17 chemical elements

Strategic metal age

Scarcity as a political factor

Lynas Rare Earths

Iluka Resources

Arafura Rare Earths

MP Materials

Energy Fuels and others

Solactive Rare Earths Index

Link: https://shorturl.at/KPyWG

$LYC (-1,63%)
$ILU (+0,64%)
$ARU (-5,73%)
$MP (+0,54%)
$UUUU (+0,85%) $

After a long time of active trading and many reallocations, I would like to share my current portfolio transparently with you and deliberately collect feedback / discussions from the community :) (so ready for a qualified roast)

I originally come from the "active" corner with many certificates, warrants and tactical trades - some very successful, some with total losses. Over time, I've realized that although you can land some strong individual hits, the long-term capital allocation and structure of the portfolio is ultimately decisive.

I am therefore currently trying to realign my portfolio:

On the one hand, to continue to take advantage of opportunities for above-average returns, but on the other hand to finally build up a stable ETF/fund base.

My basic assumptions about the market at the moment:

• Many large tech stocks still look ambitiously valued or overheated to me
• In the medium term, I expect rotation rather than a linear "everything continues to rise" trend

That's why my portfolio currently looks a little unusual:

• large positions as a basis in AI & biotech funds, which currently have paused savings plans (due to overheating) ($KJGJC0 (+1,65%) & $DWWD (+0,91%) )
• plus turnaround bets such as Nike or Pernod Ricard (many repeat purchases, now a bit of a stomach ache) ($NKE (+0,5%) / $RI (-1,05%) )
• Macro/future themes such as copper, rare earths or quantum computing (under construction) ($ARU (-5,73%) , $COPA (+1,24%) , $QNTM (-0,34%) , $WSML (+0,52%) )
• and occasionally leveraged products and software stocks ($MSFT (+1,73%) , $SAP (+0,45%) , $NOW (+1,4%) , $MC (+0,79%) ,...)

My goal now is to build up the whole thing in a cleaner and more structured way and finally set my sights on the 100k.

I have about €2,000 per month available to invest and would like to use it to

• build up a strong ETF/fund base
• but at the same time consciously make individual high-conviction bets
• and significantly scale my portfolio in the long term

What suggestions / recommendations do you have for me with regard to further ETFs or individual positions?

I am also happy to receive critical feedback or counterarguments to my theses. That's exactly why I'm sharing the portfolio here 🙂

$ARU (-5,73%)

Arafura Rare Earths (ASX: ARU) - Rare earths project of the future with great potential?

Arafura Rare Earths is an Australian resource developer focused on rare earths, particularly neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr), which are critical for high performance magnets in electric cars, wind turbines, robotics and defense technologies - exactly where the global energy mix is being transformed towards electric mobility and renewable energy.

Core project:

Nolans Project

The Nolans Project in Australia's Northern Territory is the centerpiece of Arafura Rare Earths.

Location & Scope

• Location: approx. 135 km north of Alice Springs
• Resource: around 56 million tons of ore with an average of approx. 2.6% rare earth oxides
• Main objective: Production of NdPr oxides - the most important raw material for high-performance magnets

The project is one of the most advanced rare earth developments outside China.

Integrated value chain

Arafura is planning fully integrated "mine-to-oxide" production - this means that not only mining, but also preparation and chemical processing will take place at the site. This means that the company would not just sell a concentrate, but produce marketable oxides directly. Although this approach increases investment costs, it creates significantly more added value and strategic importance.

Planned production

• Target production: approx. 4,400-4,500 tons of NdPr oxides per year
• Planned mine life: around 35-40 years
• Production start: after final financing and construction phase in the second half of this decade

In full operation, Nolans could cover around 4% of global NdPr demand. In view of the strong dominance of Chinese suppliers in the rare earths sector, this is of considerable geopolitical importance.

Financing and strategic partners

The development of such a project requires investments in the billions. Accordingly, financing was one of the key milestones.

Capital measures

Arafura has carried out extensive capital increases, including a large placement in the region of several hundred million Australian dollars. These measures led to a significant increase in the number of shares and thus to dilution effects for existing shareholders. In the short term, this had a negative impact on the share price, but in the long term it was a necessary step towards project implementation.

Strategic investments

An important signal was the entry of Gina Rinehart via its investment company Hancock Prospectingwhich significantly increased its stake. Such an investment is often interpreted in the market as a sign of confidence in the economic viability of the project.

State support

In addition, Arafura received support from the National Reconstruction Fund Corporationwhich made a substantial investment commitment. The aim is to promote critical mineral projects in Australia and reduce dependence on individual supplier countries.

Market environment: Why NdPr is so crucial

Neodymium and praseodymium are central components of permanent magnets, which are indispensable in the following areas:

• Electric vehicles
• wind turbines
• industrial automation
• defense technology

With the global expansion of renewable energies and electromobility, the demand for high-performance magnets is constantly increasing. At the same time, Western countries are seeking to diversify their supply chains for critical raw materials. This is precisely where Arafura is positioning itself as a potential strategic supplier outside China.

Opportunities

• Strategically extremely important raw material with structural growth in demand
• Project in a politically stable country
• Fully integrated production with higher added value
• Long-term mine life of several decades
• Institutional and government support

If the project is implemented as planned and NdPr prices remain at an attractive level, Arafura has significant upside potential.

Risks

• No operational production yet and therefore no cash flow
• High capital requirements and possible further dilution
• Construction and schedule risks for major projects
• Volatile prices for rare earths
• Competition from established suppliers, particularly from China

Arafura therefore remains a classic project developer with a corresponding opportunity/risk profile. The investment case stands and falls with the successful commissioning of Nolans.

How do you see the opportunities? I am invested and convinced 👍

$LYC (-1,63%)
$MP (+0,54%)
$VVMX (+2,04%)

$ARU (-5,73%) still potential and possibly worth buying ?

What do you think of today's setback?

Party over or will it continue ?

I look forward to discussions

Trump and Australia have signed a billion-euro agreement on rare earths.

The aim is to reduce dependence on China, which currently controls over 80% of these raw materials.

These metals are the fuel of the future - without them, no AI, no electric car, no chip will work.

The West now wants to mine and process them itself - the battle for raw materials has begun.

$LYC (-1,63%)
$MP (+0,54%)
$ARU (-5,73%)

Trump tariffs live updates: Trump lists top demands on China, signs rare earth deal with Australia https://share.google/OqaFbYNOhV8mg6R2M