Hey dear Getquiners, honest question: Do you think gold is crisis-proof?

In this post, I explain why I think gold is one of the worst assets of all and why the "scarcity" on the market is often a lie - because all that glitters is not gold 😉

1. the asset in a deep sleep 😴

Anyone who bought gold at the high in 1980 had to 26 years to get back to zero in nominal terms. Adjusted for inflation, this was a financial disaster. Is an asset really "stable in value" if it takes half a working lifetime to make up for mere losses? After the 2011 high, it also took approx. 9 years (until 2020) until the price broke out sustainably.

2. the gold that wasn't actually there. 👻

Gold is sold as a "limited resource". It has to be painstakingly mined, is physically limited and cannot be conjured up. But what if it is possible on paper?

The Morgan Stanley scandal: In 2007, it came to light that Morgan Stanley had not physically bought or stored gold for many clients at all. The bank only held "paper positions", but still collected the fees for the (non-existent) vault storage. The clients were not holding hard assets, just hot air.

The Bre-X scandal (1997): The company Bre-X Minerals claimed to have discovered the largest gold deposit in the world. Geologists "salted" the drill samples with gold dust (even from their own jewelry!) to keep up appearances. The shares shot up to a value of over 6 billion dollars before everything collapsed.

This begs the question: is the price of gold really linked to physical scarcity, or is it often just a hype chart created by expert opinions and blind bank confidence?

3. the volatility lie: 10% crash in 28 minutes? ⏱️📉

It is often said that gold is so great because it is less volatile. But is that true? Let's jump to January 30, 2026: On this day, gold lost almost 28 minutes almost 7 % of its value in just 28 minutes. Over the entire day, it was around 14 %. Don't even get me started on silver (30% fluctuation... cough).

Another example is the April 12, 2013At that time, sell orders for over 400 tons of gold were placed on the Comex in New York within a very short space of time (approx. 15% of annual global production). Gold plunged in two days by 15,5 % in two days. The absurdity: Not a gram of physical gold was moved. They were pure "paper promises". Someone pressed the sell button without ever having owned the metal.

My conclusion: For me, gold is neither stable nor crisis-proof. It is highly volatile and - most importantly - not protected by financial constructs. not infinitely limited. It can be "printed" on paper as much as you like. That's why it no longer has any real value for me.

What do you think? Would you still buy or hold gold after these facts? Let me know your opinion in the comments and leave a follow for more posts like this. Next, I'll write a post on the biggest gold scandals and show you what I think are the better alternatives! 🚀

Feel free to leave feedback, criticism is also welcome, because that's the only way to learn! 😉

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#gold

After a strong rally, gold is currently undergoing a correction. The price has fallen below the psychologically important USD 5,000 per ounce mark - and there are clear reasons for this.

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📊 1. current development

• Gold price most recently at around USD 5,019
• Previous all-time high: USD 5,420
• Decline: around -3% within a short period of time

💡 Classification:

After the strong rally, this is a classic technical correction - but with fundamental triggers.

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🏦 2nd main reason: Fed & interest rates

The most important driver at the moment:

👉 Uncertainty ahead of the interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed)

• Markets are waiting for signals on interest rate cuts
• Interest rates remain high → negative for gold
• Why is that? Gold yields no interest and becomes less attractive with high yields

➡️ The Fed meeting is seen as a decisive turning point for future developments

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💵 3. strong US dollar as a burden

Another key factor:

• The US dollar is gaining strength
• This makes gold more expensive for international buyers
• Demand falls → price comes under pressure

👉 Classic correlation:

Stronger dollar = weaker gold price

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📉 4. important brands at a glance

Currently decisive:

• 🧱 Support: approx. 4,900 USD
• 🧠 Psychological mark: USD 5,000

➡️ A sustained break below this level could trigger further selling.

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⚖️ 5. Paradoxical situation on the market

Despite:

• geopolitical tensions
• inflation
• global uncertainty

... gold is currently weakening.

💡 Background:

Macro factors such as interest rates and the dollar are overshadowing safe-haven demand in the short term.

