Used the breakout for a first tranche. Certainly one of the most exciting picks in the e-mobility sector📈

BYD
Price
Discussão sobre 1211
Postos
424Dates week 15
As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week.
Also as a video:
https://youtube.com/shorts/YkFURUPVMi4?is=Zt5kw39ObJLmu8tr
Monday:
The quarterly figures of the Chinese electric car company $1211 (+0,17%) BYD (Build your Dreams) were disappointing. Profits slumped by 38% and turnover fell by 14%. The CEO also spoke of a brutal knock-out phase in the industry in China.
The inflation rate in Germany is already rising noticeably to 2.8% compared to the same month last year. Energy in particular has become significantly more expensive.
Wednesday:
Orders in the mechanical engineering sector fell significantly by 12% in February compared to the same month last year. Orders from Germany in particular fell by 16%. Orders from the eurozone, on the other hand, increased by 6%. The period under review was largely unaffected by the Iran war.
Friday:
The US economy is booming despite the Iran war. Three times more jobs were created than expected. As a result, the unemployment rate surprisingly fell to 4.3%. In addition, the majority of market participants no longer expect the Fed to cut interest rates.
The most important dates in the coming week:
Wednesday: 11:00 Producer prices (EUR)
Thursday: 14:30 Consumer spending (USA)
Friday: 14:30 Accurate inflation data (USA)
#inflation
#erzeugerpreise
#konsum
#usa
#eu
Can you think of any other dates?
📊 My portfolio update March 2026
March was a very weak month on the markets. The Iran war kept global stock markets on tenterhooks - rising oil prices, accelerated inflation and a massive risk-off move across almost all asset classes. The DAX lost over 10%, the Nasdaq slipped into correction mode and even broadly diversified world ETFs fell significantly.
Despite the difficult environment, my portfolio remained comparatively stable and outperformed all major benchmarks:
📊 Monthly performance: -3,69%
📊 Portfolio value: ~38.367 €
📊 Performance
max. (06.01.2022): +24,98%
📊 Performance
YTD: -2,80%
Performance & comparison 🚀
March was characterized by a broad sell-off, triggered by the escalation in the Middle East, rising oil prices and the associated reassessment of inflation expectations. The ECB kept the deposit rate at 2.00%, but signaled increased uncertainty - rate cut fantasies are off the table for now.
Performance in comparison (01.03-31.03.2026):
My portfolio: -3,69%
NASDAQ 100: -6,70%
S&P 500: -3,88%
DAX: -10,27%
FTSE All-World: -5,42%
👉 The portfolio performed significantly better than all benchmark indices in an extremely weak market environment. Particularly striking: the DAX lost over 10% - driven by the direct impact of rising energy costs on European industrial stocks. The global diversification and focus on quality in the portfolio clearly paid off in this environment.
Purchases, sales & allocation 💶
No purchases or sales were made in March.
👉 In an environment of war, rising oil prices and increased volatility, the conscious decision not to carry out any transactions was part of the strategy.
The existing allocation reflects the conviction - panic selling or frantic buying in times of maximum uncertainty are not part of the approach. Cash is held ready for potential opportunities in the event of further weakness.
Top movers in March 🟢
Despite the weak overall market, individual positions showed significant strength.
The strongest performer was Cloudflare ($NET (-2,79%)) with +22.68% and a gain of +€339.97 - the share benefited massively from the AI edge infrastructure fantasy and strong Q4 figures with 33.6% revenue growth. CEO Matthew Prince is positioning Cloudflare as a central platform for the "Agentic Internet", which is going down well with investors. Also BYD ($1211 (+0,17%)) also impressed with +15.01% (+€212.72) and once again showed relative strength in the EV sector, followed by CrowdStrike ($CRWD (-1,64%)) with +9.47% (+€108.12), which recovered significantly after the previous month's weak performance.
Datadog ($DDOG (+0,32%)) gained +7.82% (+47.22€), while Bitcoin ($BTC (+0,81%)) showed a moderate recovery with +4.00% (+€37.26). Mercado
Libre ($MELI (+0,18%)) rounded off the list of winners with +1.95% (+€12.50) - also a rebound after the weak February with -17.33%.
