$EKT (+0,97 %) is finally moving into the green zone for me. I'm now considering liquidating the position I've been stuck with for over 2 years and simply shifting the sum into the $TDIV (-0,49 %) and simply reallocate it to the What is your opinion, is there anyone here who $EKT (+0,97 %) who is confident that the stock will outperform in the next 2-3 years $TDIV (-0,49 %) in terms of both growth and dividends?

As every week before the start of the new week, the most important news from the past week.

Tuesday:

Bayer surprises with its agricultural division of all things. The company is still struggling with legal disputes. In the first quarter, the profit of $BAYN (-2,08 %) Bayer doubled to 2.76 billion euros. Also because the pharmaceuticals business performed better than analysts had expected.

https://www.boerse.de/nachrichten-amp/Bayer-ueberrascht-dank-Agrarsparte-positiv-zum-Jahresstart/38324212

$G24 (+1,73 %) Scout24 raises its growth forecast and dispels AI concerns. The EBITDA margin is set to rise to 64% by 2028. Revenue is expected to grow at a double-digit rate by then.

https://www.finanzen.net/amp/automatisierung-scout24-aktie-springt-an-mehr-tempo-mehr-profit-bis-2028-15678948

Wednesday:

$EOAN (-1,37 %) Eon presents good figures for the first quarter. Consolidated net profit climbed significantly by 7% to 1.3 billion euros. Eon also invested 1.4 billion euros. Eon is the largest provider of energy networks in Europe.

https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/energie/quartalszahlen-eon-verdient-zum-jahresauftakt-mehr-prognosen-bestaetigt/100224737.html

$EKT (+0,97 %) Energiekontor started the year as planned. The Group's own portfolio has increased to around 450 megawatts. Projects with a capacity of 650 megawatts are under construction and construction is proceeding according to plan.

https://www.ecoreporter.de/artikel/energiekontor-liegt-im-plan-aktie-gewinnt-57/

Due to a record order from Ukraine, SFC Energy $F3C (+3,87 %) SFC Energy is raising its forecast. Sales are expected to rise to between 163 and 175 million euros. The major order from the Ukraine alone brings in 42.7 million euros; highly mobile fuel cells will be sold.

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/ausblick-sfc-energy-aktie-zieht-zweistellig-an-prognoseerhoehung-nach-rekord-auftrag-aus-der-ukraine-15679594

Thursday:

Cisco raises its forecast significantly, the share price gains substantially. For the full year, Cisco now expects sales of USD 62.8 - 63 billion. In the last quarter, profits rose by almost a third to USD 3.4 billion.

https://www.deraktionaer.de/artikel/aktien/cisco-kraeftiges-plus-nach-quartalszahlen-und-starkem-ausblick-20400997.html

Friday:

Kevin Warsh takes over as Chairman of the Fed this Friday. Many are curious to see what central bank policy will look like under the new chairman. Trump, at least, would like to see interest rates cut. In the past, Warsh was better known for his position on reducing the Fed's balance sheet.

https://www.zeit.de/2026/22/kevin-warsh-federal-reserve-notenbank-donald-trump/seite-3

Press release from $EKT (+0,97 %) dated 31.03.2026. Light at the end of the tunnel? At least for today, a clear plus again, after the share price had already risen yesterday.

• Group EBT at the upper end of the adjusted forecast
• Sales and earnings up on previous year
• Dividend proposal doubled to EUR 1.00 per share
• Challenging market environment - increasing visibility expected over the course of the year
• Significant earnings potential for the coming financial years

Bremen, March 31, 2026 - Energiekontor AG ("Energiekontor"), one of the leading German project developers and operators of wind and solar parks based in Bremen and listed in the General Standard, has met the forecast for the 2025 financial year, which was adjusted in October 2025, at the upper end of the range and, from today's perspective, expects a further improvement in consolidated earnings in the 2026 financial year. In addition, Energiekontor confirms its multi-year growth target, taking into account the changed framework conditions.

Adjusted forecast for 2025 met at the upper end of the range - dividend proposal doubled

In an increasingly complex and challenging market environment, Energiekontor generated increased consolidated revenue of EUR 167.9 million in the 2025 financial year (2024: EUR 126.5 million). Total operating performance amounted to EUR 339.1 million (2024: EUR 195.9 million). In particular, the increase in project planning activities recognized in profit or loss led to a higher consolidated operating result (EBIT) of EUR 65.4 million (2024: EUR 49.8 million), which corresponds to an EBIT margin of 38.9% (2024: 39.4%). Adjusted for higher interest expenses, Energiekontor generated consolidated earnings before taxes (EBT) of EUR 40.5 million (2024: EUR 36.2 million) and an EBT margin of 24.1 percent (2024: 28.6 percent).

