Go ahead, laugh at my small portfolio… today it looks small, tomorrow you’ll wish you started when I did. I’m not showing off I’m showing the beginning of something bigger….
Discussion sur BTC
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3 462They laugh now… they’ll ask later 👀

Bitcoin and the Kardashov scale
To determine how much energy we use on earth, we quickly come up against complex challenges. One option would be to ask large companies such as BMW directly how much energy they need. However, these are often only rough estimates, as the overall energy balance of humanity is extremely complex. Energy consumption is spread across many sectors, from the energy needed to mine coal to the electricity required to power vehicles. In fact, it is difficult to obtain accurate data as there is no central source that consolidates all the necessary information. As a result, current estimates are often inaccurate.
This is where Bitcoin comes in. The Bitcoin mining process is directly linked to the hash rate, which we can translate very well into current technical parameters. This hash rate allows us to determine how much energy the Bitcoin network is actually consuming. Using this data, we can see how Bitcoin is positioned in the global energy market.
If we imagine that the world could one day be based on Bitcoin as a universal currency standard, this would have two major effects. Firstly, users would have to constantly weigh up whether it makes more sense to use electricity to mine Bitcoin or whether it would be better to produce numerous other things, such as cars. This dynamic between energy consumption and price would set new standards. Secondly, the difficulty of the mining process could act as a logbook for our civilization. Using Bitcoin to measure how much energy we are effectively using and whether we are reaching Type 1 on the Kardashov scale could give both us and potentially alien civilizations a clear insight into where we stand.
Thus, engaging with Bitcoin takes us on a deeper journey of intellectual thought. Bitcoin becomes a benchmark for our civilizational progress and provides an opportunity to reflect on our own energy consumption. Ultimately, the question of how much energy the planet can potentially use and how much of it we actually manifest in a network like Bitcoin could be essential to our future survival and progress.
Bitcoin is not just a digital currency; it could become the key resource for measuring our progress as a civilization. These considerations open up a fascinating discourse about our responsibility in managing energy - not only for current generations, but also as a message to future civilizations in the universe. The added dimension that Bitcoin brings makes this discourse valuable and could have far-reaching implications for policy and society as we move towards an efficient and sustainable energy future. Are we ready to take on the challenges and continue on this exciting intellectual journey?
The idea that Bitcoin could make a decisive contribution to our energy future opens up numerous perspectives. In a world that is heavily dependent on fossil fuels while facing the pressing challenges of climate change, the way we produce and consume energy could undergo a fundamental shift. If Bitcoin is established as a universal currency system, it could not only redefine the value of energy, but also create huge incentives to use sustainable energy sources.
This dynamic leads us to consider how a forward-thinking society can use energy more efficiently. As Bitcoin's mining process is increasingly supported by renewable energy, there are already examples of solar or wind power being used to generate energy for mining facilities. In the long term, this could accelerate the shift towards more environmentally friendly technologies and reduce dependence on unsustainable energy sources. The idea that by focusing on Bitcoin we are not only experiencing a financial revolution, but also an environmental one, is both exciting and inspiring.
Another aspect is the cultural and economic implication that comes with increased energy yield. Societies that are able to use more energy efficiently have historically always achieved higher levels of quality of life and prosperity. A possible Bitcoin standard could promote this development and stimulate global competition for the most efficient use of energy and resources.
At the same time, we must also face up to the challenges that come with this progress. An exponential growth in energy production could bring with it the risk of overexploiting our resources and causing us to lose all the progress we have made in the short term. It is therefore crucial that we not only pay attention to energy consumption, but also to how we can sustainably preserve the earth and its resources.
In the context of the Kardashov scale, we need to ask ourselves whether we are willing to take responsibility for our energy consumption and whether we are willing to consider the ethical implications of these decisions. If we are indeed on our way to becoming a Type 1 civilization, we will not only need to harness the energy of our planet, but also find a balance to preserve our ecosystem.
Bitcoin could thus act as an innovative tool and a catalyst that encourages us to use energy more responsibly. In a world where technological advances should go hand in hand with ethical considerations, the relationship between Bitcoin and the Kardashov scale could usher in a new era of understanding energy, value and progress.
