3,72 %)
$NVDA (+2,96 %)
$700 (+2,51 %)
$GOOGL (+1,46 %)
$MSFT (+0,68 %)
am quite well in the plus.
Thank you for your input!
And because it's the weekend
and I'm going on vacation on Monday, I have another Scandinavian doubling pearl for those who $CLAV (-0,16 %) too speculative, I have another Scandinavian doubling pearl.
This is the $NOD (+2,16 %) a chip company that is at home in Bluetooth technology and, thanks to its superior technology in this area, contributes to halving energy requirements while doubling performance in the so-called IoT area.
The customers of $NOD (+2,16 %) include $MSFT (+0,68 %) , $AAPL (+0,52 %) , $META (+1,98 %) and $GOOGL (+1,46 %) 4 of the Magnificat 7.
But Huawei and $700 (+2,51 %) are among the illustrious clientele.
I believe that $NOD (+2,16 %) can take a good slice of the growing IoT market and that a share price of between €25 and €30 is realistic over the next 12 months.
So now I wish everyone a good weekend. And remember, Monday is a holiday in the USA. My flight to the other end of the world is not the USA, but the other direction, so I've put it there specially.😂😎
I have my doubts that people think it's great when the fridge orders a bag of coke after a botched update.
Megatrend robotics, freshly updated, added value guaranteed!
After my first post on humanoid robots received a lot of positive feedback, I went into more detail. I have subsequently added my favorites in each sector.
Extended analysis of the value chain including shovel manufacturers and potential hidden champions
New categorySecondary key sectors (sales, marketing, financing)
In additionTop 25 companies worldwide, as well as Top 10 Europe and Top 10 Asia
I have also added a video link for beginners. This will give you an idea of how far the development of humanoid robotics has already progressed.
Thank you for your attention and your support 🙏
🌐 1. value chain of humanoid robots (with hidden champions)
1. research & chip design
$ARM (+3,26 %) ARM (UK) - CPU-IP, energy-efficient processors
$SNPS (+1,87 %) Synopsys (US) - EDA software, chip design
$CDNS (+1,36 %) Cadence (US) - EDA & Simulation
$PTC PTC (US) - Engineering Software, CAD/PLM
$DSY (+0,27 %) Dassault Systèmes (FR) - 3D Design & Digital Twin
$SIE (+1,14 %) Siemens (DE) - Industrial Software & Lifecycle Mgmt
$ADBE (+1,15 %) Adobe (US) - Design, AR/UX
ANSYS (US) - multiphysical simulation - acquisition by Synopsis
Altair (US) - CAE, simulation, digital twin - acquisition by Siemens
$HXGBY (+1,44 %)
Hexagon (SE) - Metrology & Simulation
$AWE (+0,24 %) Alphawave IP Group (UK) - High-speed chip IP for AI/robotics
1.Synopsis, 2.Siemens and 3.Adobe are my top 3 in this sector
2. manufacturing technology & equipment
$ASML (+1,68 %) ASML (NL) - Lithography (EUV)
$AMAT (+1,72 %) Applied Materials (US) - Semiconductor equipment
$8035 (+4,47 %) Tokyo Electron (JP) - wafer fabrication
$KEYS (+1,7 %) Keysight Technologies (US) - Metrology
$6857 (+3,8 %) Advantest (JP) - Chip test systems
$TER (+1,67 %) Teradyne (US) - test systems + cobots
$6954 (+1,08 %) Fanuc (JP) - Industrial robots, CNC
$CAT (+0,72 %) Caterpillar (US) - autonomous machines
$KU2G KUKA (DE) - industrial robots
Comau (IT) - automation - not listed on the stock exchange
$ROK Rockwell Automation (US) - industrial automation
$JBL (+1,24 %) Jabil (US) - contract manufacturing (EMS/ODM)
$KIT (+1,67 %) Kitron (NO) - European EMS/ODM manufacturer
$AIXA (+1,96 %) Aixtron (DE) - deposition equipment for compound semiconductors
$LRCX (+3,12 %)
Lam Research (US) - Etch/deposition systems
$MKSI (+0,89 %)
MKS Instruments (US) - Plasma/vacuum technology
$ASM (+0,34 %)
ASM International (NL) - Deposition systems
1.ASML, 2.Keysight Technologies, 3.Fanuc are my top 3 in this sector
3. chip manufacturing (foundries)
$TSM (+3,33 %) TSMC (TW) - leading foundry
$SMSN Samsung Electronics (KR) - foundry + memory
$GFS (+1,08 %) GlobalFoundries (US) - specialty chips
$INTC (+1,85 %)
Intel Foundry Services (US) - new western foundry player
$981
SMIC (CN) - largest Chinese foundry
$UMC
UMC (TW) - Power/RF/Embedded chips
1.TSMC, 2.Intel, 3.Samsung Electronics are my top 3 in this sector
