see what happens 😄
and put a savings plan on it
ASML
Action
Action
ISIN: NL0010273215
Ticker: ASML
NL0010273215
ASML
Price
Discussion sur ASML
Postes
424
2J·
Many overvalued shares in the portfolio 🤭
Hello everyone,
I have looked at the stocks in my portfolio with my new but still incomplete knowledge of fundamental analysis and am of the opinion that some stocks are heavily overvalued.
Perhaps they will fall back to their fundamental value soon or at some point?
Yes, actually this is bound to happen in the long term.
So I'm wondering whether I should sell now and invest the capital in fundamentally favorable stocks or in my ETFs?
I also find it interesting that some stocks were already overvalued when I bought them and some only became overvalued later.
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In my opinion, some of the stocks in my portfolio are overvalued:
(not exhaustive)
Palantir $PLTR (-1,99 %)
Ferrari $RACE (+0,81 %)
Rheinmetall $RHM (+0 %)
Agree Realty $ADC (-1,12 %)
visas $V (-1,69 %)
Hermes $RMS (-0,54 %)
Microsoft $MSFT (-2,35 %)
Nu 😅 $NU (-1,5 %)
Asml $ASML (-1,05 %)
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On the other hand, I think they are favorably valued at the moment:
(some are not really cheap, but maybe worth buying)
Amazon $AMZN (-3,07 %)
Abc $GOOGL (-2,85 %)
Sofi $SOFI (-2,04 %)
Lockheed Martin $LMT (-0,53 %)
Berkshire $BRK.B (+0 %)
Caterpillar $CAT (-1,88 %)
Occidental Petroleum $OXY (-1,65 %)
Rio Tinto $RIO (-3,06 %)
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I think I probably wouldn't regret it if I just sold everything and put it in the $HMWO (-2,26 %) and put it in the But I enjoy individual shares and the risk is limited. Still, I would like to know how you read valuations and translate them into action decisions and what you think about my specific situation and would possibly act.
39Positions
16,76 %
77
10 Commentaires
I find it interesting that you consider stocks like $MSFT $NU or $ASML to be overvalued, but you are also in the red there. So why did you buy them? It should also be clear that stocks like $PLTR or $RHM are overvalued, even with a lot of imagination and goodwill. If you are no longer convinced then work with sl or take out your bets and let the profits run 🏃♂️ 🏃♀️
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2J·
ASML
$ASML (-1,05 %) So now I hope that the support here holds, the position size actually suits me now.
1818
25 Commentaires
2J
The upward trend since 2016 has been broken.
I now say that the price will reach €400. 2022 low and 38 Fibo level.
I now say that the price will reach €400. 2022 low and 38 Fibo level.
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3J·
KGV explained in 30 seconds
The price/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) shows how expensive a share is in relation to its earnings.
Formula: Share price / earnings per share
Example:
Share price €100, earnings per share = €5 → P/E ratio = 20
A high P/E ratio can indicate growth - or overvaluation.
A low P/E ratio looks favorable - but can also be a warning signal.
Conclusion: P/E ratio is a useful tool, but not an oracle. Always look at it in context!
How important is the P/E ratio for your investments?
$AAPL (-5,01 %)
$NVDA (-3,43 %)
$TSLA (+0,75 %)
$MSFT (-2,35 %)
$NOVO B (-1,67 %)
$AMZN (-3,07 %)
$GOOGL (-2,85 %)
$RHM (+0 %)
$NKE (-6,6 %)
$ASML (-1,05 %)
$AMD (-2,91 %)
2525
36 Commentaires
It is also helpful to look at the P/E ratio of similar companies (same sector) for comparison. For example:
Tesla has a P/E ratio of around 100, while most other major car manufacturers are between 5 and 10.
What does that tell us?
Tesla disciples talk themselves into it with: "Tesla is not an automotive company, but a tech company - so such a P/E ratio is completely normal."
Investors, on the other hand, at least consider the possibility of an overvaluation and take a closer look before investing.
Tesla has a P/E ratio of around 100, while most other major car manufacturers are between 5 and 10.
What does that tell us?
Tesla disciples talk themselves into it with: "Tesla is not an automotive company, but a tech company - so such a P/E ratio is completely normal."
Investors, on the other hand, at least consider the possibility of an overvaluation and take a closer look before investing.
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3J·
Reduce US share in portfolio?!
The year to date shows that excessive dependency harbors risks. Increasing political uncertainty and high valuations are prompting many investors to look for alternatives. Europe and Asia offer exciting companies that are often valued more favorably and have great long-term potential.
Strong European alternatives for your portfolio:
Adyen $ADYEN (-0,47 %) is a leading payment service provider that is benefiting from increasing digitalization. After a difficult year, the company could get back on track.
Schneider Electric $SU (-2,05 %) from France is a key player in energy and automation technology and is benefiting from electrification and the growing focus on sustainability.
Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-1,67 %) a classic and dominates the market for diabetes and obesity medication. The strong demand for Wegovy and Co. ensures continuous growth.
ASML $ASML (-1,05 %) is indispensable for the chip industry. Without ASML's machines, there would be no modern semiconductors. A real growth stock for the future.
