Iberdrola

Stock

ISIN: ES0144580Y14

Ticker: IBE

ES0144580Y14

IBE

Price

Discussion about IBE

Posts

Lanre

@Lanre

3D·

IBERDROLA FY 2025 RESULTS SUMMARY

$IBE (-0.45%)

📊 Key Financial Metrics

• 🟢 EBITDA: €15,688M (+9.2% YoY).

• 🟢 Net Profit: €5,861M (+22% interannual on adjusted terms).

• 🟢 Gross Investment: €12,862M (+13% vs 2024).

• 🟢 Proposed Dividend: €0.617 per share (+14% increase).

🧱 Segment Breakdown (EBITDA)

• 🟢 Networks (Infrastructure): €7,973M (51% of total EBITDA).

• 🟢 Renewables: €5,148M (33% of total EBITDA).

• 🟡 Generation & Customers: €2,563M (16% of total EBITDA).

💰 Financial Health & Solvency

• 🟡 Net Financial Debt: €48,016M.

• 🟢 Net Debt / EBITDA Ratio: 3.06x (Significant improvement from 3.25x in 2024).

• 🟢 FFO (Operating Cash Flow): €11,902M (+13% growth).

• 🟢 Total Liquidity: €22,000M (Covers 21 months of financing needs).

🚀 Strategic Execution

• 🟢 Network Investment: 57% of total Capex (€7,375M) focused on US and UK grids.

• 🟢 Offshore Wind: €2,200M invested in Vineyard Wind 1 and Baltic Eagle projects.

• 🟢 Asset Base: Regulated Asset Base (RAB) grew 8% to €45.9B.

🔮 2026 Outlook

• 🟡 Net Profit Growth: Estimated at "mid-single digit" (approx. 5%).

• 🟢 Dividend Floor: Guaranteed minimum of €0.55/share for 2024-2026.

Summary:

Iberdrola is firing on all cylinders. The 22% jump in adjusted profit and the deleveraging trend (3.06x ratio) make this a "Sleep Well at Night" (SWAN) stock for your portfolio. The focus on Networks provides the regulated stability that balances the high-growth Capex in Offshore Wind.

2 Comments

SakEr@SakEr

Thank you for the summary. I’m in the fortunate position of being invested with 135 shares.

•

Show answer

Thomas

@farlys

1Mon·

🚀 Mid-January Update: eToro Portfolio Surges to +5.01%!

We are almost at the mid-month mark, and the portfolio results are exceptional. Despite general market uncertainty, our strategy is paying off with a growth of +5.01%, bolstered by a strong push over the last few days.

🏆 Benchmark Challenge: 2026 Goals in Sight

As I previously shared, outperforming the major U.S. indices is one of my primary goals for 2026. Mid-January data confirms we are on the right track:

🟢 My eToro Portfolio (farlys): +5.01%

🔵 $SPX500: +1.66%

🟣 $NSDQ100: +2.04%

We are significantly beating Wall Street, currently trailing only the most volatile assets of the moment: $BTC (-0.69%) (+7.85%), the Japanese $JPN225 (+7.12%), and $GOLD (+6.2%). As a reminder, I manage my Bitcoin exposure in a private portfolio outside of eToro for security, but its rally validates the return of a global "risk-on" sentiment.

🔥 What drove the push in the last few days?

This jump above 5% isn't accidental. Three key factors moved the market this week:

Rotation to Value and Europe: We've seen capital rotating out of "overcrowded" U.S. Tech names into sectors with stronger fundamentals. This favored our positions in $UCG (-2.58%) (UniCredit Commercial Bank) (+1.16%), $BBVA (-3.58%) (+1.14%), and $IBE (-0.45%) (Iberdrola) (+1.29%), which offer solid dividends and more attractive valuations.

The Chinese Awakening: The Chinese tech sector received a fundamental boost from new government plans to integrate AI into manufacturing. This propelled $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) (+3.59%), which remains our main engine for the start of the year.

Macro Stability: Recent inflation data has reassured investors that central banks might not need to be more aggressive than expected, fueling the momentum for "risk-on" assets and discounted growth stocks.