Through this interdisciplinary approach, Bitcoin could ultimately serve as a gauge of our collective progress and provide a platform on which we can stake out not only our current state, but also our future ambitions and challenges. Are we ready to embrace this vision and embark on the journey to a sustainable future together? It is up to us to make the right choices and use the technological innovations available to us wisely and responsibly.
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Important note
The opinions and information we provide do not constitute financial advice. They are for informational and educational purposes only and are not intended as a substitute for individual advice from qualified professionals.
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Bitcoin adoption is growing rapidly: emerging markets drive global demand
In our latest adoption study (as at the end of 2024), around 65% of all $BTC (-0,38 %)-owners worldwide were in emerging markets, which corresponds to around 300 million people. India leads with around 160 million users, followed by Indonesia, Brazil and Nigeria. In percentage terms, the UAE is in the lead with 19%, followed by Vietnam with 14% and Turkey with 12%. The pattern is both interesting and consistent: where local currencies are weak and monetary policy is considered unreliable, this gap is filling. #bitcoin fills this gap.
The number of $BTC (-0,38 %)-users nearly doubled between 2022 and 2024, reaching 467 million - well above the 20% that our adoption model had assumed based on global internet growth in the second decade. In the US, the number of users increased from 21 million to 35 million, driving increased capital flows from high-income countries into the market and triggering significant ETF inflows. Adoption is accelerating in absolute terms and also remains at a high level in percentage terms. Whether this is reflected in the price is another question - but the fundamentals on the demand side remain strong.
This coincides with my post on adoption as a store of value vs a means of payment :)
https://getqu.in/iiSGwO/
Dip or Just Noise?
Today’s drop in $ETH (-0,49 %) and broader crypto isn’t random. Rising geopolitical tension and failed macro negotiations pushed $BTC (-0,38 %) lower, dragging altcoins with it in classic risk-off fashion.
The question returns: when to buy?
Short answer—DCA always works. It removes timing risk and keeps exposure consistent in volatile markets. But if you zoom out, $BTC still loosely follows cyclical behavior despite growing macro influence.
Historically, the best asymmetric entries came later in the cycle reset phase—not during early volatility.
Conclusion: keep DCA active, but if cycles persist, late 2026 could offer stronger positioning opportunities.
VHYL ---> BTC
Hi, I am going to start a somewhat different step in my portfolio.
I'm going to try increasing positions in a dividend distribution ETF $VHYL (+0,17 %) to be contributing each income to $BTC (-0,38 %)
I am looking for a synergy between a steady drip via quarterly dividend and yield via DCA to BTC.
How do you see it? At the moment I only contribute 1% of the portfolio.
Bitcoin vs. gold: market reactions during the crisis
Between February and April $GOLDwhile $BTC (-0,38 %) rose - contrary to typical crisis patterns. $BTC (-0,38 %) The euro benefited from reduced speculative surpluses, institutional inflows and its growing role as a hedge outside traditional financial systems.
#gold suffered from rising real interest rates and inflation expectations.
The short-term ceasefire in the Middle East provided relief #bitcoinHowever, should the crisis flare up again, volatility remains likely - but $BTC (-0,38 %) could nevertheless prove more robust than traditional risk assets.
MUSIC RECOMMENDATION FOR INVESTING
My recommendation - "We short the digital euro from Bitcoin Maximalist"
https://open.spotify.com/intl-de/track/6Y5uVH7mUndHxRlprBqQRG?si=170f738840f048b5
For those who need something more for the hips "All In by Bitcoin Maximalist"
https://open.spotify.com/intl-de/track/3HT4yxjS2894KkV1f2zLTe?si=73f90fd70b904ca2
For all those who want to get their hips moving as well as their portfolio - "Fire Over Fiat by Too Bit To Fail"
https://open.spotify.com/intl-de/track/0jlLh7gsRE0Wp7HoJXLQei?si=d73b0228ce024c9b
Have a great weekend everyone! 😮💨😎👋
@DonkeyInvestor Finally something clever
@Koenigmidas
@InvestmentPapa
@stefan_21
@Simpson 👀🤝 You know the score.
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Important note
The opinions and information we provide do not constitute financial advice. They are for informational and educational purposes only and are not intended as a substitute for individual advice from qualified professionals.
