It's the last day of the month, and the market is exploding higher, in a strong risk-onmove driven by a series of stellar earnings in the Tech sector. The day is dominated by impressive rallies, although key divergences remain.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Open)

$SPX500 — Futures are moving decidedly higher, driven by the Mega-Cap rally.

$DJ30 — Up, as positive sentiment spreads.

$NSDQ100 — In a strong rally, the index is being pulled higher by $AMZN$ and $GOOGL$.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — In a solid rise, the stock is outperforming and leading the AI sector.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Rallying strongly, the market reacts with euphoria to its earnings, pushing the stock higher.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Slightly down, counter-trending the sector, showing weakness.

$META (-3.6%) — Up, the stock is recovering lost ground and joining the positive sentiment.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Slightly up, attempting a modest recovery along with the Nasdaq rally.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Slightly up, showing resilience in the chip sector.

$RR. (-0.07%) — Slightly down, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Slightly up, showing cautious optimism in the new techspace.

$RGTI (+0%) — Up, the quantum sector follows the speculative sentiment.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Exploding higher, the stock is dominating the market with an impressive rally, clearly following earnings that beat all expectations.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Falling sharply, continuing its negative performance, crashing against the US tech trend.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Up, the stock is participating in the risk-onmove and recovering ground.

$SHOP (-1%) — Stable, failing to benefit from the $AMZN rally.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Slightly down, the defensive Pharma sector is being sold as capital rotates into Tech.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Stable, awaiting catalysts.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Stable, the biotech sector is flat.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Mixed, Europe is not fully participating in the US rally.

GER40 — Mixed/Slightly down, reflecting uncertainty.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Slightly up, the defense sector shows some strength.

$IBE (+0.13%) — Slightly up, utilities are stable/positive.

$OKLO — Stable, the nuclear stock is flat.

$CS (-4.51%) — Down, the European financial sector is weak.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+1.08%) — Slightly up, the Italian banking sector is mixed.

$ISP (-2.41%) — Slightly up, showing modest strength.

$BPE (+0.51%) — Solidly up, continuing its outperformance and positive trend.

$CE (+0%) Up, another strong performer in Italian banking.

$BBVA (+0.76%) — Up, the Spanish bank is recovering ground.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Slightly down, the payments sector is weak.

$V (-0.89%) — Down, following the weakness in $AXP$.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Closed mixed/negative, weighed down by weakness in Chinese stocks ($BABA$).

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is stable/slightly down, reflecting the conflicting sentiment.

$EURUSD — Stable/Slightly upagainst a weaker Dollar.

$USDJPY — Stable.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Stable, gold is flat, not benefiting from the defensive sell-off or the tech risk-on.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Stable, following gold.

$BRENT / $WTI — Down, oil is dropping due to demand fears (e.g., $BABA data).

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) / $ETH (+1.86%) — Up, crypto is following the risk-onrally led by $AMZN and $GOOGL.

$TRX (+1.42%) — Up, the altcoin sector is participating in the positive sentiment.

$CRO (+0.47%) — Up, in line with the sector.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (-0.04%) / $VGT (-0.38%) / $CNDX — The real sentiment is being pulled higher by their main components.

$BND (+0.25%) — Stable, investors are also looking for safety in bonds.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Earnings Divergence

Today is the definition of a "stock market," not a "market of stocks." There is no single sentiment. Quarterly results are creating massive divergences:

1. The Winners: $AMZN (-3.94%) and $GOOGL (-1.49%) are on fire, saving the $NSDQ100 single-handedly.

2. The Losers: $BABA (-2.58%) is collapsing, signaling weakness in Chinese and speculative retail.

3. The Isolated Strong:Italian banks ($BPE (+0.51%) , $CE (+0%) ) and $BBVA (+0.76%) continue to outperform.

4. The Defensives:Gold ($GLD (-0.32%) ) is flat, while Pharma ($LLY (+2.54%) ) and European financials ($CS (-4.51%)

) are weak.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

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⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)

$SPX500 — Indicating a sharp decline, as the collapse in major tech components weighs heavily on the index.

$DJ30 — Trading significantly lower, pulled down by the broad *risk-offsentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Falling sharply, dragged down by heavy losses in major tech names.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Down slightly, showing significant resilience and holding up well compared to the broader tech wreck.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Surging dramatically higher, completely defying the market sell-off, likely on a stellar earnings report.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Up moderately, showing strong relative strength in the semiconductor sector.$META (-3.6%) — Collapsing, in a sharp sell-off likely due to a major earnings miss.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Falling sharply, a massive drop indicating a very negative reaction to its earnings, pulling the $SPX500$ down.

$QBTS (+2.23%) Not shown, but likely down significantly*in this *risk-offenvironment for speculative tech.

$RGTI (+0%) — Down moderately, following the negative sentiment in speculative tech.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Down slightly, giving back some recent gains.

$RR. (-0.07%) — Down moderately, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Up slightly, showing some resilience in the space sector.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Down moderately, reflecting weakness in consumer-focused tech.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Down moderately, under pressure alongside other Chinese and e-commerce stocks.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Falling sharply, continuing its pattern of high volatility and weakness.