The year-on-year increase in Group EBT thus meets the earnings forecast adjusted in October 2025 for Group EBT in the 2025 financial year at the upper end of the range, which envisaged consolidated earnings before taxes of around EUR 30 to 40 million. Previously, Energiekontor had assumed a higher range of around EUR 70 to 90 million. The main reason for the reduced profit forecast was the postponement of key closing conditions for upcoming transactions, which could therefore no longer be met in the 2025 financial year. This related in particular to project delays caused by the authorities and the resulting deadline extensions as well as the postponement of the announcement and updating of grid connection commitments as part of the ongoing grid reform in the UK.

In the 2025 financial year, Group taxes were positive in the amount of EUR 0.4 million (2024: EUR -13.6 million), resulting in a Group net income for the year of EUR 41.0 million (2024: EUR 22.6 million), which was therefore slightly higher than the Group EBT. The positive tax effect mainly resulted from favorable tax conditions for a project sold abroad and the reversal of deferred taxes. Basic earnings per share amounted to EUR 2.94 (2024: EUR 1.62).

The shareholders of Energiekontor AG should participate in the development of the company even in challenging financial years. The amount of the dividend payout is based on the net profit generated. The Management Board and Supervisory Board will therefore propose to the Annual General Meeting on May 27, 2026 in Ritterhude that around 35 percent of Energiekontor AG's net retained profits be used for the dividend distribution. The proposed distribution corresponds to a dividend of EUR 1.00 per share, which is double that of the previous year (2024: EUR 0.50).

Significant increase in earnings in the Project Planning and Sales segment

In the 2025 financial year, the Project Planning and Sales segment generated increased external revenue of EUR 94.9 million (2024: EUR 52.4 million). At EUR 20.8 million, segment EBT almost tripled compared to the previous year (2024: EUR 7.3 million).

In the 2025 financial year, Energiekontor sold seven wind projects with a total generation capacity of around 209 megawatts (2024: 51 megawatts), of which one British wind project and one German repowering wind project contributed to the segment result for the 2025 financial year. The remaining five turnkey wind projects that have been sold and are currently under construction will be recognized in profit or loss when they are commissioned in the 2026 and 2027 financial years.

As of December 31, 2025, a total of 21 projects with a total generation capacity of around 640 megawatts were under construction or financial close had been reached for these projects (December 31, 2024: 368 megawatts). In addition, Energiekontor commissioned two solar parks and one wind park with a total generation capacity of around 83 megawatts in the reporting year (2024: 124 megawatts). As of the reporting date, there were also 34 building permits with a total generation capacity of almost 1.2 gigawatts (December 31, 2024: 1,129 megawatts). In terms of total nominal capacity, the majority was attributable to the UK project business, followed by Germany, while the remaining share was predominantly attributable to the French market.

Stable earnings in the electricity generation segment with further expansion of the proprietary portfolio

In the 2025 financial year, external revenue in the Electricity Generation segment from the Group's own wind and solar parks was roughly on a par with the previous year, with the segment generating external revenue of EUR 68.6 million (2024: EUR 69.4 million). The segment result (EBT) amounted to EUR 17.1 million (2024: EUR 26.0 million). The lower earnings are mainly due to one-off special effects recognized in profit or loss, which were included in the previous year and which were primarily based on receivables in connection with the compensation of earnings shortfalls at various wind farms in Germany. Apart from this, the segment result in the 2025 financial year showed a comparatively solid development.

The total generation capacity of the Group's own portfolio of wind and solar parks increased to around 448 megawatts in the course of the 2025 financial year (December 31, 2024: around 395 megawatts). The expansion of the proprietary park portfolio was driven forward in particular by the commissioning of new solar projects. Further projects with a total generation capacity of more than 230 megawatts, which are intended for the proprietary portfolio, are currently under construction. The aim is to expand the proprietary park portfolio to over 680 megawatts, with this target figure rising continuously as further financial closures are achieved.

Electricity production from our own parks amounted to around 617 gigawatt hours in the reporting year and was therefore slightly above the previous year's level despite a significantly below-average wind year. Additional generation contributions from newly commissioned solar parks had a stabilizing effect.

Operating Development, Innovation and Other segment makes solid contribution

The Operational Development, Innovation and Other segment recorded revenue and earnings development slightly below the previous year's level. External revenue decreased slightly to EUR 4.4 million (2024: EUR 4.6 million). The segment result (EBT) reached EUR 2.5 million (2024: EUR 2.8 million).

Project pipeline continues to grow - share of advanced projects increased again

Energiekontor was again able to expand the high level of its project pipeline in the 2025 financial year. As of December 31, 2025, the project pipeline amounted to around 11.6 gigawatts (excluding US project rights) compared to 11.2 gigawatts in the previous year. Including US project rights, it amounted to around 12.2 gigawatts (31 December 2024: around 12.1 gigawatts).