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https://youtu.be/2bAFzO4dby4?is=X2zj0YOFvc8svKvu
and "Papa hodlt" :D
https://youtu.be/-3F13kUKaqw?is=1NXy-1XVznDQ_aJw
Have a nice weekend!😎☀️🧡
BITCOIN QUANTUM COMPUTER
In recent years, the debate surrounding quantum computers has reached a level that is both scientifically and socially remarkable. New reports about progress at Google, IBM or other research institutions appear almost weekly, while the media and voices from the technology world warn that such a technological breakthrough could shake the foundations of modern cryptography. Here, more than with almost any other topic, sober science, irrational fear, economic interests and technological ignorance collide. At the heart of it all is Bitcoin - the world's first fully decentralized digital money system based on mathematical security. This makes it all the more important to take a comprehensive view that not only conveys technical facts, but also takes into account the structural, political and historical characteristics of Bitcoin.
Why quantum computers could affect Bitcoin at all
A classic computer works sequentially and deterministically. It processes data in bits that assume either the state 0 or 1. The entire digital world is based on this binary architecture. A quantum computer is fundamentally different because its basic unit, the qubit, can assume several states simultaneously thanks to quantum physical phenomena such as superposition and entanglement. These properties enable quantum computers to solve very specific mathematical problems that classical computers could either not solve at all or only with astronomical amounts of time.
The cryptography that protects Bitcoin is based on precisely such mathematical problems - especially those that are easy in one direction and practically unsolvable in the other. In essence, this means: It is easy to generate a public key from a private key, but extremely difficult to recalculate the private key from a public key. For classical computers, this back-calculation is practically impossible. For a future quantum computer, however, Shor's algorithm could theoretically accomplish this task, and this is where the technical relevance begins.
The real danger therefore does not arise from the fact that a quantum computer could "hack everything", but from the possibility of inverting mathematical problems on which Bitcoin signatures are based. Even the theoretical possibility is enough to pose a serious, long-term threat. But there is a long way between theory and practice - and this must be considered carefully and without panic.
How far quantum computers really are
Although research has made enormous progress, the idea of a ready-to-use quantum attack system is greatly exaggerated. Today's most powerful quantum computers only have a few hundred to a few thousand physical qubits. However, it is not the physical qubits that are decisive, but the logical qubits, which must be stabilized by error correction. Each logical qubit requires a large number of error-prone physical qubits.
To realistically threaten the elliptic curve cryptography that Bitcoin uses, hundreds of thousands to millions of logical qubits would be required. This exceeds today's technological capacity by orders of magnitude. Estimates by serious experts speak of possible breakthroughs in the period between 2030 and 2040, although these are mere approximations. Perhaps it will happen sooner, perhaps later. The future of quantum technology research is fundamentally unpredictable.
In addition, many advances reported in the media are based on theoretical laboratory results or very specific test conditions. A quantum computer that can perform a computation under idealized laboratory conditions is completely different from a robust, scalable, error-corrected system capable of computing real-world, complex cryptographic parameters. The difference between "feasible in the lab" and "operational in reality" is enormous.
How a Google roadmap became a Bitcoin alert
A large part of the current quantum panic surrounding Bitcoin can be traced back to a single misunderstanding. Google published a scientific research paper on the development of certain quantum protocols. No year was mentioned in the paper to indicate a specific threat. However, in a supplementary blog post, Google stated that it wanted to make its own infrastructure completely "post-quantum ready" by 2029.
This internal objective was wrongly interpreted by the media as a prediction that Bitcoin would become insecure from 2029. This conclusion is not drawn in any scientific publication. Rather, it stems from journalistic misinterpretation and a general sensationalism that confuses technical roadmaps with threat scenarios. The idea that Bitcoin will be cryptographically vulnerable in a few years is not tenable based on the current state of research.
Visible public keys and old addresses
While modern Bitcoin addresses are protected by the hash function, there is an earlier generation of addresses that were used in the early years of the network: the so-called pay-to-public key addresses. They reveal the public key directly and permanently. It is estimated that some of these addresses belong to Satoshi Nakamoto himself and may contain around one million Bitcoin.