4. computing & control unit ("brain")
$NVDA (+2,96 %) Nvidia (US) - GPUs, AI chips
$INTC (+1,85 %) Intel (US) - CPUs, FPGAs
$AMD (+3,52 %) AMD (US) - CPUs, GPUs
$MRVL (+1,67 %) Marvell (US) - Network Chips
$MU (+4,16 %) Micron (US) - Memory
$DELL (+3,03 %) Dell Technologies (US) - Edge & Infrastructure
Graphcore (UK) - AI chips (IPU) - not a listed company
Cerebras (US) - Wafer-scale engine - not a listed company
SiPearl (FR) - European HPC chip - not a listed company
1.Nvidia, 2.Marvell, 3.Micron are my top 3 in this sector
5. sensors ("senses")
$6758 (-0,27 %) Sony (JP) - image sensors
$6861 (+0,58 %) Keyence (JP) - Industrial sensors
$STM (+0,99 %) STMicroelectronics (FR/IT) - Sensors, MCUs
$TDY Teledyne (US) - optical/infrared sensors
$CGNX (+1,41 %) Cognex (US) - Machine Vision
$HON (+0,08 %) Honeywell (US) - sensor technology, security
ANYbotics (CH) - autonomous sensor fusion - not a listed company
$AMBA (+1,37 %) Ambarella (US) - video & computer vision SoCs for real-time image recognition
$OUST
Velodyne Lidar (US) - Lidar sensors - acquisition by Ouster
$AMS (-1,1 %)
OSRAM (AT/DE) - optical sensors
1.Teledyne, 2.Keyence, 3.Ouster are my top 3 in this sector
6. actuators & power electronics ("muscles")
$IFX (+1,35 %) Infineon (DE) - Power Electronics
$ON (+1,68 %) onsemi (US) - Power & Sensors
$TXN (+0,22 %) Texas Instruments (US) - Mixed-Signal Chips
$ADI (+1,47 %) Analog Devices (US) - Signal Processing
$PH Parker-Hannifin (US) - Hydraulics/Pneumatics
$MP (+1,75 %) MP Materials (US) - Magnets
$APH (+1,72 %) Amphenol (US) - Connectors
$6481 (+0,43 %) THK (JP) - Linear guides & actuators
$6324 (-1,28 %)
Harmonic Drive (JP) - Precision gears & servo drives for robotics
$6594 (+2,47 %)
Nidec (JP) - Electric motors
$6506 (+0,79 %)
Yaskawa (JP) - Drives & Robotics
$SU (+0,41 %)
Schneider Electric (FR) - Energy & control solutions
$ZIL2 (+3,39 %)
ElringKlinger (DE) - Battery & fuel cell technology, lightweight construction
1.Parker-Hannifin, 2.MP Materials, 3.Infinion are my top 3 in this sector
7. communication & networking ("nerves")
$QCOM (+1,65 %) Qualcomm (US) - mobile communications, edge AI
$ANET (+3,62 %) Arista Networks (US) - Networks
$CSCO (+0,47 %) Cisco (US) - Networks, Security
$EQIX (+0,43 %) Equinix (US) - Data centers
NTT Docomo (JP) - 5G/6G carrier - not a listed company
$VZ Verizon (US) - Telecommunications
$SFTBY SoftBank (JP) - Carrier + Robotics
$ERIC B (-0,11 %)
Ericsson (SE) - 5G/IoT infrastructure
$NOKIA (+1,28 %)
Nokia (FI) - 5G/6G for industry
$HPE (+1,16 %)
Juniper Networks (US) - Network technology - acquisition by HP
1.Arista Networks, 2.SoftBank, 3.Cisco are my top 3 in this sector
8. energy supply
$3750 (-2,42 %) CATL (CN) - Batteries
$6752 (-0,69 %) Panasonic (JP) - Batteries
$373220 LG Energy (KR) - Batteries
$ALB (+2,73 %) Albemarle (US) - Lithium
$LYC (+3,05 %) Lynas (AU) - Rare earths
$UMICY (+0,51 %) Umicore (BE) - recycling
WiTricity (US) - inductive charging - not a listed company
$ABBN (+0,49 %) Charging (CH) - charging infrastructure
$SLDP
Solid Power (US) - Solid state batteries
Northvolt (SE) - European batteries - not a listed company
$PLUG (+3,48 %)
Plug Power (US) - fuel cells
$KULR (+2,56 %)
KULR Technology (US) - Thermal management & battery safety for mobile systems
1.Albemarle, 2.CATL, 3.Panasonic are my top 3 in this sector
9. cloud & infrastructure
$AMZN (+1 %) Amazon AWS (US) - Cloud, AI
$MSFT (+0,68 %) Microsoft Azure (US) - Cloud, AI
$GOOG (+1,64 %) Alphabet Google Cloud (US) - Cloud, ML
$VRT
Vertiv Holdings (US) - Data center infrastructure (UPS, cooling, edge)
$ORCL (+2,18 %)
Oracle Cloud (US) - ERP + Cloud
$IBM (+0,7 %)
IBM Cloud (US) - Hybrid cloud + AI
$OVH (+0,8 %)
OVHcloud (FR) - European cloud
1.Alphabet, 2.Microsoft, 3.Oracle are my top 3 in this sector
10. software & data platforms
$PLTR (+3,64 %) Palantir (US) - Data integration
$DDOG (+1,19 %) Datadog (US) - Monitoring
$SNOW (+1,92 %) Snowflake (US) - Data Cloud
$ORCL (+2,18 %) Oracle (US) - Databases, ERP
$SAP (+0,61 %) SAP (DE) - ERP systems
$SPGI (+0,19 %) S&P Global (US) - financial/market data
ROS2 Foundation - robotics middleware - not listed on the stock exchange
