(This is not investment advice!)
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Postos
41(This is not investment advice!)
$AAPL (+0,09%)
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$GEV (-3,7%)
📊 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬
• GAAP EPS: $4.81 (Normalized Est. $4.00, not directly comparable).
• Revenue: $12.64B (Est. $12.00B) ✅, +27% YoY.
• Organic Revenue Growth: +18% YoY.
• Orders: $29.3B, +96% organically YoY.
• Backlog: $197B, +$20B QoQ.
• Adj. EBITDA: $1.94B (vs. $811M YoY).
• Adj. EBITDA Margin: 15.4%, +730 bps YoY.
• Operating Cash Flow: $6.06B.
• Free Cash Flow: $5.41B (vs. $732M YoY).
• Cash Balance: $16.8B.
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🎯 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞
• FY2026 Revenue: $46.5B–$47.5B, midpoint $47.0B (Est. $46.32B) ✅, raised.
• FY2026 Adj. EBITDA Margin: 13.5%–14.5%, raised from 12%–14%.
• FY2026 Free Cash Flow: $16B–$17B, raised from $11.5B–$12.5B.
• FY2026 Power Organic Revenue Growth: 19%–21%, raised.
• FY2026 Power EBITDA Margin: 19%–21%, raised.
• Gas Power Equipment Commitments: ≥130 GW by year-end 2026.
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📌 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬
• Q3 revenue beat consensus by ~5.4%, driven by Power and Electrification.
• Power orders surged 178% to $21.8B, with revenue up 25% to $6.1B.
• Electrification revenue increased 51% to $3.9B, with equipment backlog reaching $42.2B.
• Gas turbine backlog and slot reservations reached 122 GW, up from 116 GW.
• Power EBITDA margin expanded 800 bps to 21.4%.
• FY2026 free cash flow guidance midpoint increased by $4.5B to $16.5B.
• Share repurchase authorization doubled to $20B, with $10.1B remaining.
• Management expects total backlog to exceed $200B in Q4.
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💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐲
“We delivered strong financial results in the third quarter as demand for electricity infrastructure increases around the world.”
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At 63, I continue to invest in stocks and future technologies. However, my portfolio looks slightly different today than it did a few months ago, as my need for security has increased.
Erratic U.S. politics, a steadily rising national debt, and increasing geopolitical tensions have changed the landscape for me. The stock market feels less predictable. Political decisions can shake up entire industries within a matter of hours. I’ve responded to this by safety net.
My portfolio now consists of three segments with clearly distinct roles:
The CORE 🥑 63.7% (higher security)
Nearly 64% of my portfolio now makes up the stable core. This includes the VanEck Morningstar Developed Markets Dividend Leaders, the Vanguard FTSE All-World (Dist), the iShares STOXX Global Select Dividend 100, and EUWAX Gold II.
The global equity ETFs provide diversification and regular distributions. Gold complements the Core as an additional hedge. Dividends continue to play an important role for me, accounting for 63%. I want to build up a growing supplemental pension over the coming years while maintaining a core that is as stable as possible.
SATELLITE 1 🛰️ 23.7% (medium risk)
This is where I invest in opportunities with moderate risk. These include established companies such as NVIDIA, TSMC, Apple, and UniCredit. I’ve also added my NGT anchor stocks, such as Lam Research $LRCX (-3,73%) , ATI $ATI (+0,17%) , and GE Vernova $GEV (-3,7%) , two thematic ETFs for quantum computing $QNTM (-1,17%) and biotechnology $GNOM , as well as the wikifolio “Silent Winners” $STWINNER (-0,89%). NGT stands for Next-Gen Technologies.
This segment is intended to create additional return opportunities while offering greater stability than my smaller NGT companies. The NGT anchor holdings, in particular, play a key role here. They allow me to maintain targeted exposure to structural technological bottlenecks through companies whose business models are already significantly more established.
SATELLITE 2 🚀 12.6% (lower risk)
This segment can be significantly more speculative. It consists exclusively of my NGT Steady Scouts (e.g., $BE) (-5,2%) and Rocket Scouts (e.g., $RKLB) (-1,71%). The Steady Scouts currently account for 10.8% of my total portfolio. The significantly more speculative Rocket Scouts account for just 1.8%. This ensures that this portion remains large enough to make a noticeable contribution in the event of successful investments. At the same time, its impact on my total assets remains limited.
NGT remains ♟️
My conviction in NGT and the DIBS strategy has not fundamentally changed. I continue to invest in technological bottlenecks related to AI infrastructure, photonics, energy supply, advanced packaging, defense, space, and other future-oriented fields. What has changed is their role in my overall portfolio.
The NGT holdings are now spread across two risk levels. The established “Anchors” are in Satellite 1 with moderate certainty. “Steady Scouts” and “Rocket Scouts” make up the smaller, more speculative Satellite 2 segment. Overall, my direct NGT exposure now accounts for less than a quarter of my portfolio.
AUTOMATION ⚙️
My cash flow system also remains in place. Dividends are automatically reinvested. Savings plans continue to run. In the event of exceptionally high price gains, my fixed rules for taking profits kick in. Capital that becomes available can then flow back into the more stable segments of my portfolio.
This is how my safety net continues to evolve alongside my life and the broader economic conditions. At 63, I want to continue participating in the technologies of tomorrow. And I’d like to be able to sleep a little better 😴 while doing so.
📊 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬
• EPS: $2.47 (Est. $3.04) ❌
• Revenue: $11.10B (Est. $10.77B) ✅
• Orders: $24.2B, +88% organically
• Adjusted EBITDA: $1.25B, margin 11.3%, +280 bps YoY
• Free cash flow: $5.11B
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🎯 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞
• FY2026 revenue: $45.5B–46.5B (Est. $45.48B) 🟰
• FY2026 adjusted EBITDA margin: 12%–14%
• FY2026 free cash flow: $11.5B–12.5B, raised from $6.5B–7.5B ✅
• Power organic revenue growth: 18%–20%, raised from 16%–18%
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📌 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬
• Backlog increased by $13.0B sequentially to $176B, supported by strong equipment and services demand.
• Gas Power equipment backlog and slot reservation agreements increased to 116 GW, with management now expecting at least 125 GW by year-end.
• Data center orders exceeded $5B year-to-date, more than double the full-year 2025 total.
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💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐲
CEO Scott Strazik said global demand across Power and Electrification continues to accelerate, driving record backlog, strong cash generation and higher guidance. He highlighted expanding gas turbine capacity and rapidly growing data center demand as key long-term growth drivers.
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$FIX (-3,17%)
To round off my setup on the topic of the AI energy boom, I have added to my portfolio alongside $GEV (-3,7%) and $ENR (-0,87%) a little. Both cover the macro grid infrastructure and benefit from higher forecasts.
$WIRE (-1,38%) Bought to further overweight GEV and Siemens Energy as a base.
$2308 Delta Electronics, also via the $FLXT (-4,34%) Taiwan Index. Delta supplies power management and power supplies at the server rack level, which is important for AI clusters.
$RR. (+1,35%) Rolls Royce is the operational complement. Provides the decentralized link directly at the interface to the data center (emergency power, compact gas power plants. Good backup to Siemens and GEV.


Forward P/E 56 (expensive!)
but :
ROE 75%
ROIC 35%
FCF growth the last 3 years: 102% FY2026, +118% FY2025 and +280% FY2024
Sales forecast next 5 years +9.6% p.a. I like to believe. ☺️
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