$BTC (+0,32%) is down 6.84% this month, making it the first red October since 2018, and the worst October in 11 years.
What do you think about that?
Postos
3.234$BTC (+0,32%) is down 6.84% this month, making it the first red October since 2018, and the worst October in 11 years.
What do you think about that?
The crypto bull market is over for me. ETHZilla & Sequan as crypto treasuries reduce holdings and prefer to buy back shares, as this is more worthwhile due to mNAV<1. Metaplanet is also starting to buy back shares. I am out with the last small $BTC (+0,32%) -remainder out now too.
The last proceeds from the buy-in and price gain were immediately invested in a position in my crypto follow-on portfolio. $BATS (+0,45%) I am looking forward to an increase.
All in all, I was perhaps a little too greedy and should have exited earlier. But what the heck. I went home with a really good profit. I couldn't have imagined that in 2022 when I started the strategy.
All in all, I was perhaps a little too greedy and should have exited earlier. But what the heck. I went home with a really good profit. I couldn't have imagined that in 2022 when I started the strategy.
And what if there's another new ATH? It doesn't matter, that doesn't make any difference to me. Greed is a bitch. Those who get in now will pay those who get out. That's the problem with crypto: it's a zero-sum game. I'd rather stick with my shares, where there are real value-creating companies behind them.🤗
Now it's time to wait and see. My formula for calculating where the ATH might be missed it by $1000. I think that's pretty good, don't you? Even if it goes up to 130K again.... No longer relevant for me.
That's my rational approach to estimating the low in the bear market. If we get close, I will start buying via DCA, financed by dividends from the crypto successor portfolio, because parking in stable coins is not an option for me for this period, it means a loss of purchasing power. 1 year before the end of 2029, if the tax situation remains as it is, I will stop buying and then get out again tax-free.
Only the person with the crystal ball in Delphi knows whether the strategy will continue to work out in the future or whether I will change my mind. 🔮
Canary Capital’s $XRP (-0,49%) Spot #etfs is reportedly nearing approval after removing the “delaying amendment” from its S-1 filing, meaning it could become auto-effective within 20 days. Pending Nasdaq’s Form 8-A approval, the ETF might launch by mid-November. With Canary’s prior experience in LTC and HBAR ETFs, this could mark a solid step toward deeper institutional exposure for XRP.
$BTC (+0,32%) , meanwhile, continues to hold around $109,654, sitting just above its $107K support as momentum (Stochastic RSI ≈ 15) stays muted. It’s one of those phases where patience and steady observation feel like the real strategy.
Between watching these developments, I joined the #bingx x402 Special Spin Fiesta, a limited-time event where verified users complete simple tasks to earn spins for rewards from an 80,000 USDT pool and Apple products. Came across it through BingX’s official listings page on X, and it’s been a refreshing way to stay engaged between trades.
Do you think the XRP ETF could shift sentiment across the broader market, or will Bitcoin keep setting the tone?
It's the last day of the month, and the market is exploding higher, in a strong risk-onmove driven by a series of stellar earnings in the Tech sector. The day is dominated by impressive rallies, although key divergences remain.
🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Open)
$SPX500 — Futures are moving decidedly higher, driven by the Mega-Cap rally.
$DJ30 — Up, as positive sentiment spreads.
$NSDQ100 — In a strong rally, the index is being pulled higher by $AMZN$ and $GOOGL$.
💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot
$NVDA (-0,82%) — In a solid rise, the stock is outperforming and leading the AI sector.
$GOOGL (-1,49%) — Rallying strongly, the market reacts with euphoria to its earnings, pushing the stock higher.
$AVGO (-1,82%) — Slightly down, counter-trending the sector, showing weakness.
$META (-3,6%) — Up, the stock is recovering lost ground and joining the positive sentiment.
$MSFT (-2,2%) — Slightly up, attempting a modest recovery along with the Nasdaq rally.
$TSM (-1,52%) — Slightly up, showing resilience in the chip sector.
$RR. (-0,07%) — Slightly down, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.
$RKLB (+0,93%) — Slightly up, showing cautious optimism in the new techspace.
$RGTI (+0%) — Up, the quantum sector follows the speculative sentiment.
🛍️ Retail & Commerce
$AMZN (-3,94%) — Exploding higher, the stock is dominating the market with an impressive rally, clearly following earnings that beat all expectations.
$BABA (-2,58%) — Falling sharply, continuing its negative performance, crashing against the US tech trend.
$CVNA (-1,14%) — Up, the stock is participating in the risk-onmove and recovering ground.