$SHOP (-1%) — Down moderately, indicating pressure on e-commerce platforms.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Likely flat or slightly down, as investors rotate out of defensive names or brace for the downturn.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Holding steady, showing no significant price change.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Flat, the biotech sector remains cautious.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Trading lower, struggling as the US tech crash impacts global sentiment.

GER40 — Trading cautiously lower, reflecting the uncertain global sentiment.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Down moderately, suggesting pressure on the defense sector.

$IBE (+0.13%) — Down slightly, utilities are also facing some selling pressure.

$OKLO Down moderately, indicating profit-taking in the nuclear technology space.

$CS (-4.51%) — Down moderately, reflecting broader caution across parts of the European financial sector.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+1.08%) — Down moderately, following the negative trend in European financials.

$ISP (-2.41%) — Down slightly, showing some weakness.

$BPE (+0.51%) — Making moderate gains, continuing its strong counter-trend rally.

$CE (+0%) — Up slightly, joining the isolated strength in Italian mid-cap banks.

$BBVA (+0.76%) — Falling sharply, showing significant weakness and vulnerability.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Down moderately, reflecting caution in the payments sector.

$V (-0.89%) — Down slightly, mirroring the hesitation seen in other payment stocks.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Likely closed mixed to negative*as the US tech crash sentiment spread.

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is likely trading higher*as investors flee to safety (cash).

$EURUSD — Likely edging lower*against a stronger Dollar.

$USDJPY — Likely trading higher*reflecting the strong Dollar.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Holding steady, pausing as investors prefer the $DXY$ as the primary safe haven over gold.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Flat, mirroring gold's lack of direction.

$BRENT / $WTI (W&T Offshore Inc) — Likely trading down*as growth concerns spike, tempering demand outlook.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) / $ETH (+1.86%) — Likely experiencing significant downward pressure, following the Nasdaq crash.

$TRX (+1.42%) — Holding steady, though the broader crypto market is likely weak.

$CRO (+0.47%) — Likely tracking the negative trend in crypto.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (-0.04%)
$VGT (-0.38%)
$CNDX — Holding steady (0.00%) in the image, likely reflecting a pre-market halt or lag, but they are clearly heading for a sharp drop*based on their components.

$BND (+0.25%) — Flat, as bond yields likely fall (prices rise) during the flight to safety.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Tech Divergence

Today's story is a brutal earnings-driven divergence. The market is split in two: $MSFT (-2.2%) and $META (-3.6%) are collapsing, pulling the entire $SPX500 and risk-onsentiment down with them. Retail stocks like $BABA and $AMZN are falling in sympathy.

However, $GOOGL (-1.49%) is surging dramatically, completely disconnecting from the sector on what must be a stellar earnings report. This divergence shows the market is differentiating between AI narratives: $NVDA (-0.82%) is also holding up remarkably well (down only slightly), while other tech ($TSM (-1.52%) , $AVGO (-1.82%) ) is mixed.

Away from tech, Italian banks ($BPE (+0.51%)) continue their isolated rally, but the overall mood is clearly *risk-off*.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, *deep dives*, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

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⚠️ Disclaimer:*Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

Markets are displaying a mixed and cautious tonetoday, struggling to sustain the post-FOMC optimism. While the Fed's dovish signals offer support, earnings reports and sector-specific dynamics are creating significant divergence across the board.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)

$SPX500 — Futures suggest a hesitant start, leaning slightly negative as tech weakness offsets gains elsewhere.

$DJ30 — Trading sideways, lacking clear direction amid ongoing sector rotation.

$NSDQ100 — Showing noticeable pressure, pulled down by declines in several major tech components.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Surging significantly higher, clearly outperforming the market and reinforcing its leadership in the AI space.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Trading moderately higher, participating in some tech strength but lagging behind leaders like NVDA.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Experiencing a slight pullback, indicating mixed sentiment within the semiconductor sector.

$META (-3.6%) — Essentially flat, hovering around the previous close with little momentum.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Trading sideways, showing stability but lacking strong buying interest.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Likely pulling back sharply, mirroring the negative trend in other speculative quantum names.

$RGTI (+0%) — Undergoing a significant correction, suggesting sharp profit-taking is hitting the quantum computing sector.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Climbing steadily higher, demonstrating notable resilience and strength within the chip industry.

$$RR. (-0.07%) — Edging slightly lower, reflecting a cautious stance in the industrial and aerospace sector.

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Showing modest gains, indicating some investor interest in the space exploration theme.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Drifting slightly lower, reflecting caution surrounding consumer-focused tech giants.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Falling sharply, significantly underperforming due to persistent pressures on Chinese equities.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Experiencing a minor dip, continuing its recent pattern of weakness.

$SHOP (-1%) — Trading moderately lower, indicating pressure on e-commerce enablement platforms.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Likely trading slightly down or flat, as investors rotate out of defensive pharma names.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Holding steady, showing no significant price change.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Flat, the biotech sector remains cautious.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Mixed performance, struggling to maintain direction as different sectors diverge.

GER40 — Trading cautiously, reflecting the uncertain global sentiment.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Experiencing moderate declines, suggesting pressure on the defense sector.

