Lotus Bakeries

Cookies always work 😉

Good morning,

I haven't had any individual stocks in the last 10 years, but have now decided to invest in 10 stocks again. I have already chosen 9 of them, one is still missing. Perhaps someone can give me a tip.

I have the following criteria:

-No tech, I have enough of that already

-If possible, no USA. But this is not an exclusion

-Dividend doesn't matter

-Investment horizon > 10 years

Here are the 9:

$LOTB (-0.85%)

$CTAS (+0.8%)

$LIN (-0.21%)

$8001 (-1.31%)

$RMS (+1.38%)

$LMT (-1.67%)

$V (-0.3%)

$BRK.B (+0.02%)

$BLK

If there are any concerns about the nine, I will gladly take some out again

Update: @RealMichaelScott Someone has asked in the comments for the reasoning behind my selection so far. I'd like to answer that here:

There are a few more smart criteria that fit my preferences and gut feeling. These would be:

I like stocks with long-phase linear growth, see $CTAS (+0.8%) in the last 12 months and $8001 (-1.31%) . $LOTB (-0.85%) is one of the best stocks in the world in my opinion. Exponential growth will certainly turn around at some point, but I don't like cyclicals. I also value positive free cash flow. I am not interested in P/E ratios (for whatever reason). Another reason is diversity with the 10 stocks, I'm not sure yet. $LIN (-0.21%) was and would still be the only DAX stock that makes it to me. I would have gladly done without Armor, but unfortunately it will be part of the next 10 years, so $LMT (-1.67%) . I'm also looking for stocks that closed 2020 and 2022 on a positive note.

$BRK.B (+0.02%) is somehow part of such a portfolio:-), I'm not sure about $V (-0.3%) I'm not sure about. Thanks for the suggestions on medical+health, that's definitely still missing. I still have doubts about energy. Due to the climate problem, I don't know where the journey will take us.

Update 2: Thanks for all the good suggestions. I took advantage of the bad weather and the window day today and have now made my decision:

$BLK (+0.26%) flies out again, $V (-0.3%) stays

Instead there are 2 new ones from your suggestions:

$CAT (+0.33%) and $NOVO B (-0.23%)

So it looks like this:

$LOTB (-0.85%)

$CTAS (+0.8%)

$LIN (-0.21%)

$8001 (-1.31%)

$RMS (+1.38%)

$LMT (-1.67%)

$V (-0.3%)

$BRK.B (+0.02%)

$CAT (+0.33%)

$NOVO B (-0.23%)

I did a backtest from 1.1.2020, all equally weighted

Average annual return: 24.32%

Total return approx. twice as high as the S&P ETF $CSPX (-0.22%)

In the difficult years 2020 and 2022 each over 13% plus

10k became 28.5k with dividends in the 4.5 years

Nice linear progression over the entire term:

But unfortunately: forecasts are difficult, especially when they concern the future!

9 months ago I already had $LOTB (-0.85%) on my watchlist 9 months ago and had read up on the cookie baker both here on getquin and elsewhere. However, I didn't take the plunge because the valuation at the time (P/E ratio: 50) seemed too high to me...

And now? I'm very annoyed 😤 But well, that's the stock market 🫠

Ok, I thought it couldn't get any crazier with this share $LOTB (-0.85%) until today's announcement that led to the +19% jump: "Lotus Bakeries generated annual sales of over €1 billion for the first time in history in 2023". Simply insane. Nevertheless, no more entry for me..... these are too hot cookies for me with a view to the P/E ratio....

What do you think? Lotus still a buy for you?

$LOTB (-0.85%) - Why didn't any of you see this coming? And how can you make a cookie-making course eighty times as much 😄? I still can't find an explanation except that the cookies are simply delicious... 1000 euros invested in 2005 would have become over 80000 euros today.