Hey dear Getquiners, honest question: Do you think gold is crisis-proof?

In this post, I explain why I think gold is one of the worst assets of all and why the "scarcity" on the market is often a lie - because all that glitters is not gold 😉

1. the asset in a deep sleep 😴

Anyone who bought gold at the high in 1980 had to 26 years to get back to zero in nominal terms. Adjusted for inflation, this was a financial disaster. Is an asset really "stable in value" if it takes half a working lifetime to make up for mere losses? After the 2011 high, it also took approx. 9 years (until 2020) until the price broke out sustainably.

2. the gold that wasn't actually there. 👻

Gold is sold as a "limited resource". It has to be painstakingly mined, is physically limited and cannot be conjured up. But what if it is possible on paper?

The Morgan Stanley scandal: In 2007, it came to light that Morgan Stanley had not physically bought or stored gold for many clients at all. The bank only held "paper positions", but still collected the fees for the (non-existent) vault storage. The clients were not holding hard assets, just hot air.

The Bre-X scandal (1997): The company Bre-X Minerals claimed to have discovered the largest gold deposit in the world. Geologists "salted" the drill samples with gold dust (even from their own jewelry!) to keep up appearances. The shares shot up to a value of over 6 billion dollars before everything collapsed.

This begs the question: is the price of gold really linked to physical scarcity, or is it often just a hype chart created by expert opinions and blind bank confidence?

3. the volatility lie: 10% crash in 28 minutes? ⏱️📉

It is often said that gold is so great because it is less volatile. But is that true? Let's jump to January 30, 2026: On this day, gold lost almost 28 minutes almost 7 % of its value in just 28 minutes. Over the entire day, it was around 14 %. Don't even get me started on silver (30% fluctuation... cough).

Another example is the April 12, 2013At that time, sell orders for over 400 tons of gold were placed on the Comex in New York within a very short space of time (approx. 15% of annual global production). Gold plunged in two days by 15,5 % in two days. The absurdity: Not a gram of physical gold was moved. They were pure "paper promises". Someone pressed the sell button without ever having owned the metal.

My conclusion: For me, gold is neither stable nor crisis-proof. It is highly volatile and - most importantly - not protected by financial constructs. not infinitely limited. It can be "printed" on paper as much as you like. That's why it no longer has any real value for me.

What do you think? Would you still buy or hold gold after these facts? Let me know your opinion in the comments and leave a follow for more posts like this. Next, I'll write a post on the biggest gold scandals and show you what I think are the better alternatives! 🚀

Feel free to leave feedback, criticism is also welcome, because that's the only way to learn! 😉

$IGLN (-0,64 %)
$4GLD (-0,64 %)
$DE000EWG0LD1 (-0,27 %)
$NEM (-3,34 %)
$GOLD (-1,34 %)
$ABX (-1,14 %)
$FNV (-0,46 %)
$AEM (-0,48 %)
$BTC (-0,64 %)
#gold

Dear Community,

Yesterday a user said that Bitcoin had replaced gold as a crisis currency.

(No, it is not @Klein-Anleger meant 🙄)

Justification: Currently rising $BTC (-0,64 %) while $4GLD (-0,64 %) falling.

I have a different (outdated?) opinion on this and would like to explain below why I cannot agree with this statement.

I look forward to your opinions. Because maybe I'm the one living under the moon. 🤷🏼‍♂️

_________________________

🥇 1. why gold is historically the number one crisis currency

Gold has established itself over decades (actually millennia) as the ultimate store of value.

The reasons:

• 🌍 Independent of states & currencies
• 🏦 No counterparty risk (no issuer, no payment default)
• 📉 Inflation protection
• ⚖️ Limited supply

👉 In real crises (2008 financial crisis, Corona 2020, geopolitical tensions), capital traditionally flows into gold

💡 Important:

Gold is not a "trade", but an anchor of confidence in the global financial system.

_________________________

📉 2. why gold is still falling at the moment

The current decline has nothing to do with a loss of confidence, but is primarily macro-driven:

1️⃣ High interest rates (Fed policy)

• Gold does not yield interest
• Rising yields make bonds more attractive

👉 Capital moves out of gold in the short term

2️⃣ Strong US dollar

• Gold is traded in USD
• Stronger dollar = gold more expensive for other countries
• Demand falls

3️⃣ Profit taking after rally

• Gold had a strong high before
• Short-term correction is normal

_________________________

🪙 3. why Bitcoin is currently rising

Bitcoin is currently benefiting from other factors:

• 📈 Speculation of monetary policy easing
• 💡 Narrative as "digital gold"
• 🏦 Institutional demand (ETFs etc.)
• 🌐 Short-term use as a "liquidity parking lot"

👉 Important:

Bitcoin is currently more of a risk asset with momentum, not a classic safe haven.