$IBE (+0.13%) — Showing slight gains, with utilities attracting some buying interest as a defensive play.

$OKLO — Pulling back moderately, indicating profit-taking in the nuclear technology space.

$CS (-4.51%) — Trading moderately lower, reflecting broader caution across parts of the European financial sector.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+1.08%) — Making solid gains, clearly participating in the positive Italian banking trend.

$ISP (-2.41%) — Climbing strongly higher, another standout performer among Italian banks today.

$BPE (+0.51%) — Surging dramatically higher, a standout rally significantly outpacing the market.

$CE (+0%) Registering strong gains, joining the broader surge in Italian banks.

$BBVA (+0.76%) — Advancing solidly, the Spanish bank continues its upward trajectory.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Edging slightly lower, reflecting caution in the payments sector ahead of data/earnings.

$V (-0.89%) — Experiencing a minor dip, mirroring the hesitation seen in other payment stocks.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50$ — Likely closed mixed to positive, carrying over optimism from the prior session.

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is trading mixed to slightly firmeras overall risk appetite fades somewhat.

$EURUSD — Likely edging loweragainst a relatively stable Dollar.

$USDJPY — Likely trading slightly higherreflecting cautious sentiment.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Holding steady, pausing after recent significant moves as markets digest Fed comments.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Flat, mirroring gold's lack of direction.

$BRENT / $WTI — Likely trading mixed or slightly downas growth concerns temper demand outlook.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) / $ETH (+1.86%) — Likely experiencing downward pressure, following the weakness in the Nasdaq and broader tech sentiment.

$TRX (+1.42%) — Holding steady, showing little movement.

$CRO (+0.47%) — Not shown, likely tracking the mixed/negative trend in crypto.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (-0.04%) / $VG / $CNDX — Likely trading flat or slightly down, reflecting the mixed and cautious market action.

$BND (+0.25%) — Likely holding steady or slightly upas bond yields stabilize.

🔎 Deep Dive: Market Divergence Post-FOMC

The initial excitement after the Fed's dovish comments has waned, revealing a highly fragmented market. While potential rate stability provides underlying support, company earnings and sector rotation are the main performance drivers today. Tech shows a clear split: leaders like $NVDA (-0.82%) and $TSM (-1.52%) power ahead, while others including $META (-3.6%) , $BABA (-2.58%) , and speculative names like $RGT face significant selling. European banks, particularly Italian ones ($UCG (+1.08%)
$ISP (-2.41%)
$BPE (+0.51%) ) along with $BBVA (+0.76%) , display remarkable strength, contrasting sharply with the caution seen in US payments ($AXP (+0.82%) , $V (-0.89%) ). Gold ($GLD (-0.32%) ) is pausing, suggesting investors are neither fully embracing risk nor rushing to safety, but rather becoming highly selective.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys]

⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

Markets open the day with cautious optimism, easing fears related to trade and inflation. Attention is focused on today's FOMC meeting and upcoming Big Tech earnings. The sentiment is generally *Risk-On*, but tempered by selective selling.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market)

$SPX500 — Futures are moving slightly higher, buoyed by easing geopolitical risks and below-expectation inflation data.

$DJ30 — Mixed/Stable, sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed.

$NSDQ100 — Up, the Tech sector is the main beneficiary of a potential Fed pivot.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Up, AI stocks benefit from relief over the US-China trade deal hopes.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Up, the Tech sector is leading.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Up, the semiconductor complex is solid thanks to easing trade tension prospects.

$META (-3.6%) — Up, well-positioned for the earnings season.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Up, the stock benefits from Tech enthusiasm.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Up, *new techstocks attempt to recover from the correction.

$RGTI (+0%) — Up, following the recovery in speculative sentiment.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Solidly up, chip optimism is supported.

$RR. (-0.07%) — Up, the Industrial/Aerospace sector shows strength.

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Down slightly, experiencing profit-taking among aerospace *growthstocks.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Up, driven by *Risk-Onand Tech.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Down, the Chinese stock faces profit-taking despite US-China trade deal hopes.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Up, the stock follows the trend.

$SHOP (-1%) — Solid rise, retail tech is recovering.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Down slightly, the defensive Pharma sector sees mild profit-taking due to the *Risk-Onshift.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Up, in line with the general mood.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Up, the biotech sector participates in the rally.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Decidedly positive*open, driven by macro hopes and rising yields.

GER40 — Solid rise, the German market is strong.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Up, the defense sector is mixed/positive.

$IBE (+0.13%) — Mixed/Slightly down, defensive *utilitiestend to lag in a *Risk-Onenvironment.

$OKLO — Up, nuclear *new techfollows the rally.

$$CS (-4.51%) — Stable/Mixed, the European financial sector is cautious despite the *Risk-Onmood.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$$UCG (+1.08%)
$ISP (-2.41%) — Up, banks capitalize on rising bond yields.

$$BAMI (+0.28%)
$CE (+0%) , $BPE (+0.51%) — Up, financial stocks are positive.

$$BBVA (+0.76%) — Up slightly, showing relative strength compared to the broader cautious tone in European financials.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Down slightly, the payments sector sees profit-taking ahead of consumer data.