🛠️ The Power of Rebalancing

These results are the direct outcome of the slight rebalancing performed at the beginning of January. Reducing weight in some U.S. tech giants that dominated 2025 (like $NVDA (+3.71%) NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) or $MSFT (+1.99%) (Microsoft), which are currently flat or slightly red in our heatmap) to pivot toward the Asian recovery and European banking solidity has allowed us to capture this "extra-return" compared to general indices.

🎯 Outlook

Beating the $SPX500 and $NSDQ100 by about 3 percentage points in just two weeks is a perfect start to our annual goal. The road is long, but our geographic and sectoral diversification is proving to be our best compass for navigating 2026.

How is your year starting? Are you keeping up with the Gold/Nikkei rally or are you still heavily anchored to U.S. indices? Let me know in the comments! 👇

Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin

@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin

1Mon·

And the Winner is...

...honestly exactly who I expected (and for myself also felt was the top pick in the selection).😁👍🏻

$ADBE (+0.76%) is really too cheap in my view at the current valuation. As mentioned in one of my comments, I really believe that the market is severely underestimating Adobe.

2nd place is shared by $APH (-6.04%) and $IBE (-0.45%) . As I currently have a very strong growth exposure in my portfolio anyway, the 2nd part of my special savings plan is therefore going into $IBE (-0.45%) .

Unfortunately, comdirect no longer allows the execution date of January 15, so the savings plans will only be executed on January 23. But it doesn't matter, as it's free, the money will only go back into the market a week later.🤷🏼‍♂️

Thank you very much for your active voting, your comments and your opinions.🙏🏻

$APH (-6.04%) and $SHOP (-0.04%) will definitely end up high up on my list for future special savings plans.

Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin

@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin

1Mon·

"Special savings plan" in January

Hello Community,

After $K0MR (-0.36%) has been kicked out of my securities account today, there are once again 2 unscheduled increases in my savings plan.

A total of 2 of my existing positions are to be fed in equal parts. As I myself am currently wavering between a total of 4 of my existing stocks, which currently have (partly also fundamentally) very different valuation levels, future prospects, etc., but I would like to increase them all further anyway, I thought that this time I would leave the choice to you as to where the freed-up Kommer millions should go.😂

The choices are:

The two candidates with the most votes by noon tomorrow will (hopefully) be added to the list on January 15.

So please vote and comment (so that you can also tell me why you voted for which value and what your 2nd choice would be😉), I'm looking forward to the result, your comments and your motivations.✌🏻

4 Comments

Michey777@Michey777

1Mon

Had to top up today 🤣 couldn't help it at the price...

•

Milo

@MiloG

2Mon·

Iberdrola: a position that was born from scratch and that time has backed up

When I decided in February 2024 to create a new portfolio from scratch, it was clear to me that I wanted to build it on fundamentals and not on impulses. In the process, Iberdrola came almost naturally. It was not carrying over old positions or inertia from the past: it was a deliberate choice. I looked at its price, its ability to generate stable cash flow and the way the company balances renewable growth with a robust regulated business. Everything fit, and the valuation at the time seemed reasonable for a power company with proven strength.

Over the months, the decision has made more sense. The share price has not exploded or made strident headlines, but it has followed a path that I value even more: that of slow validation. Iberdrola has strengthened its networks, has expanded renewable capacity with discipline and has maintained a contained level of debt, which is particularly relevant in a still demanding interest rate environment. It did not need to reinvent itself; it simply continued to stick to its plan.

My initial thesis - that of a predictable, efficient company with sufficient medium-term visibility - has not only been maintained, but strengthened. Iberdrola has been able to absorb regulatory pressures, manage costs and sustain its margins without compromising its roadmap. And when a power sector giant continues to deliver consistent results, the market tends to correct any initial discount. That's just what I've seen since I added it to my new portfolio.

Today I look back on that purchase with the peace of mind of having built a position from scratch at a point that, with hindsight, has proven to be right. Iberdrola offers no big surprises, but it does offer a kind of reward that I value more and more: that of moving steadily forward, even when the market isn't looking. And that steady pace is, in the end, what has validated the price at which I decided to enter.

