As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week.

Also as a video:

https://youtube.com/shorts/rbhV9BFbYek?si=MM7rc8gbGu0QGA1l

Monday:

Better-than-expected GDP figures from Japan 🇯🇵. Private consumption in particular is supporting growth. Exports were also higher than expected. This could make further interest rate hikes in Japan easier. While interest rates are falling everywhere, they are currently rising in Japan.

https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/der_boersen_tag/Japan-BIP-stuetzt-weitere-Zinsschritte-article25567730.html

Wednesday:

Not only Rheinmetall but also the British $BA. (-0,14%) BAE Systems also exceeded expectations. At around 34 billion euros, sales exceeded expectations. Profits also exceeded expectations. The dividend is also set to rise.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/geschaeftszahlen-im-newsblog-hsbc-steigert-den-gewinn-ueberraschend-stark/24098412.html

Little movement after the FOMC minutes. The Fed is particularly concerned about Trump's tariffs, as these could fuel inflation again.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldpolitik/protokolle-fed-besorgt-ueber-moegliche-folgen-von-trumps-zollplaenen-auf-inflation/100108538.html

Thursday:

Even before tariffs, profits at $MBG (-1,31%) Mercedes had already fallen significantly. The bottom line is still 10.4 billion euros. That is 28% less than in 2023. The return on sales is 8.1%. A decline is also expected in the forecast for 2025. The dividend is to be reduced to 4.30 euros. A large share buyback program is to reduce dividend payments in the coming year.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/autobauer-mercedes-meldet-gewinneinbruch-fuer-2024/100108257.html

Producer prices rise by 0.5% in January 2025 compared to the same month last year. Experts had expected an increase of 1.3%. Falling energy prices are primarily responsible for the result. This is good news in terms of inflation, as producer prices are a leading indicator of future inflation.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/konjunktur/inflation-erzeugerpreise-steigen-um-05-prozent-im-vergleich-zum-vorjahr/100108612.html

These are the most important dates for the coming week:

Monday: 10:00 ifo Business Climate Index (DE)

Thursday: 14:30 GDP figures (USA)

Friday: 14:00 Inflation data (DE)

Can you think of any other dates? Write it in the comments 👇

#geschäftsklima
#bip
#usa
#inflation

$BA. (-0,14%) Does anyone know the reason for the sharp fall in BAE Systems' share price? If I'm not mistaken, the company is quite well positioned. Is it perhaps because it is based in a non-EU country?

I can imagine that for the latter reason, investors are more likely to go for EU companies (e.g. BAE Systems). $LDO (-2,25%) ).

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Was sold:

$BA. (-0,14%) (-7%)

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Was topped up $COST (+0,22%)

Now the nice purchase price of €777 is gone and I've landed at €841.88.

Maybe I'll activate a savings plan and try to catch the 888. 🙈

In any case, Costco is a long-runner with an excellent track record and in the past, buying below the 50-day line (like now) has always been good enough.

On into December. November was extremely (good), mainly driven by Palantir.

An update on the portfolio. My 'Dull Seven' - a nice boring 7 positions (2 ETFs and 5 individual stocks).

Long-term investment strategy with an investment horizon of another 15-18 years. From then on it would slowly move towards retirement. I have been invested since 02/2023.

The ETFs as my main investment with currently just under 37% (depressed by Palantir) and the goal of reaching 50-60% at some point.

• $VWRL (-0,91%) FTSE All-World to keep US below 60% in the long term. (savings plan)
• $VUSA (-1,13%) S&P 500 extra to take advantage of slightly higher returns compared to the All-World. (savings plan)

Plus a handful of individual stocks:

• $MSFT (-1,57%) for long-term blue chip growth with a small dividend. (savings plan)
• $8001 (+0,66%) long-term strong growth and a decent dividend. (savings plan)
• $ALV (-0,14%) as a long-term runner with a decent yield and very good dividend. (savings plan)
• $BA. (-0,14%) back in since September. (savings plan)
• $PLTR (-3,33%) as a long-term tech bet with +190% so far/since November '23. Additional purchases when opportunities arise.

