After this correction I have learned some valuable things that I would like to share with you ✍️.

1° The Market doesn't Care how Undervalued a Stock looks 📉

I have seen from my own experience how a company like $HPE (-6.98%) fell almost 20% in days even below its book value, making a correction almost as big or bigger than other +30% P/E companies.

2° It is always necessary to keep cash reserves 💵

We cannot predict what the market will do but if we have cash reserves we can take advantage when the market drops by 7, 8, 10 or 20%.

And that's precisely what will probably make us outperform in the long run 🚀📈.

3° Investing in Value is Better than Investing in High Expectations 💰>💸

Although my portfolio has fallen other companies with much higher P/E ratios have corrected much more companies like $SPOT (-4.04%)
$SOFI (-9.45%)
$TSLA (-10.31%)
$SHOP (-8.95%) and a long list have corrected up to 40-50%.

It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.

Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.

Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.

Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)

Airbnb $ABNB (-7.47%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (-5.46%)

Amazon $AMZN (-7.34%)

ASML $ASML (-7.58%)

Axon $AXON (-2.81%)

Cadence $CDNS (-6.51%)

Constellation Software $CSU (-6.2%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-4.66%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (-1.33%)

Hermes $RMS (-3.84%)

Intuit $INTU (-5.17%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (-7.51%)

Mastercard $MA (-5.16%)

Meta $META (-8.42%)

Netflix $NFLX (-4.8%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-5.62%)

Palantir $PLTR (-5.39%)

Tesla $TSLA (-10.31%)

Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)

Booking $BKNG (-4.38%)

Costco $COST (-2.82%)

Ferrari $RACE (-4.12%)

Moody's $MCO (-5.61%)

MSCI $MSCI (-6.15%)

Transdigm $TDG (-2.98%)

Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-9.62%)

Robinhood $HOOD (-6.53%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (-8.95%)

Spotify $SPOT (-4.04%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (-9.14%)

I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.

Where are you buying?

1 Meta Platforms (A)

Meta is investing heavily in AI and the metaverse - an exciting tech giant with solid cash flow after the correction.

2. paypal

Fintech giant with a strong market position in digital payments - currently valued more favorably due to the correction.

3. realty income

Stable dividend payer ("Monthly Dividend Company") from the real estate sector - down due to interest rate concerns, now an attractive entry point.

4. salesforce

Market leader in CRM software with good growth prospects - the correction is pushing the price down to a more interesting level.

5 Shopify (A)

E-commerce enabler with potential to profit from global online trade - more attractive again after setbacks.

6. target

Solid retail company with stable sales - fallen due to economic uncertainties and now valued more excitingly.

7 The Trade Desk (A)

Profiteer of growing digital advertising - currently cheaper due to tech sector correction.

8 Zeta Global Holdings

Growing in data-driven marketing - still a small cap with opportunities due to current valuation weakness.

9 Alphabet (A)

Google parent with strong AI and cloud position - correction offers long-term investors favorable entry opportunities.

10. amazon.com

Market leader in e-commerce and strong in the cloud sector (AWS) - currently more exciting again after declines.

11. ASML

Monopolist in EUV lithography machines for the chip industry - cheaper due to market downturn, but essential in the long term.

12. diageo

Strong consumer goods stock (e.g. spirits) - currently under pressure due to economic concerns, which creates good opportunities for additional buying.

13. HCA Healthcare

Largest private hospital operator in the USA - defensive business model, more interesting valuation after the correction.

14. Lam Research

Important supplier for the semiconductor industry - currently affected by the weak semiconductor market, but enormously important in the long term.

With these words, I wish you a pleasant Sunday evening and a successful week! $META (-8.42%)
$LRCX (-9.7%)
$HCA (-3.8%)
$DGE (-3.29%)
$ASML (-7.58%)
$AMZN (-7.34%)
$GOOGL (-5.46%)
$ZETA (-9.32%)
$TTD (-9.14%)
$TGT (-7.58%)
$SHOP (-8.95%)
$CRM (-6.06%)
$O (-2.34%)
$PYPL (-7.44%)

#etfs
#dividends
#stockanalysis
#aktien
#tech

Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)

Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (-9.62%)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (-4.04%)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (-7.47%)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (-6.53%)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (-9.14%)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (-5.87%)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (-8.95%)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (-4.88%)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (-2.81%)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (-4.66%)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (-7.85%)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (-5.39%)

Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...

Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.

Your opinion?

Airbnb $ABNB (-7.47%)

Amazon $AMZN (-7.34%)

Axon $AXON (-2.81%)

Cadence $CDNS (-6.51%)

Constellation Software $CSU (-6.2%)

Costco $COST (-2.82%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-4.66%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (-1.33%)

Ferrari $RACE (-4.12%)

Hermes $RMS (-3.84%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-9.62%)

Intuit $INTU (-5.17%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (-7.51%)

Mastercard $MA (-5.16%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-5.62%)

Moody's $MCO (-0%)

MSCI $MSCI (-6.15%)

Palantir $PLTR (-5.39%)

Robinhood $HOOD (-6.53%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (-8.95%)

Tesla $TSLA (-10.31%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (-9.14%)

Transdigm $TDG (-2.98%)

Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.

Your opinion?

Economic tensions between Canada and the USA are escalating: Canadian retailers are removing US products such as whiskey and wine from their shelves, and more and more Canadians are avoiding travel to the US. Frustration with the protectionist US policy is growing - and with it the idea of closer economic ties with Europe.

Boycott hits US economy hard

❌ US whiskey and wine are disappearing from Canadian stores - manufacturers such as Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's) ($B1FC34 ) are feeling the consequences.

❌ Fewer Canadians are traveling to the USA - the tourism sector in Florida, California and New York could suffer as a result.