At this point, I approach the position with a flexible approach: keep it as a stable pillar of the portfolio, but do not rule out a slight profit-taking if the stock enters a clear overvaluation phase. Even so, the risk of being left out of a sustained growth cycle is still there, because Iberdrola has room to continue expanding renewable capacity and improving returns in networks. Therefore, rather than closing the door, I prefer to adjust it, letting the position breathe without losing sight of the fact that the company still has a long way to go.

27.02

Iberdrola

Bought at €10.50

_Barren_Wuffet_

@_Barren_Wuffet_

3Mon·

My goal, your opinion

Greetings,

I generally don't think much of posts on feeds from any media, as they don't bring me any added value but merely serve to present myself. Now that I have followed the publications and reactions a bit, I think I have seen more than less constructive members here.

For this reason, I have decided to make the first post of my life here. It's not directly about sums, I just want to ask for your assessment of my savings plan and target allocation. Constructive criticism and suggestions for improvement are expressly welcome.

The whole thing is intended to reflect a core-satellite strategy with a 1:1 risk/reward ratio.

Global diversification (core) - 60%:

Individual securities (satellites) - max. 20%:

Buffer (security) - approx. 20%:

Raw materials:

$IGLN (+2.46%) - 6%,,
$CMOE (+2.32%) - 4%,

Bonds:

$0GGH (-0.31%) - 6%,

Real estate:

$IWDP (+0.59%) - 4%.

My thought process should be clear. The core should cover global performance with a percentage distribution based on economic strength. Separately, the World Health Care ETF, as people are getting older and sicker and, in my opinion, the healthcare sector is not so strongly represented in the other ETFs.

For the satellites, my thought process is as follows:

Berkshire can be seen as an ETF and covers successful individual stocks.

Nothing works without energy, hence BWX (USA) and Iberdrola (Europe). I see digital security threatened by AI and the further development of data centers etc., hence CrowdStrike. Companies will always need good software to be able to expand and still keep track of things, hence HubSpot. In connection with AI and the armed conflicts in our world, I see drones as a future-oriented technology in all possible areas, hence AeroVironment. And I discovered Intellia as a medical catapult, which is admittedly a bit of a gamble, but always gets a lot of drugs into the test phase.

I don't think I need to say much about the buffers, as in my view these are the investments that remain stable or grow in difficult market phases when everything else is falling.

This gives you a little insight into my thinking and actions. Please don't tear it apart, I'm not a professional but I'm sacrificing some of my remaining free time to get a bit of an insight into the world of capital and maybe get a small slice.

I welcome any opinions and suggestions for improvement.

I wish everyone a successful week!

Best regards

Nils

19 Comments

Epi@Epi

3Mon

It's great that you dared to do it, that's what the community thrives on. 💪

About your portfolio:
It looks well-organized and well thought-out at first. The devil lies in various risks that you rarely see. I hope you're aware of them.

1. drawdown: Your portfolio has a certain risk on the currency side. Your ETFs are all unhedged, so your portfolio will lose significantly if the USD falls.

2. diversification: Most of your portfolio is highly correlated. I estimate >0.8, i.e. if one position falls, most of the others will fall too.

3. liquidity: Your portfolio essentially depends on the liquidity situation of the markets, especially the USA. There are already dark clouds on the horizon. If there is a liquidity squeeze, your portfolio will be defenseless.

4th strategy: You are only pursuing a single strategy, i.e. virtually no diversification on this side. B&H has done well for the last 15 years, 2000-2011 was terrible. I would diversify here.

Good luck!

•

View all 6 further answers

Thomas

@farlys

3Mon·

📊 Market Update (November 5, 2025)

Today's market is showing a mixed but generally positive tone across key sectors. While some tech giants are lagging, traditional finance, certain industrials, and defensive plays are showing strength, indicating a selective "risk-on" sentiment.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)

$SPX500 — Trading solidly higher, driven by positive sentiment in various sectors, though tech is mixed.

$DJ30 — Moving up, reflecting broad positive sentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Showing mixed performance, with some mega-cap tech names under pressure.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

A mixed picture in tech, with strong gains but also significant losses:

$NVDA (+3.71%) — Trading slightly lower, indicating some profit-taking in the semiconductor space.

$GOOGL (-0.21%) — Up strongly, showing robust performance in the mega-cap tech space.

$MSFT (+1.99%) — Down significantly, acting as a drag on the overall tech sector.