_________________________

⚖️ 4. The crucial difference: gold vs. bitcoin

Gold ($IGLN (-0,64 %) ):

• defensive
• stable
• proven in real crises

Bitcoin ($BTC (-0,64 %) ):

• volatile
• heavily dependent on liquidity
• often parallel to tech stocks

💡 Observation:

In real stress phases (e.g. liquidity crises), Bitcoin often falls first, while gold remains stable or rises.

_________________________

🧠 5 Why the current decline is not a warning signal

The most important point:

👉 Gold reacts more strongly to interest rates than to crises in the short term

Meaning:

• rising interest rates = short-term pressure
• Real systemic crisis = long-term rise

➡️ The current decline is therefore more of a macro effect, not a structural break.

_________________________

📊 6. what would have to happen for gold to rise again

Gold should benefit significantly again if:

• 📉 Interest rates fall
• 💵 the US dollar weakens
• 🌍 geopolitical risks continue to escalate
• 📉 Confidence in the financial system declines

👉 Then capital typically returns to traditional safe havens

_________________________

🧠 Conclusion

The current market seems contradictory:

• Gold is falling
• Bitcoin rises

👉 But this is not a paradigm shift.

Gold remains:

• the most stable store of value
• the classic crisis currency

Bitcoin is up to date:

• a liquidity-driven momentum asset

📌 In short:

👉 Gold is not losing importance -

👉 it is only overshadowed by macro factors in the short term.

$GLDA (-0,46 %)
$SGLD (-0,64 %)
$GOLD

After a strong rally, gold is currently undergoing a correction. The price has fallen below the psychologically important USD 5,000 per ounce mark - and there are clear reasons for this.

$IGLN (-0,64 %)
$GLDA (-0,46 %)
$4GLD (-0,64 %)
$GOLD (-1,34 %)
$GOLD
$DE000EWG0LD1 (-0,27 %)

_________________________

📊 1. current development

• Gold price most recently at around USD 5,019
• Previous all-time high: USD 5,420
• Decline: around -3% within a short period of time

💡 Classification:

After the strong rally, this is a classic technical correction - but with fundamental triggers.

_________________________

🏦 2nd main reason: Fed & interest rates

The most important driver at the moment:

👉 Uncertainty ahead of the interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed)

• Markets are waiting for signals on interest rate cuts
• Interest rates remain high → negative for gold
• Why is that? Gold yields no interest and becomes less attractive with high yields

➡️ The Fed meeting is seen as a decisive turning point for future developments

_________________________

💵 3. strong US dollar as a burden

Another key factor:

• The US dollar is gaining strength
• This makes gold more expensive for international buyers
• Demand falls → price comes under pressure

👉 Classic correlation:

Stronger dollar = weaker gold price

_________________________

📉 4. important brands at a glance

Currently decisive:

• 🧱 Support: approx. 4,900 USD
• 🧠 Psychological mark: USD 5,000

➡️ A sustained break below this level could trigger further selling.

_________________________

⚖️ 5. Paradoxical situation on the market

Despite:

• geopolitical tensions
• inflation
• global uncertainty

... gold is currently weakening.

💡 Background:

Macro factors such as interest rates and the dollar are overshadowing safe-haven demand in the short term.

_________________________

🧠 Conclusion

The fall below USD 5,000 shows:

👉 Gold is currently not a sure-fire success

👉 Macro (Fed + dollar) dominates the market

Short term:

• High volatility
• Focus on Fed decision

Medium term:

• Gold could benefit strongly again if interest rates are cut

_________________________

🔗 Source

ad-hoc-news.de: Goldpreis bricht unter 5.000 Dollar ein – Fed-Entscheidung am 17./18. März entscheidend für DACH-Investoren

Hello dear Getquinners,

I started investing in securities at the beginning of the year.

For many years, we parked our assets in call money accounts, which meant that we lost money for years due to high inflation with (negative) compound interest effects. I now want to change this and have therefore decided to invest some of our assets in the capital market.

We are a family with two small children (aged 1 and 4). We parents are in our mid-30s and in the middle of our working lives.

My goals/hopes are:

• long-term investment >10 years and more
• Inflation protection and (real) asset accumulation beyond overnight interest rates
• If necessary, partial transfer of assets to help the children get started when they come of age

As I don't want to gamble, it should be as "simple" as possible to handle and I am not a daredevil, I have created a "boring" ACWI-IMI portfolio.

