$TTE (+1,42 %)

The energy group TotalEnergies is massively expanding its computing capacities, as the company announced on Wednesday. Together with Dell Technologies and NVIDIA, the company is developing the high-performance computer Pangea 5, which is being built at the CSTJF research center in Pau, France, at a cost of more than 100 million euros.

https://share.google/6zJmCbFXlWnNBOiUh

First up today is a report on $TTE (+1,42 %)

Donald Trump's crusade against wind power continues. According to reports, TotalEnergies will now receive a payment of one billion US dollars if the company withdraws from the expansion of new wind power projects in the USA. In return, the plan is to focus more on investments in oil and gas projects in future.

As a result, the share of renewable energies in the electricity mix in the USA is likely to remain very low by international standards. Wind and solar energy only account for around 17% of electricity generation there. In Germany, this share is already just under 60 percent. At EU level, around 71% of electricity comes from renewable sources such as wind, solar, hydropower and biomass.

TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné explained the deal as follows: "TotalEnergies is pleased to sign these settlement agreements with the US Department of the Interior (DOI) and to support the government's energy policy. As the development of offshore wind projects is not in the national interest, we have decided to forego the development of offshore wind farms in the US in exchange for a refund of lease fees." Pouyanné added: "These agreements, under which we will reinvest the refunded lease fees in the construction of the 29 million-ton Rio Grande LNG facility and the further development of our oil and gas activities, will also allow us to support the development of US gas production and exports."

Despite production cuts in the Middle East, there are still very good prospects for$TTE (+1,42 %)

The French have the lowest production costs of the five major western oil producers (which also include Exxon, Chevron, BP and Shell). In addition, the company is very well positioned in renewable energies, which are also benefiting indirectly from the sharp rise in oil and gas prices.

I know that many people called me crazy yesterday when I bought additional derivatives on many of my shares during the big sell-off. I would like to say that apart from $IREN (+0,9 %) none of the stocks in my portfolio were in the red, only the profits were reduced. But I figured that after 3 days of selling off and some stocks being down 30-40%, there would at least have to be a countermovement. And of course it could have gone wrong. Even with all the purchases yesterday, I only went in with leverage of 5, which is rather modest by my standards.

Today I would like to give you a brief overview of how the trades have developed, even though the day is not yet over and there have often been sell-offs in the last hour of trading just before a weekend. I always write you the daily performance first and then my previous performance behind it, as I did not buy at the lowest price.

$TTE (+1,42 %) - 3% + 10%

$LMND (+0,43 %) +35% +18%

$INOD (-11,82 %) +42 % +31%

$ONDS (-3,51 %) +71 % + 41%

The bill on $IREN (+0,9 %) which was already from the day before yesterday, was stopped out shortly before 22:00 with TSL at +/- 0%. I bought a new one instead, but to be fair it is out of competition here. I bought it at the low yesterday and, like many here, it would have $IREN (+0,9 %) would have been knocked out by the start of trading. so far it is up 40%.

Classic shine on $TTE (+1,42 %) . I find it the most interesting of the oil stocks.

I know, I know. It's just a snapshot, but this figure has been a goal of mine for a long time. Now this figure has finally been reached.

I've been investing since 2022, initially only a little, CHF 200-300 per month. I've learned a lot and found my passion for dividends.

I turned 27 last week, had a difficult start 9 years ago in the adult world. Debts and 0 CHF in my bank account, at some point I managed to get out of it and am now very proud of it.

I still have a long way to go and hope I do the best daraus👌🏼

At the moment I am saving

$VWRL (-0,23 %) 50CHF per week

$VHYL (+0,55 %) : 50CHF per week

$SREN (-2,97 %) : 100 CHF per month

$PEP (+2,1 %) : 100 USD per month

$TTE (+1,42 %) : 100 Euro per month

If there is a military escalation or a direct attack by the US in Iran (or in the Middle East in general), three sectors tend to react most strongly: armaments (defense), energy (oil/gas) and safe havens (gold/precious metals).

