$LDO (+2,35%) BOARD OF DIRECTORS APPROVED THE 1Q2025 RESULTS 👍🏻

Leonardo
Price
Discussão sobre LDO
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2710k goal ✅
🎉Good evening everyone. Today, with this fantastic market session, after a little more than three years since the 'beginning of my journey in the investment world I finally reached the small (but for me big) threshold of 10k.
🧮At this point I would like to make a recap and ask you, if my strategy, based on my goals, is suitable and feasible.
🧒🏻Innanzitutto I am 28 years old, my dream (financially speaking) is to become financially independent by the age of 40 and then be able to stop working and live off my income. I am an investor with an excellent appetite for risk.
📊📈 My monthly investment plan included only two assets until the end of 2024: $KCVBHW (+0,14%) e $BTC (-0,49%) . I started in 2022 an accumulation plan through my bank of €100 monthly with a duration of 10 years in the Morgan Stanley Global Opportunity Fund AH, to which I add additional deposits from time to time in the months when I have more funds to invest. In mid-2023 I began adding Bitcoin to my portfolio, with investments of only €20 per month, which became something more whenever I had additional funds to invest.
Since early 2025 my monthly investments have steadily, and at a minimum, reached €350, broken down as follows:
- €100 in Morgan Stanley Global Opportunity Fund AH
- €50 in Bitcoin
- €200 divided into two stocks $LDO (+2,35%) Leonardo, a share in $VHYL (+0,54%) and the remainder in $FGEQ (-0,16%) .
From this month I aim to restructure the €200 into 6 small accumulation plans:
- €100 in $LDO (+2,35%)
- €20 in $FGEQ (-0,16%)
- €20 in $VHYL (+0,54%)
- €20 in $MSFT (+0,27%)
- €20 in $1211 (+4,51%)
- €20 in $HIMS (+8,65%)
❔🤷🏻♂️ I know that the fundamental problem in achieving my goal is to considerably increase the monthly amount of invested capital, but based on these premises, is this a right strategy in your opinion?


Investment in Take-Two?
Hello everyone, given the recent news about the postponement of GTA VI, I was thinking of making a lump sum investment in $TTWO (+0,28%) , to be liquidated within the next two years, or at least as soon as the company experiences a significant uptick after the game's release.
My portfolio is already aimed at long-term capital growth (20 years minimum), with a strong risk appetite. The two main positions are. $KCVBHW (+0,14%) (75%) e $BTC (-0,49%) (15%), the remainder being two dividend-paying ETFs, $FGEQ (-0,16%) e $VHYL (+0,54%) , e $LDO (+2,35%) .
Does this make sense to you as an investment?
IVECO: Interesting value case with cyclical risk
Today on the way back from La Spezia (Leonardo $LDO (+2,35%) and Rheinmetall $RHM (+2,55%) greetings) on the Italian highway, I overtook four convoys of brand new military IVECOs. $IVG (+5,81%) overtaken. 2x German army and 2x Lithuanian army.
And since I was a passenger princess at the time, I used the time for an IVECO deep dive.
In short: EV/EBITDA < 4, KGV ≈ 7, FCF-Rendite > 11 % - classic deep value signature. Weak equity base prevents an outright "10 out of 10", but the 30% discount to conservative fair value, combined with positive cash generation and dividend proposal make IVECO quite attractive. Currently practically at a price of 70 cents per euro per euro. And in view of the current security policy situation, that is still conservative.

Trump: "We'll sell our allies toned down military planes, because someday, maybe they're not our allies"
Trump - the best sales guy the European defense industry has ever had.
Speaking of fighter aircraft: did I already mention that Saab ($SAAB B (+0,35%)) not only has its own platforms such as the Gripen fighter jet, but is also involved in the modernization of the European Eurofighter ($AIR (+0,21%) - $LDO (+2,35%) - $BA. (+0,31%)) fleets and the construction of the upcoming latest "Eurofighter EK" models?
It's time for Kötbullar again.

