Shell
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Discussion sur SHEL
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25716 European companies are paying dividends in September. My algorithm only identifies 4 as "OPTIMAL."
Morningstar published its list, and 14 of the 16 companies are British. I ran the 13 I’ve already analyzed through my tool:
🟢 EXCELLENT (4)
• $NWG (-0,42 %) NatWest - 5.06%, P/E ratio 8.68x, quality 75/100
• $RKT (-0,85 %) Reckitt - 4.16%, P/E ratio 11.6x
• $HSBA (-1,23 %) HSBC - 3.70%, P/E ratio 10.36x
• $LLOY (-1,41 %) Lloyds - 3.58%, P/E ratio 15.6x
🟣 WATCH (3)
• Relx, AstraZeneca, and Unilever ($REL (-0,42 %) , $AZN (+0,28 %) , $ULVR (-0,3 %) ). Quality businesses, but valuations no longer offer room to run
🟠 CAUTION (4)
• BP (4.87%), Shell (3.39%), Rio Tinto (4.52%), and Barclays ($BP. (+1,33 %)
$SHEL (+0,47 %) , $RIO (-1,03 %) , $BARC (-1,9 %) ). High returns that mask cyclicality. The 78% marginal tax rate on oil in the UK doesn’t help
🔴 LOW THRESHOLD (2)
• Rolls-Royce $RR. (-0,25 %) : It’s on Morningstar’s list, but pays 0.39%. Quality 35, Opportunity 5
• Glencore $GLEN (-0,94 %) : Quality 10/100. A high yield can also mask a declining business
My Maximum Purchase Prices for Dividend-Growth Stocks
I invest with a focus on dividend growth, quality, and attractive valuations. That’s why I set a maximum purchase price for each position based on dividend yield, growth expectations, and my own Margin of Safety (MOS).
I use this overview as a guide to keep emotions out of my buying decisions and to wait patiently for opportunities.
$LMT (+0,11 %)
$UNH (-0,12 %)
$MCD (+0,04 %)
$JNJ (-0,44 %)
$PEP (+0,01 %)
$PG (-0,09 %)
$QCOM (-0,59 %)
$UPS (-0,25 %)
$NN (-0,2 %)
$ASRNL (-0,76 %)
$KO (-0,56 %)
$WKL (-1,26 %)
$MO (-1,42 %)
$ADC (-0,16 %)
$MAIN (+0,66 %)
$O (+0,19 %)
$TDIV (-0,78 %)
$VPK (-0,44 %)
$SHEL (+0,47 %)
$AD (+0,25 %)
$DTE (+0,5 %)
$WHA (+0,34 %)
$EOAN (-0,22 %)
Record profits
🛢️💰 Exxon, Chevron, BP, Shell, and TotalEnergies posted a combined $48B in Q2 profit and nearly $90B in cash generation, an all-time high, fueled by elevated oil prices from U.S.-Iran tensions.
$XOM (+0,71 %)
$CVX (+0,44 %)
$BP. (+1,33 %)
$SHEL (+0,47 %)
$TTE (+0,8 %)
Shell versus VAR energi versus Equinor
$SHEL (+0,47 %) came in good
Fund score is at good spot
margin and roic can be better
$VAR (-0,02 %) is better placed from what i see
But lot more volatility (safety score)
equinor is the one i would choose, but all 3 will be ok, choose shell or equinor if you plan on holding for 20-years region
final score
Shell was sold
Yesterday, I sold my entire position in $SHEL (+0,47 %) at a price of €40, achieving a return of 33% since the start of the investment.
It’s been a good decision so far, given that the stock price fell yesterday and the price of oil has dropped today for the third day in a row to $79 per barrel of Brent.
Once the stock price returns to normal, I’ll $SHEL (+0,47 %) again. In my opinion, it remains a solid company with a good dividend policy.
Would you take your profits and reinvest them later in the same company?
𝐒𝐡𝐞𝐥𝐥: 𝐒𝐮𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐭𝐡 𝐃𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐩 𝐄𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡 𝐚𝐧
⠀
📊 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬
• Adjusted earnings: $9.84B vs. $6.92B QoQ and $4.26B YoY
• Adjusted EPS: $1.76 vs. $1.22 QoQ and $0.72 YoY
• Adjusted EBITDA: $20.71B vs. $17.74B QoQ
• Operating cash flow: $21.43B
• Free cash flow: $17.52B
• Income attributable to shareholders: $10.82B
⠀
💰 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬
• Q2 shareholder distributions: $5.2B
• Share buybacks completed: $3.0B
• Cash dividends paid: $2.2B
• Dividend declared: $0.3906 per share
• New buyback programme: $4.2B, including $3.0B of new repurchases and $1.2B carried over
⠀
📌 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬
• Higher realised prices, LNG trading, refining, chemicals and oil-products optimisation supported earnings
• Net debt fell to $41.8B from $52.6B QoQ, while gearing declined to 18.7% from 23.2%
• Shell has delivered $5.8B of structural cost reductions since 2022, including $0.7B in H1 2026
• Production declined to 2.46M boe/d, partly reflecting the impact of the Middle East conflict on Qatari volumes
⠀
💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐅𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐬
Shell continues to prioritize performance, capital discipline and portfolio simplification while maintaining substantial shareholder distributions.
Sold 1/3 shares of Johnson&Johnson
I had 15 shares of $JNJ (-0,44 %) , but now I own 10.
I have a lot of confidence in JNJ for stable dividends, but I was up 73% and had set myself a target of taking some profit at 70%.
It feels to get realist profits.
I also have more cash on the sidelines until the end of the month. After three months of vacation with no income, I felt uneasy having no cash available. Now I feel more comfortable again, that’s why I’m investing!
I am looking for more energy stock like $TTE (+0,8 %)
$SHEL (+0,47 %)
$NEE (+0,32 %) . All the AI needs energy !
Are there any energy companies you would recommend?
Cheers,
Daan
Quarterly Results: July 27–July 31, 26
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All time high on Holiday!
€10k added since September, with half of that invested from my own money. I’m honestly surprised by how much these “boring,” stable dividend stocks have appreciated. €2.5k in just one month!
On top of that, I’m currently receiving an average of €28 in dividends every week. That adds up nicely over time.
I did find it difficult to keep buying at all-time highs, but I still do. I have confidence in the long-term future of these companies, I know I can’t control what the market does, and I believe I’ll still earn a better return than leaving my money in the bank.
That said, I do need to build up my cash position again. I’ve been considering selling 3 of my 15 Johnson & Johnson shares, as they’re currently up 60%
What should you do in my position?$JNJ (-0,44 %)
$VHYL (-0,65 %)
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$VPK (-0,44 %)
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