$SHOP (-1%) — Stable, failing to benefit from the $AMZN rally.
⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical
$LLY (+2,54%) — Slightly down, the defensive Pharma sector is being sold as capital rotates into Tech.
$HIMS (+3,1%) — Stable, awaiting catalysts.
$INSM (-2,07%) — Stable, the biotech sector is flat.
🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials
STOXX 600 — Mixed, Europe is not fully participating in the US rally.
GER40 — Mixed/Slightly down, reflecting uncertainty.
$LDO (+0,8%) — Slightly up, the defense sector shows some strength.
$IBE (+0,13%) — Slightly up, utilities are stable/positive.
$OKLO — Stable, the nuclear stock is flat.
$CS (-4,51%) — Down, the European financial sector is weak.
🏦 Banking & Finance
$UCG (+1,08%) — Slightly up, the Italian banking sector is mixed.
$ISP (-2,41%) — Slightly up, showing modest strength.
$BPE (+0,51%) — Solidly up, continuing its outperformance and positive trend.
$CE (+0%) Up, another strong performer in Italian banking.
$BBVA (+0,76%) — Up, the Spanish bank is recovering ground.
$AXP (+0,82%) — Slightly down, the payments sector is weak.
$V (-0,89%) — Down, following the weakness in $AXP$.
🌏 Asia
$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Closed mixed/negative, weighed down by weakness in Chinese stocks ($BABA$).
💱 Forex
$DXY — The Dollar Index is stable/slightly down, reflecting the conflicting sentiment.
$EURUSD — Stable/Slightly upagainst a weaker Dollar.
$USDJPY — Stable.
💎 Commodities & Precious Metals
$GLD (-0,32%) — Stable, gold is flat, not benefiting from the defensive sell-off or the tech risk-on.
$CDE (-2,75%) — Stable, following gold.
$BRENT / $WTI — Down, oil is dropping due to demand fears (e.g., $BABA data).
💰 Crypto
$BTC (+0,32%) / $ETH (+0,38%) — Up, crypto is following the risk-onrally led by $AMZN and $GOOGL.
$TRX (+0,41%) — Up, the altcoin sector is participating in the positive sentiment.
$CRO (+1,03%) — Up, in line with the sector.
📈 Benchmark ETFs
$VOO (-0,04%) / $VGT (-0,38%) / $CNDX — The real sentiment is being pulled higher by their main components.
$BND (+0,25%) — Stable, investors are also looking for safety in bonds.
🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Earnings Divergence
Today is the definition of a "stock market," not a "market of stocks." There is no single sentiment. Quarterly results are creating massive divergences:
1. The Winners: $AMZN (-3,94%) and $GOOGL (-1,49%) are on fire, saving the $NSDQ100 single-handedly.
2. The Losers: $BABA (-2,58%) is collapsing, signaling weakness in Chinese and speculative retail.
3. The Isolated Strong:Italian banks ($BPE (+0,51%) , $CE (+0%) ) and $BBVA (+0,76%) continue to outperform.
4. The Defensives:Gold ($GLD (-0,32%) ) is flat, while Pharma ($LLY (+2,54%) ) and European financials ($CS (-4,51%)
) are weak.
Follow the Analysis:
For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli
To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys
⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.
The $BOS (BitcoinOS) token launched on October 29, 2025, and I grabbed mine o#bingx at around $0.0062. BOS is designed to enhance $BTC (+0,32%) scalability with zero-knowledge proofs and smart contracts, opening doors for DeFi and cross-chain interoperability.
Meanwhile, 21Shares has filed with the SEC to launch a Hyperliquid ETF, giving exposure to the $HYPE (-1,93%) token. Following a 32% surge in HYPE’s price, the platform’s TVL also rose 10.9%, showing strong growth in DeFi liquidity.
On my end, I made some trades on BingX, and my position resulted in a solid +2.96% PnL. As the market remains volatile post-FOMC rate cut, platforms like BOS are paving the way for more scalable blockchain solutions.
What’s your take on the growing role of DeFi and blockchain projects like BOS?
Bitcoin is widely regarded as the original and first truly decentralized digital money, whose creation sparked an entire industry that reached a value of $3.9 trillion on October 13, 2025. It remains the reference point for all digital assets, providing open financial rails globally and acting as a benchmark against which the rest of the crypto market is measured.
But Bitcoin was just the beginning. A broader, more experimental universe of cryptoassets also exists: projects that often behave less like currencies and more like technology-driven start-ups. Like start-ups, they can be volatile and unpredictable, but sometimes deliver exceptional growth and long-term adoption.