Wisdom Tree European Defense ETF 🇪🇺- Alternative to US-heavy defense ETFs
Minimizing the US cluster risk is currently a major topic for investors. It is perhaps even THE topic since the second Trump administration has been throwing tariffs and isolationist positions around.
As part of an incipient reallocation in the portfolio $DFEN (+0,86%) and $ASWC (+0,59%) recently, but was bothered by the high proportion of US shares and the heavy weighting of Blackbox $PLTR (+0,57%) among others.
Today I stumbled across the recently launched ETF from WisdomTree, which compiles purely European defense companies: $IE0002Y8CX98 (+0,87%)
Some quick raw data:
Listed for the first time on 3/4/2025
TER: 0.4% p.a.
Physical
Accumulating
WKN: A40Y9K
IE0002Y8CX98
Largest positions:
Rheinmetall (approx. 20%) $RHM (+2,55%) 🇩🇪
Leonardo (approx. 15%) $LDO (+2,35%) 🇮🇹
Saab (approx. 10%) $SAAB B (+0,35%) 🇸🇪
BAE (approx. 10%) $BAE (+0%) 🇬🇧
Thales (approx. 9%) $THALES (+0,58%) 🇫🇷
This investor will reallocate a little. He is not giving investment advice, but rather enjoying the diversity of Europe. 🇪🇺
Sources:
https://www.wisdomtree.eu/en-gb/etfs/thematic/wdef---wisdomtree-europe-defence-ucits-etf---eur-acc
https://www.wisdomtree.eu/en-gb/strategies/european-defence
https://www.justetf.com/de/etf-profile.html?isin=IE0002Y8CX98#chart

A different kind of defense share LDO
Current share price and chart analysis ($LDO (+2,35%) )
- Current price (EUR): 47.74 € (as of March 18, 2025, 19:43 UTC)
- Technical analysis (1-year chart):
- Trend: The price shows a strong upward trend with an increase of over 116% in the last year.
Resistance and support levels:
- Resistance (R1): € 52.04
- Support (S1): € 45.32
- Indicators: The price is currently close to the upper end of the Bollinger band, indicating a possible overbought situation.
- Potential entry points: A pullback to the support level at €45.32 could be a good entry point, especially if the price remains stable there.
Fundamental key figures
- Valuation Metrics (2024):
- P/E ratio (PE ratio): 29.55 (relatively high, possible overvaluation compared to the sector average exceptions ($RHM (+2,55%) ) )
- P/B ratio (PB ratio): 3.03 (moderate)
- P/E ratio (PS ratio): 1.99 (acceptable)
- Enterprise value: € 29.3 billion
- Growth metrics (2024):
- Sales growth: 16.17% (strong)
- Net income growth: 63.22% (very strong)
- EPS growth: 64.04% (robust)
- Financial health (2024):
- Current ratio: 0.97 (slightly below the ideal value of 1:1, possible liquidity problems)
- Debt to equity ratio: 0.52 (balanced)
- Return on equity (ROE): 10.65% (moderate)
- Return on invested capital (ROIC): 3.56 % (efficient, but room for improvement)
Influence of the key figures on the valuation
- ValuationThe high P/E ratio indicates a possible overvaluation, which could make investors cautious. However, the strong growth in sales and profits partially justifies the higher valuation.
- Growth: The strong growth rates in sales, net income and EPS are positive and support the current valuation.
- Financial healthThe slightly low current ratio could signal short-term liquidity problems, while the moderate leverage and return on equity indicate a solid capital structure.
Business model and strategic initiatives
- IndustriesLeonardo is active in helicopters, defense electronics, aerostructures and aerospace.
- Strategy: Investments in cyber security and digitalization as well as international alliances strengthen the competitive position.
- Future prospects: The updated industry project for 2025-2029 forecasts cumulative orders of €118 billion and sales of €106 billion.
Risks and uncertainties
- Market volatility: Geopolitical risks and supply chain disruptions could impact performance.
- Valuation: The high P/E ratio could lead to price corrections in the event of negative market developments.
- Liquidity: The slightly low current ratio requires close monitoring of the short-term financial situation.
Conclusion and recommendation
Leonardo S.p.A. shows a strong financial performance and strategic initiatives that position the company well for future growth. However, investors should keep an eye on the high valuation and potential liquidity problems. An entry on a pullback to the support level of €45.32 could represent an attractive opportunity.