$TSM (-0.32%) — Up slightly, showing resilience in the chip sector.

$AVGO (+0.56%) — Up strongly, participating in the semiconductor rally.

$RGTI (+2.55%) — Up sharply, outperforming as some speculative growth names find renewed interest.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

A strong day for retail and e-commerce, recovering from previous sessions:

$AMZN (+0.19%) — Up, participating in the mega-cap rally.

$BABA (-0.9%) — Up strongly, showing a significant rebound in the Chinese retail sector.

$SHOP (-0.04%) — Up, showing positive momentum.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

A positive session for the health sector:

$INSM (-0.79%) — Up, showing strength in biotech.

$HIMS (+14.13%) — Up, indicating positive sentiment in health services.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

European markets are generally positive, with strong performances in finance and defense:

STOXX 600 — Trading higher, led by a strong rally in the banking sector.

GER40 — Trading higher, reflecting the positive sentiment.

$LDO (+3.45%) — Up strongly, the defense sector is showing significant strength.

$IBE (-0.45%) — Trading slightly lower, utilities lag as investors move towards growth.

🏦 Banking & Finance

A very strong day for European financials, leading the overall market higher:

$BBVA (-3.58%) — Up strongly, the Spanish bank is showing significant gains.

$UCG (-2.58%) — Advancing higher, part of the strong European banking rally.

$ISP (-3.29%) — Up strongly, showing clear outperformance.

$BPE (-3.52%) — Surging higher, continuing its rally and leading the Italian banks.

$CE (-2.18%) — Trading slightly lower, bucking the trend of other Italian banks.

$AXP (+0.64%) / $V (+1.28%) — Trading higher, the payments sector is positive.

🌏 Asia

Asian markets are expected to close mixed to positive, heavily impacted by the strong rebound in major Chinese names like $BABA.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+1.95%) — Up strongly. Gold is showing significant strength today, reflecting renewed safe-haven demand or inflation concerns despite the broader mixed-to-positive equity market. I have strong, unwavering confidence in Gold as a core protective and strategic asset for the long term.

$CDE (-0.13%) — Up strongly, mirroring gold's positive direction.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (-0.69%) / $ETH (-1.1%) / $TRX (+0.04%) — Likely moving lower, following the general risk-on mood.

🔎 Deep Dive: Sector Rotation and Resilience

Today's market highlights a clear sector rotation. Investors are re-engaging with European financials and select tech names, while taking profits in others. The strong rebound in $BABA suggests a renewed, albeit cautious, appetite for growth. The strength in Gold ($GLD) alongside some equity gains is particularly noteworthy, indicating a complex sentiment where both risk-taking and wealth preservation are at play.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

Thomas

@farlys

3Mon·

📊 Market Update (November 3, 2025)

The week kicks off with a strong, but highly selective, risk-on rally. Markets are piling into quality Tech and European Financials, while simultaneously selling off Chinese retail and speculative growth names.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)

$SPX500 — Trading solidly higher, driven by strong performance in Tech and Financials.

$DJ30 — Moving up, following the broad positive sentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Leading the gains, as major tech components are firmly in the green.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (+3.71%) — Advancing higher, leading the AI and semiconductor space.

$GOOGL (-0.21%) — Moving up, showing solid strength in the mega-cap tech space.

$AVGO (+0.56%) — Up moderately, participating in the semiconductor rally.

$META (+2.07%) — Showing strong gains, continuing its upward momentum.

$MSFT (+1.99%) — Up slightly, tracking the positive tech trend.

$TSM (-0.32%) — Up slightly, showing resilience in the chip sector.

$RR. (+0.77%) — Up moderately, the industrial/aerospace stock shows strength.

$RKLB (+4.29%) — Down slightly, underperforming as speculative growth faces pressure.

$RGTI (+2.55%) — Down sharply, quantum stocks are experiencing significant selling.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (+0.19%) — Up moderately, participating in the mega-cap rally.

$BABA (-0.9%) — Falling sharply, the main source of weakness in the market today, dragging down the retail sector.

$CVNA (-2.25%) — Up moderately, recovering some ground.

$SHOP (-0.04%) — Down moderately, likely pulled down by the negative sentiment from $BABA$.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (-1.68%) — Likely flat or slightly down, as investors rotate out of defensive pharma names.