If a quantum computer ever becomes powerful enough, calculating the private key from a publicly visible key would be the first realistic attack surface. The economic attractiveness of an attack would be unprecedented. Even the movement of these early coins would cause panic - whether through an attack or Satoshi's own decision to move them. The combination of technical vulnerability and symbolic significance makes these addresses a special category of risk that cannot be ignored.
Visible public keys and old addresses
Not every Bitcoin address is equally at risk. An important difference is often overlooked: The earliest addresses in the Bitcoin network are so-called pay-to-public-key addresses (P2PK). With these addresses, the complete public key is permanently and openly stored in the blockchain.
In asymmetric cryptography, a public key is the part that you can share with others; it is not enough on its own to move funds - the private key is required for this. However, certain attack methods (based on an Sh algorithm, for example) could derive the private key from a public key, which is why P2PK addresses are a direct target.
Protection through hash-based address types and 10-minute windows
Newer address types, on the other hand, initially only show the hash of the public key. A hash is a one-way function: a fixed output value can easily be calculated from the input, but the original input cannot be reconstructed from this value. As long as you have never sent from such an address, your public key remains hidden - and without a visible public key, an attack using key derivation is not possible. Only when you sign and send a transaction does the public key appear in the network; there is a short but critical time window until confirmation in the next block - about 10 minutes.
Current research results (including from Google) indicate that a powerful quantum computer could theoretically carry out an attack within this time window. This is a future risk, but not the only problem.
Satoshi problem
The bigger risk is what I call the "Satoshi problem". Satoshi Nakamoto, the anonymous inventor of Bitcoin, used P2PK addresses in the early years and apparently collected large amounts of Bitcoin - estimates say around one million BTC, today a double-digit billion amount. These coins have not been moved for years; the associated public keys have been visible in the blockchain ever since. Should a cryptographically relevant quantum computer exist at some point, these addresses would be vulnerable to attack for the first time - not because the technology is simpler per se, but because the potential gain would be enormous. A successful attack on these stocks would probably trigger panic, a massive loss of trust and a dramatic fall in prices. Even if Satoshi were still alive and had access to the private keys: as soon as these coins were moved, the situation would inevitably escalate.
Altcoins
ECDSA as a signature process is shared by almost all major cryptos. Ethereum is just as affected as Bitcoin. The key difference lies in governance. Ethereum has an active core development team that explicitly has post-quantum migration on its radar and can communicate with the Ethereum ecosystem. That doesn't necessarily mean it's easier, but the governance structure makes it a little easier here. The situation is similar for many other coins. Some coins are already post-quantum secure and others are actively being implemented.
Why the biggest vulnerability is not cryptography, but Bitcoin governance
Although the technical problems appear difficult, they are in principle solvable. The cryptography community has long since developed post-quantum algorithms that are secure against Shor's algorithm. NIST ratified corresponding standards in 2024. The hurdle therefore lies less in the software than in the structure of the Bitcoin network.
Bitcoin is completely decentralized. There is no central institution that can authorize or enforce a protocol change. Any major change requires global cooperation across national borders, languages, cultures and interest groups. The blocksize debate in 2017 has already shown how difficult it is to find consensus. A post-quantum migration would be far more complex, as it concerns not only efficiency, but the fundamental question of ownership. Wallets that have not been moved for years - whether through forgetting, loss or death - could become targets of attack if their owners do not migrate in time.
This issue touches on the fundamental principle of Bitcoin: no one can be forced to change their behavior. From a decentralized perspective, this is a feature. In the context of a necessary migration, however, it is a serious structural risk.
A challenge that does not overwhelm Bitcoin, but is demanding
Bitcoin has proven in the past that it is technologically adaptable - albeit slowly, carefully and as part of a global, anarchic consensus process. The threat of quantum computing is forcing the network to take a long-term view. The good news is that there is time. The bad news is that time alone is not enough if coordination does not work.
Science provides the solutions. But whether these solutions are implemented in time does not depend on engineers, but on whether a global community without leadership, without central authority, without binding communication channels and without coercion can achieve the necessary unity.
Who would even allow a quantum computer to be attacked?
Even if a really powerful quantum computer were to exist tomorrow, the crucial question is who would actually use it for an attack. Large technology companies such as Google, IBM and Microsoft are developing quantum computers for completely different purposes - such as medical research, materials science, climate modelling or complex optimization problems. For these companies, an attack on financial systems or global encryption would not only be pointless, but also extremely risky and legally disastrous.