Flop movers in March 🔴
The weaker side of the portfolio was broadly diversified across various sectors and reflected geopolitical pressure.
American
Lithium ($AMLI) corrected the most with -31.11% (-128.90€) - the commodity sector is under pressure from falling lithium spot prices and weak demand forecasts from China. Hermès Hermès ($RMS (+5,03%)) also came under pressure at -18.09% (€-0.54) - although the position was only established in February as a quality stock, Luxury is currently suffering from the general risk-off sentiment.
Siemens ($SIE (+2,54%)) lost -16.75% (-€135.26) - as an export-oriented industrial stock directly affected by rising energy costs and the uncertainty caused by the Middle East conflict. Keyence ($6861 (-0,93%)) lost -16.43% (-€105.85) - a significant setback after the strong February rebound of +16.21%. IREN ($IREN (+9,88%)) continued the negative trend with -14.54% (-110.45€), already the second weak month in a row after -24.10% in February. The VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF ($NLR (+1,44%)) rounded off the list of losers with -13.46% (-150.21€).
👉 Striking:
The setback at Keyence and Hermès shows how quickly relative strength can be lost again in volatile markets. Fundamentally, however, nothing has changed for most positions - the corrections are primarily driven by sentiment and macro factors, not by operational weakness.
Conclusion 💡
March was a stress test for the entire portfolio, but the relative outperformance against all benchmarks confirms the strategic orientation:
➡️ No panic selling - maintain discipline in the allocation
➡️ Relative strength against NASDAQ 100 (-6.70%), S&P 500 (-3.88%), DAX (-10.27%) and FTSE All-World (-5.42%)
➡️ Individual stocks such as Cloudflare (+22.68%) and BYD (+15.01%) as stabilizers in the portfolio
The environment remains challenging:
The Iran conflict, rising oil prices and the associated inflation risks will continue to shape the markets in April. The ECB has raised its inflation forecast for 2026 to 2.60% - interest rate cuts are a distant prospect. The focus remains on qualityglobal diversification and patience. In phases of maximum uncertainty, the wheat is separated from the chaff.
❓ Question for the community
Which stock surprised you the most in March - positively or negatively?
👇 Write it in the comments!
➡️ Follow @Derspekulant1 for transparent portfolio updates! 🔗 Link in bio: Getquin & Parqet Portfolio
🗞️ Newsletter: derspekulant.beehiiv.com
+ 2
BYD shares +7% | Expansion takes off - This has NEVER happened before! Has the starting signal been given?
Today I am analyzing the BYD share following the latest quarterly figures. The share has already risen +7.4% today - but the question is: is it still worth getting in now?
📉 Quarterly figures: BYD reports a fall in profits for the first time in four years:
- Net profit: 32.6 billion yuan (-19%)
- Turnover: 803.9 billion yuan (below expectations)
- Vehicle sales: +7.7% to 4.6 million units
➡️ Growth remains strong, profitability under pressure.
🌍 Growth driver International expansion is becoming massively more important:
- Over 1 million vehicles exported in 2025
- European sales +270% - exports higher than domestic sales for the first time
- Target for 2026: 1.3 million export vehicles
BYD is also investing heavily in technology: Blade Battery 2.0 (higher efficiency, no cobalt) and advances in autonomous driving
📊 Fundamental valuation:
- Share around 37% below fair value (~185 HKD)
- Sales, margins and profits continue to grow
- Regional distribution is moving towards 50:50 (currently 61:39)
Analysts expect strong growth in sales and margins in the coming years
📈 Chart analysis:
- Sideways phase between 92-105 HKD
- Breakout above 105 HKD → potential up to 130 HKD (+20%)
- The setup remains stable above HKD 82
- Below it becomes significantly weaker
⚠️ Conclusion: Despite weaker earnings, BYD continues to show strong growth and clear future prospects. The current valuation offers room for maneuver, while a technical breakout could serve as a possible starting signal for the next upward movement.
How do you see the $1211 (+0,17%) ? Worth a chance for you?
However, we evaluate companies strictly quantitatively and filter hard facts.