Lotus Bakeries $LOTB (-1,21 %) is growing worldwide with its popular Biscoff cookies. The expansion into new markets makes the company exciting for long-term investors. More on this in one of my last posts.
Exciting stocks from Asia:
Tokyo Electron $8035 (+1,53 %) is one of the most important suppliers to the semiconductor industry and is benefiting from the global chip boom.
Alibaba $9988 (-2,65 %) remains an e-commerce and cloud giant with long-term potential despite regulatory challenges.
Fast Retailing $9983 (+3,36 %) (Uniqlo) is growing strongly in Asia and could establish itself as a global fashion brand.
The MSCI World ex USA as an alternative for passive investors:
If you want to reduce your US share but do not want to invest in individual stocks, you can use an ETF on the MSCI World ex USA as an alternative. Regular purchases via a savings plan can gradually dilute the US share in the portfolio.
What is your current US share? Are you planning to reallocate or are you still heavily invested in the USA?
22
4 Commentaires
Let the All World ETF run and that's it. Market regulates.
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•5J·
Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography
$ASML (-1,05 %) Position increased, unfortunately not caught the daily low.
1414
12 Commentaires5J
The share is so 2023! 😅
The music plays somewhere else in 2025. 😬
The music plays somewhere else in 2025. 😬
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5J·
Welcome back
ASML - One of my favorite European stocks and now finally back in the portfolio ❤️
is still on my "Europe wish list":
Hermés $RMS (-0,54 %) (currently not yet in the portfolio)
LVMH $MC (-0,29 %)
Rheinmetall $RHM (+0 %)
Ferrari $RACE (+0,81 %)
Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-1,67 %)
and under €40 the Porsche $P911 (-1,22 %) share (also not yet in the portfolio)
3333
3 Commentaires
one of my favorite stocks, even if the market doesn't like it at the moment
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1Sem.·
New week New purchases
A few individual purchases are on the agenda this week.
The first share will be $MC (-0,29 %) . I have had it on my watchlist for some time and now I see a good entry point.
In addition $ASML (-1,05 %) will also be topped up.
And I have added to the watchlist $UAA (-1,42 %) let's see what they will do in the near future...
Hopefully a good start to the week :)
1Sem.·
Looking for input
So I just realised that I've been investing for exactly 1 year and 1 week, so I thought this would be a good moment to reflect. I'm 36, the total portfolio size is 50k+ and the money isn't needed in short term. My portfolio summarised:
1. ETF core, 50% at minimum: $VDEV (-1,06 %) and $VFEM (+0 %) , recently added $EUE (+0 %) as I see more potential in the EU than in the US in the short-medium term. I like how a combination of these 3 ETFs allows for more adaptability than simply putting everything in a world ETF. Plus, the TER is a bit lower.
2. Individual stocks, max 10 positions, only including companies that I understand and have faith in that they will perform well in the next couple of years. The goal is to at least match $IWDA (-2,18 %) but preferably to make some additional gains. In summary:
Tech:
$NVDA (-3,43 %) : committed after the post-Deepseek dip, will just wait out all the short-term turbulence
$AMZN (-3,07 %) : doesn't need additional info.
$ASML (-1,05 %) : ditto
$VRT (-5,2 %) : see one of my previous posts on GQ. Bit too volatile for me now, but when the AI-hype picks up again, will perform well.
Health:
$NVO (-0,95 %) : I have a lot of faith in the GLP1-narrative, stock is very undervalued
$LLY (-0,52 %) : same at NVO, got pummeled hard recently but in longer term another good bet in the GLP1-race.
Divident:
$ALV (-0,87 %) : popular German insurance company. Divident-wise, I have more faith in insurance companies than banks. Banks also face more headwinds due to fintech.
$ASRNL (-1,4 %) : comparable to Allianz, solid, no-nonsense Dutch insurance company.
Bit more speculative:
$NU (-1,5 %) : I think fintech has a lot of potential and NU was valued quite cheaply compared to US- or EU-based counterparts. Could benefit from US recession if USD evaluates.
What are your thoughts? What would you add or lose? I'm thinking of adding $GOOG (-2,87 %) when the current downtrend subsides. Does make the portfolio more tech-heavy but all companies are internationally oriented (in case of US recession) and should outperform in the longer term.
Thanks in advance!
12Positions
3,21 %
66
11 Commentaires
That's quite an interesting strategy you're following. With individual stocks, you should check the weighting of your ten positions once a year and see if any rebalancing is necessary. And as I see it, 50% is in ETFs. A classic core-satellite strategy.
I don't know how much money you have invested, but if it's less than €10,000, I would recommend building a solid foundation with ETFs first and gaining some experience.
Additionally, I would stick with the strategy you have now and not abandon it too quickly. Constantly switching back and forth rarely leads to success, so stay the course.
If your individual stock positions are only around €100 each, or even less, I would simply put that money into an ETF instead.
I don't know how much money you have invested, but if it's less than €10,000, I would recommend building a solid foundation with ETFs first and gaining some experience.
Additionally, I would stick with the strategy you have now and not abandon it too quickly. Constantly switching back and forth rarely leads to success, so stay the course.
If your individual stock positions are only around €100 each, or even less, I would simply put that money into an ETF instead.
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