$V (-0.89%) — Up, payment services benefit from consumer confidence.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Close with a solid rise, extending gains.

$KOSPI — Close up, Korean tech pushes the index higher.

$HK50 — Up, Asian stocks are supported by trade deal hopes.

$CHINA50 — Up, sentiment is positive.

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is moving sideways, awaiting the Fed meeting.

$EURUSD — Stable, in a narrow range.

$USDJPY — Up, the Dollar gains ground against the Yen.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Down, gold is under pressure due to *Risk-Onand lower haven demand.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Down, following the gold correction.

$BRENT / $WTI — Up, oil is firmer thanks to easing macro risks.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) / $ETH (+1.86%) — Up, cryptocurrencies strengthen on *Risk-Onsentiment and contained CPI optimism.

$TRX (+1.42%) — Up, the altcoin sector is positive.

$CRO — Up, the altcoin sector is positive.

🔎 Deep Dive: FOMC and Trade Deal in Focus

The day is driven by two main themes: anticipation of the FOMC meeting outcome, where the market bets on a dovish stance, and reports of a potential US-China trade deal*suspending tariffs, a key catalyst for the tech sector. Selective weakness in names like $BABA and $AXP suggests investors are taking profits on stocks exposed to uncertain macro data before key events. The rotation is clear: Tech ($NVDA, $GOOGL) is leading, while defensive sectors ($LLY, $IBE.MC) retreat.

For daily real-time market insights, *deep dives*, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

Global markets open the week with a strong bullish tone, capitalizing on optimism from US inflation data which has fueled bets on Fed rate cuts and pushed indices to historical highs last week. Focus remains on earnings and monetary policy prospects.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market)

$SPX500 — Futures indicate a solid rise, extending gains recorded after the inflation data.

$DJ30 — Up, positive sentiment is widespread, including blue-chip stocks.

$NSDQ100 — Strong rally, the Tech sector is the main beneficiary of lower rate expectations.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Strongly up, AI stocks continue to ride the wave of optimism.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Up, in line with the sector's performance.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Solid rise, the semiconductor complex remains a key driver.

$META (-3.6%) — Up, the Communication Services sector is well-positioned.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Up, the stock benefits from Tech enthusiasm.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Up, new techstocks attempt to recover after correction.

$RGTI (+0%) — Up, following the recovery in speculative sentiment.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Solidly up, chip optimism is consolidated.

$$RR. (-0.07%) — Up, the Industrial/Aerospace sector shows strength.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Strong rise, driven by *risk-onand consumer confidence.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Up, positive global sentiment supports Asian stocks.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Up, the stock follows the trend.

$SHOP (-1%) — Solid rise, retail tech is fully recovering.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Down slightly, the Pharma sector is experiencing mild profit-taking, penalized by the shift towards growth.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Up, in line with the general mood.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Up, the biotech sector participates in the rally.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Decidedly positive*open, tracking the US sentiment.

GER40 — Solid rise, the German market is driven by optimism about rates.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Up, the defense sector is mixed/positive.

$IBE (+0.13%) — Down slightly, utilities are being sold off as defensive sectors in a risk-onenvironment.

$OKLO — Up, nuclear *new techfollows the rally.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+1.08%) , $ISP (-2.41%) — Up, banks look to capitalize on positive sentiment.

$BAMI (+0.28%)
$CE (+0%) , $BPE (+0.51%) — Up, financial stocks are positive.

$BBVA (+0.76%) — Up, the financial sector participates in the rally.

$AXP (+0.82%) , $V (-0.89%) — Up, payment services benefit from consumer confidence.

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is moving in a slight decline, given rate cut expectations.

$EURUSD — Up, the Euro gains ground against the weaker Dollar.

$USDJPY — Stable, the Yen moves sideways.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Down, gold is under pressure due to *risk-onand diminished haven demand.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Down, following the gold correction.

$BRENT / $WTI — Stable/Mixed, oil is cautious.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) / $ETH (+1.86%) — Up, cryptocurrencies benefit from *risk-onand liquidity expectations.

$TRX (+1.42%) , $CRO (+0.47%) — Up, the altcoin sector is positive.

🔎 Deep Dive: Optimism Returns (Rates & Earnings)

The week opens with widespread optimism, primarily fueled by the prospect of rate cuts*from the Federal Reserve and ongoing resilient corporate earnings. The weakness of the Dollar ($DXY) and the decline in Gold ($GLD) are the clearest signals of this prevailing *risk-onmood. The sector rotation is evident: defensive assets ($LLY, $IBE.MC) are giving way to Tech ($NVDA, $GOOGL) which has resumed leadership. Financial stocks ($AXP, $V) are capitalizing on consumer confidence, while *new technames ($QBTS, $RGTI) are recovering from recent lows.

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

$SPX500 — Futures indicate a slight decline, showing loss of momentum after yesterday's rally, driven by negative tech futures.

$DJ30 — Down slightly, affected by the cautious sentiment and renewed Dollar strength.

$NSDQ100 — Under pressure, the tech rally has faded, leading to pre-market weakness.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Down slightly (-0.10%), the chipmaker stock is struggling to hold onto yesterday's gains.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Down (-0.44%), aligning with the cautious sentiment in the tech sector.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Up slightly (0.09%), showing resilience in the semiconductor space.