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🧠 Conclusion

The fall below USD 5,000 shows:

👉 Gold is currently not a sure-fire success

👉 Macro (Fed + dollar) dominates the market

Short term:

• High volatility
• Focus on Fed decision

Medium term:

• Gold could benefit strongly again if interest rates are cut

_________________________

🔗 Source

ad-hoc-news.de: Goldpreis bricht unter 5.000 Dollar ein – Fed-Entscheidung am 17./18. März entscheidend für DACH-Investoren

The military escalation between the USA, Israel and Iran is causing strong market movements worldwide. Investors are shifting out of cyclical sectors and into security, energy and defense.

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Bitcoin $BTC (+0,46%) shows surprising stability

• 📈 In the meantime +8,1 %
• 💰 Just over 70,000 dollars
• Stabilization at around 69,000 dollars

Despite geopolitical risks, Bitcoin is apparently being used as a liquidity parking lot in the short term. At the same time, volatility remains high - further escalations could trigger new spikes.

_________________________

🛢 Oil prices up significantly

• Brent: + just under 6 %
• WTI: + a good 5 %
• In the meantime even +13 %

According to the report, the USA is currently no release from the strategic oil reserve. The market is still considered to be supplied, but the situation remains tense.

_________________________

🏦 Banks under pressure

The European banking index loses around 3,5 % - sharpest decline since April 2025.

Particularly affected:

• HSBC - $HSBA (-0,16%)
• Barclays - $BARC (-0,43%)
• Standard Chartered - $STAN (-0,21%)
• Deutsche Bank - $DBK (+0,93%)
• BNP Paribas - $BNP (+0,74%)
• BBVA - $BBVA (-0,35%)
• Commerzbank - $CBK (+0,42%)

In the USA also weaker until the US opening:

• Bank of America - $BAC (+0,82%)
• Citigroup - $C (+0,67%)

Reason: Strong Middle East business of many institutions and general risk aversion of investors.

_________________________

✈️ Travel industry collapses

High oil prices and uncertainty weigh heavily on tourism stocks:

• TUI - $TUI1 (-3,2%) (-11 %)
• Lufthansa - $LHA (-1,28%) (-11 %)

Flights to the region are canceled, travel offers suspended. Investors fear rising costs and falling booking figures.

_________________________

💎 Luxury stocks clearly in the red

The European luxury index loses almost 4 %.

Strongly affected:

• Richemont - $CFR (-0,81%)
• Swatch - $UHR (-1,41%)
• LVMH - $MC (-2,51%)
• Hermès - $RMS (-2,24%)
• Kering - $KER (-2,07%)
• Brunello Cucinelli - $BC (-4,29%)
• Moncler - $MONC (-2,19%)
• Ferragamo - $SFER (+0,47%)

Background:

Luxury is heavily dependent on global travel. Capital flows out of cyclical stocks.

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🛡 Defense stocks as clear winners

Geopolitical tensions drive up defense stocks:

• BAE Systems - $BA. (+0,52%)
• Lockheed Martin - $LMT (+0,07%)
• RTX - $RTX (+1,05%)
• Kratos - $KTOS (+0,58%)
• Hensoldt - $HAG (+0,47%)
• Leonardo - $LDO (+0,9%)
• Renk - $R3NK (+2,51%)
• Rheinmetall - $RHM (+2,37%)

Partial price increases of 3-6 %.

The focus is particularly on missile defense systems and possible increases in defense budgets.

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🚢 Shipping companies benefit

Transport values increase due to detour (avoidance of Hormuz, Suez Canal & Bab al-Mandab):

• Maersk - $MAERSK A (+0,35%)
• Hapag-Lloyd - $HLAG (+0,49%)
• Torm - $TRMD A (+0,67%)
• Frontline - $FRO (-3,55%)
• Hoegh Autoliners $HAUTO (+1,19%)

Reason: Shortage of transport capacity and speculation on rising freight rates.

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🥇 Gold in demand

• Gold price: +2,5 %

Profiteers in mining stocks:

• Evolution Mining - $EVN (-2,05%)
• Northern Star - $NST (-1,95%)

The sector has been showing relative strength for several days.