In the long term, however, access to this technology will not remain with Western research institutions. Countries with completely different interests and fewer legal barriers could also have such systems at some point. This means that even if nobody attacks Bitcoin today, this situation could change in the future. The mere existence of a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could create uncertainty because markets always price in risks. Even without a single real attack, the mere announcement of such a breakthrough would trigger crises of confidence.
Quantum computers are not currently an immediate threat. Development is progressing, but the technological gap is still large. At the same time, the world has long been working on solutions. The first binding post-quantum standards were published in 2024, and a large part of the digital infrastructure is already in the process of being converted.
Why state actors would be the real danger
A crucial point in the discussion about quantum computers is who would actually use this technology later on. While large technology companies have no interest in attacking encryption, this does not necessarily apply to all states. Some countries - such as North Korea - have already shown in the past that they finance their political and economic goals through cyber attacks. If such a state were to gain access to a truly powerful quantum computer at some point, the threat situation would change fundamentally, as the threshold for attacks there is significantly lower than for Western companies or democracies.
There is also a second, psychological danger: even if an actual attack never takes place, the mere possibility of a quantum attack could shake confidence in existing systems. Financial markets are sensitive to risks - and even the news that a cryptographically relevant quantum computer exists could trigger uncertainty and crises of confidence long before anything happens.
Could quantum computers speed up Bitcoin mining?
The concern that a future quantum computer could suddenly have enormous advantages in Bitcoin mining is technically unfounded. Bitcoin mining relies entirely on SHA-256 hashing, and it is precisely this type of calculation that is not suitable for quantum computers. While Shor's algorithm can only attack signatures, Grover's algorithm only provides a theoretical quadratic speedup for hash functions - far too low to outperform specialized ASIC miners. Bitcoin mining requires billions of hash attempts per second, a performance that current and foreseeable quantum computers can neither perform stably nor fast enough. In addition, a miner would have to constantly try out new templates and nonces, which quantum computers are technically unable to do efficiently. This is why ASICs will remain the undisputed technology in mining in the long term, while quantum computers offer no practical advantage here.
Bitcoin and the test of the century
Bitcoin was created to exist independently of states, companies and individuals. It is a network that can only be changed by consensus. It is precisely this characteristic that makes it resilient - and at the same time vulnerable to challenges that require collective action. The real question is not whether quantum computers will one day be strong enough to break today's cryptography. The real question is whether Bitcoin, as a global, decentralized system, will be able to prepare for the post-quantum era in a timely and unified manner.
There is no reason to panic, but there is also no reason to be careless. The future of quantum technology is uncertain, but the direction is clear: Bitcoin faces a long-term but solvable challenge. How the network responds will determine whether Bitcoin remains what it is today in the age of quantum computing - the most robust, independent and censorship-resistant monetary system in the world.
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Important note
The opinions and information provided by us do not constitute financial advice. They are for informational and educational purposes only and are not intended as a substitute for individual advice from qualified professionals.
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+ 4
Are BTC cycles ended?
The narrative that $BTC (-0,38 %) cycles are over is gaining traction, driven by institutional flows and evolving market structure. Yet price behavior still aligns with historical patterns—accumulation, expansion, and distribution remain visible. Volatility compresses, then releases, just as before. The difference lies in scale and speed, not structure. While $BTC (-0,38 %) continues to respect cyclical tendencies, forward visibility is limited. Macro conditions, liquidity shifts, and regulation now play a larger role. The cycle may persist—but certainty no longer does.
Crypto assets record inflows of 224 million US dollars - XRP tops the rankings
$XRP (-0,16 %) recorded the largest inflows of all assets, attracting USD 119.6 million - the highest figure since mid-December 2025.
Digital asset investment products recorded inflows totaling USD 224 million last week.
While #xrp led the market, the downward $ETH (-0,49 %) the downward trend continued with further outflows, and sentiment towards digital asset $BTC (-0,38 %) remained mixed - with moderate inflows coupled with continued interest in short Bitcoin products.
Also $SOL (-0,58 %) registered inflows, reflecting continued stable investor demand.