$NVDA (+2,96 %) NVIDIA Isaac (US) - robotics development - part of Nvidia
$INOD (+3,74 %) Innodata (US) - data annotation & AI training data
$PATH (+2,32 %)
UiPath (RO/US) - Robotic process automation
$AI (+2,38 %)
C3.ai (US) - AI platform
$ESTC (+0,45 %)
(NL/US) - Search & data analysis
1.S&P Global, 2.Palantir, 3.Datadog are my top 3 in this sector
11. end applications / robots
$ABBN (+0,49 %) ABB (CH/SE) - Industrial Robots
$6954 (+1,08 %) Fanuc (JP) - Industrial robots
$TSLA (+2,37 %) Tesla Optimus (US) - humanoid robot
$9618 (+0,98 %) JD.com (CN) - logistics robot
$AAPL (+0,52 %) Apple (US) - Platform & UX
$700 (+2,51 %) Tencent (CN) - Platform & AI
$9988 (+1,16 %) Alibaba (CN) - logistics & platform
PAL Robotics (ES) - humanoid robots - not a listed company
Neura Robotics (DE) - cognitive humanoid robots - not a listed company
$TER (+1,67 %) Universal Robots (DK) - cobots - belongs to the Teradyne Corporation
Engineered Arts (UK) - humanoid robots - not a listed company
$ISRG (+0,62 %) Intuitive Surgical (US) - surgical robotics
$GMED (+0,35 %)
Globus Medical (US) - surgical robotics (ExcelsiusGPS platform)
$7012 (-0,5 %) Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - industrial robots, automation
$CPNG (+2,16 %) Coupang (KR) - Logistics end user
$IRBT (+2,95 %)
iRobot (US) - consumer robotics (e.g. Roomba), non-humanoid, but navigation/sensor fusion
Boston Dynamics (US) - humanoid & mobile robots-no listed company
Hanson Robotics (HK) - humanoid robots (Sophia) - not a listed company
Agility Robotics (US) - humanoid robot "Digit" - not a listed company
1.Apple, 2.Tencent, 3.Alibaba are my top 3 in this sector
🛠 2. cross enablers (shovel manufacturers) - with hidden champions
Raw materials & battery materials
Albemarle - Lynas - Umicore
$SQM
SQM (CL) - Lithium
$ILU (+6,84 %)
Iluka Resources (AU) - Rare earths
$ARR (+7,46 %)
American Rare Earths (US/AU) - New supply chains
my number 1 in the sector is Albemarle
manufacturing technology
ASML - Applied Materials - Tokyo Electron
$LRCX (+3,12 %)
Lam Research (US) - Plasma/etching processes
$ASM (+0,34 %)
ASM International (NL) - ALD equipment
$MKSI (+0,89 %)
MKS Instruments (US) - Plasma/vacuum technology
my number 1 in the sector is ASML
Quality assurance
Keysight - Advantest - Teradyne
$EMR (+0,88 %)
National Instruments (US) - Measurement technology - from Emerson Electric adopted
$300567
ATE Test Systems (CN) - test systems
$FORM (+1,55 %)
FormFactor (US) - Wafer probing
my number 1 in the sector is Keysight
Motion & Drive
Parker-Hannifin
Festo (DE) - Pneumatics, Soft Robotics - not a listed company
Bosch Rexroth (DE) - Drives, Controls - not a listed company
$6481 (+0,43 %)
THK (JP) - Linear guides
my number 1 in the sector is Parker-Hannifin
Sensors/Imaging
$TDY Teledyne
$BSL (+0,58 %) Basler (DE) - Industrial cameras
FLIR (US) - Thermal imaging sensors - acquisition by Teledyne
ISRA Vision (DE) - Machine Vision - not a listed company
my number 1 in the sector is Teledyne
Magnets & Materials
MP Materials
$6501 (-0,09 %)
Hitachi Metals (JP) - Magnetic materials
VacuumSchmelze (DE) - Magnetic materials - not a listed company
$4063 (+0,04 %)
Shin-Etsu Chemical (JP) - Specialty materials
my number 1 in the sector is MP Materials
Chip Design & Simulation
Synopsys - Cadence - ARM
$SIE (+1,14 %)
Siemens EDA (DE/US)-Mentor Graphics-strategic business unit of Siemens AG
Imagination Tech (UK) - GPU-IP - not a listed company
$CEVA (+1,32 %)
CEVA (IL) - Signal Processor IP
my number 1 in the sector is Synopsys
Engineering & Lifecycle
PTC - Dassault - Siemens
Altair (US) - Simulation - no longer a listed company
$HXGBY (+1,44 %)
Hexagon (SE) - Metrology
$SNPS (+1,87 %)
ANSYS (US) - Simulation - takeover by Synopsys
my number 1 in the sector is Siemens
Networks & Data Centers
Arista - Cisco - Equinix
$HPE (+1,16 %)
Juniper (US) - Networks - Acquisition of HPE
$DTE (-0,24 %)
T-Systems (DE) - Industry cloud
$OVH (+0,8 %)
OVHcloud (FR) - European cloud
my number 1 in the sector is Arista
Cloud infrastructure
AWS - Azure - Google Cloud
$ORCL (+2,18 %)
Oracle Cloud (US) - ERP & databases
$IBM (+0,7 %)