$META (-3.6%) — Down slightly (-0.02%), the Communication Services sector is mixed.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Up slightly (0.02%), the stock is essentially flat.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Down (-0.53%), the quantum sector is actively correcting.

$RGTI (+0%) — Down (-0.51%), in line with the broader *new techcorrection.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Up (0.80%), showing strong resilience and helping to support the chip sector.

$RR. (-0.07%) — Down slightly (-0.06%), the Industrial/Aerospace stock is mixed.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Up slightly (0.06%), essentially flat, following the mixed tech trend.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Down (-1.99%), experiencing a clear drop, reflecting heavy selling in Chinese stocks.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Down slightly (-0.06%), losing ground.

$SHOP (-1%) — Down (-0.64%), retail tech is under pressure.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Up slightly (0.01%), holding up better than the general market.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Stable (0.00%), in line with the cautious mood.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Stable (0.00%), the biotech sector is mixed.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Opening solidly up, exceeding initial caution (resilience driven by defensive sectors).

GER40 — Up, showing resilience.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Up slightly (0.38%), the defense sector is stable.

$IBE (+0.13%) — Up (0.53%), the utilities sector is in the green, showing defensive appeal.

$OKLO — Down (-0.56%), the new tech stock is experiencing profit-taking.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+1.08%) — Up slightly (0.13%), Italian banks are mixed.

$ISP (-2.41%) — Up slightly (0.16%), showing a modest gain.

$BAMI (+0.28%)
$CE (+0%) , $BPE (+0.51%) — BPER Banca ($BPE.MI$) is in a massive rally (6.55%), strongly counter-trending the sector; $CE.MI$ is up $1.36\%$.

$BBVA (+0.76%) — Down (-0.81%), showing clear pressure and vulnerability today.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Down (-0.26%), ahead of today's earnings report.

$V (-0.89%) — Down (-0.19%), following cautious sentiment in the payments sector.

$CS (-4.51%) — Up slightly (0.15%), the financial services sector is mixed.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Close in a solid gain, with the Nikkei hitting $50,000$.

$KOSPI — Close mixed/stable, Korean tech holds up.

$HK50 — Up, the index is recovering.

$CHINA50 — Up, tracking positive global sentiment.

💱 Forex

$EURUSD — Down, the Euro loses ground as the Dollar recovers.

$GBPUSD — Down, the Pound is under pressure.

$USDJPY — Solidly up, the Yen is falling as the Dollar makes a strong recovery.

$DXY — The Dollar Index is moving sharply higher, breaking the risk-on sentiment.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Stable (0.00%), gold is pausing after yesterday's correction.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Stable (0.00%), following the gold correction.

$BRENT — Down slightly, oil drops to a 5-month low.

$WTI — Losing ground, in line with Brent.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) — Down, crypto is undergoing a significant correction.

$ETH (+1.86%) — Down, following Bitcoin.

$TRX (+1.89%) — Down, the altcoin sector is negative.

$CRO (+0.47%) — Down, in line with overall negative sentiment.

🚀 Space & New Tech

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Up (2.75%), strong counter-trend move in high-beta growth stocks.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Market Divergence

The key theme today is divergence. US indices futures are soft, but specific European stocks are surging (BPER Banca is up over $6\%$) in a massive counter-trend move, highlighting local corporate strength despite global caution. The New Tech sector is mixed: $TSM$ is surprisingly up, while $NVDA$ is slightly down. The Dollar ($DXY$) continues its strength, penalizing risk assets like Bitcoin ($BTC$), while Utilities ($IBE.MC$) and specific banks demonstrate insulation. Today is a major test with $NFLX and $LMT reporting.

For daily real-time market insights, *deep dives*, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

$SPX500 — Futures indicate a decisive surge, with the market attempting to recover losses from last week's banking sell-off.

$DJ30 — Futures in a solid rise, showing generalized risk-on sentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Futures are strongly up, with tech leading the market rebound.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Up (0.55%), the stock is leading the semiconductor sector, confirming strong AI demand.

$GOOGL (-1.49%) — Up (0.19%), the stock joins the positive Nasdaq trend.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Up (0.53%), the semiconductor sector benefits from renewed optimism.

$META (-3.6%) — Up (0.48%), showing a strong recovery after recent weakness.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Up (0.36%), the stock regains momentum with positive sentiment.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Strongly up, quantum computing sentiment has turned positive amid the tech rebound.

$RGTI (+0%) — Up sharply (3.08%), the quantum sector actively participates in the risk-on move.

$TSM (-1.52%) — Up sharply (2.43%), boosted by optimism in the semiconductor sector.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Up (0.80%), strong pre-market recovery, led by tech.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Down (-0.57%), counter-trending Western tech, affected by Asian uncertainties.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Up (0.57%), the stock gains ground following the broader market trend.

$SHOP (-1%) — Solidly up, retail tech is driven by the general risk-on mood.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Up, tracking the general market rebound.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Stable (0.00%), the stock is steady after last week's volatility.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Stable (0.00%), the biotech sector cautiously joins the rally.