$HIMS (+14.13%) — Holding steady, showing no significant price change.

$INSM (-0.79%) — Flat, the biotech sector remains cautious.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Trading higher, led by a strong rally in the banking sector.

GER40 — Trading cautiously higher, reflecting the positive sentiment.

$LDO (+3.45%) — Up strongly, the defense sector is showing significant strength.

$IBE (-0.45%) — Down slightly, utilities lag as investors move away from defensive assets.

$OKLO — Holding steady, the nuclear tech stock is flat.

$CS (-1.41%) — Up moderately, joining the rally in European financials.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (-2.58%) — Advancing higher, part of the strong European banking rally.

$ISP (-3.29%) — Up strongly, showing clear outperformance.

$BPE (-3.52%) — Surging higher, continuing its massive rally and leading the Italian banks.

$CE (-2.18%) — Up strongly, another standout performer in the Italian banking sector.

$BBVA (-3.58%) — Up strongly, the Spanish bank is showing significant gains.

$AXP (+0.64%) — Up moderately, the payments sector is positive.

$V (+1.28%) — Down slightly, counter-trending the financial sector's strength.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50$ — Likely closed mixed to negative, heavily impacted by the sharp sell-off in $BABA$.

_p_ Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is trading loweras risk appetite favors other currencies.

$EURUSD — Moving higheragainst a weaker Dollar.

$USDJPY — Drifting loweras the Yen gains some ground.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+1.95%) — Holding steady, gold is flat as investors move into equities rather than safe havens.

$CDE (-0.13%) — Flat, mirroring gold's lack of direction.

$BRENT / $WTI — Likely trading higheron risk-onsentiment and a weaker Dollar.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (-0.69%) / $ETH (-1.1%) — Likely moving higher, following the Nasdaq and the risk-onmood.

$TRX (+0.04%) — Down slightly, underperforming the broader crypto sentiment.

$CRO (-0.69%) — Not shown, likely tracking the positive risk-ontrend.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (+1.25%) / $VGT (+2.01%) / $CNDX — Holding steady (from image), but the underlying components signal they are trading higher.

$BND (+0.36%) — Flat, as bond yields likely rise (prices fall) in a risk-onmove.

🔎 Deep Dive: The "Quality Growth" Rally

Today is a "flight to quality growth." The market is not buying everything; it is highly selective. There is clear strength in established Tech ($NVDA, $GOOGL) and a massive rally in European Banks ($BPE.MI, $BBVA.MC). However, there is clear weakness in Chinese Retail ($BABA, $SHOP) and speculative Tech ($RGTI, $RKLB). This divergence signals that investors are willing to take risks, but only on assets with strong fundamentals or clear momentum, while dumping assets exposed to Chinese macro or high speculation.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

Thomas

@farlys

4Mon·

📊 Market Update (October 31, 2025)

It's the last day of the month, and the market is exploding higher, in a strong risk-onmove driven by a series of stellar earnings in the Tech sector. The day is dominated by impressive rallies, although key divergences remain.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Open)

$SPX500 — Futures are moving decidedly higher, driven by the Mega-Cap rally.

$DJ30 — Up, as positive sentiment spreads.

$NSDQ100 — In a strong rally, the index is being pulled higher by $AMZN$ and $GOOGL$.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (+3.71%) — In a solid rise, the stock is outperforming and leading the AI sector.

$GOOGL (-0.21%) — Rallying strongly, the market reacts with euphoria to its earnings, pushing the stock higher.

$AVGO (+0.56%) — Slightly down, counter-trending the sector, showing weakness.

$META (+2.07%) — Up, the stock is recovering lost ground and joining the positive sentiment.

$MSFT (+1.99%) — Slightly up, attempting a modest recovery along with the Nasdaq rally.

$TSM (-0.32%) — Slightly up, showing resilience in the chip sector.

$RR. (+0.77%) — Slightly down, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.

$RKLB (+4.29%) — Slightly up, showing cautious optimism in the new techspace.

$RGTI (+2.55%) — Up, the quantum sector follows the speculative sentiment.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (+0.19%) — Exploding higher, the stock is dominating the market with an impressive rally, clearly following earnings that beat all expectations.