IBM Cloud (US) - Hybrid Cloud
$9988 (+1,16 %)
Alibaba Cloud (CN) - Asian Cloud
$VRT
Vertiv Holdings (US) - Cloud/Infra
my number 1 in the sector is Alphabet (Google)
finance/information infra
S&P Global
$MCO (+0,23 %)
Moody's (US) - Ratings
$MSCI (+0,28 %)
MSCI (US) - Indices
$MORN
Morningstar (US) - Investment Research
my number 1 in the sector is S&P Global
Creative/Experience Infra
Adobe
$ADSK (+1,17 %)
Autodesk (US) - CAD & Design
$U
Unity (US) - 3D/AR simulation
Epic Games (US) - Unreal Engine - not a listed company
my number 1 in the sector is Adobe
Platform & Ecosystem
Apple - Tencent - Alibaba
$META (+1,98 %)
Meta (US) - AR/VR, Social Robotics
ByteDance (CN) - AI & platforms - not a listed company
$9888 (+2,84 %)
Baidu (CN) - AI & Cloud
my number 1 in the sector is Tencent
Infrastructure/Edge
Dell
$HPE (+1,16 %)
HPE (US) - Edge Computing
$SMCI
Supermicro (US) - AI servers
$6702 (+1,06 %)
Fujitsu (JP) - Edge & HPC
my number 1 in the sector is Dell
storage solutions
Micron
$HY9H
SK Hynix (KR) - Memory
$285A (+8,33 %)
Kioxia (JP) - NAND
$WDC
Western Digital (US) - Storage solutions
my number 1 in the sector is Micron
🏛 3. secondary key sectors with hidden champions
Financing & Capital
$GS (-0,01 %) Goldman Sachs (US) - investment bank; ECM/DCM, M&A, growth financing
$MS Morgan Stanley (US) - investment bank; tech banking, capital markets
$BLK (+0,54 %) BlackRock (US) - asset manager; capital allocation, ETFs/index funds
$9984 (+3,39 %) SoftBank Vision Fund (JP) - mega VC; growth equity in robotics/AI
Sequoia Capital (US) - venture capital; early/growth in AI/robotics - this is a classic venture capital fund
DARPA (US) - government R&D funding (robotics/defense) - independent research and development agency
EU Horizon (EU) - research funding/grants for DeepTech - Innovative Europe pillar
China State Funds (CN) - state industry/technology fund
Lux Capital (US) - VC for DeepTech - Uptake (US) - AI-based predictive maintenance
DCVC (US) - Robotics & AI focus - investing exclusively via VC fund investments
Speedinvest (AT) - EU VC for robotics - access to investment only via fund investments
my number 1 in the sector is Softbank
Maintenance & Service
$SIE (+1,14 %) Siemens (DE) - Industrial Service, Lifecycle & Retrofit
$ABBN (+0,49 %) ABB (CH/SE) - Robotics Service, Spare Parts, Field Support
$GEHC (+0,94 %) GE Healthcare (US) - Medtech service incl. robotic systems
Uptake (US) - AI-based predictive maintenance - not a listed company
Augury (US/IL) - condition monitoring, condition diagnostics - not a listed company
$KU2 KUKA Service (DE) - Robotics maintenance
$6954 (+1,08 %) Fanuc Service (JP) - global service network
Boston Dynamics AI Institute (US) - Robotics longevity - funded by Hyundai Motor Group
my number 1 in the sector is Siemens
Marketing & Advertising
$WPP (-0,62 %) WPP (UK) - global advertising group; branding/communications
$OMC Omnicom (US) - marketing/PR network
$PUB (+0,58 %) Publicis (FR) - communications/advertising group
$META (+1,98 %) Meta (US) - Digital Ads (Facebook/Instagram)
$GOOG (+1,64 %) Google Ads (US) - search & display advertising
TikTok / ByteDance (CN) - social ads & distribution - not a listed company
$AAPL (+0,52 %) Apple (US) - Branding/UX; Acceptance & Platform Marketing
$WPP (-0,62 %)
AKQA (UK/US) - Tech branding - Since 2012 majority owned by the WPP Groupbut continues to operate as an autonomous operating unit
R/GA (US) - Innovation marketing - not a listed company
Serviceplan (DE) - largest independent EU agency - not a listed company
my number 1 in the sector is Meta
Law, Regulation & Ethics
ISO (CH) - international standards, robotics standards
TÜV (DE) - certification & safety tests
UL (US) - safety/conformity testing
EU AI Act (EU) - legal framework for AI & robotics
UNESCO AI Ethics (UN) - global ethics guidelines
Fraunhofer IPA (DE) - Robotics safety standards
ANSI (US) - standards
IEC (CH) - Electrical engineering standards
Training & Talent
MIT (US) - Robotics/AI Research & Education
ETH Zurich (CH) - autonomous systems & robotics
Stanford (US) - AI/Robotics labs & spin-offs
Tsinghua University (CN) - Robotics/AI in Asia