We have invested around 60%, the rest is free liquidity, which would last for around 12-14 months without income given our current cost of living. A little conservative perhaps, but that's a start. I also don't want to get scared if the markets take a nosedive.

This is how it looks:

75% core:

• 55% MSCI World $IWDA (-0,16 %)
• 10% MSCI World Small Cap $WSML (-0,11 %)
• 10% MSCI Emerging Markets IMI $EIMI (-0,1 %)

8.5% Precious metals

• Physical gold $IGLN (-0,64 %)

15% Satellites with approx. 2% each

• $IB1T (+0,22 %) Bitcoin share with high opportunity and high risk. Personally, I am not yet completely convinced of this position, I see the "intrinsic" value of a (this) digital currency as being confronted with major environmental problems and am therefore critical. On the other hand, it is supposed to be "digital gold". We will see in the future what is true and what is not...

• $SEMI (-1,54 %) and $XDWT (-0,52 %) I believe in the AI boom and growing markets in digitalization, and see growth opportunities there, but also risks. Naturally increases the USA share in the portfolio...

• $$DFEN (-0,44 %) : Anti-cyclical position in the current increasingly global conflicts. Defense spending is rising worldwide...

• $WMIN (-1,09 %) and $RARE (+0,37 %) as a commodity mix in basic materials. See this as an opportunity with risk, but perhaps this also reacts anti-cyclically to weak markets

• $GERD (-0,19 %) as a personal experiment, as I have read and heard a lot from Gerd Kommer. Can be seen as a core holding, perhaps as a benchmark to the core. I wanted to give it a try.

I also toyed with $WNUC (+0,79 %) but I have to think about whether I really want to invest in nuclear technology (personally subjective thing...). I also read and follow 3XGTAA with interest, but that's too risky for me (for now), for now I'll stay in the World fairway...

Monthly savings installments go equally into the core. I plan to rebalance once a year during the Christmas vacations.

I read a lot in the community and regularly follow the posts. Time and again I also read negative statements about sector and industry bets.

I would be interested to know what you think of my portfolio and why some of you think that sector and sector bets are bad.

Thank you for your feedback and for your consistently excellent contributions to the community!

Hello and best regards from Bavaria,

I have the iShars Physical Gold ETC in my portfolio $IGLN (-0,64 %) .

Custody account value approx. 12,500€, of which 4,500€ are price gains.

I took it at the time because it was the largest gold ETC at TradeRepublic.

After researching, I found out that this gold ETC is not tax-exempt. This means that if I were to sell it now, I would be subject to withholding tax, etc.

At the same time, I have just opened a custody account with JustTrade. Actually only to invest a very small part in Epi's (@Epi ) Wikifolio.

There I saw that the Xetra Gold $4GLD (-0,64 %) is available.

This is tax-free after a holding period of one year.

Now my question:

1. sell the existing iShares ETC and take the tax deduction in full and switch to the Xetra? Disadvantage here: The tax deduction of around €1000 is lost and can no longer "work" for me.

2. or simply keep the iShares ETC and only save in xetra Gold in future? Disadvantage here: If the gold price continues to rise, the price gain on the iShares ETC will also continue to rise. As a result, the withholding tax payable on a later sale will continue to rise.

What would you decide on, or your opinion?

Best regards

First of all:

Thank you for the warm welcome to the getquin community!

Unfortunately, I did not read the HowTo:Portfolio feedback on GetQuin from @DonkeyInvestor

for a detailed presentation only later and this time I'm trying to write in more detail than the first time and to substantiate the decisions I made in order to possibly receive even more precise feedback from the community. 💛

My personal goal is to become completely debt-free and at the same time start steadily building up assets 📈to improve my private pension provision in 2026. I am expressly prepared to take a higher risk in the first year of my investment and am therefore trying out almost everything.

This year, I would like to operate according to the conscious principle of "set and forget" and consciously review my strategy at the end of 2026 between the holidays and adjust it if necessary.

Instead of "keep it simple", it's more likely to be "overenginerring."

I see your numerous tips as the reason for this, for which I would like to thank you again at

@Epi
@Gehebeltes-EFH
@Stullen-Portfolio

@Metis
@Wealth-Accelerator

@Multibagger
@Sunrise-Mantis
@EisenEnte

@PositivePossum
@schlimmschlimm

@Brazzo_Muc and @GoDividend

and my general motto in life:

"Anyone can do simple!"