🇪🇺 Europe

STOXX 600 — Opening solidly up, in line with global optimism.

GER40 — Decisively higher, the German market regains momentum.

$LDO (+0.8%) — Stable (0.00%), the defense sector is neutral in this rebound phase.

$$IBE (+0.13%) — Stable (0.00%), utilities are static in a risk-on environment.

$OKLO — Up sharply (1.73%), advanced nuclear technology continues its positive trend.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$$UCG (+1.08%) — Stable (0.00%), Italian banks are trying to establish a base after heavy selling.

$$ISP (-2.41%) — Stable (0.00%), awaiting clearer signals.

$$BAMI (+0.28%) , $CE (+0%) , $BPE (+0.51%) — Stable (0.00%), the financial sector shows caution despite the risk-on trend.

$$BBVA (+0.76%) — Stable (0.00%), the Spanish stock is leading the European banking recovery.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Up (0.59%), the payments sector participates in the rebound.

$V (-0.89%) — Up (0.07%), confirming its positive tone.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Close in a solid rise, led by optimism in tech markets.

$KOSPI — Close up, Korean tech drives the index.

$HK50 — Up, tech stocks recover despite BABA's uncertainties.

$CHINA50 — Up, following positive global sentiment.

💱 Forex

$EURUSD — Up, the Dollar is losing momentum in a risk-on phase.

$GBPUSD — Up, the market positively assesses prospects for a stronger economy.

$USDJPY — Down, the Yen is gaining ground.

$DXY — The Dollar Index is showing clear weakness.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Down slightly (0.00%), gold consolidates as investors shift to riskier assets.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Stable (0.00%), tracking the flat movement of gold.

$BRENT — Up, showing signs of demand recovery.

$WTI — Gaining ground, reflecting positive macroeconomic sentiment.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (-0.04%) — Tracking $SPX500$ futures higher.

$VGT (-0.38%) — Up (0.00%), reflecting the strength of the technology sector.

$$CSNDX (-0.33%) — Up (0.00%), tracking Nasdaq futures in positive territory.

$BND (+0.25%) — Down (0.00%), reflecting rising yields.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) — Strong recovery, the crypto sector bounces off the bottom and gains ground.

$ETH (+1.86%) — Solidly up, following Bitcoin.

$TRX (+1.42%) — Up (0.00%), the altcoin sector participates in the rally.

$CRO (+0.47%) — Up, in line with overall positive sentiment.

🚀 Space & New Tech

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Up, sentiment for growth stocks suggests a rebound.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Return of Risk-On

The week opens with a decisive "Risk-On" mood. Markets are clearly shrugging off (for now) last week's banking tensions, focusing instead on tech-led growth ($NVDA, $TSM$) and hopes for monetary easing. The strong rally in cryptocurrencies ($BTC, $ETH$) and the weakness of the Dollar ($DXY$) are clear indicators that liquidity is flowing back into riskier assets. European banks ($BBVA.MC$) and the semiconductor sector show unexpected strength, while gold ($GLD$) pauses, confirming the shift in focus from systemic risk to growth opportunities.

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.etoro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

$SPX500 — Futures are moving in a decisive drop, indicating a strong negative open due to renewed regional bank stress.

$DJ30 — Futures in a sharp decline, dragged down by financial and cyclical stocks.

$NSDQ100 — Futures are markedly lower, with weakness in tech stocks solidifying.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Up in pre-market, holding strong against the general weakness thanks to robust AI demand.

$GOOGL (-1.37%) — Under strong pressure, aligned with the overall Nasdaq decline.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Aggressive profit-taking in the semiconductor sector.

$META (-3.6%) — Stable in pre-market, showing relative strength against its peers.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Slight dip, following the market's bearish trend.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Down again, volatility remains extreme in this sector.

$RGTI (+0%) — Down, the quantum computing sector is highly sensitive to the risk-off mood.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Down in pre-market, negative sentiment weighs on consumer confidence.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Stable, counter-trending thanks to Asian positive sentiment.

$CVNA (-1.14%) — Down, the stock struggles to find a stable support base.

$SHOP (-1%) — Correcting some of its recent gains.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+2.54%) — Stable/Up slightly, the defensive sector offers timid refuge.

$HIMS (+3.1%) — Profit-taking in pre-market despite recent catalysts.

$INSM (-2.07%) — Mixed, the biotech sector moves disconnectedly, but with caution.

🇪🇺 Europe

STOXX 600 — Opening solidly up, boosted by defensive sectors and positive earnings reports.

GER40 — Up slightly, showing resilience despite US banking worries.

$LDO.MI — Up, the defense sector continues to outperform.

$IBE.MC — Stable, utilities confirm their defensive asset status.

$OKLO — Stable, the nuclear tech stock awaits concrete catalysts.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$$UCG (+1.08%) — Under strong pressure, the financial sector is generally affected by contagion fears.

$$ISP (-2.41%) — Markedly lower, negative sentiment dominates.

$$BAMI (+0.28%)
$CE (+0%) , $BPE (+0.51%) — Widespread selling on Italian banks.

$$BBVA (+0.76%) — In strong increase, counter-trending the sector due to positive corporate news or insulation from US regional bank stress.

