It may not itch you, as you are not invested anyway. But after that comes gold & silver. Then comes real estate (10 years). Finally come watches, art, vintage cars, spirits, wines and everything else.

In 1999, the speculation period for securities was extended from 6 to 12 months by the SPD and the Greens. In 2009, it was completely abolished by the CDU and SPD and replaced by today's flat-rate withholding tax + solidarity surcharge. More than 14 million small investors and savers are affected by this today. The greedy state is hindering your prosperity and private pension provision.

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According to a new analysis by Binance Research, the upcoming US midterm elections could be an important catalyst for a new upward movement in risk assets such as Bitcoin ($BTC (-2,35%) ) and equities. Historical data shows that political uncertainty around elections often leads to increased volatility - followed by a sharp rebound in markets.

_________________________

📈 1. historical pattern after midterm elections

Binance analysts point to recurring market cycles:

• The S&P 500 averaged +19% returns in the 12 months following midterm elections.
• There has not been a negative year for the index in this period since 1939.
• Bitcoin ($BTC) even gained around +54% on average after midterm cycles.

💡 Interpretation:

As soon as political uncertainty about the composition of the US Congress disappears, investors often return more strongly to risk assets.

_________________________

📉 2. why midterm years are often weak at first

Historically, midterm years themselves are often volatile or weak:

• S&P 500 average drawdown: around -16 %
• Bitcoin average decline: about -56% during midterm years

This phase is often characterized by several factors:

• political uncertainty
• restrictive monetary policy
• macroeconomic risks

The situation often only stabilizes after the elections.

_________________________

⚙️ 3. Why the election is relevant for the crypto market

US politics plays a central role for:

• Crypto regulation
• stablecoin laws
• institutional capital flows

A clearer political environment after the elections could enable more institutional investment in cryptocurrencies, analysts say

_________________________

🧠 4 Classification for investors

The analysis indicates a possible scenario:

In the short term

• high volatility
• Political uncertainty

Medium term (after the elections)

• Possible risk-on phase
• Rising demand for equities and cryptocurrencies

However, this does not mean that a rally is guaranteed - geopolitical risks, inflation or interest rate policy may continue to play a major role.

_________________________

🧠 Conclusion

The data suggests that US midterm elections are historically often a turning point for markets.

If the pattern repeats itself, Bitcoin ($BTC (-2,35%) ) and equities could see a stronger rally after the election period.

The post-election period could therefore be particularly interesting for investors.

_________________________

🔗 Source

Ground News: Binance US midterms could spark Bitcoin and stock rallies

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$BTC (-2,35%)
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#bitcoin
#btc
#krypto
#crypto

$BNB (-2,07%) bought for $5k

TP at $1360

(No leverage)

Bought at $600, sold at around $850. And took the momentum with me from time to time.

Unfortunately, a crypto colleague tempted me to invest in $SOL (-4,7%) and sold the main part of my $BNB (-2,07%) at around $900, even though my balls said $BNB (-2,07%) will be one of the strongest coins of the bull run.

Well with small setbacks like today just buy, forget it and enjoy a good steak when it hits the TP hitter.

My second trade at the ATH 🙈

00:00 Intro

2:44 From hobby to professional

6:07 How Stephan became famous

9:00 Stephan at the Bund

11:00 Are we millionaires?

14:35 120,000 EUR lost in 1 month

20:04 Depot sold completely

25:40 Share with 6,500% profit

26:55 Which shares bought again

30:00 The biggest mistake

32:57 Palantir until retirement

40:00 The intrinsic value of Bitcoin

44:05 Getting half Bitcoin as a gift

47:10 Stephan on FTX crash

50:15 Palantir: 50% crash likely?

53:00 Buy crypto now

55:30 EM right dirt

59:00 Why Alphabet & Apple

1:02:28 Conclusion & final question

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/0r64UikOtR7QbZUfJJkAsS?si=NdSWzY0LTF-Ctkn0wrdJ7w

YouTube

https://youtu.be/Y3zH0IZNNPg

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/110-r%C3%BCckblick-depot-aufgel%C3%B6st-drei-jahre-sp%C3%A4ter-gespr%C3%A4ch/id1695869891?i=1000726744049

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#podcast
#spotify
#youtube
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