I think at this point in time, investing with "putting everything into the AllWorld ETF" would only be half as much fun for me and would rather bore me. Everything is still so new and unknown. 🤯

I'll then see whether the different investments were generally a good thumbs 👍🏻 or a very bad thumbs down 👎🏻Idee.

The sum of € 5,071.00 that I have already firmly capped and gradually planned to invest in this first year 2026 has already been completely written off in my mind as play money.

For the necessary diversification (ETF, ETC, individual shares and crypto) in my portfolio, I have taken further INCENTIVES and have switched from the initial €100 per month savings plan to an accumulating AllWorld ETF and have set up an additional savings plan of €40 per month on the same AllWorld ETF in distributing form in mid-January 2026.

In the meantime, I came up with the idea at the end of January 2026 and added the two existing savings plans $VWCE (-0,21 %) and $VWGL additional savings plans ($AIQG (+0,87 %)
$RENW (-0,09 %)
$IGLN (-0,64 %)
$BTC (-0,64 %)
$VHYL (-0,21 %)
$ISPA (-0,44 %)
$FGEU (-0,02 %) to a total of 9 savings plans with a monthly sum of €300.

Unfortunately, it was already too late to execute the savings plans by direct debit at Trade Republic at the beginning of 02/2026. Therefore, they will now only be executed in the middle of this month.

Yesterday I spontaneously decided to place a €50 single order in bitcoin. I just let myself be carried away by the postings. 🤑

The planned unscheduled repayment (€500 per month) for my car loan has now worked well for two months and will be prioritized in order to actually become debt-free more quickly.

The specific amounts and items invested to date and in the future can be seen in this Excel table.

Regarding the 6 suggestions from you @Epi (Yes, you'll get the promised feedback here), I've given the following thoughts in detail, from which my plan is then based.

Deka funds:

The two savings plans of €50 per month each were already suspended by me and were actively used to service the first savings plan of €100 per month.

In addition, I am now liquidating the two sub-custody accounts belonging to the savings plans one by one and selling €100 per month in order to achieve the best possible average value in the sale.

The €100 is then immediately reallocated in the form of five savings plans per month and reinvested as follows:

Core: 65%

Satellites: 35%

of which:

Clean Energy 10%

AI: 10%

Bitcoin: 10%

ETC Gold: 5%

VWL:

I will keep the monthly €40 VWL on the third sub-deposit with Deka until I develop the motivation to inform my employer of another contract. At the moment I have no need to be in contact with the HR department any more than necessary.

Nevertheless, I have set up an additional savings plan of €40 per month for the All World ETF distributing from February 2026.

I'm keeping the three individual shares plus the Xiaomi bonus share in my portfolio to develop a feel for shares.

No further individual stocks are currently planned. This fits quite well in this respect, as I have to hold the bonus share for a year before it can be sold.

Bonus savings contract:

The premium savings contract with a term of 99 years under the "old law" has an annual investment of €150 per month at €12.50 with a guaranteed premium of 50% plus interest and compound interest. After checking the terms and conditions of the contract, switching to 0 would result in an immediate loss of the premium. For this reason, I have decided to keep the contract.

Saving & winning without savings:

Just as I was about to decide whether to cancel the savings tickets, one of the tickets won €1,000 in January 2026. For this reason, I decided to keep my 10 tickets after all.

A key point of my savings lottery tickets is that I get €480 of the €600 back at the end of the year.

These will also be distributed by me to the 5 selected savings plans in December in the same weighting as for the reallocation from the Deka Depot.

The profit from the savings lots in the amount of €1,000 goes to$XEON (-0 %) for "max. interest".

Nest egg:

My real nest egg, on the other hand, I keep completely in the call money account so that it is always immediately available to me.

To give me a feel for dividends, I've also picked out three dividend ETFs that I invest €20 a month in.

In combination, these three ETFs ensure that I receive a planned dividend every month. That sounds like a lot of dopamine, at least in theory, so I really like it.

What will actually still be there in 01/2027 from the €5,071 invested is already a 100% profit for me, because after I fell for the game "WOS" 🥶(who knows it?) almost a year ago and blew around 5k on digital crap in 3 months and above all to improve my stove 🔥🪵, this is clearly the better alternative to spend my money on dopamine boosts and pass the time. And being part of a community online at the same time. What more could you want?

So, I'm already looking forward to your feedback. Be honest, I can take it! 🤞🏻

VG

QW3RTY

PS: I could not share my portfolio. The function was grayed out.