CMU (US) - Robotics Institute
EPFL (CH) - Robotics research
TU Munich (DE) - humanoid robot "Roboy"
🌍 Top 25 companies for humanoid robotics
These companies are central to the development & production of humanoid robotsbecause without them, crucial parts of the chain would be missing:
Chips & computing power (brain of the robots)
$NVDA (+2,96 %) Nvidia (US) - AI GPUs & Isaac platform, foundation for robotic AI
$2330 TSMC (TW) - world's most important foundry, produces the AI chips
$ASML (+1,68 %) ASML (NL) - EUV lithography, indispensable for chip production
$005930 Samsung Electronics (KR) - memory, logic, foundry
$HY9H SK Hynix (KR) - DRAM & NAND memory for AI
$MU (+4,16 %) Micron (US) - Memory solutions for AI workloads
my number 1 in the sector is ASML
Sensors & perception (senses of robots)
$SONY Sony (JP) - image sensors, market leader
$6861 (+0,58 %) Keyence (JP) - Industrial sensors & vision systems
$CGNX (+1,41 %) Cognex (US) - Machine Vision, precise image processing
my number 1 in the sector is Keyence
Actuators & motion (muscles of robots)
$IFX (+1,35 %) Infineon (DE) - power electronics, motor control
$6594 (+2,47 %) Nidec (JP) - World market leader for electric motors
$PH Parker-Hannifin (US) - hydraulics/pneumatics, motion technology
$6481 (+0,43 %) THK (JP) - Linear guides & actuators
my number 1 in the sector is Parker-Hannifin
Communication, cloud & infrastructure (nerves & data flow)
$QCOM (+1,65 %) Qualcomm (US) - Mobile & Edge Chips
$AMZN (+1 %) Amazon AWS (US) - Cloud & AI infrastructure
$MSFT (+0,68 %) Microsoft Azure (US) - Cloud, AI services
$CSCO (+0,47 %) Cisco (US) - Networks & Security
$VRT Vertiv Holdings (US) - Data Center Infrastructure
my number 1 in the sector is Microsoft
End Applications & Platforms (robots themselves)
$TSLA (+2,37 %) Tesla (US) - humanoid robot Optimus
$ABBN (+0,49 %) ABB (CH/SE) - Robotics & Automation
$6954 (+1,08 %) Fanuc (JP) - industrial robots & CNC systems
$7012 (-0,5 %) Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - industrial robots
PAL Robotics (ES) - humanoid robots (TALOS, ARI, TIAGo) - not a listed company
Neura Robotics (DE) - cognitive humanoid robots - not a listed company
Universal Robots (DK) - cobots
my number 1 in the sector is Tesla
🇪🇺 Top 10 European key companies for humanoid robotics
$ASML (+1,68 %)
ASML (NL)
World market leader in EUV lithography - no modern chips for AI & robotics without ASML.
$IFX (+1,35 %) Infineon (DE)
Leading in power electronics & motor control - crucial for actuators of humanoid robots.
$STM (+0,99 %)
STMicroelectronics (FR/IT)
Sensors, microcontrollers & power chips - the basis for control & perception.
$SAP (+0,61 %)
SAP (DE)
ERP & data platforms, important for integrating humanoid robots into industrial processes.
$SIE (+1,14 %)
Siemens (DE)
Industrial software, automation, digital twin - key for engineering & lifecycle management.
$KU2 KUKA (EN)
Robotics pioneer, industrial robots & automation - know-how for humanoid motion mechanics.
PAL Robotics (ES) - not a listed company
Specialist for humanoid robots (TALOS, ARI, TIAGo), internationally used in research & service.
Neura Robotics (DE) - Not a listed company
Young high-tech company, develops cognitive humanoid robots with advanced AI (4NE-1).
Universal Robots (DK) - Not a listed company
Market leader for cobots - platform for safe human-robot collaboration.
Engineered Arts (UK) - not a listed company
Develops humanoid robots such as Amecaknown for realistic facial expressions & gestures - important for HRI (Human-Robot Interaction)
🌏 Top 10 Asian key companies for humanoid robotics
$2330
TSMC (Taiwan)
World's largest semiconductor foundry, produces high-end chips (e.g. Nvidia, AMD, Apple) - no AI hardware without TSMC.
$005930
Samsung Electronics (South Korea)
Foundry, memory, logic chips, image sensors - extremely broadly positioned in robotics components.
$HY9H
SK Hynix (KR) - Memory
$SONY
Sony (Japan)
Market leader in CMOS image sensors, essential for robotic vision & perception.
$6861 (+0,58 %)
Keyence (Japan)
Sensor technology & machine vision for industrial automation, widely used in robotics.