They build great helicopters, not just in the military sector, and the same goes for airplanes.
However, I am most looking forward to their satellites (both civil and military), some of which they want to have in productive operation by 2028.
The whole thing in combination with cybersecurity really appeals to me.
You certainly can't go wrong with that in the long term 😉
F-35, Patriot, HIMARS & Co: Macron openly advises Europe against buying US armaments
It seems like my post about Europas F-35-Sicherheitsdilemma could not have come at a better time:
Dependence on US armaments is increasingly perceived as a risk factor for Europe's military and security sovereignty and is now being publicly addressed at the highest political level faster than I would have expected.
French President Emmanuel Macron
President of France Emmanuel Macron has made it clear in an interview with Le Parisien that he is critical of Europe's purchase and use of US armaments and proposed replacing them with European alternatives.
Macron was also quite clear: "Those who buy Patriot systems should be offered the next generation of the Franco-Italian SAMP/T. Those who buy F-35s should be offered the Rafale fighter aircraft."
His main concern is greater strategic autonomy for Europe:
- Criticism of US systems: Poland plans to buy American F-35 fighter jets ($LMT (+0,52%)) and Patriot ($RYTT34). Macron questions these decisions and proposes European solutions.
- European optionsMacron specifically mentions approaches such as joint European development projects to reduce dependence on the USA. Examples include European fighter jets such as Saab Gripen ($SAAB B (+0,35%)), Eurofighter ($AIR (+0,21%) - $BA. (+0,31%) - $MTX (-0,25%) - $LDO (+2,35%)) or Dassault
Rafale ($AM (-0,52%)) or air defense systems (e.g. SAMP/T from $HO (+0,63%), $BA. (+0,31%), $AIR (+0,21%) and $LDO (+2,35%) or Oerlikon Skynex from $RHM (+2,55%)). - Long-term strategyMacron's proposals aim to strengthen Europe's military independence by pooling technology, production capacities and resources in the EU member states' own economic area in the long term.
Macron is thus sending a clear signal for more European cooperation in the defense sector and against an excessive focus on US technology.
#emmanuelmacron
#usa
#defense
#verteidigung
#rüstungsindustrie
#europa
$R3NK (+7,66%)
$IE0002Y8CX98 (+0,87%)
$HAG (+1,65%)