If you take off your rose-colored growth glasses, the reality looks a lot more uncomfortable:
📉 1. the chart and share price check (the mandatory task)
The current live price is just under HKD 105.80. You are absolutely right, the share is currently testing the upper edge of its sideways range. It is no longer a classic falling knife, but we are also a long way from an intact, fundamentally driven bull market. On a one-year horizon, the share is still down a good 20%.
🚗 2. what the company does
BYD is the most vertically integrated electric car and battery manufacturer in the world. They build practically everything themselves, from the chip to the battery cell. The problem: they operate in an absolute mass market in which the most brutal price war in automotive history is currently raging.
📊 3. the bare key figures & facts (as at March 31, 2026)
P/E ratio (price-earnings ratio): ~ 22.0 (TTM)
KUV (price-sales ratio): ~ 1.1
KCV (Price-Cashflow Ratio): Under massive pressure. Profit quality is falling as operating cash flow is stagnating due to high inventories and massive investments (CapEx).
P/B (Price-Book Value Ratio): ~ 3.8 to 4.0
Dividend yield: ~ 1.36 % (misses our minimum requirement of 3.5 % for an income investment by miles).
🔬 4. the formula check (this is where it gets bloody)
You're celebrating the 4.6 million vehicles sold. But let's see what really sticks with the shareholder:
The Core Quality Formula (sales growth + operating margin = score):
Turnover growth (2025): Sales increased to 803.9 billion yuan. This is a meagre increase of just 3.5% compared to the previous year! The gigantic growth of previous years has stuttered massively.
Margin: The net margin has slumped to a dramatic 4.1% (the gross margin fell to a 5-year low of 17.7%). Let us make a reasonable assumption of an operating margin of around 5.0 to 5.5 %.
Result: 3.5 + 5.5 = score 9.0!
Conclusion: Our rule of thumb is crystal clear: anything below 15 is "weak/speculative". A score of 9.0 for an alleged growth company is a complete disaster. The qualitative growth is gone.
The hard exclusion rule (the death sentence for BYD):
Sales growth stagnant? Yes (+3.5% is virtually stagnant at this valuation). Operating margin permanently below or close to 5%? We are scratching hard at this death zone. Story > Numbers? Absolutely!
The filter is merciless: Exclusion! No investment.
🥊 5. future prospects & competition (the bitter reality)
Why is profit falling by 19% to 32.6 billion yuan even though they are building more cars? Because of the Chinese price war! The average selling price per BYD car has dropped to about 141,000 yuan. They are selling more sheet metal, but earning less on each car.
What's more, BYD lost the lead in domestic sales to Geely at the beginning of 2026. The flight to exports is not a luxurious expansion, but a sheer necessity in order to escape the falling margins in China - and in Europe and the USA, the heavy tariffs are now waiting.
🎯 6. special entry zones (the "Bargain Hunter's List")
As BYD falls hard through our quality filters, the stock is not a strategic long-term investment for us. However, if you like the China risk and want to trade the technical breakout above 105 HKD that you mentioned:
Zone 1 (The pullback): A pullback to around 95 HKD (the safe middle of the sideways channel).
Zone 2 (The panic bottom): The 52-week low at HKD 88.50.
📋 7. detailed report: profit margins, alternatives & conclusion
Conclusion: BYD builds excellent cars, but the stock is currently a real value trap. The gigantic sales growth of previous years has shrunk to 3.5% and profit margins are imploding. Anyone entering the market at a P/E ratio of 22 is paying a premium price for historic growth that no longer exists in the harsh reality of 2025/2026.
BYD continues to rev up
Reading time: approx. 3 minutes
Hello dear gq community,
Today I would like to give you a closer look at developments in the electric car sector over the last few months.
This time it's not so much an in-depth evaluation of the BYD share $1211 (+0,17%) than an introduction to the European electric car market and the company.
In the past, Chinese cars have been described as "clunkers" and "plastic bombers" with gaps wider than the phone book of German cities, and rightly so.
But the Chinese have one thing over the Europeans - they learn and they learn damn fast.
Today, the vehicles of the well-known Chinese manufacturers are flawless and of very high quality.
European car buyers are also noticing this more and more.
In Germany, buyers are becoming less and less skeptical. Whereas a year ago hardly any Germans could imagine buying a Chinese car, the latest surveys show that half of Germans could already imagine buying a Chinese car.
Why is this the case with BYD?
