SL at $HNR1 (+0,48%)
In the short term, the upward trend no longer exists and the losses were therefore realized.
Part of it, too bad chocolate
SL at $HNR1 (+0,48%)
In the short term, the upward trend no longer exists and the losses were therefore realized.
Part of it, too bad chocolate
$SCR (+0,98%) - Reinsurance
(6 largest reinsurers)
Has anyone here already taken a closer look at the world's six largest reinsurers or delved a little deeper into the figures? In contrast to $MUV2 (+1,23%) and $HNR1 (+0,48%) and I would like to know why. Does anyone have a deeper insight?
It can't just be the political environment ?
Maybe someone knows what to look for when searching ? ✌️
Insurance sector likely to grow thanks to robust global economy
Short and sweet
The global insurance sector can expect good growth and higher profitability in 2024 and 2025, supported by a robust global economy and higher interest rates. Global gross domestic product is expected to grow by 2.7% in 2024 and 2.8% in 2025. Non-life insurance is expected to grow by 3.3% to USD 4.6 trillion in 2024 and by 2.6% in 2025. Life insurance will benefit from rising premium volumes and higher profitability, with premium growth of 2.9% to USD 3.0 trillion in 2024 and similar growth in 2025. Challenges remain due to inflation, extreme weather events and geopolitical uncertainties, among other things.
The global insurance sector can expect good growth and higher profitability in the current and coming year. This will be supported by a robust global economy and higher interest rates, according to a study by reinsurer Swiss Re.
Long and more detailed:
Despite geopolitical tensions and higher inflation, the global economy is proving "remarkably resilient", explained Swiss Re chief economist Jérôme Haegeli in the Swiss Re Institute's new "World Insurance Sigma" report. The robust global economy should increase demand for insurance.
According to Swiss Re estimates, global gross domestic product will grow by 2.7 percent in the current year and by 2.8 percent in 2025. Even if the return to lower inflation rates is not proceeding smoothly, monetary conditions have begun to ease worldwide: In September, the US Federal Reserve is expected to make its first cut in key interest rates.
Due to inflation and the resulting increase in claims costs, the trend towards higher prices in non-life insurance is likely to continue. According to forecasts, the premium volume in non-life insurance will grow by 3.3% to 4.6 trillion dollars in 2024, with growth of 2.6% expected in 2025.
In the life insurance sector, the positive interest rates are having a doubly positive effect: Institutions can expect an increase in premium volume and higher profitability. Premiums are forecast to rise by 2.9% to 3.0 trillion dollars, with similar growth expected in 2025 (+2.7%). The operating result is expected to increase by 15 percent, particularly in the largest markets.
The insurance industry continues to face major challenges, explained Kera McDonald, Chief Underwriting Officer of the Swiss Re Corporate Solutions division: these include severe weather events, which have increased significantly in recent years. The annual standard of insured losses is now over 100 billion dollars, with a growth rate of 5 to 7 percent per year.
Inflation is also leading to rising claims. Geopolitical and regulatory uncertainties are also influencing insurers' business. Since 2020, insurance claims from strikes, riots and civil unrest have increased by a factor of 30, according to McDonald. Rapid technological change, for example in the field of artificial intelligence, poses additional risks.
The largest reinsurers:
Happy Investing
GG
Sources:
awp
McKinsey Global Insurance Report 2023 | McKinsey (2023 - for context)
09.07.2024 +++ Insurers with fewer claims than expected +++ Hydrogen shares with drop in sales for 2025 +++
The share prices of reinsurers Munich Re $MUV2 (+1,23%) (+3.0%) and Hannover Re $HNR1 (+0,48%) (+3.0%) recovered. They had recently suffered from speculation about losses following the early and severe start to the hurricane season.
In the MDAX K+S $SDF (+2,39%) fell by 5.8 percent. Bank of America downgraded the stock by two notches to underweight from buy. However, Stifel is also negative on the share and described it as the least favored in the sector.
The US bank JPMorgan has downgraded the shares of ITM Power $ITM (-0,22%) from "Overweight" to "Neutral" and gave them the cautionary stamp of "Negative Catalyst Watch". Analyst Patrick Jones thus pointed out the correction risks for hydrogen shares in the run-up to their financial results in mid-August on Monday evening. The expert fears that a disappointing sales forecast for 2025 will depress market expectations for the new and subsequent financial year.
Tuesday: stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures
ex-dividend of individual stocks
Klepierre EUR 0.90
Quarterly figures / company dates Europe
07:30 OMV Trading Update 2Q
09:00 Porsche sales 2Q
Untimed: Porsche AG: Pre-Close-Call 2Q
Economic data
US: Nato, Start of Nato Summit July 9-11, 2024 in Washington, D.C.
IN: Russia's President Putin, meeting with India's Prime Minister Modi (since Monday)
UK: First House of Commons meeting planned after the British general election, London
a share that is rather less well known
indirectly in $HNR1 (+0,48%) invested
first mini-tranche 🤓