The next domino: Canada is now also looking for an alternative to the F-35
With Canada the next NATO partner is now looking for alternatives to the US fighter jet F-35 ($LMT (+0,52%) ) and is examining various models such as the Gripen ($SAAB B (+0,35%) ) or the Eurofighter ($AIR (+0,21%)
$BA. (+0,31%)
$LDO (+2,35%)
$MTX (-0,25%) ). The background to this is not only financial aspects - technical requirements and geopolitical considerations also play a role. At the same time, there are questions about maintenance costs and military independence from the USA. With its decision, Canada is setting the course for new international cooperation. This opens up exciting opportunities for the European aerospace industry.
In my opinion, Saab's Gripen currently has the best chance of becoming Canada's newest fighter jet. The concept of the Swedes, especially in terms of range, price/performance, maintenance and usability (optimized for use in Canadian latitudes; for take-off and landing on regular roads in remote regions and service there with small teams) fits like a glove to the Canadian aviator's eye. Canada also has the opportunity to produce the Saab Gripen in its own country.
Source: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Kanada-sucht-nach-Alternativen-zum-US-Kampfjet-F-35-article25632225.html
Made & Controlled in the USA: Europe's F-35 fleets as an expensive security dilemma
First countries reconsider their orders, Portugal has now canceled, Turkey now wants Eurofighters. Eurofighter, Gripen and Rafale as alternatives.
In Europe, and particularly among the USA's NATO partners, uncertainty about political and military relations between the USA under Donald Trump and Europe has been growing steadily since his inauguration in January 2025. Trump's statements and especially his actions in recent weeks have shown unmistakably that the USA is no longer a reliable partner for Europe (and presumably also NATO) and does not want to be.
Especially those European countries that, in response to Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine F-35 fighter jets from Lockheed Martin $LMT (+0,52%) worth well over 250 billion euros are now faced with a critical dilemma:
Technically, Europe's F-35 fleets can be deactivated by the US at any time, as each aircraft relies on US-controlled launch codes and proprietary US communication and navigation systems (see also the deactivation of Ukrainian HIMARS systems (from Lockheed Martin $LMT (+0,52%) ) in the last few days. Source: Tagesspiegel, March 2025). In the event of a crisis, the USA could practically paralyze the European air forces or at least prohibit missions. The USA had already done this with Egyptian F-16 fighter jets in 2014. (Source: T-Online, February 2025)
Since 2022, 12 European countries have ordered around 550 F-35 fighter jets (in different variants and versions):
- Germany: 35
- Romania: 32 (additionally planned: 16)
- Czech Republic: 24
- Finland: 64
- Switzerland: 36
- Netherlands: 52 (including additional orders)
- Poland: 32
- Belgium: 34
- Italy: 90 (60 F-35A and 30 F-35B)
- Norway: 52
- United Kingdom: 48 (planned: 138)
- Denmark: 27
The first countries are already taking action: Portugal recently announced that it was halting the planned procurement of F-35 fighter jets and looking at European alternatives instead.
"The Portuguese Defense Minister Nuno Melo has announced that the country will not purchase F-35 fighter jets from the United States in view of the current geopolitical situation and the unpredictability of US policy. Instead, alternatives from European production will also be considered." (Source: Poder Aéreo, March 2025)
Turkey also recently received a concrete offer for 40 Eurofighter jets from Airbus $AIR (+0,21%) BAE Systems $BA. (+0,31%) and Leonardo $LDO (+2,35%) - a clear sign of distancing itself from the USA.
"Turkey plans to procure a total of 40 Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 4 fighter jets in the form of 20+20. All Tranche 4 jets, which represent the most advanced Typhoon configuration for air-to-air combat, will be newly produced.
However, Ankara can also procure a number of used Typhoons for training purposes. This possibility is also currently under discussion." (Source: Al-Monitor, March 2025).
If other European countries follow these examples, European fighter aircraft manufacturers could benefit considerably. Now, fighter aircraft are not of-the-shelf products that are mass-produced (with the exception of the F-35, unfortunately). Germany primarily opted for the F-35 because only the F-35 can be equipped with the nuclear weapons stationed in Germany (the use of nuclear weapons stationed in Germany - even just transportation from A to B - requires joint technical approval by Germany and the USA).
In my opinion, Gripen (Saab $SAAB B (+0,35%) ) and Eurofighter (Airbus $AIR (+0,21%) BAE Systems $BA. (+0,31%) Leonardo $LDO (+2,35%) MTU Aero Engines $MTX (-0,25%) etc) would be the most attractive alternatives in the short term. The Saab Gripen has an almost unbeatable price-performance ratio (especially thanks to the low service and maintenance costs) and the infrastructure for Eurofighter is already solidly developed. Dassault Aviation $AM (-0,52%) (Rafale) should of course not be underestimated either, but I see it in 3rd place.
I can well imagine that this costly security dilemma is currently being hotly debated in Europe's defense ministries and that exit strategies are already being evaluated. I can also imagine that European buyers of the F-35 are holding on to their canceled orders as leverage in case Trump imposes even more dramatic punitive tariffs or even escalates to a whole new level. In addition to the orders for F-35s, the Europeans are also likely to be reviewing their orders for HIMARS and the like.
However, one thing is already clear to the Europeans: Europe must become sovereign as quickly as possible - in terms of security policy, economy and technology - and can no longer rely on the USA. After Portugal and probably also Turkey, I expect more F-35 dominoes to fall in the near future.
Sources:

Is a trade dispute really worthwhile for the USA :'D
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