$BABA (-0.9%) — Falling sharply, continuing its negative performance, crashing against the US tech trend.

$CVNA (-2.25%) — Up, the stock is participating in the risk-onmove and recovering ground.

$SHOP (-0.04%) — Stable, failing to benefit from the $AMZN rally.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (-1.68%) — Slightly down, the defensive Pharma sector is being sold as capital rotates into Tech.

$HIMS (+14.13%) — Stable, awaiting catalysts.

$INSM (-0.79%) — Stable, the biotech sector is flat.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Mixed, Europe is not fully participating in the US rally.

GER40 — Mixed/Slightly down, reflecting uncertainty.

$LDO (+3.45%) — Slightly up, the defense sector shows some strength.

$IBE (-0.45%) — Slightly up, utilities are stable/positive.

$OKLO — Stable, the nuclear stock is flat.

$CS (-1.41%) — Down, the European financial sector is weak.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (-2.58%) — Slightly up, the Italian banking sector is mixed.

$ISP (-3.29%) — Slightly up, showing modest strength.

$BPE (-3.52%) — Solidly up, continuing its outperformance and positive trend.

$CE (-2.18%) Up, another strong performer in Italian banking.

$BBVA (-3.58%) — Up, the Spanish bank is recovering ground.

$AXP (+0.64%) — Slightly down, the payments sector is weak.

$V (+1.28%) — Down, following the weakness in $AXP$.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Closed mixed/negative, weighed down by weakness in Chinese stocks ($BABA$).

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is stable/slightly down, reflecting the conflicting sentiment.

$EURUSD — Stable/Slightly upagainst a weaker Dollar.

$USDJPY — Stable.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+1.95%) — Stable, gold is flat, not benefiting from the defensive sell-off or the tech risk-on.

$CDE (-0.13%) — Stable, following gold.

$BRENT / $WTI — Down, oil is dropping due to demand fears (e.g., $BABA data).

💰 Crypto

$BTC (-0.69%) / $ETH (-1.1%) — Up, crypto is following the risk-onrally led by $AMZN and $GOOGL.

$TRX (+0.04%) — Up, the altcoin sector is participating in the positive sentiment.

$CRO (-0.69%) — Up, in line with the sector.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (+1.25%) / $VGT (+2.01%) / $CNDX — The real sentiment is being pulled higher by their main components.

$BND (+0.36%) — Stable, investors are also looking for safety in bonds.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Earnings Divergence

Today is the definition of a "stock market," not a "market of stocks." There is no single sentiment. Quarterly results are creating massive divergences:

1. The Winners: $AMZN (+0.19%) and $GOOGL (-0.21%) are on fire, saving the $NSDQ100 single-handedly.

2. The Losers: $BABA (-0.9%) is collapsing, signaling weakness in Chinese and speculative retail.

3. The Isolated Strong:Italian banks ($BPE (-3.52%) , $CE (-2.18%) ) and $BBVA (-3.58%) continue to outperform.

4. The Defensives:Gold ($GLD (+1.95%) ) is flat, while Pharma ($LLY (-1.68%) ) and European financials ($CS (-1.41%)

) are weak.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

Stocktective

@Stocktective

4Mon·

It is pronounced Nu-cu-lar

Donald & Friends have unfortunately thwarted my investment plan somewhat.... (for now)

Since I have just presented my entry and the topic, including the "missed" opportunity, is close to my heart, I will probably work through it right away.

To cut a long story short, when I started investing, I actually wanted to put everything into nuclear technology stocks, but when I started without thinking, some doubts caught up with me. Absolute newcomer to investing, everyone advises me to buy something else, the field is still relatively unexplored.

After I had made my first purchases $CCO (+7.43%) and $UEC (+3.48%) (at the current high at the time) I became humble for the first time, after a short time around -25%.

On the WL were $BWXT (+5.49%) and $LEU (+2.83%) (bought here briefly and thought we were massively overvalued at 60 euros 🤣)

Fast forward, I preferred to bet on stable stocks, including dividend payers, and deviated from my gut feeling, as it already seemed a bit risky.

The nuclear sector has done incredibly well, even I didn't expect that and somehow I don't see an end at the moment.