For investors, the question is no longer whether to look beyond $BTC (+0,32%) should look beyond, but where. Which networks and tokens are actually building something that will last?
Beyond Bitcoin: Why look at altcoins?
This does not mean that the rest of the digital asset universe should be ignored. For investors, the key question is not whether to look beyond Bitcoin, but where. Which networks and tokens are actually creating sustainable value?
One answer is Solana.
Solana and its native token $SOL (-1,45%) have become one of the clearest examples of both the potential and the risks of the digital asset class. In April 2020, the SOL price was around 0.22 US dollars. By November 2021, it had risen to over USD 250 - an increase of more than 113,000% in just 588 days. Then came the crash: by January 2023, SOL had fallen by almost 97% and was close to USD 10. For many, the story seemed to end there: another speculative bubble that crumbled into insignificance.
But less than 1,000 days later, SOL is hovering around USD 200 again. What seemed to be over became one of the most unexpected comebacks in the crypto world.
The story of the comeback
Solana's darkest moment came during the collapse of FTX in November 2022. The once largest exchange in the world had close ties to Solana through its trading firm Alameda Research and its decentralized exchange Serum, which was built on the Solana blockchain. When FTX collapsed, Solana was immediately branded the "FTX coin".
Investors feared a flood of released tokens flooding the market, and confidence evaporated almost overnight. The narrative was brutal: if FTX falls, Solana falls with it.
But that is exactly what did not happen. Despite the panic, Solana's network continued to run uninterrupted. The security model held, the validators kept working, and the core developers kept building. Lily Liu, president of the Solana Foundation, later said in an interview with CoinShares:
"Many people thought Solana was dead, absolutely certain that it was destroyed. But what never changed: No one abandoned the project and everyone kept building."
Collapse of market sentiment
From its peak in November 2021 to January 2023, SOL's decline reflected the collapse of sentiment in the crypto market as a whole. Projects with weaker communities or limited use cases disappeared completely. Many compared Solana to previous "Ethereum killers" such as EOS or NEAR, which never recovered from their crashes.
Within the Solana community, morale was fragile. Developers questioned whether it was worth continuing, and investors withdrew en masse. But as Liu pointed out, the core developers stayed:
"At the all-time low, emotions were different. But no one ever intended to leave. We just thought: now is the time to rebuild."
It is against this backdrop that Solana's resurgence must be assessed. The greater the doubt, the more remarkable the recovery.
From 2023 to the resurrection
Solana's journey could easily have ended in 2022. Projects that survive both a loss of reputation and repeated technical failures rarely come back, and history is full of tokens that quietly disappeared after similar crises. But Solana's story was different. What looked like the end became a new beginning.
From 2023 onwards, technical improvements, a loyal community and new institutional partnerships created the conditions for a revival. The ecosystem moved from survival mode to expansion, positioning Solana as one of the most dynamic platforms in the industry. Once stability issues were under control, Solana turned its focus to applications that could prove the blockchain's relevance. Unlike Bitcoin, whose main use case is the store of value, Solana positioned itself as an infrastructure for user-centric products.
Lily Liu explained:
"By the end of 2024, we became number one in terms of actual economic value captured, then also number one in application revenue, and also the fastest growing developer ecosystem. Part of the Solana ethos from the beginning has been that the network is continuously improving."
From a low of around $8 in December 2022, Solana has risen more than 2,600% from its floor price. Solana's recovery has surprised critics and forced investors to recognize its resilience. Few could have imagined that Solana, once written off, would return to being one of the preferred platforms for developers, investors and institutions.
The unexpected comeback
Solana's turning point began rather quietly in 2023. While public attention was focused on FTX's bankruptcy, engineers concentrated on stability, bug fixes and performance improvements. Once the network was working reliably, attention turned back to the most important things: real-world use cases.
Unlike Bitcoin, which primarily serves as a store of value, Solana positioned itself as an infrastructure for applications. It became the backbone for developers building products for end users.
The reconstruction was evident on several levels.
The moment Solana regained credibility was September 5, 2023, when Visa extended its stablecoin settlements to the Solana blockchain. This was not an experiment, but a live integration. Visa began settling millions of USDC transactions directly on Solana and Ethereum, in partnership with acquirers such as Worldpay and Nuvei.
For consumers, nothing changed: a coffee paid for with Visa was still settled immediately. Behind the scenes, however, the payment channel was different. Instead of using expensive, slow transfers, Visa could now move funds almost free of charge and in 400 milliseconds block time. Treasury operations were suddenly running at internet speed.