Like few others, the manufacturer has understood so quickly that Germans still want to go into a car dealership to inspect the vehicles, check the workmanship and feel the materials.
In the last 6 months, BYD has managed to persuade many renowned car dealerships to include BYD as a brand.
While other manufacturers only have a partner every few hundred kilometers, BYD currently has 190 service partners!
A year earlier there were just 26!
This shows how massively BYD has worked on its visibility and has been able to gain powerful partner companies in this short time.
The vehicles
BYD only launched its vehicles in Germany in 2022. It started with a smaller SUV with an unusual interior that reminded many of guitar strings and records, which was called the Atto 3. In addition, the Chinese offered a large SUV called Tang, which clearly wanted to push into the luxury sector, and a sedan, the Han, which scored points with equally fine materials. Some elements of the interior of this vehicle were particularly striking, looking very much like parts of the previous Mercedes C-Class. No wonder, as the Chinese had a collaboration with Mercedes.
Several other models were added later. Today, BYD offers every vehicle segment, from the Dolphin Surf subcompact to the sporty Sealion 7 crossover SUV.
Here too, few other manufacturers from the Far East are as well positioned as BYD.
The technology
BYD offers modern LFP batteries that offer low susceptibility to faults and a high level of safety. They also require no cobalt or nickel and are very durable.
The entry-level versions of the vehicles are already almost fully equipped. This is what German manufacturers dream of.
BYD offers many models either as fully electric vehicles or, for skeptics of e-mobility, as hybrids with ranges of over 1000 kilometers.
In short, BYD fully caters to the needs of German customers.
The design as well as the interior and chassis layout are geared towards German requirements.
Is that enough of a positive argument for the company?
Not by a long shot!
BYD not only builds good and inexpensive cars, but also commercial vehicles. We've had a large number of buses in our local public transport system for years now and they're humming quietly and emission-free through the cities.
BYD is also one of the largest battery and energy storage manufacturers.
Another line of business is the SkyRail rail system, which we don't have on our radar when we hear the name BYD.
Attention! The electronics division with contract manufacturing for well-known companies such as Apple, Samsung and Xiaomi is housed in a separate company with its own shares.
BUT the parent company holds over 65% of the shares, which also means that cash flows into the parent company.
The last branch of BYD is the production of solar systems.
BYD is not just a car manufacturer, but a huge corporation that is now becoming visible in Germany with its vehicles.
Since the beginning of the year, the share has been able to offer a remarkable upward trend of over 29% despite the adverse circumstances surrounding wars, inflation and trade disputes.
With a P/E ratio of over 20, the share is no longer really cheap if one were to view the company as a pure car manufacturer, but BYD should not be viewed as a pure car manufacturer. For this reason, a lot is already priced into the current price, but I think there is still plenty of room for upside.
The Hare himself is invested in BYD and remains convinced.
I hope you enjoyed this brief overview of this, in my opinion, very interesting company.
Your bunny 🐰 André
LIT
A small find from the weekend in the $LIT (+0,42%)
The charts and also the RSIs look juicy at the moment, exactly how you want to see it. The weekly RSI has turned upwards again for the first time after 4 years of correction, and quite strongly at that. After the next retest of the averages, things could get really interesting.
The composition of the stocks in the $LIT (+0,42%) is absolutely wild.
$RIO (-0,54%) , $ALB (-0,11%) , $0L2T (-0,73%) , $3750 (-3,87%) , $TSLA (+3,02%) , $1211 (+0,17%) ....that always reminds me of the legendary DSF indoor tournaments with Ailton and co. The ETF could also be called Budenzauber.
Otherwise, charts from $ALB (-0,11%) look similar. Nice breakout above the moving averages and could become interesting after the next correction.
Does anyone else happen to be watching these stocks?
Dates week 12
As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the most important dates for the coming week. Also as a video:
https://youtube.com/shorts/j--aDNRO-iU?is=sKyIdCnD-ujDiJ2M
Monday:
Industrial production in Germany fell slightly in January, but on a 3-month horizon Germany is in the black. This also has to do with the defense industry, where Germany is now the fourth largest exporter in the world and has overtaken China
https://hasepost.de/industrieproduktion-in-deutschland-sinkt-im-januar-2026-deutlich-689215/
Tuesday:
As was already the case at $MBG (+1,38%) Mercedes, Volkswagen's profit is halved. Instead of 12.4 billion euros, it was only 6.9 billion euros. Turnover remained largely stable at 322 billion euros. However, the profit margin is now only wafer-thin. In addition to the well-known problems in China and the USA, this is also due to problems at Audi and $P911 (+2,73%) Porsche.