$AXP (+0.82%) — Down in pre-market, facing consumer slowdown concerns.

$V (-0.89%) — Essentially flat, confirms its more defensive status.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Close down, weighed by Wall Street losses and trade uncertainty.

$KOSPI — Close flat/slightly down, the market remains in a holding pattern.

$HK50 — Sharp fall, due to regional bank pressures and China's plenum anticipation.

$CHINA50 — Weak, caution dominates.

💱 Forex

$EURUSD — Down, the Euro loses ground against the haven Dollar.

$GBPUSD — Down, the Pound is under pressure.

$USDJPY — Falling sharply, the Yen is rallying as the Dollar loses momentum on Fed rate-cut hopes.

$DXY — The Dollar Index is showing strength, acting as a safe haven.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (-0.32%) — Strong rally, gold hits new record highs on strong safe-haven demand.

$CDE (-2.75%) — Up sharply, following the explosive trend of gold.

$BRENT — Down slightly, global demand fears persist.

$WTI — Losing ground, affected by negative macroeconomic sentiment.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (-0.04%) — Tracks the negative S&P 500 futures.

$VGT (-0.38%) — Down, reflecting weakness in the technology sector.

$CSNDX (-0.33%) — Tracks Nasdaq futures in negative territory.

$VWCE (-0.16%) — Stable/Down, reflects the mixed global trend.

$BND (+0.25%) — Up, as bond yields fall due to safe-haven demand.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) — Down slightly, aligned with the general risk-off mood.

$ETH (+1.86%) — Following Bitcoin, showing broad weakness.

$CRO (+0.47%) — Flat/Down slightly, in line with the rest of the market.

$TRX (+1.89%) — Down slightly, the sector struggles to find significant support.

🚀 Space & New Tech

$RKLB (+0.93%) — Weak in pre-market, aligning with other growth stocks.

🔎 Deep Dive: Gold & Banking Stress

The day is polarized: the strong safe-haven demand for Gold ($GLD) is the dominant theme, hitting new all-time highs due to persistent US regional bank stress. While European markets, specifically $BBVA.MC, show resilience and an isolated uptrend, the US futures and Italian financial stocks are struggling. The overall takeaway is a heightened sense of systemic risk, forcing investors into traditional havens while penalizing US high-beta stocks. The strength of $NVDA remains a key structural theme resisting the general decline.

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

U.S. markets closed yesterday's session with mixed and predominantly negative sentiment as traders wait to see which direction the market will take next.

• $SPX500 — Closed slightly down (-0.15%), showing uncertainty after a volatile day.
• $DJ30 — The only index showing strength, it closed in positive territory (+0.45%), supported by industrial stocks.
• $NSDQ100 — Experienced a sharper decline (-0.76%), with tech stocks facing profit-taking.

💻 Tech Snapshot

• $AVGO (-1.82%) — In a clear downturn (-3.52%), the semiconductor sector appears to be under pressure.
• $AMZN (-3.94%) — Down (-1.66%), the stock is affected by the risk-averse climate in the tech sector.
• $META (-3.6%) — Closed essentially flat (+0.02%), showing relative strength compared to the sector.
• $MSFT (-2.2%) — Slight decline (-0.09%), in line with the general uncertainty in the tech space.
• $BABA (-2.58%) — In negative territory (-2.37%), hit by the sell-off in Chinese stocks listed on Wall Street.

🇪🇺 Europe (Closing data from 10/14 and today's open)

European stock exchanges closed weak yesterday, but today's futures point to a recovery at the open, following the positive wave from Asia.

• STOXX 600 — Finished yesterday down (-0.37%) with widespread selling.
• GER40 futures — Are moving in negative territory today (-1.05% in the last 24h), still reflecting yesterday's weakness but with potential for recovery at the open.

🏦 European & Italian Banks (Closing data from 10/14)

The banking sector showed weakness in the previous session.

• $$ISP (-2.41%) — Closed lower (-0.18%).
• $$BAMI (+0.28%) — In decline (-0.24%).
• $$BPE (+0.51%) — Negative performance (-0.27%).
• $$CE (+0%) — Was up on Friday, but today's data is awaited.
• $$BBVA (+0.76%) — Closed positive (+0.44%), bucking the trend seen in the Italian sector.

🌏 Asia (Today's closing data)

Asia is the true engine of the day, with a strong wave of buying improving global sentiment.

• $JPN225 — Closed with a strong gain (+1.82%), leading the region's optimism.
• $HK50 — Excellent performance, closing with a gain of +1.78%, driven by local tech stocks.

💱 Forex

• $965275 (-0.26%) — Stable around the 1.1620 area, with the dollar waiting for the next moves after yesterday's mixed data.

💰 Crypto (Today's data) The crypto sector is showing signs of weakness in the early hours of the day, moving against the trend of Asian equities.

• $BTC (+1.89%) — Trending down, trading below €97,000 after starting the day above this level. The performance in the last few hours is approximately -1.02%.
• $ETH (+1.86%) — Following Bitcoin's weakness with a similar trend.