At the same time, the proportion of projects in advanced development phases increased again. Their total generation capacity amounted to around 3.1 gigawatts (December 31, 2024: around 2.7 gigawatts) and forms the basis for short and medium-term growth while maintaining the high quality of the project pipeline. Technological diversification was also driven forward. Solar projects now account for around a third of the project pipeline.

Continued focus on growth strategy 2023 to 2028

The 2025 financial year was characterized by a very dynamic market environment. In particular, extended project realization times, limited availability of systems and infrastructure as well as delays in grid connection confirmations and tendering processes - especially in the UK - affected the timing of project sales. In Germany, too, there are currently still uncertainties with regard to the future structure of the EEG subsidy system from 2027 and the specific design of the announced grid package, the effects of which cannot yet be conclusively assessed. It can be assumed that these framework conditions will initially remain in place for the rest of 2026. Energiekontor expects that planning certainty will gradually increase over the course of the year as soon as the regulatory requirements in the core markets of Germany and the UK become more concrete.

In this context, the operational development of the business remains robust. At the same time, the market mechanisms in project development have changed noticeably. An increasing number of approved projects is coming up against continued high costs for plants, infrastructure and financing as well as falling award values in the Federal Network Agency's tenders, which is increasing the economic pressure on individual projects. Energiekontor is countering these developments with consistent project selection and focused management of the project pipeline. The company is benefiting from its lean organizational structure and high operational efficiency.

Against this backdrop, earnings performance remains largely determined by the timing of individual project sales and realizations. At the same time, the continuous expansion of the proprietary portfolio strengthens the basis for stable, recurring income and increases the resilience of the business model. At the same time, despite the high level of investment activity, the company has a robust liquidity position and a solid equity base that financially secures the implementation of the project pipeline and the expansion of the proprietary portfolio. This further increases the stability and predictability of the Group's earnings base. In addition, Energiekontor is continuously working on further strengthening its competitive position through targeted technological and innovative improvement measures, including in the areas of smart wind farm controlling, proactive maintenance, hybrid parking concepts, battery storage solutions and other measures to improve project profitability.

Based on current project planning and taking into account the remaining uncertainties with regard to regulatory and market conditions, Energiekontor currently expects consolidated earnings before taxes (EBT) in a range of EUR 40 to 60 million for the 2026 financial year (2025: EUR 40.5 million). The forecast deliberately reflects the current uncertainties regarding the timing of project implementation. The main contributions to earnings are expected to be generated from several ready-to-build sales in the UK market, from the commissioning of the three German turnkey wind farms sold in the 2025 financial year and from the company's own wind farm portfolio.

With increasing planning certainty regarding the regulatory and infrastructural conditions over the course of the year and the resulting confirmation of previous project planning, Energiekontor sees significant potential for additional earnings contributions in the coming financial years. Against this background, the growth strategy 2023 to 2028, which aims to achieve Group EBT of EUR 120 million in the 2028 financial year, remains focused on sustainable and profitable growth and will be further specified and sharpened with increasing clarity over the course of the year, actively taking into account the market and general conditions that have changed in the meantime.

"In the 2025 financial year, we created a solid earnings base in a very challenging environment and met the upper end of our forecast, which was adjusted in October 2025. Even if the currently communicated forecast range for 2026 may appear cautious at first glance in view of the existing project portfolio, it deliberately reflects the remaining uncertainties regarding the timing of project implementations. However, with increasing clarity regarding the regulatory and infrastructural framework conditions, we expect significantly improved predictability and continue to see considerable potential for additional earnings contributions in the coming years," says Peter Szabo, CEO of Energiekontor AG.

The Annual Report 2025 contains further information on Energiekontor's business development, financial position, economic and market environment and outlook. It is available for download at https://www.energiekontor.de/investor-relations/finanzberichte.html for download.

1For the reporting year 2025 subject to the approval of the Annual General Meeting on May 27, 2026.

2As at the reporting date (31.12.).

3More details on the notional equity ratio in the Annual Report 2025 on page 81.

The Energiekontor AG share (WKN 531350/ISIN DE0005313506/General Standard) is listed on the SDAX of the German Stock Exchange in Frankfurt and can be traded on all German stock exchanges.

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Julia Pschribülla

Head of Investor & Public Relations

Phone: +49 (0)421-3304-126

Reading time: approx. 4-5 minutes

One of the questions that comes up again and again here on Getquin is: When is the right time to buy? The discussion often revolves around valuations, historical multiples or possible setbacks. This perspective is understandable. At the same time, it often distracts from a decision that is at least as important for the risk of a portfolio: the position size.

Many losses do not occur because an idea was fundamentally wrong. They occur because a position was too large. Conversely, the opposite also happens. A good idea works, but is weighted so small that it has hardly any effect on the portfolio. It is therefore worth thinking not only about whether a company is interesting, but also about how much capital should be allocated to it in the first place.

