$SPGI (-6,41%)
$SPY5 (-4,43%)

Beginning of this week, I had sold my full S&P position, taking some small profit (4.44%).

One day, Warren Buffett said, "don't bet against America.". This is no longer true even for him.

My sell price was €530, now it is already down 4% from this. The funny thing is that nothing yet happened (Q1 reports are yet to come). After Q1 reports index will be down more but after Q2 it will crush.

At the beginning of this year, I was predicting single-digit growth of S&P. Mainly I was thinking Trump would be saying more than he do, but since putting tariffs, turning his back against allies, it was clear to me that the US economy would be impacted a lot.

Now it is clear to me that all that has already happened will have an impact on the US economy for 10+ years with much smaller growth. For the short term, this and next yea,r we can expect S&P will be down 15-25% more from the current price.

Maybe the governments in EU or Canada are not yet that anti-US, but many ordinary people have already decided to limit or stop buying/using US products.

Keep in mind I'm not an advisor, and this is not a recommendation. It's just to share my opinion and see how other people think. You should do your own investigation.

$CSPX (-4,45%)
$VUSA (-4,42%)
$SPY5 (-4,43%)
$VWCE (-3,47%)
$SPYI (-3,82%)
$SPYY (-4,41%)
$FWRG (-4,07%)

Source: George Maroudas, CFP® @ChicagoAdvisorR

It surprised me how few people talk about the impact that trump actions bring to the stock market.

It should be clear to everyone that it will hurt all allies, but it would be most painful for US, and in fact you can already see from the stock market.

• YTD $SPY5 (-4,43%) down 1.16% (S&P500)
• YTD $VEUR (-1,97%) up 13% (Europe ETF)

both above are nominated in US dollars.

There are only 2 countries that can gain from trade wars and it is China, and russia.

I think nobody expects it when trump was elected but it is the reality that we are currently living.

As for me, I decided already month ago that from now on I will invest only in EU stocks and ETF (plus I will use dollars I already have in my account), but I'm curious how you all see this and when the market will be more calm again.

As a bonus as EU citizen I feel that US betrayed us and shouldn't be trusted any longer for some unknown period of time.

In this series of posts, I plan to share my predictions for the upcoming Q1 and Q2 of this year. I will focus mostly on predictions instead of explaining why I think in a certain way.

I will try to focus on stocks and ETFs I already track performance and the ones I have in my portfolio.

- In general US stocks will not perform spectacularly like last year. I predict the $SPY5 (-4,43%) won't reach more than a 10% return.

- $ASML (-7,33%) will drop once again to the 650-670 eur range, creating a good opportunity to buy

- $MAIN (-4,32%) will continue to grow both price and dividends I expect small single-digits

- $LMT (+0,01%) is the one stock that can surprise with two-digit growth or low single-digit

Let me know what you think in the comments.

As usual, I'm not a financial advisor and this is not any recommendation, just sharing my thoughts.

2024:

This was my first year of investing in which I planned mostly to learn and think about what type of investor I would like to be. During my journey, quite quickly, I realized I would like to be a dividend growth investor - not saying it is best for all, but simply, what was most appealing to me.

• Total invested: 2400 EUR
• Current net value: 2779 EUR
• True gain (dividends + unrealized gain): +15,8%

I underperformed S&P500, but not sad about it. To be honest, about a 14% price gain is far more than I expected. I was aiming for a small price gain of around 4-7% and 2,5-4% YoC so can't really complain.

2025:

For this year, I would like to still be quite conservative about my expectations and keep them as in the year before - an unrealized gain of 4-7% and 2,5-4% YoC

Goals:

• Invest a total of: 6k to 8,4k EUR
• Individual stocks I plan to buy the most: $ASML (-7,33%)
  $TTE (-4,86%)
  $VICI (-3,43%)
• + if the price will be good $MAIN (-4,32%)
  $V (-2,64%)
  $PEP (+0,6%)
  $TXN (-8,2%)
• ETF I plan to buy: $SPY5 (-4,43%)
• My priority will be making extra mortgage payments to decrease number of years needed to pay it off. I plan to do it on monthly basis. I aim to 10-18k EUR total in this year.
• Rebuild emergency fund of 2-3 months of expenses.

I plan to make posts each month about my progress so if you like to see how I'm doing, feel free to follow :)

I have already trimmed my $MSTR (-7,92%) and $COIN (-4,11%) positions and opened a small position in $HOOD (-7,26%) for a bit of long-term investment.

Nothing wrong with $MSTR (-7,92%) but I considered it as selling $BTC for over 250K.

Completely out of $AMAT (-6,94%) instead, I focused on only $ASML (-7,33%), might add $AMAT again but for a better price or better market conditions.

I recently bought $MU (-14,08%) because it is extremely undervalued, I will add more after earning which is in 2 days.

Buy List for 2025 at the right price

$NVDA (-6,05%)

$PG (-0,76%)

$AVGO (-8,37%)

$MSFT (-2,62%)

$GOOGL (-3,55%)

$AAPL (-6,25%)

$NOVO B (-2,25%)

$MU (-14,08%)

$ASML (-7,33%)

$2330

$BTC (-0,05%)

$ETH (-0,03%)

Selling 2025

$MSTR (-7,92%)

$COIN (-4,11%)

ETF's that I will keep DCAing for 2025

$VEUR (-1,97%)

$SPY5 (-4,43%)

$VFEM (-0,42%)

any suggestions are welcome

Hey everyone! I’m 22 and just started getting into investing recently, so I’m still figuring things out. I had some cash just sitting in my bank account, and I realized that was a dumb move—I should’ve started investing sooner. So, I took a bit of that money and bought some stocks, ETFs, and crypto. I’d love to get some tips, feedback on my portfolio, or any suggestions for good stocks to buy. Also, if you could share any advice on making money from dividends and reinvesting, that’d be awesome. Right now, I’m thinking about an ETF I own $SPY5 (-4,43%) —people have suggested I sell it and switch to something else. I’m considering selling it and buying $VUSA (-4,42%) instead. What do you all think? Thanks!

Investment decision!

Which S&P 500 etf would you rather choose?

$SPY5 (-4,43%) or $VUSA (-4,42%) ?

If so, can you please elaborate. I have a hard time of choosing between them and focusing on both, of course doesn’t make any sense.

Thank you in advance!