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$GOLD (-4,82%)

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📊 Market logic clearly recognizable

Winner:

🛡 Armaments

🚢 Shipping companies

🥇 Gold

₿ Bitcoin (short-term)

Losers:

🏦 Banks

✈️ Travel

💎 Luxury

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🔎 Conclusion

The market reaction follows the classic pattern of geopolitical crises:

• Risk is reduced
• Capital seeks security
• Energy prices rise
• Defense stocks benefit

The decisive factor remains whether the situation eases diplomatically - or escalates further.

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Source:

Reuters: Anleger greifen bei Bitcoin als "Fluchtvehikel" zu (Via TradingView)

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#gold #silver

Dear Getquiner

2026 is already starting with some news and headlines going around the world - both positive and negative.

My year starts with lumbago... man, that shit hurts...

Well, that's not the issue.

I would just like to ask about your outlook for 2026 - how do you see it (crystal ball)?

I'm very curious to see whether the precious metal rally will continue and whether we'll see more pumps.

In addition, this year, after buying property, I will be focusing very strongly on the $TDIV (+0,1%) as this ETF is simply top in my opinion.

The main aim is also to increase my savings rate to 25% so that my portfolio can grow again.

So I can say: I'm trying to rebuild my portfolio calmly and with a "boring" ETF, with equally steady small acquisitions of $GOLD (-4,82%) & $SSLN (-0,99%) .

Nobody knows how 2026 will develop - but it doesn't matter to me, as the big picture (40-50 years, God willing) is my time horizon.

What will you buy in 2026?

What are you looking forward to in 2026?

~ The collector

Two months ago, I was delighted to receive my first Onebagger - gold.

Today I can be happy again - the 10k have been cracked 🥳

I bought my last gold several years ago. Since then, it's been gaining value by stubbornly "lying around". What more could you want 😁

Tomorrow there will be a final update on the Tenbagger community project. And then we'll see you again in the new year.

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Gold broke its previous all-time high of just over $4,400 today.

On that note, have a good start to the last full week of 2025 😌

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🌟 Gold price soaring

The gold market remains in absolute rally mode. After several days of strong gains, the price remains at an extremely high level - and the jump to an all-time high could happen at any time.

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💸 Fed interest rate cut boosts precious metals

The latest push is mainly due to the Fed's decision:

• ✔️ Fed rate cut this week
• ✔️ Prospect of continued loose monetary policy
• ✔️ Start of a new bond purchase program (USD 40 billion per month)

The whole thing acts as fuel for gold and silver, as neither yields any current interest - making them particularly attractive in periods of low interest rates.

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🏅 Gold price scratches the record

• Current price: USD 4,337 per ounce
• All-time high: USD 4,381
• ➡️ Only 44 dollars away!

Three strong trading days in a row have catapulted the market upwards. Silver is also close to its own record.

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📈 Reasons for the mega rally

Precious metals are a phenomenon in their own right in 2025:

• Gold: +60% since the beginning of the year
• Silver: more than doubled
• Best performance in sight since 1979

The whole thing is driven by:

• ✔️ massive central bank buying behavior
• ✔️ withdrawal of many investors from government bonds
• ✔️ Increasing fear of currency devaluation (debasement trade)
• ✔️ geopolitical uncertainties

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🔮 Outlook: 2026 could be even hotter

According to market analyst Hebe Chen (Vantage Markets):

• The rally is likely to continue until 2026
• Central banks remain buyers
• ETF inflows pick up speed again
• Fed leaves "unusual room for surprises" - creating more volatility

The World Gold Council confirms:

→ Gold ETF holdings to rise almost every month in 2025

→ Silver additionally benefits from shortages and supply disruptions

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💹 Market overview (Friday morning)

• Gold: USD 4,337 (+ slightly)
• Silver: USD 63.63 (sideways)
• Platinum: slightly weaker
• Palladium: up
• Dollar index: stable after -0.3% the previous day

$4GLD (-1,25%)
$GLDA (-1,49%)
$GOLD
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$NEM (-3,9%)
$ABX (-1,99%)
$AEM (-3,18%)

Source:

https://finanzmarktwelt.de/goldpreis-nimmt-rekordhoch-ins-visier-fed-sorgt-fuer-auftrieb-373384/?amp

+50% since the beginning of the year

Customs policy

Monetary policy

Gold ETFs

World Gold Council

Gold price forecast

Silver price forecast

Link: https://shorturl.at/ruX9X

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#gold
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