❌ Rising demand for European products - French wine and Scotch whiskey in particular are benefiting.

Canadian shares as winners?

While US companies are suffering losses, there are clear winners in Canada:

📈 Shopify ($SHOP (-8.95%) ) - e-commerce benefits from increasing online purchases of Canadian and European products.

📈 Air Canada ($AC (-7.08%) ) - More Canadians are traveling to Europe instead of the US, which could strengthen transatlantic flight routes.

📈 Magna International ($MG (-7%) ) - The automotive supplier already exports massively to Europe and would benefit from even closer market access.

📈 Nestlé ($NSRGY (-2.67%) ) - European food manufacturers could gain market share in Canada if US products are replaced.

EU accession as the next step?

The growing rift with the USA is making discussions about closer ties with the EU louder. Full EU accession remains unlikely, but an extended economic partnership - perhaps even with the use of the euro? - is no longer ruled out.

Conclusion

Canada's departure from the USA could have far-reaching economic and geopolitical consequences. How do you see this? Is this just a short-term boycott or the start of a long-term realignment?

#Kanada
#EU
#Boykott
#Aktien
#Wirtschaft
#Geopolitik

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-9.62%) has recently had a strong run:

Performance YTD: +140%

Performance 1 year: +553%

Currently Hims & Hers $HIMS (-9.62%) with a price / sales ratio of 10,6x with an expected annual sales growth of >50% for the next 2 years.

Here you can see the ratio for other selected companies with expected double-digit sales growth for the next few years:

Tesla $TSLA (-10.31%) 11.7x (17% sales CAGR next 2 years)

ServiceNow $NOW : 18,5x (19%)

Shopify $SHOP (-8.95%): 18,7x (22%)

Robinhood $HOOD (-6.53%) : 19,6x (16%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (-7.51%) : 25,4x (15%)

Axon Enterprise $AXON (-2.81%) : 26,9x (28%)

Duolingo $DUOL : 27,6x (35%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-4.66%) : 29,7x (25%)

Palantir $PLTR (-5.39%) : 94,7x (29%)

The comparison is, of course, a bit of a stretch, but it is still interesting to see how Hims & Hers $HIMS (-9.62%) stands relative to other companies.

What do you think?

Hello,

I currently have 5000€ that I would like to invest in individual stocks. I am following a core satellite strategy and as I am still young and in training, I am a bit more risk-averse (hence the relatively small core of 50%).

I would like to invest in stable growth stocks on the one hand, but also take a little more risk on the other.

My current plan would look something like this:

500€ $NU (-7.02%) (came across Nu through the community)

700€ $NOVO B (-8.06%) (upgrade to 1000€)

1000€ $GOOGL (-5.46%) (stable outperformance of the market)

1000€ $ASML (-7.58%) (monopoly position and good future prospects)

1000€ $CRWD (-4.66%) /$PLTR (-5.39%) / $SNOW (-7.21%) (some of the stocks have done very well, so I'm a little unsure exactly which ones and whether I'm still waiting for a correction in the respective stock. But I find cybersecurity, cloud and big data very interesting with a lot of future potential)

I am also watching, for example: $SOFI (-9.45%) , $SHOP (-8.95%) , $MELI (-4.32%) , $ENR (-4.11%) .

If you have any suggestions for improvement or ideas as to which companies could benefit my strategy, I am open to them. Perhaps also expand other existing positions

Thank you very much#

Shopify Inc. $SHOP (-8.95%) has reported revenue of $2.81 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, up 31% year-over-year and exceeding analyst expectations of $2.73 billion.

This is the seventh consecutive quarter in which Shopify has recorded revenue growth of more than 25%, excluding the logistics division.

Following the announcement, Shopify shares showed volatility in pre-market trading as investors digested the results.

At the time of writing, Shopify's share price was up nearly 3%.

Shopify shares are up 37% in the last 12 months.

Sentiment on Wall Street remains positive, with at least two firms raising their 2025 price targets for the stock.

Shopify earnings for the 4th quarter

Net income was 1.29 billion US dollars, almost double the 657 million US dollars of the previous year.

Gross merchandise volume (GMV) increased by 25.7% year-on-year to 94.5 billion US dollars, while revenue from merchant solutions rose by 32.6% to 2.15 billion US dollars.

However, the gross margin for the quarter fell slightly to 48.1% compared to 49.5% in the previous year. Gross profit increased by 27% year-on-year to 1.35 billion US dollars.

Shopify generated operating cash flow of $615 million and free cash flow of $611 million. The free cash flow margin improved to 22% from 21% in the prior year.

The quarter's results reflect the impact of the holiday shopping season, a critical time for e-commerce businesses.

Online spending rose nearly 9% to $241.1 billion in November and December, according to Adobe Analytics, which monitors sales on retailers' websites.

This figure slightly exceeded analysts' forecast of $240.8 billion and underscores the robust consumer activity during the holiday season.

Shopify forecast for the 1st quarter of 2025

Shopify expects Q1 2025 revenue growth to be in the mid-20 percent range year-over-year, in line with a consensus estimate of $2.32 billion.

Shopify expects merchants' strong momentum to continue from the fourth quarter into the first quarter, although the first quarter is typically the company's lowest gross merchandise volume (GMV) quarter due to seasonal trends.

"We expect the strong merchant momentum from the fourth quarter to continue into the first quarter, knowing that the first quarter is always our lowest GMV quarter due to seasonality," the company said in a press release.

Shopify has issued the following forecast for the first quarter of 2025

• Gross profit: expected to increase in the low twentieths of a percent year-over-year.
• Operating costs: Expected to account for 41% to 42% of revenue.
• Share-based compensation: Estimated at USD 120 million.
• Free cash flow margin: Expected to be in the mid-teens.