I had planned this month/beginning of next month to finally get into $NXE (+5.11%) and increased my position in $CCO (+7.43%) to around 70 euros after the small correction. So far everything seemed fine, we have fallen. I wanted to increase my Cameco position in the range of approx. 65-70 euros and also enter Nexgen.

After my small regrouping in the portfolio, there was enough money left over to enter Nexgen "in time" and I collected my first 100 shares on October 24. The next day (I should have been happy) I was shocked when Cameco shot up and the 80b$ deal was done.....

The joy of my first share with +100% is definitely there, but I would have liked to buy a lot more, as I see much more potential.

Now I'm currently thinking about how the market will realign itself, you read more and more about the sector, more and more people think uranium is great and apparently we're only now moving up again? But wasn't that also the case at the beginning of '24? Back then I bought blindly, and shortly afterwards the sell-off came. The shares were "overvalued" and still outperformed.

Where are we now? To be honest, I wanted to add to the stock before the deal and see what happens during/after the Nuclear Exhibition in Paris from 04-06 Nov happens.

Since the prices have already run away, possibly also due to profit-taking, I will probably wait until the situation calms down and the exhibition is over.

For me, however, nothing has changed in principle, I won't be selling any more shares in CCO/NXE but rather adding to them. I'm still super bullish and won't let myself be influenced too much.

Why is $CCO (+7.43%) an investment?

Absolute blue chip in the nuclear sector with solid figures
All-rounder - uranium is mined in its own high-yield mines and is also processed in a wide variety of ways
Shareholder in Westinghouse (service; maintenance)
Partnerships with Bruce Power & Nordion (Co-60 provision / Healthcare)
Moat (regulations, expertise, etc.)

When talking about a renaissance, Cameco cannot and should not be excluded. There are many long-term contracts in this industry, the manufacturer/producer can virtually choose its customers and call up prices. If you don't get nuclear fuel in time, you can't supply energy (predictable income).

The push is becoming more and more real, which country apart from Germany is NOT talking about an extension of operating times and new builds?

In 2023, the nuclear phase-out in Spain was still unchallenged, and there are currently plans to extend the Almaraz NPP, for example $IBE (-0.45%)

The same is currently being discussed in the Netherlands; Borssele is to continue operating and also offer a site for new reactors.

In addition to Cameco, I have added Nexgen to my portfolio $NXE (+5.11%)

Is in a good financial position (dilution will come)
Has promising projects
Management seems to know what is important
Unfortunately only a pure uranium supplier, should it come to production
(My thought, if it gets that far possibly interesting for a takeover see above)

I continue to find the sector super exciting and am looking forward to whatever may come, if prices remain high I will probably buy more anyway. Despite the "hype", I think there is still a lot of potential here, although the relatively high risk should also be kept in mind.

If something unforeseen happens here, the furnace can be out again immediately.

What do you think about this sector, do you think we are more than overvalued or is there still potential? I would be delighted to hear your thoughts on this.

Until then 🧐

7 Comments

Chris@Multibagger

4Mon

I have a problem with $CCO at the current level. While researching the sector last week, I read that $CCO has sold out all uranium production for the next 3-4 years via long-term contracts. This means that there is hardly any room for positive surprises as the prices are fixed. The only thing that can develop better is the service business. As I tend to focus on small caps myself, I would now prefer other players. I therefore already have $UUUU, and also very speculatively $EL8. I also find $NXE interesting.

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Show answer

Thomas

@farlys

4Mon·

📊 Market Update (October 30, 2025)

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)

$SPX500 — Indicating a sharp decline, as the collapse in major tech components weighs heavily on the index.

$DJ30 — Trading significantly lower, pulled down by the broad *risk-offsentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Falling sharply, dragged down by heavy losses in major tech names.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (+3.71%) — Down slightly, showing significant resilience and holding up well compared to the broader tech wreck.

$GOOGL (-0.21%) — Surging dramatically higher, completely defying the market sell-off, likely on a stellar earnings report.

$AVGO (+0.56%) — Up moderately, showing strong relative strength in the semiconductor sector.$META (+2.07%) — Collapsing, in a sharp sell-off likely due to a major earnings miss.

$MSFT (+1.99%) — Falling sharply, a massive drop indicating a very negative reaction to its earnings, pulling the $SPX500$ down.

