$SHOP (+1.39%)

Shopify share: Chart from 09.05.2025, price: USD 94 - symbol: SHOP | Source: TWS

If a breakout above USD 100 now succeeds, a procyclical uptrend will ensue Kaufsignalwith possible price targets at USD 110, 120 and 129.

If, on the other hand, the share falls below USD 89, a renewed setback to USD 80 or to the Aufwärtstrend close to USD 70.

Growth at all levels

In the last five years, turnover has increased massively from USD 2.93 billion to USD 8.88 billion. The leap in profitability was achieved in 2019.

During this time, earnings rose from USD 0.05 to USD 1.22 per share and free cash flow from USD 0.01 to USD 1.23 per share.

On May 8, Shopify presented the Quartalszahlenfor the first quarter.

At USD 0.26 per share, earnings were in line with expectations. With sales of USD 2.36 billion, the company exceeded analysts' estimates of USD 2.33 billion.

For the year as a whole, this corresponds to a 27% increase in sales. The operating result increased by 136% to USD 203 million.

The most significant figure, however, is the free cash flow, which climbed by 56% to USD 363 million. The FCF margin was 15%.

Monthly recurring revenues improved by 20% to USD 182 million.

Gross profit climbed from USD 957 million to USD 1.17 billion

The trading volume (GMV) processed via the Shopify systems increased by 27% to USD 74.75 billion.

Outlook and valuation

For the second quarter, the company is forecasting an increase in sales of around 25% and a rise in gross profit in the high teens.

The FCF margin is expected to be at a similar level to the first quarter, i.e. 15%.

According to the Management Board, there were no signs of a slowdown by the end of April. Shopify continues to record strong growth across all channels and has achieved an increase in GMV of more than 20% for the seventh consecutive quarter.

Growth is particularly strong in Europe, where an increase of 36% was achieved, led by the UK, the Netherlands and Germany.

The current customs issue will be addressed this month with the automated calculation of duty-included prices.

In addition, new major customers such as FAO Schwarz and Grand Seiko have been acquired. Large companies such as Tapestryand Birkenstock are increasingly relying on Shop Pay components.

According to consensus estimates, earnings are set to rise by 18% to USD 1.44 per share this year and FCF by 27% to USD 1.55 per share.

So Shopify is definitely no bargain, but with the continued high growth, the path of least resistance is still the upside.

https://www.lynxbroker.de/boerse/boerse-kurse/aktien/shopify-aktie/shopify-analyse/?a=3355991664&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_campaign=newsletter-boersenblick&newsletter=true&mc-rss-cache-bypass=2025051207&goal=0_d93daae099-965cc3408a-410756260#shopify-das-geschaft-in-europa-boomt

The e-commerce sector is currently showing strong bullish signals - with three exciting stocks in particular: Jumia, Shopify and Amazon.

$AMZN (+0.08%) Amazon has impressed with strong Q1 figures. The cloud division AWS is growing dynamically again, the advertising business is booming and the AI hype is providing an additional tailwind. The Group is more profitable than ever in operational terms, which should further boost the share price.

$SHOP (+1.39%) Shopify is benefiting massively from the trend towards the digitalization of retail. Following the successful restructuring in 2023, the company is now once again showing accelerated sales growth and solid margins. Particularly exciting: the Shop Pay network is increasingly becoming a real competitor to Apple's payment system.

$JMIA (-4.44%) Jumia, on the other hand, is the real underdog with moonshot potential: the "Amazon of Africa" has massively streamlined its cost structure, focused on profitable growth and stabilized its operating business. The continent is at the beginning of an e-commerce revolution - which is exactly where $JMIA (-4.44%) Jumia is perfectly positioned. The valuation is currently historically low, while the potential is huge.

A x10 in the summer? Sounds crazy - but is not unrealistic for microcaps with a structural tailwind. $Jumia could explode with just a few positive news (e.g. strategic partnership, turnaround figures or political impetus). Those who get in early could enjoy exponential gains in the summer.

Conclusion: $JMIA (-4.44%)
$AMZN (+0.08%) and $SHOP (+1.39%) are the solid performers in e-commerce - but $JMIA (-4.44%) is the speculative high-flyer to keep on your radar.

