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Hello everyone,

Yesterday I closed out my position in Valero Energy $VLO (-1,69%) pretty much at the all-time high. After a strong rally, I am saying goodbye here with a price gain of 145 %.

Why the exit now?

Geopolitics: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is driving up the oil price massively. I consider this to be a temporary peak and expect setbacks as soon as the situation eases.

CRV & valuation: The share is trading above analysts' targets. At this level, the risk/reward ratio (CRV) is simply no longer attractive enough for me to continue holding the stock.

Signals: Reports of insider selling and an exhausted upside potential for the near future were clear signals for me to consistently lock in profits.

Next step:

As a trend trader, I am now using the freed-up capital to reinvest. I will put the money into two new stocks that have just undergone a healthy correction in order to rebuild them from the setback.

What is your assessment of the current situation in the oil sector - are you more of a "hold" or are you also hedging your initial profits?

Good morning everyone and a green start to the first full trading week of 2026!

The year is barely five days old and there have already been numerous events around the world.

Probably the most eventful event (can you write it like that? 🤔) is the one at the weekend surrounding Maduro's arrest.

While the oil price remains volatile due to the global oversupply, clear winners are emerging today (05.01.2026) from the US intervention.

1. the "top dog": Chevron $CVX (+2,97%)
🏗️

Chevron is the clear favorite today. As the only US company to remain operational in the country, they have the "first mover" advantage.

If the sanctions are lifted, the billions will flow into repairs first.

_________________________

2. the service giants: SLB $SLB (+7,18%)
& $HAL (+5,8%)
🛠️

No matter who is producing: The plants in Venezuela are dilapidated. Schlumberger is currently benefiting massively from speculation on major technology contracts.

Without Western know-how, Venezuela will not be able to significantly increase production.

_________________________

3. the US refineries: Marathon Petroleum $MPC (-0,43%)
& Valero $VLO (-1,69%)
⛽

The US Gulf Coast specializes in "heavy" crude oil from Venezuela. A return of this oil improves the margins of Marathon Petroleum and Valero massively, as expensive import alternatives are eliminated.

_________________________

4. US defense: Lockheed Martin $LMT (+2,72%)
🛡️

Instead of European second-line stocks, the industry leader Lockheed Martin is moving into focus. The US intervention underlines the military presence in the region. very Such geopolitical tensions secure the group's long-term political backup for defense budgets.

_________________________

5. the "safe haven" effect: gold breaks records 🏆✨

Gold is the absolute rock in the surf today. Due to the uncertainty, the spot price fell by over 2 % upwards this morning and has passed the 4,420 USD per ounce!

- Barrick Gold $ABX (-0,66%)
& Newmont $NEM (-5,17%)
: Mining stocks rally strongly.

- Background: Venezuela is sitting on gold reserves worth around USD 22 billion - the question of who will have access to them is also driving speculation.

_________________________

What's your situation? Have you already invested in one of the stocks? Or are you planning to?

$GLDA (-0,48%)
$4GLD (-0,81%)
$GOLD

Here is a clear overview of the quarterly earnings reports coming up next week.

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