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On Hldg
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Discussão sobre ONON
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31Quarterly Results Nov. 9–13, 26
Quiet earnings week, but still worth watching 👀
The most interesting one for me is $NKE (-0,98%)
Nike has already lost momentum, recently dropped out of the S&P 100, and now Kylian Mbappé leaving Nike for $ONON (-3,82%) adds another layer to the story.
One athlete won’t change the whole company, but it says something about the competitive landscape. On is no longer just a running brand, it clearly wants a bigger role in global sportswear.
So for Nike, this earnings report is not just about numbers.
It’s about whether the turnaround is actually starting to show.
Not the flashiest week, but definitely one with signals to watch
𝐎𝐧: 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐮𝐦 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐂𝐇𝐅 𝟓.𝟔𝐁+ 𝐒𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝟐𝟐%+ 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧 𝐛𝐲 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟗; $𝟏𝐁
⠀
🎯 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞
• 2026–2029 Net Sales CAGR: High-Teens at Constant Currency
• 2029 Net Sales: ≥CHF 5.6B
• Gross Profit Margin: ≥65% throughout 2026–2029
• 2029 Adj. EBITDA Margin: ≥22%
• 2026–2029 Adj. EBITDA CAGR: >20%
• FY26 Net Sales Growth: Low-20% at Constant Currency, reaffirmed
• FY26 Gross Profit Margin: ≥65%, reaffirmed
• FY26 Adj. EBITDA Margin: 19.5%–20.0%, reaffirmed
• Q3 Net Sales Growth: ~17% at Constant Currency
⠀
📌 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬
• On expects Run, Sneaker and Apparel to remain key growth pillars through 2029, complemented by expansion into Football and Golf
• The company targets CHF 5.6B+ in 2029 sales while expanding Adj. EBITDA margin to 22%+ through sustained premium pricing, scale and SG&A leverage
• On authorized its first share repurchase program of up to $1B through the end of 2029
• FY26 guidance was reaffirmed and excludes up to $65M of expected tariff refunds, which are anticipated to benefit reported Q3 gross profit
⠀
💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐲
“Top-line expansion and margin expansion are not in conflict at On; they are complementary outputs of our Premium Playbook.”
Better an end with horror than horror without end
Even though it hurts to sell a stock that's down 40% from your portfolio, sometimes it's just time to draw a line under it.
Right now, consumer stocks aren't much fun, whether $NKE (-0,98%) , $ONON (-3,82%) or $LULU. (-1,81%) The (remaining) money is simply better invested in other sectors right now.
Quarterly Results: August 10–14, 26
I'd also like to send warm greetings from my vacation in Sardinia ☀️🏝️
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New purchase: earn a little from hipster joggers and boomers
For me, it looks like things are stabilizing in the medium term. The company recently raised its outlook and is expected to grow strongly in the coming years.
A bit of diversification for my portfolio: first sporting goods manufacturer and first Swiss stock. Hardly twitched today, so hardly any correlation with the majority of my portfolio haha
First tranche 90 shares. Second tranche of 60 planned if the stabilization proves to be true.
And will of course be closely monitored so that no $LULU (-1,81%) Fiakso in the house.
Edit: I'm on the train to Paris right now and literally every boomer has On on.😁
𝐎𝐧 𝐇𝐨𝐥𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝 𝐐𝟏 𝐀𝐬 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐮𝐦 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐞𝐥𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬
📊 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬
• Net sales: CHF 831.9M (+14.5% YoY / +26.4% CC) ✅
• Gross margin: 64.2% vs. 59.9% ✅
• Adj. EBITDA: CHF 174.3M vs. CHF 119.9M ✅
• Adj. EBITDA margin: 21.0% vs. 16.5% ✅
• Net income: CHF 103.3M (+82.2%) ✅
• Net income margin: 12.4% vs. 7.8%
• DTC sales: CHF 322.3M (+16.4%)
• Wholesale sales: CHF 509.6M (+13.3%)
• APAC sales: CHF 174.0M (+44.4%) ✅
• Apparel sales: CHF 55.3M (+45.1%) ✅
• Cash & equivalents: CHF 1.02B
⠀
🎯 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞
• FY2026 net sales growth: at least +23% CC reaffirmed
• FY2026 gross margin: at least 64.5% (raised)
• FY2026 Adj. EBITDA margin: 19.5%–20.0% (raised)
⠀
📌 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬
• First quarter above CHF 800M revenue marks another major milestone for On
• APAC momentum remains exceptional, led by China and South Korea
• Apparel and lifestyle categories continue gaining importance beyond running
• Margin expansion remained strong despite higher U.S. tariff headwinds
• LightSpray platform and premium retail expansion continue strengthening brand positioning
• Management raised profitability outlook while maintaining strong growth guidance
⠀
💬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐲
“These results show the quality of On’s growth and the strength of the financial foundation we have built.”
Quarterly figures 11.05-15.05.26
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Quarterly figures 02.03-06.03.26
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On Holding Q3’25 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: CHF 794.4M (Est. CHF 764M) 🟢; +24.9% YoY
🔹 EPS: CHF 0.36 (Est. CHF 0.27) 🟢
🔹 Adj EBITDA: CHF 179.9M; +49.8% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 65.7%; +510 bps YoY
FY25 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: CHF 2.98B (Est. CHF 2.97B) 🟢
🔹 Adj EBITDA Margin: > 18.0% (Prior 17-18%) 🟢
🔹 Gross Margin: around 62.5%
Q3 Segment Sales
🔹 DTC: CHF 314.7M; UP +27.6% YoY
🔹 Wholesale: CHF 479.6M; UP +23.3% YoY
🔹 EMEA: CHF 213.3M; UP +28.6% YoY
🔹 Americas: CHF 436.2M; UP +10.3% YoY
🔹 APAC: CHF 144.9M; UP +94.2% YoY
🔹 Shoes: CHF 731.3M; UP +21.1% YoY
🔹 Apparel: CHF 50.1M; UP +86.9% YoY
🔹 Accessories: CHF 13.0M; UP +145.3% YoY
Other Metrics:
🔹 Net Income: CHF 118.9M; UP +289.8% YoY
🔹 Net Income Margin: 15.0%; UP from 4.8% YoY
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 22.6%
🔹 Cash and Cash Equivalents: CHF 961.8M; UP +4.1% vs. Dec 31, 2024
🔹 Net Working Capital: CHF 565.8M; UP +13.4% vs. Dec 31, 2024
Commentary:
🔸 “This quarter was another one for the record books, a true showcase of our premium strategy in action.”
🔸 “Our focus on operational excellence and technology is making us faster, smarter, and more agile.”
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