$QBTS (+2.29%) Not shown, but likely down significantly*in this *risk-offenvironment for speculative tech.

$RGTI (+2.55%) — Down moderately, following the negative sentiment in speculative tech.

$TSM (-0.32%) — Down slightly, giving back some recent gains.

$RR. (+0.77%) — Down moderately, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.

$RKLB (+4.29%) — Up slightly, showing some resilience in the space sector.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (+0.19%) — Down moderately, reflecting weakness in consumer-focused tech.

$BABA (-0.9%) — Down moderately, under pressure alongside other Chinese and e-commerce stocks.

$CVNA (-2.25%) — Falling sharply, continuing its pattern of high volatility and weakness.

$SHOP (-0.04%) — Down moderately, indicating pressure on e-commerce platforms.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (-1.68%) — Likely flat or slightly down, as investors rotate out of defensive names or brace for the downturn.

$HIMS (+14.13%) — Holding steady, showing no significant price change.

$INSM (-0.79%) — Flat, the biotech sector remains cautious.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Trading lower, struggling as the US tech crash impacts global sentiment.

GER40 — Trading cautiously lower, reflecting the uncertain global sentiment.

$LDO (+3.45%) — Down moderately, suggesting pressure on the defense sector.

$IBE (-0.45%) — Down slightly, utilities are also facing some selling pressure.

$OKLO Down moderately, indicating profit-taking in the nuclear technology space.

$CS (-1.41%) — Down moderately, reflecting broader caution across parts of the European financial sector.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (-2.58%) — Down moderately, following the negative trend in European financials.

$ISP (-3.29%) — Down slightly, showing some weakness.

$BPE (-3.52%) — Making moderate gains, continuing its strong counter-trend rally.

$CE (-2.18%) — Up slightly, joining the isolated strength in Italian mid-cap banks.

$BBVA (-3.58%) — Falling sharply, showing significant weakness and vulnerability.

$AXP (+0.64%) — Down moderately, reflecting caution in the payments sector.

$V (+1.28%) — Down slightly, mirroring the hesitation seen in other payment stocks.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Likely closed mixed to negative*as the US tech crash sentiment spread.

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is likely trading higher*as investors flee to safety (cash).

$EURUSD — Likely edging lower*against a stronger Dollar.

$USDJPY — Likely trading higher*reflecting the strong Dollar.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+1.95%) — Holding steady, pausing as investors prefer the $DXY$ as the primary safe haven over gold.

$CDE (-0.13%) — Flat, mirroring gold's lack of direction.

$BRENT / $WTI (W&T Offshore Inc) — Likely trading down*as growth concerns spike, tempering demand outlook.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (-0.69%) / $ETH (-1.1%) — Likely experiencing significant downward pressure, following the Nasdaq crash.

$TRX (+0.04%) — Holding steady, though the broader crypto market is likely weak.

$CRO (-0.69%) — Likely tracking the negative trend in crypto.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (+1.25%)
$VGT (+2.01%)
$CNDX — Holding steady (0.00%) in the image, likely reflecting a pre-market halt or lag, but they are clearly heading for a sharp drop*based on their components.

$BND (+0.36%) — Flat, as bond yields likely fall (prices rise) during the flight to safety.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Tech Divergence

Today's story is a brutal earnings-driven divergence. The market is split in two: $MSFT (+1.99%) and $META (+2.07%) are collapsing, pulling the entire $SPX500 and risk-onsentiment down with them. Retail stocks like $BABA and $AMZN are falling in sympathy.

However, $GOOGL (-0.21%) is surging dramatically, completely disconnecting from the sector on what must be a stellar earnings report. This divergence shows the market is differentiating between AI narratives: $NVDA (+3.71%) is also holding up remarkably well (down only slightly), while other tech ($TSM (-0.32%) , $AVGO (+0.56%) ) is mixed.

Away from tech, Italian banks ($BPE (-3.52%)) continue their isolated rally, but the overall mood is clearly *risk-off*.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, *deep dives*, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer:*Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

1 Comment

Joris@JorisInvests

4Mon

Funny how now, almost at the end of the trading day in the US, all the estimates are reversed. All down are in the green and all ups are in the red. Only nvidia is predicted down and is still in the red.

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