$BOSS (-0,82%) HUGO BOSS surprises on the stock market. The Group delivers above expectations in almost all key figures. Sales fell slightly to around 4.27 billion euros. Profit rose by 17% to 249 million euros. The dividend is cut to 4 cents, but the company buys its own shares. The outlook of a slight decline in turnover for 2026 is confirmed.
Wednesday:
The International Energy Agency proposes the release of part of the oil reserve of 400 million barrels. The reason for this is the enormous increase in oil costs and the shortage caused by the war in Iran. However, supply bottlenecks are expected more in Asia than in Europe.
Friday:
$VOW3 (+2,24%) Volkswagen is once again the market leader in China. Because Beijing is cutting subsidies, BYD is losing $1211 (+0,17%) BYD loses its market leadership again. Without state subsidies, VW's cars seem to be more convincing.
The most important dates for the coming week:
Wednesday: 20:00 Interest rate decision (USA)
Thursday: 13:00 Interest rate decision (UK)
Thursday: 14:15 Interest rate decision (EUR)
#fed
#ezb
#zinsen
#inflation
#ölpreis
Can you think of any other dates?
🔋 Company presentation: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Limited (CATL) - world market leader for battery technology
Dear Community,
Having recently discussed some exciting companies from future-oriented sectors, today I would like to take a look at Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Limited - CATL for short $3750 (-3,87%) for short.
The Chinese group is now the world's world's largest manufacturer of batteries for electric vehicles and plays a central role in the global electrification electrification of transportation and in the expansion of energy storage solutions.
_________________________
🏢 Brief description
CATL develops and produces lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage systems.
The company supplies many of the world's largest car manufacturers.
Its most important customers include:
- Tesla ($TSLA (+3,02%) )
- BMW ($BMW (-2,01%) )
- Volkswagen ($VOW (+1,35%) )
- Mercedes-Benz ($MBG (+1,38%) )
- Ford ($F (+4,06%) )
- Hyundai ($005380 )
CATL batteries are now installed in installed in over 17 million electric vehicles worldwide.
_________________________
🏢 1. company data
Foundation: 2011
Founder: Robin Zeng
Head office: Ningde, Fujian (China)
Industry: Battery technology / energy storage / electromobility
Initial public offering: 2018 on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (Ticker: $300750
)
Employees: ≈ 147,716 worldwide
Business model
CATL develops and produces:
- Lithium-ion battery cells
- complete battery systems for electric vehicles
- stationary energy storage systems
- Battery materials and recycling solutions
The Group covers large parts of the battery value chain from raw materials to integration into vehicles.
_________________________
📈 2. finances & company value
(current company key figures)
Market capitalization: ≈ 205.5 billion €
Turnover (TTM): ≈ 366.9 billion RMB (~46.2 billion USD)
Net result: ≈ 54.2 billion RMB
EPS (earnings per share): ≈ 12.37 RMB
Quarterly profit growth (YoY): +32,9 %
Cash position: ≈ 342.7 billion RMB
💡 Explanation:
The turnover comes mainly from batteries for electric vehicleswhile energy storage solutions are increasingly becoming a second growth driver becoming a second growth driver.
_________________________
📊 3. key valuation figures
P/E ratio (trailing PE): ≈ 26,9
Forward P/E ratio: ≈ 21,2
Price-to-sales (P/S): ≈ 3,3
Enterprise Value: ≈ 180.4 billion €
💡 Explanation:
- P/E RATIO: Ratio of market capitalization to profit
- P/E RATIO (P/S): Stock market value in relation to turnover
For a strongly growing industrial technology group these valuations are considered comparatively moderate.