Symbolically, this moment was as significant as it was technologically. Visa's integration marked Solana's transition from an "experimental chain" to institutionally credible financial infrastructure.
As a result, Solana Pay gained momentum as a lightweight protocol for direct merchant payments. Cafés, online stores and small retailers began accepting stablecoins - a quiet but significant step towards mainstream utility.
Solana's comeback was as much cultural as technical. The network became home to memecoins, internet-powered tokens that turned speculation into social interaction. With fast transactions and minimal fees, Solana provided the perfect environment for this new wave of experimentation.
Tokens like Bonk and platforms like Pump.fun made it easy for anyone to launch new coins and helped build grassroots communities around gamified assets. These tokens, often humorous, became surprisingly powerful tools for engagement - fostering creativity, user onboarding and liquidity.
By January 2025, Solana's cultural reach reached new heights when Donald Trump launched his $TRUMP token on the network, just days before his inauguration. This launch underscored Solana's status as the platform of choice for viral tokens and attention-grabbing experiments.
More importantly, institutional capital was finally arriving. BlackRock extended its $2.9 billion BUIDL fund to Solana, while Franklin Templeton launched its tokenized FOBXX fund on the chain. Together, these moves lifted Solana's market for tokenized real assets to a record $671 million, proving that the Chain has matured from experimental to institutional platform.
This wave of validation confirmed Solana's place in the global financial system. What was once a high-speed blockchain for developers has evolved into a key component of the digital financial system supporting payments, markets and real-world assets.
As Lily Liu said in her CoinShares interview:
"We have the full spectrum, at one end money market funds from some of our most respected institutions and at the other end memecoins, about which opinions are divided."
Bitcoin as an anchor, altcoins for growth
Bitcoin remains the anchor of the digital financial world: decentralized, stable and resistant to censorship. It continues to serve as digital gold, a hedge against currency devaluation and the basis of the crypto-economy.
But beyond Bitcoin, networks like Solana show that the next phase of blockchain innovation is driven by utility, not ideology. Stablecoins move billions of dollars every day. DeFi platforms offer open liquidity. Solana shows that powerful chains can support real users, products and revenue.
For investors, the lesson is clear: the broader digital asset landscape works more like venture capital: most projects fail, while a small handful achieve market transformation. Altcoins should not be equated with Bitcoin, but selective exposure can offer above-average opportunities.
I'm still studying and whenever I get a fixed salary, I get paid first. The last few months I've invested riskily and without a salary. Besides that, I want to bring some kind of order and automatism. My portfolio strategy is risk-taking, but still focused on growth with stability. I still have plenty of time, hopefully. The percentages are not set in stone, but the portfolio should already have a safe haven.
My current budget is €250:
50% in $HMWS (+0,21%) = 125€
16% in $BTC (+0,32%) = 40€
4% in $ETH (+0,38%) = 10€
10% in $EWG2 (-0,35%) = 25€
20% in various shares = 50€
Gladly feedback!
This infographic provides a speculative forecast for the distribution of Bitcoin ($BTC (+0,32%)) ownership by 2025, set against a total supply of 21 million coins and a projected price point of $116,636.
A deeper analysis of these projections, when compared with current market data, reveals several critical trends regarding supply, institutional adoption, and the role of the individual investor.
The Institutional & Corporate Slice
The chart projects a significant institutional and sovereign presence:
ETFs: 7.07% (approx. 1.48M BTC)
Public Companies: 4.45% (approx. 934,500 BTC)
Countries & Governments: 2.46% (approx. 516,600 BTC)
Private Companies: 2.03% (approx. 426,300 BTC)
This combined 16.01% institutional share is an aggressive but plausible continuation of current trends. As of late 2024, global Bitcoin ETFs (led by the US spot ETFs) already hold over 1 million BTC. The projection of 1.48M BTC by 2025 would require sustained, positive inflows.
Similarly, the 4.45% for public companies implies a massive expansion beyond the current dominant holder, MicroStrategy (which holds 214,000+ BTC). This forecast suggests a broader corporate treasury adoption strategy will take hold. The "Countries & Governments" slice (2.46%) is also notable, as it far exceeds the known holdings of El Salvador and must account for large, seized reserves held by entities like the US Government.
The "Retail" Majority: A Question of Definition
The most significant claim is the 71.75% ($1.76 Trillion) share attributed to "Estimated Retail Holdings." This figure suggests that Bitcoin, despite its institutional maturation, remains a fundamentally retail-driven asset.