1. defense industry (defense & aerospace)

This sector benefits directly from the expectation of government orders for ammunition, missile systems, drones and logistics. The focus here is on US companies, but European stocks also often move up.

$LMT (+1,83 %)

$RTX (+0,82 %)

$NOC (+2,42 %)

$GD (+1,3 %)

$RHM (-1,97 %)

ETF option (broad diversification):

iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (focus on US defense):

VanEck Defense UCITS ETF.

VanEck Defense ETF: WKN: A3D9M1 / ISIN: IE000YYE6WK5

2. energy sector (oil & gas)

Iraq is a major oil producer. A conflict in this region immediately fuels fears of supply shortages or blockades (e.g. Strait of Hormuz). The oil price (Brent/WTI) usually rises sharply, which increases the margins of the major oil companies (Big Oil).

$CVX (+1,09 %)

$TTE (+1,42 %)

$OXY (+2,16 %)

$SHEL (+0,45 %)

$XOM (+1,28 %)

Certificates on the oil price:

If you want to bet directly on the commodity price (Brent Crude Oil), you often use ETCs (Exchange Traded Commodities).

WisdomTree Brent Crude Oil: WKN: A1N49P/M/N / ISIN: JE00B78CGV99

3. safe havens (gold & dollar)

In times of military uncertainty, capital flees from risky investments (such as tech stocks) into so-called "safe havens".

Gold: Considered the number 1 crisis currency.

US dollar: Often appreciates as it is considered the most stable currency, which in turn burdens export-oriented US companies, but can benefit dollar holders.

$4GLD (+0,3 %)

$ABX (-1,5 %)

Important risk warnings

"Sell the news": Markets often price in conflicts before the first shot is fired. As soon as the attack actually takes place, it can paradoxically happen that prices (e.g. oil, gold, silver)

prices (e.g. oil, gold, silver) fall because the uncertainty has disappeared ("sell on good news, buy on bad news" - or vice versa).

Overall market reaction: While armaments and oil rise, broad indices such as the DAX or the S&P 500 often fall initially, as transportation costs rise (bad for airlines such as Lufthansa) and consumer sentiment falls.

Political intervention: If the oil price is too high, the USA often intervenes in strategic oil reserves, which can quickly reduce the price pressure on energy stocks.

$TTE (+1,42 %)

TotalEnergies SE and Galp have reaffirmed their long-term commitment to the development of Namibia's energy resources in a high-level meeting with Namibia's President Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah. TotalEnergies will assume operatorship of Petroleum Exploration License (PEL) 83 with the Mopane discoveries, while Galp will enter into licenses PEL 56 and PEL 91 with the Venus discovery. An investment decision for the Venus project is targeted for 2026; an exploration and appraisal drilling campaign will start at Mopane in the same year. The companies are focusing on sustainable development, local value creation and cooperation with the authorities in order to turn Namibia into a major energy producer.

https://totalenergies.com/news/press-releases/namibia-totalenergies-concludes-agreement-galp-enter-operator-prolific-pel-83

$TTE (+1,42 %)

https://totalenergies.com/news/press-releases/mozambique-lng-announces-full-restart-all-its-activities-onshore-and-offshore

TotalEnergies SE has announced the full resumption of all activities of the Mozambique LNG project. Following the lifting of the force majeure declared in 2021, the major liquefied natural gas (LNG) project will now continue both onshore and offshore. The project is expected to make Mozambique a major LNG exporter and bring long-term economic benefits to the country. The first LNG export is expected in 2029.

TotalEnergies holds a 26.5% stake in the consortium and expects the restart to significantly strengthen its global LNG portfolio, which will account for around 50% of the company's energy mix by 2030.

50 % of the company's energy mix by 2030.

Due to the five-year interruption, TotalEnergies is reportedly demanding compensation of 4.5 billion US dollars for cost overruns from the Mozambican state.