$6954 (+1,08 %)
Fanuc (Japan)
Industrial robots & CNC systems, one of the most important manufacturers of robotics hardware worldwide.
$6506 (+0,79 %)
Yaskawa Electric (Japan)
Drives, motion control & robot arms - relevant for humanoid motion control.
$6594 (+2,47 %)
Nidec (Japan)
World market leader for electric motors (from mini motors to high-performance drives).
$7012 (-0,5 %)
Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - Industrial robots
$9618 (+0,98 %)
JD.com (China)
Driver for robotics in e-commerce & logistics, invests in humanoid robotics applications
Build robots, earn shovels
The hype is all about humanoid robots, but the constant winners are in the background.
I have divided the analysis into two perspectives. 1. the complete value chain of humanoid robots, which shows all the players from the chip to the finished robot, and 2. the blade manufacturers in the background, who always earn money as enablers, regardless of which manufacturer wins the race.
ASML, Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron dominate in manufacturing technology. Quality assurance comes from Keysight, Advantest and Teradyne. Chip design is supported by Synopsys, Cadence and ARM. Data streams are secured by Arista Networks, Cisco and Equinix. The computing basis is created in the cloud by Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet. Albemarle, Lynas and Umicore play a central role in raw materials and battery materials. These companies monetize their customers' investment waves, have high barriers to entry, service revenues and pricing power, but remain cyclical with risks from export rules, capex cuts and currency movements.
🌐 Value chain of humanoid robots Sector overview
1. research & chip design (IP / EDA)
$ARM (+3,26 %)
ARM Holdings (ARM, UK/USA) - CPU architectures
$SNPS (+1,87 %)
Synopsys (SNPS, USA) - Chip design software
$CDNS (+1,36 %)
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS, USA) - EDA & Simulation
2. manufacturing technology & equipment
$ASML (+1,68 %)
ASML (ASML, NL) - EUV lithography, key monopoly
$AMAT (+1,72 %)
Applied Materials (AMAT, USA) - Process equipment
$8035 (+4,47 %)
Tokyo Electron (8035.T, JP) - Wafer equipment
$KEYS (+1,7 %)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS, USA) - Test & RF measurement technology
$6857 (+3,8 %)
Advantest (6857.T, JP) - Semiconductor test systems
$TER (+1,67 %)
Teradyne (TER, USA) - Test systems + robotics (Universal Robots)
3. chip production (Foundries)
$TSM (+3,33 %)
TSMC (TSM, TW) - Largest contract manufacturer
$005930
Samsung Electronics (005930.KQ, KR) - Memory + Foundry
$GFS (+1,08 %)
GlobalFoundries (GFS, USA) - Specialized production
4. computing & control unit ("brain")
$NVDA (+2,96 %)
Nvidia (NVDA, USA) - GPUs, AI accelerators
$INTC (+1,85 %)
Intel (INTC, USA) - CPUs, FPGAs
$AMD (+3,52 %)
AMD (AMD, USA) - CPUs/GPUs
$MRVL (+1,67 %)
Marvell Technology (MRVL, USA) - Network/data center chips
5. sensors ("senses")
$6758 (-0,27 %)
Sony (6758.T, JP) - CMOS image sensors
$6861 (+0,58 %)
Keyence (6861.T, JP) - Vision systems, sensors
$STM (+0,99 %)
STMicroelectronics (STM, CH/FR) - MEMS sensors
6. actuators & power electronics ("muscles")
$IFX (+1,35 %)
Infineon (IFX, DE) - Power semiconductors, SiC
$ON (+1,68 %)
N Semiconductor (ON, USA) - SiC/Power Chips
$STM (+0,99 %)
STMicroelectronics (STM, CH/FR) - Motor control & power
$TXN (+0,22 %)
Texas Instruments (TXN, USA) - Motor control, power ICs
$ADI (+1,47 %)
Analog Devices (ADI, USA) - Energy & BMS chips
7. communication & networking ("nerves")
$QCOM (+1,65 %)
Qualcomm (QCOM, USA) - 5G/SoCs
$AVGO (+2,73 %)
Broadcom (AVGO, USA) - Network & radio chips
$SWKS (+0,52 %)
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS, USA) - RF components
8. energy supply
$300750
CATL (300750.SZ, CN) - Batteries
$6752 (-0,69 %)
Panasonic (6752.T, JP) - Batteries for automotive/robotics
$373220
LG Energy Solution (373220.KQ, KR) - Batteries
9. cloud & infrastructure
$AMZN (+1 %)
Amazon (AMZN, USA) - AWS
$MSFT (+0,68 %)
Microsoft (MSFT, USA) - Azure
$GOOG (+1,64 %)
Alphabet (GOOGL, USA) - Google Cloud
$EQIX (+0,43 %)
Equinix (EQIX, USA) - Data center operator
$ANET (+3,62 %)
Arista Networks (ANET, USA) - Network infrastructure
$CSCO (+0,47 %)
Cisco Systems (CSCO, USA) - Edge & Data Center Networks
10. software & data platforms
$PLTR (+3,64 %)
Palantir (PLTR, USA) - Data integration, decision software
$DDOG (+1,19 %)
Datadog (DDOG, USA) - Cloud monitoring / observability
$SNOW (+1,92 %)
Snowflake (SNOW, USA) - Cloud-native data platform
$ORCL (+2,18 %)
Oracle (ORCL, USA) - Databases, ERP
$SAP (+0,61 %)
SAP (SAP, DE) - ERP/cloud systems
$PATH (+2,32 %)
UiPath (PATH, USA) - Automation software (RPA)
$AI (+2,38 %)
C3.ai (AI, USA) - Enterprise AI platform
11. end applications / robots
$ABB
ABB (ABB, CH) - Industrial robots
$6954 (+1,08 %)
Fanuc (6954.T, JP) - Industrial robots, CNC
$TSLA (+2,37 %)
Tesla (TSLA, USA) - Optimus" humanoid robot
$9618 (+0,98 %)
JD.com (JD, CN) - E-commerce & automated logistics
🛠️ Shovel manufacturer for humanoid robots
🔹 Hardtech (physical "shovels")
These companies provide the material basis: manufacturing machines, raw materials, semiconductor base.