Analyst updates, 29.11.

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- BOFA raises the price target for SIEMENS ENERGY from EUR 48 to EUR 52. Neutral. $ENR (-4,27%)

- GOLDMAN raises the target price for DEUTSCHE TELEKOM from EUR 37 to EUR 39. Buy. $DTE (+0,67%)

- BERENBERG raises the price target for PFIZER from USD 27 to USD 29. Hold. $PFE (+1,91%)

- JPMORGAN raises the target price for JUST EAT TAKEAWAY from GBP 14.15 to GBP 16.02. Overweight. $TKWY (+0,67%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the target price for RATIONAL from EUR 800 to EUR 810. Hold. $RAA (+1,23%)

- BOFA upgrades SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC from Underperform to Neutral and raises target price from 175 EUR to 255 EUR. $SU (+0,5%)

- BOFA raises the price target for NORDEX from 17.90 EUR to 19.30 EUR. Buy. $NDX1 (+0,87%)

- BERENBERG raises the target price for ZALANDO from EUR 29.70 to EUR 38. Buy. $ZAL (-1,25%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH upgrades WACKER NEUSON from Hold to Buy. Target price EUR 17. $WAC (+0,59%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for ALZCHEM from EUR 75 to EUR 77.50. Buy. $ACT (-0,43%)

- ODDO BHF upgrades NORMA GROUP from Neutral to Outperform. Target price EUR 18.10. $NOEJ (-2,91%)

- BOFA raises the price target for KNORR-BREMSE from EUR 68 to EUR 70. Underperform. $KBX (+0,71%)

- BOFA upgrades ABB to Buy. $ABBNY (-0,56%)

- BOFA upgrades KION from Neutral to Buy and raises target price from EUR 39.50 to EUR 48.50. $KGX (-0,36%)

- BOFA upgrades JUNGHEINRICH from Underperform to Neutral and raises target price from EUR 24 to EUR 26. $JUN3 (-0,22%)

- BERENBERG raises the price target for GLOBAL FASHION GROUP from EUR 0.23 to EUR 0.27. Hold. $GFG (-1,94%)

- HSBC raises the price target for DEUTSCHE BÖRSE from EUR 230 to EUR 236. Buy. $DB1 (-0,57%)

⬇️⬇️⬇️

- KEPLER CHEUVREUX lowers the price target for HUGO BOSS from EUR 59 to EUR 41. Buy. $BOSS (+0,31%)

- BOFA downgrades GENERALI from Neutral to Underperform and raises target price from EUR 26 to EUR 27. $G (-1,43%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for L'OREAL from EUR 335 to EUR 280. Sell. $OR (+1,22%)

- BOFA lowers the target price for BAE SYSTEMS from GBP 13.75 to GBP 12.40. Underperform. $BA. (-0,14%)

- BERENBERG lowers the price target for ALLGEIER from EUR 22 to EUR 19. Buy. $0RQZ

Passed the next thousand faster than expected - 5,000. An update on the portfolio. My 'Dull Seven' - a nice boring 7 positions (2 ETFs and 5 individual shares).

Long-term investment strategy with an investment horizon of another 15-18 years. From then on it would slowly move towards retirement. I have been invested since 02/2023.

The ETFs as my main investment with currently just under 40% and the goal of reaching 50-60% at some point.

• $VWRL (-0,91%) FTSE All-World, which has now replaced the MSCI World, in order to keep the US below 60% in the long term. (savings plan)
• $VUSA (-1,13%) S&P 500 extra to take advantage of slightly higher returns than the All-World. (savings plan)

Plus a handful of individual stocks:

• $MSFT (-1,57%) f long-term blue chip growth with a small dividend. (savings plan)
• $8001 (+0,66%) long-term strong growth and a decent dividend. (savings plan)
• $ALV (-0,14%) as a long-term runner with a decent yield and very good dividend. (savings plan)
• $BA. (-0,14%) (UPDATE) back in since September. (savings plan)
• $PLTR (-3,33%) as a long-term tech bet with +140% so far/since November '23. Additional purchases when opportunities arise.