However, this number warrants scrutiny. "Retail" is notoriously difficult to define. On-chain analytics, which often classify "retail" as addresses holding less than 10 BTC, typically place this figure between 30-40% of the circulating supply.
The 71.75% figure in the chart is likely calculated as a "remainder"—it represents all coins not definitively allocated to the other categories (Institutions, Satoshi, etc.). This means "Retail Holdings" in this context is a broad basket that likely includes:
Individual small holders ("shrimp" and "crabs").
Unidentified "whales" (large private investors).
Vast commingled balances held on exchanges on behalf of millions of retail users.
While the principle of distributed ownership is a core tenet of Bitcoin, the 71.75% figure should be viewed as an estimate of non-institutional supply rather than a precise count of small investors.
The Illiquid & Dormant Supply
Two categories represent a permanent or long-term constraint on liquid supply:
Satoshi Nakamoto (Creator): 5.22% (approx. 1.09M BTC)
To be Mined: 5.23% (approx. 1.1M BTC)
Satoshi's estimated 1.1 million coins have been dormant since their mining in 2009-2010 and are widely presumed to be lost or intentionally locked forever. The "To be Mined" portion represents the remaining supply to be issued via block rewards until the 21 million cap is reached circa 2140.
These two segments combined, representing over 10% of the total supply, are effectively off-market, placing a permanent structural squeeze on the "available" supply for all other participants.
Conclusion
This projection paints a picture of a market in transition. It highlights a "dual-narrative" where Bitcoin is simultaneously experiencing rapid institutional and sovereign adoption while its ownership (for now) remains highly distributed. The primary tension remains locked in its protocol: a fixed, scarce supply of 21 million units competing for an expanding and diversifying base of owners.
After a lot of back and forth, I found my way.
The last few years on the stock market have been a learning and growth process for me. Of course, this process is far from complete, but I am now at the beginning of my own path and am ready to continue on it consistently.
It wasn't always like this.
I tried a lot of things on the stock market, sometimes dividend shares, then quality shares or strategies à la Finanzfluss and Co. but none of it was really mine.
So in the end, through trial and error, I came up with my own approach: my 3-pillar model, which I would like to briefly introduce here.
This pillar consists of long-term positions that I never sell.
Currently, these are my world and US ETFs and Bitcoin. Gold and a dividend ETF will probably be added in the coming years.
This is about selected stocks with a focus on growth and momentum.
I trade actively and will try to take out my net investment (and possibly some profit) as often as possible.
Example: With a price gain of around 138%, I can sell 50% at the Austrian tax rate and have the net investment back out again.
German investors can already be happy at around 133% (I have not included the tax-free amount here).
I then let the remaining profit continue passively over the long term.
The third pillar consists of short-term trading, mainly on a daily and weekly basis.
How it all works together
Profits from the second and third pillars currently flow partly into the first pillar and partly remain to strengthen the respective pillar.
Over time, the proportion that goes into the first pillar will increase.
This creates a small leverage effect, if you like, on my ETF savings plan.
My goals and risk appetite
My overriding goal is to achieve financial independence before the age of 50. Ideally, the distributions from my first pillar will then be enough to cover my living expenses.
My savings rate is currently around 50 % and I still have around 20 years to go, although I'd like it to go faster of course.
That's why I'm also attracted by the idea of perhaps being able to make a living from trading at an earlier stage, giving me a bit of freedom.
But the risk is very high, especially in the third pillar, but also in the second pillar, and a total loss would be quite possible there.
I am aware of that. That's why I give the highest weighting to the first pillar, which is my foundation, i.e. the core.
If there were to be a major market crash, I would make targeted additional purchases here.
Thank you for reading and for accompanying me on my journey
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)
$SPX500 — Indicating a sharp decline, as the collapse in major tech components weighs heavily on the index.
$DJ30 — Trading significantly lower, pulled down by the broad *risk-offsentiment.
$NSDQ100 — Falling sharply, dragged down by heavy losses in major tech names.
💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot
$NVDA (-0,82%) — Down slightly, showing significant resilience and holding up well compared to the broader tech wreck.
$GOOGL (-1,49%) — Surging dramatically higher, completely defying the market sell-off, likely on a stellar earnings report.
$AVGO (-1,82%) — Up moderately, showing strong relative strength in the semiconductor sector.$META (-3,6%) — Collapsing, in a sharp sell-off likely due to a major earnings miss.