Semiconductor Equipment & Manufacturing
$ASML (+1,68 %)
ASML (ASML, NL) - EUV lithography (monopoly).
$AMAT (+1,72 %)
Applied Materials (AMAT, USA) - Wafer equipment.
$8035 (+4,47 %)
Tokyo Electron (8035.T, JP) - Process equipment.
Test systems (hardware-side)
$6857 (+3,8 %)
Advantest (6857.T, JP) - Semiconductor test.
$TER (+1,67 %)
Teradyne (TER, USA) - Test systems + industrial robots.
Materials & raw materials
$ALB (+2,73 %)
Albemarle (ALB, USA) - Lithium (batteries).
$LYC (+3,05 %)
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX, AUS) - Rare earths for magnets.
$UMICY (+0,51 %)
Umicore (UMI.BR, BE) - Cathode materials, recycling.
🔹 Soft/infra (digital "shovels")
These companies supply the infrastructure & toolswithout which development, training and operation would be impossible.
Design Software & IP
$SNPS (+1,87 %)
Synopsys (SNPS, USA) - EDA software.
$CDNS (+1,36 %)
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS, USA) - Chip design & simulation.
$ARM (+3,26 %)
ARM Holdings (ARM, UK/USA) - CPU architectures (license model).
Test & Measurement (software/signal level)
$KEYS (+1,7 %)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS, USA) - Electronics & RF test systems.
Network & data center backbone
$ANET (+3,62 %)
Arista Networks (ANET, USA) - High-speed networks.
$CSCO (+0,47 %)
Cisco Systems (CSCO, USA) - Data center/edge networks.
$EQIX (+0,43 %)
Equinix (EQIX, USA) - Data centers (colocation).
Cloud infrastructure
$AMZN (+1 %)
Amazon (AMZN, USA) - AWS (cloud, AI training).
$MSFT (+0,68 %)
Microsoft (MSFT, USA) - Azure.
$GOOG (+1,64 %)
Alphabet (GOOGL, USA) - Google Cloud.
Takeaway: Investing in the infrastructure stack allows you to participate in the robotics trend regardless of the subsequent product winner and reduces the individual product risk, but you have to live with cycles. In your opinion, which stage of the chain offers the best risk/return combination and fits into a disciplined portfolio?
Source: Own analysis based on publicly available company information and IR materials of the companies mentioned.
Image material: Techa Tungateja/iStockphoto

Tencent 💯 China
Approval for several new online games in China boosts the shares of Dutch investor Prosus.
The shares of the company, which according to LSEG data holds a 23 percent in the Chinese technology group Tencent climbed a good five percent on the Amsterdam stock exchange.
Tencent, whose activities include the development of online games, also closed almost five percent higher in Hong Kong. Rivals such as Baidu, NetEase and Kingnet Network closed between just under one and over six percent higher. According to China's Press and Publications Bureau, 127 Chinese and seven imported online games were approved in July.

China's tech giants secure NVIDIA chips | Spotify expects weaker user growth
China's tech giants secure NVIDIA chips Amid growing geopolitical tensions between the US and China, major Chinese tech companies have invested billions in acquiring specialized AI chips from NVIDIA in a veritable race against time. Companies such as ByteDance Alibaba $BABA (+1,25 %) and Tencent $700 (+2,51 %) have bought NVIDIA H20 chips en masse to protect themselves from US export restrictions. According to the business magazine Nikkei Asia, the three tech giants have together ordered around one million H20 chips, which is almost a year's supply. These chips were specifically ordered before the new US restrictions come into force in April 2025. ByteDance in particular is said to have taken aggressive action; together with other companies, rush orders worth over 12 billion US dollars were placed. The H20 chips are an adapted version of the H100 model and offer sufficient capacity for demanding AI applications despite reduced computing power. The chips are particularly popular in China due to their price-performance ratio and availability. These developments are not without consequences for NVIDIA: The company expects the new export restrictions to result in a slump in sales of around 5.5 billion US dollars in the first quarter of 2025. Chinese tech companies are now turning their attention to domestic alternatives such as Huawei's Ascend chips. Spotify expects weaker user growth After a strong start to the year, music streamer Spotify is expecting less momentum in the second quarter. Company CEO Daniel Ek announced that some disruptive noise must be expected in the short term. The number of monthly active users, an important indicator for advertisers, is likely to grow less strongly in the current quarter than recently, which has disappointed the forecast. Spotify shares came under pressure in pre-market trading and lost six percent. However, Ek remains optimistic in the long term. Spotify's freemium model offers users a great deal of flexibility in uncertain times, as they can choose between a free, ad-financed offering or paid premium services. In the first quarter, the number of premium subscribers rose by twelve percent to 268 million, while monthly active users increased by ten percent to 678 million. In the second quarter, Spotify expects a further increase to 689 million, although analysts had expected more. Revenue rose by 15 percent to 4.2 billion euros, but here too the experts' expectations were higher than the actual figures.