02.10.2024

Middle East escalation drives oil and armaments, airlines weak + Boeing considers billion-euro capital increase

Oil stocks benefited from the news of a possible conflagration in the oil-rich Middle East, as this is associated with the risk of a shortage of the raw material. Chevron $CVX (-0,58%) , Exxonmobil $XOM (-0,73%) and ConocoPhillips $COP (-3,4%) gained up to 2.4 percent in New York. In Europe Totalenergies $TTE (-1,26%) and Eni $ENI (-0,63%) rose by up to 1.4 percent. In times of war, it is also not unusual for arms manufacturers to see share price gains. In the USA, for example Lockheed Martin $LMT (+2,16%) and RTX $RTX (-1,21%) recorded gains of around 2.7 percent in some cases, while in Europe Rheinmetall $RHM (-1,89%) was particularly popular in Europe, with a rise of more than 5 percent. BAE Systems $BA. (-0,14%) were 3 percent higher.

The situation was different for shares in tourism groups and airlines. For the latter, the risks of higher kerosene prices are increasing. Some travel destinations may also be canceled for the time being and the risk of terrorist attacks is increasing. Investors in Tui $TUI1 (-1,21%) saw their share price fall by 2.5 percent. For the share price of Lufthansa $LHA (-0,44%) fell by more than 2 percent. IAG $IAG (-1,73%) lost 3.9 percent. Shares in US airlines such as American, Delta and United Airlines fell by up to 2.4 percent.

The US aircraft manufacturer Boeing $BA (-1,57%) is considering a capital increase in the double-digit billion range in its ongoing crisis, according to insiders. The company is considering issuing new shares worth at least 10 billion US dollars (just under 9 billion euros), the Bloomberg news agency reported on Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter. The fresh money from shareholders is intended to fill the manufacturer's coffers, which are becoming ever emptier as a result of years of ongoing crisis with flight bans and production restrictions as well as the recent strike by tens of thousands of employees. A Boeing spokesperson declined to comment. According to insiders, it is likely to be at least a month before Boeing gets serious about such a capital increase

Economic data, quarterly figures

Stock market holiday in China

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Cisco Systems USD 0.40

Quarterly figures / company dates Europe

07:00 Grenke new business 3Q

09:00 Gea Group Capital Markets Day

No time specified: Totalenergies Investor Day - 2024 Strategy & Outlook

Economic data

• 11:00 EU: Labor market data August Eurozone Unemployment rate Forecast: 6.4% Previous: 6.4%
• 14:15 US: ADP Labor Market Report September Private Sector Employment PROGNOSE: +128,000 jobs previous: +99,000 jobs

I don't think there is much more growth in the position.

Will be reallocated to $VDEV (-1,09%)
$TDIV (-0,63%)
$SEDY (-0,26%)
$BTO (+1,09%)
$NSRGY (+4,01%) .

$RKLB (-6,21%) I am currently at a bit of a loss with the Rocket Lab USA share. 🤔

I'm wondering whether there's more hype than substance behind the company. Do you see the stock more as a short-term "bet" or as a buy-and-hold stock?

I wanted to get some opinions here because of my perplexity and it might also help others.

Which other companies do you see as possible investments in this area? I could imagine this, for example, with $BA. (-0,14%) BAE Systems).

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$RKLB I'm currently a bit uncertain about the Rocket Lab USA stock. 🤔

I'm wondering if there's more hype than substance behind the company.

Do you see the stock as more of a short-term "bet" or a buy-and-hold stock?

I wanted to gather some opinions here and maybe it could help others too.

What other companies do you see as potential investments in this sector? I could imagine something like $BA BAE Systems, for example.