$MSFT (-2,2%) — Falling sharply, a massive drop indicating a very negative reaction to its earnings, pulling the $SPX500$ down.
$QBTS (+2,23%) Not shown, but likely down significantly*in this *risk-offenvironment for speculative tech.
$RGTI (+0%) — Down moderately, following the negative sentiment in speculative tech.
$TSM (-1,52%) — Down slightly, giving back some recent gains.
$RR. (-0,07%) — Down moderately, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.
$RKLB (+0,93%) — Up slightly, showing some resilience in the space sector.
🛍️ Retail & Commerce
$AMZN (-3,94%) — Down moderately, reflecting weakness in consumer-focused tech.
$BABA (-2,58%) — Down moderately, under pressure alongside other Chinese and e-commerce stocks.
$CVNA (-1,14%) — Falling sharply, continuing its pattern of high volatility and weakness.
$SHOP (-1%) — Down moderately, indicating pressure on e-commerce platforms.
⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical
$LLY (+2,54%) — Likely flat or slightly down, as investors rotate out of defensive names or brace for the downturn.
$HIMS (+3,1%) — Holding steady, showing no significant price change.
$INSM (-2,07%) — Flat, the biotech sector remains cautious.
🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials
STOXX 600 — Trading lower, struggling as the US tech crash impacts global sentiment.
GER40 — Trading cautiously lower, reflecting the uncertain global sentiment.
$LDO (+0,8%) — Down moderately, suggesting pressure on the defense sector.
$IBE (+0,13%) — Down slightly, utilities are also facing some selling pressure.
$OKLO Down moderately, indicating profit-taking in the nuclear technology space.
$CS (-4,51%) — Down moderately, reflecting broader caution across parts of the European financial sector.
🏦 Banking & Finance
$UCG (+1,08%) — Down moderately, following the negative trend in European financials.
$ISP (-2,41%) — Down slightly, showing some weakness.
$BPE (+0,51%) — Making moderate gains, continuing its strong counter-trend rally.
$CE (+0%) — Up slightly, joining the isolated strength in Italian mid-cap banks.
$BBVA (+0,76%) — Falling sharply, showing significant weakness and vulnerability.
$AXP (+0,82%) — Down moderately, reflecting caution in the payments sector.
$V (-0,89%) — Down slightly, mirroring the hesitation seen in other payment stocks.
🌏 Asia
$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Likely closed mixed to negative*as the US tech crash sentiment spread.
💱 Forex
$DXY — The Dollar Index is likely trading higher*as investors flee to safety (cash).
$EURUSD — Likely edging lower*against a stronger Dollar.
$USDJPY — Likely trading higher*reflecting the strong Dollar.
💎 Commodities & Precious Metals
$GLD (-0,32%) — Holding steady, pausing as investors prefer the $DXY$ as the primary safe haven over gold.
$CDE (-2,75%) — Flat, mirroring gold's lack of direction.
$BRENT / $WTI (W&T Offshore Inc) — Likely trading down*as growth concerns spike, tempering demand outlook.
💰 Crypto
$BTC (+0,32%) / $ETH (+0,38%) — Likely experiencing significant downward pressure, following the Nasdaq crash.
$TRX (+0,41%) — Holding steady, though the broader crypto market is likely weak.
$CRO (+1,03%) — Likely tracking the negative trend in crypto.
📈 Benchmark ETFs
$VOO (-0,04%)
$VGT (-0,38%)
$CNDX — Holding steady (0.00%) in the image, likely reflecting a pre-market halt or lag, but they are clearly heading for a sharp drop*based on their components.
$BND (+0,25%) — Flat, as bond yields likely fall (prices rise) during the flight to safety.
🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Tech Divergence
Today's story is a brutal earnings-driven divergence. The market is split in two: $MSFT (-2,2%) and $META (-3,6%) are collapsing, pulling the entire $SPX500 and risk-onsentiment down with them. Retail stocks like $BABA and $AMZN are falling in sympathy.
However, $GOOGL (-1,49%) is surging dramatically, completely disconnecting from the sector on what must be a stellar earnings report. This divergence shows the market is differentiating between AI narratives: $NVDA (-0,82%) is also holding up remarkably well (down only slightly), while other tech ($TSM (-1,52%) , $AVGO (-1,82%) ) is mixed.
Away from tech, Italian banks ($BPE (+0,51%)) continue their isolated rally, but the overall mood is clearly *risk-off*.
Follow the Analysis:
For daily real-time market insights, *deep dives*, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli
To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys
⚠️ Disclaimer:*Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.