🔎 Deep Dive: Asia Leads, the West Waits

Today's session is marked by a clear divergence between Asia and the West. While Asian markets, particularly Japan ($JPN225) and Hong Kong ($HK50), posted strong gains and fueled a positive global sentiment, European and American markets are coming off a session of weakness and uncertainty.

• Stock Markets: The optimism from Asia is positively influencing the European open. The real question is whether this momentum will be enough to reverse the negative trend seen on Wall Street yesterday, especially in the tech sector ($NSDQ100). All eyes are on the U.S. market open to see if the Asian risk-on sentiment will be sustained.
• Crypto Market: The crypto world seems disconnected from the positive equity sentiment today. The decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum suggests that crypto investors are proceeding with more caution, perhaps waiting for confirmation from Western markets before pushing higher. This period of weakness could present an interesting accumulation zone if the global sentiment continues to improve.

PS: The strong push from Asia is an encouraging sign. I am closely monitoring the European open to see if the rebound materializes. If Europe follows Asia, we could see a return of confidence in the U.S. as well. I'm holding my positions but remain ready to manage volatility.

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not an indication of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

🇺🇸 USA

$SPX500 — Sharp drop on Friday's close, signaling widespread profit-taking and growing recession fears.

$DJ30 — Widespread selling, the index gives up ground significantly after hitting recent highs.

💻 Tech Snapshot

$NVDA (-0.82%) — Under pressure, suffering from the general sell-off in large-cap stocks.

$QBTS (+2.23%) — Clear correction, investors take profits after last week's rally.

$AVGO (-1.82%) — Down, the semiconductor sector faces a phase of weakness.

$AMZN (-3.94%) — Marked decline, the e-commerce and cloud sector is affected by economic uncertainty.

$META (-3.6%) — Significant slump, in line with the sharp selling in growth stocks on Friday.

$MSFT (-2.2%) — Downward pressure, the stock aligns with the weakness in the tech sector.

$SHOP (-1%) — Sharp fall, continues to lose ground after outperforming.

🇪🇺 Europe

STOXX 600 — Decidedly negative opening, influenced by pessimism from Asia and the US.

GER40 futures — Moves in significant contraction, caution dominates ahead of confidence data.

🏦 European & Italian Banks

$$UCG (+1.08%) — Decisive drop, in line with the strong pressure on the financial sector.

$$ISP (-2.41%) — Moves into marked negative territory, limited by the general adverse climate.

$$BAMI (+0.28%)
$CE (+0%) , $BPE (+0.51%) — Generalized selling across Italian mid-cap banks.

$$BBVA (+0.76%) — Under strong pressure, international exposures amplify concerns.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 — Trending down, despite the stabilization of the Yen, sentiment remains negative.

$KOSPI — Registers a fall, the tech sector is affected by global risk-off mood.

$HK50 — Sharp decline, due to renewed tensions over US-China tariffs.

$BABA (-2.58%) — Further decline, reflecting ongoing regulatory uncertainty and weakness in the Chinese tech sector.

$CHINA50 — Weak, balanced between government support and fears of a global recession.

💱 Forex

$EURUSD — Moves in slight contraction, the Dollar acts as a haven in this phase.

$GBPUSD — Weak, the market assesses the economic slowdown.

$USDJPY — Stable, with investors maintaining caution.

$DXY — Solid recovery, strengthened by generalized risk-off.

🥇 Gold

$GLD (-0.32%) — In solid increase, gold confirms itself as the primary safe-haven asset during phases of strong market uncertainty.

🛢 Oil

$BRENT — Trending down, due to fears of weaker global demand resulting from recession fears.

$WTI — Losing ground, affected by the negative macroeconomic sentiment.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+1.89%) — Slight pullback, following the risk-off in equity markets.

$ETH (+1.86%) — Following Bitcoin, showing a cautious tone in line with high-risk assets.

🔎 Deep Dive: Markets and Crypto (Friday - Today)

The period between the close on Friday, October 10th, and today's open has been characterized by an abrupt and widespread risk-off sentiment.

Equity Markets: The sell-off started aggressively in the US, where data on slowing growth and persistent inflation triggered a strong rotation out of risky assets. The SPX500 recorded a significant drop, with growth and tech stocks ($META, $NVDA) particularly hit. In Europe, this sentiment was compounded by internal weaknesses (such as banks and cyclical sectors), leading to a soft opening. Over the weekend, news of renewed US-China tariff tensions severely impacted Asia, particularly Hong Kong stocks (HK50) and Chinese giants like BABA. The only true escape valve for investors has been the run to Gold ($GLD), which confirms itself as the ultimate haven in macro crises.

Crypto Market: In this phase of risk aversion, digital assets BTC and ETH were also not spared. Historically, cryptocurrencies have shown an increasing correlation with equity risk. The Dollar's recovery (DXY) and general market weakness triggered profit-taking, forcing BTC and ETH into a technical consolidation phase below recent highs. This trend once again refutes the narrative of crypto being a total safe haven; instead, cryptocurrencies are currently moving as high-beta speculative assets, sensitive to global liquidity flows.

PS: Following the sharp sell-off in the markets on Friday and the $QBTS correction, it is crucial to remain calm and stick to support levels. If Gold ($GLD) continues its run, it might be wise to increase exposure to safe havens.

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.