Sources:
Podcast episode 84 "Buy High. Sell Low."
Subscribe to the podcast so that the bottom is reached soon.
00:00:00 Market environment
00:21:40 Nike, Adidas, Puma, On Holdings, Lululemon, Under Armor
00:35:50 Finding the bottom: Vix, Oil Price, Baltic Dry Index, Gold, Bonds / Bonds, CME FED Watchtool, St. Louis FRED Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements, COT
01:18:30 Chevron, Exxon, Occidental Petroleum, BP, Shell
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production A1JKQL
WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil A0KRKU
iShares MSCI World Energy Sector A2PHCF
01:29:35 China shares
01:44:25 Container ship shares
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/28RlbWBRC6xGUJ8AkHVcFU?si=w1t0GJtDTWOwNuUADqWoPQ
YouTube
Apple Podcast
$ZIM (+0,28 %)
$MAERSK A (-0,89 %)
$SHEL (+0,85 %)
$XOM (+0,22 %)
$CVX (+0,14 %)
$BP. (+0,11 %)
$OXY (+0,57 %)
$ADS (+0,02 %)
$NKE (+0,46 %)
$PUM (+1,79 %)
$UAA (+0,14 %)
$LULU (+1,07 %)
$WTI
$1BRN
$SPOT (+0,73 %)
$AAPL (+0,52 %)
$GOOG (+1,64 %)
$GOOGL (+1,46 %)
$BABA (+1,25 %)
$700 (+2,51 %)
$BYD (+0 %)
#china
#zoll
#podcast
Watchlist for turbulent times
In uncertain times, it is important to keep a watchlist so that you can pick up stable shares at bargain prices. I hope we go down a few more levels, another -20% would be nice, even if the short to medium-term price losses hurt.
I currently have almost 30 stocks on my watchlist, some of which are attractive in terms of price, while others are still far too high for me. I have not listed stocks that are already in my portfolio and that I would like to buy (in order of dividend amount):
Hercules Capital $HTGC (+0,82 %) or Main Street Capital $MAIN (-0,33 %)
Chevron $CVX (+0,14 %)
Vinci SA $DG (-0,24 %)
United Parcel Service $UPS (+0,71 %)
3i Infrastructure $3IN (-8,67 %)
Iron Mountain $IRM (+0,13 %)
Micro Star International $MSS
Nextera Energy $NEE (+0,54 %)
Partners Group $PGHN (+1,18 %)
Itochu Shoji $8001 (-0,65 %)
Canadian National Railway $CNR (+0,17 %)
Svenska Cellulosa $SCA B (+0,48 %)
VAT $VAT
Investor AB $IVSB
Assa Abloy $ASSA B (-0,37 %)
Linde $LIN (+0,39 %)
John Deere $DE (+0,07 %)
Landstar Systems $LSTR (+0 %)
Dover Corporation $DOV (+0,35 %)
Alimentation Couche-Tard $ATD (+0,2 %)
ASML $ASML (+1,68 %)
Infineon Technologies $IFX (+1,35 %)
Sherwin-Williams $SHW (+0,14 %)
Tencent $700 (+2,51 %)
Microsoft $MSFT (+0,68 %)
S&P Global Inc. $SPGI (+0,19 %) or Moody's Corp. $MCO (+0,23 %)
Visa $V (+0,34 %) or Mastercard $MA (+0,3 %)
Ferrari $RACE (+0,69 %)
Which stocks do you have on your watchlist?
Tencent Reports Strong Q4 2024 Results
$700 (+2,51 %) Tencent Holdings announced impressive Q4 2024 results on March 19, 2025, exceeding expectations. Revenue rose 11% year-on-year to 172.4 billion yuan ($23.83 billion), while net profit surged 90% to 51.3 billion yuan ($7.1 billion). Growth was driven by domestic gaming revenue (+23%), international gaming (+15%), and online advertising (+17%). 📈
Tencent’s advancements in AI, including its proprietary model Hunyuan Thinker, further solidified its position in generative AI innovation. The company invested $10.7 billion in emerging technologies like cloud computing and AI during 2024.🤖
Prosus, a major Tencent shareholder, benefited from these results, seeing positive market momentum. As Tencent continues to expand globally and innovate in gaming and AI, Prosus remains well-positioned to capitalize on its success
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