_________________________
💰 4. profitability & margins
Net margin: ≈ 14,77 %
Operating margin: ≈ 17,44 %
Return on equity (ROE): ≈ 22,2 %
Return on assets (ROA): ≈ 5,08 %
💡 Explanation:
- ROE: Shows how efficiently equity is used
- ROA: shows profitability in relation to total assets
Despite enormous investments, CATL remains profitable and cash flow strong.
_________________________
🛡️ 5. Balance sheet quality & financial health
Total assets: ≈ 896 billion RMB
Equity: ≈ 347 billion RMB
Cash & short-term investments: ≈ 367.5 billion RMB
CATL therefore has a very strong liquidity positionwhich enables large investments in new factories and technologies and technologies.
_________________________
🔋 6. market position & industry key figures
CATL has been the the world's largest manufacturer of EV batteries.
Global market share: ≈ 38 %
This means:
➡️ More than one in three electric car batteries worldwide comes from CATL.
The market is growing rapidly:
- electromobility
- expansion of renewable energies
- Stationary energy storage
_________________________
⚔️ 7. Overview of competitors
The battery market is highly competitive.
The most important competitors include:
- LG Energy Solution ($373220 )
- BYD ($1211 (+0,17%) )
- Panasonic ($6752 (+1,32%) )
- Samsung SDI ($006400 )
_________________________
💡 8. unique selling propositions (USPs)
Why is CATL considered the industry leader?
1️⃣ Technology leadership
CATL invests heavily in research and development.
Important innovations:
- Cell-to-pack technology (CTP)
- Lithium iron phosphate batteries (LFP)
- Fast-charging batteries
2️⃣ Scaling
CATL operates numerous Gigafactories worldwide.
Production capacity was already over 165 GWh and is set to increase further.
3️⃣ Global customer portfolio
The company supplies numerous international car brands and therefore has a broad diversification of demand.
4️⃣ Vertical integration
CATL invests in:
- Raw material extraction
- battery production
- recycling
In the long term, this can reduce production costs can be reduced in the long term.
_________________________
⚙️ 9. Opportunities and risks
🟢 Opportunities
The global battery market is growing strongly.
Drivers:
- Electromobility
- Energy storage for power grids
- renewable energies
CATL is also working on:
- Sodium-ion batteries
- solid state batteries
These technologies could be the next generation of energy storage storage systems.
🔴 Risks
Risks include the following:
- geopolitical tensions between China and Western markets
- Rising commodity prices (lithium, nickel)
- strong competition
- Price wars in the Chinese EV market
In the year 2024, for example, turnover fell by 9.7%, althoughalthough profits continued to rise.
_________________________
📰 Current developments
CATL is currently expanding massively internationally.
Important projects:
- Gigafactory in Hungary
- Battery production in Germany (Erfurt)
- planned battery factory in Spain together with Stellantis ($STLAM (+2,04%)
)
The company also raised more than Hong Kong stock exchange listing to raise over USD 4 billion in capitalto finance its global expansion.
_________________________
🧠 Conclusion
CATL is one of the most important companies in the global energy transition.
The Group combines:
- enormous production capacities
- technological innovation
- a strong market position
Should electromobility continues to grow stronglyCATL is likely to remain a key infrastructure infrastructure player in the global battery industry.
_________________________
Sources:
Investing.com: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co Ltd - Financials & Company Profile
https://www.investing.com/equities/contemporary-amperex-tech-co-ltd-company-profile
MarketScreener: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Limited - Company Profile
https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/CONTEMPORARY-AMPEREX-TECH-46551731/company/
SNE Research: Global EV Battery Market Share
https://www.sneresearch.com/en/insight/release_view/195/page/0?utm_source=chatgpt.com
https://cnevpost.com/2026/03/06/global-ev-battery-market-share-jan-2026/
In addition, there are new collaborations such as the recent one with Rio Tinto (mining) or the development in the maritime sector, as well as in the external energy storage business/ecosystems 👍🏻
BYD is once again the clear number 2 here, but is also well ahead in all areas.
All in all, it can be said that there is no way around both CATL and BYD in the field of electrification.
BYD
I feel like people aren’t aware enough that $1211 (+0,17%) has been rejected by the Chinese consumer. Everyone talks about it like you’ll be driving a Biyadi in the future but no, those are for city buses in Indonesia, you’ll be in a Zeekr or Xiaomi.
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