Source: Finchat

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#nachkauf
#kauf
#investieren

After this correction I have learned some valuable things that I would like to share with you ✍️.

1° The Market doesn't Care how Undervalued a Stock looks 📉

I have seen from my own experience how a company like $HPE (-0.58%) fell almost 20% in days even below its book value, making a correction almost as big or bigger than other +30% P/E companies.

2° It is always necessary to keep cash reserves 💵

We cannot predict what the market will do but if we have cash reserves we can take advantage when the market drops by 7, 8, 10 or 20%.

And that's precisely what will probably make us outperform in the long run 🚀📈.

3° Investing in Value is Better than Investing in High Expectations 💰>💸

Although my portfolio has fallen other companies with much higher P/E ratios have corrected much more companies like $SPOT (+2.19%)
$SOFI (+0.47%)
$TSLA (-0.07%)
$SHOP (+1.39%) and a long list have corrected up to 40-50%.

It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.

Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.

Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.

Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)

Airbnb $ABNB (-0.03%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (+0.48%)

Amazon $AMZN (+0.08%)

ASML $ASML (-0.75%)

Axon $AXON (+0.96%)

Cadence $CDNS (-8.48%)

Constellation Software $CSU (+0.32%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-0.22%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+7.82%)

Hermes $RMS (-0.06%)

Intuit $INTU (+1.01%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.92%)

Mastercard $MA (+0.86%)

Meta $META (+0.93%)

Netflix $NFLX (+0.13%)

Microsoft $MSFT (+0%)

Palantir $PLTR (+1.45%)

Tesla $TSLA (-0.07%)

Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)

Booking $BKNG (+1.07%)

Costco $COST (+0.09%)

Ferrari $RACE (-1.19%)

Moody's $MCO (+0.28%)

MSCI $MSCI (-0.34%)

Transdigm $TDG (+0.72%)

Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.08%)

Robinhood $HOOD (-0.39%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (+1.39%)

Spotify $SPOT (+2.19%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (+1.89%)

I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.

Where are you buying?

1 Meta Platforms (A)

Meta is investing heavily in AI and the metaverse - an exciting tech giant with solid cash flow after the correction.

2. paypal

Fintech giant with a strong market position in digital payments - currently valued more favorably due to the correction.

3. realty income

Stable dividend payer ("Monthly Dividend Company") from the real estate sector - down due to interest rate concerns, now an attractive entry point.

4. salesforce

Market leader in CRM software with good growth prospects - the correction is pushing the price down to a more interesting level.

5 Shopify (A)

E-commerce enabler with potential to profit from global online trade - more attractive again after setbacks.

6. target

Solid retail company with stable sales - fallen due to economic uncertainties and now valued more excitingly.

7 The Trade Desk (A)

Profiteer of growing digital advertising - currently cheaper due to tech sector correction.

8 Zeta Global Holdings

Growing in data-driven marketing - still a small cap with opportunities due to current valuation weakness.

9 Alphabet (A)

Google parent with strong AI and cloud position - correction offers long-term investors favorable entry opportunities.

10. amazon.com

Market leader in e-commerce and strong in the cloud sector (AWS) - currently more exciting again after declines.

11. ASML

Monopolist in EUV lithography machines for the chip industry - cheaper due to market downturn, but essential in the long term.

12. diageo

Strong consumer goods stock (e.g. spirits) - currently under pressure due to economic concerns, which creates good opportunities for additional buying.

13. HCA Healthcare

Largest private hospital operator in the USA - defensive business model, more interesting valuation after the correction.

14. Lam Research

Important supplier for the semiconductor industry - currently affected by the weak semiconductor market, but enormously important in the long term.

With these words, I wish you a pleasant Sunday evening and a successful week! $META (+0.93%)
$LRCX (+1.71%)
$HCA (+0.24%)
$DGE (-1.34%)
$ASML (-0.75%)
$AMZN (+0.08%)
$GOOGL (+0.48%)
$ZETA (-0.42%)
$TTD (+1.89%)
$TGT (-0.65%)
$SHOP (+1.39%)
$CRM (+0.86%)
$O (-0.16%)
$PYPL (+0.51%)

#etfs
#dividends
#stockanalysis
#aktien
#tech