The background is relatively simple. The future is uncertain. Companies can perform better or worse, markets can grow or stagnate, valuations can rise or fall. Forecasts usually try to predict a single future path. In practice, it often makes more sense to work with scenarios, i.e. several plausible developments.

This is exactly where the logic of position sizes begins.

Position values are essentially derived from two dimensions. Firstly, from the quality of a company. This includes competitive advantages, return on capital, market position and the stability of cash flows. Secondly, from the uncertainty of future developments. This can arise from technological changes, cyclical markets, regulatory risks or simply the size of a company.

The higher the quality and the more stable the business model, the larger a position can be in the portfolio. The more uncertain the possible future paths, the more cautious the weighting should be.

A small thought experiment illustrates this logic.

Assume a company is analyzed and three plausible scenarios for the next five years are defined.

In the bullish scenario, the company grows strongly, the valuation remains stable and the share price doubles. In the neutral scenario, the company grows moderately and the share price rises by around 40 percent. In the bearish scenario, growth is disappointing and the share price falls by around 30 percent.

If these scenarios are assigned probabilities of around 30 percent for the bullish scenario, 50 percent for the neutral scenario and 20 percent for the negative scenario, this results in an expected value.

30 percent times plus 100 percent

50 percent times plus 40 percent

20 percent times minus 30 percent

The weighted expected value is therefore approximately plus 44 percent over five years. That is attractive. Nevertheless, a high expected value does not automatically mean that a position should be large. The spread of possible outcomes is also crucial. An investment with high uncertainty typically has a lower weighting than a company with more stable cash flows and narrower scenarios.

In practice, this often results in three categories in the portfolio.

The first category is core positions. These are companies with structural competitive advantages, high returns on capital and relatively stable business models. An example of this is $GOOGL (+0,01 %) (Alphabet). The company has dominant platforms in the search engine and advertising market as well as considerable economies of scale. Another example is $V (+0,14 %) (Visa). The global payment network benefits from strong network effects, high margins and a business model that functions relatively independently of short-term economic fluctuations. Such companies can often achieve weightings of around five to ten percent in the portfolio.

The second category is satellite positions. These are usually smaller companies or companies with more volatile results whose business model nevertheless appears attractive. Examples of this could be $ERII (+2,84 %) (Energy Recovery) or $EKT (+0,97 %) (Energiekontor). Both benefit from structural trends such as water infrastructure or renewable energies, but are also subject to greater operational fluctuations than global platform companies. Typical weightings here are often in the range of two to five percent.

The third category is option positions. These are investments with very high uncertainty but potentially high upside. Commodity companies or very small growth companies often belong in this group. An example would be $DML (+0,36 %) (Denison Mines) from the uranium sector. Such positions are often deliberately kept small, between half a percent and two percent of the portfolio. The idea behind this is simple. If the investment fails, the damage is limited. If the scenario works out, the contribution can still be relevant.

A concrete numerical example makes this logic more tangible. Let's assume a portfolio of 100,000 euros. A core position with an eight percent weighting then corresponds to around 8,000 euros. A satellite position with a weighting of three percent corresponds to around EUR 3,000. An option position with a weighting of one percent corresponds to around EUR 1,000. Even if such an option position fails completely, the effect on the overall portfolio remains manageable.

Another point is often underestimated. Position sizes are not static. They change automatically over time. If a share rises sharply, its weighting in the portfolio increases. Many of the biggest portfolio winners arise precisely because successful positions are not reduced too early.

An originally small position can become one of the largest positions in the portfolio over the years. This is not a mistake, but often a sign that a good idea has actually developed.

Conversely, it can make sense to reduce positions if valuations rise sharply or if the weighting has become disproportionately large due to price gains. The aim here is not to time short-term price movements. The aim is to maintain the stability of the portfolio architecture.

The most common mistake in this context is overconcentration. It is rarely the result of a consciously planned strategy. It is often the result of narratives. A convincing story, a phase of rapid price gains or strong attention can lead to individual positions being expanded further and further. This makes the portfolio more susceptible to errors.

The key insight is therefore relatively simple.

A robust portfolio is not created by timing every share perfectly. It is created by allocating capital sensibly according to quality, valuation and uncertainty.

Or to put it another way.

The entry determines the price.

The position size determines the risk.

The next article in the series therefore deals with a question that follows on directly from this. How do you actually deal with winners in the portfolio? When should a position simply be allowed to continue and when does a weighting become too large? An exciting example of this is $GOOGL (+0,01 %) (Alphabet). A company that has achieved enormous increases in value over many years and at the same time repeatedly raises the question of how to deal sensibly with such winners in the portfolio. This is exactly what the next part will be about: Managing winners properly.

We continue with insights into the goings-on of the dividend opi. If you missed the first part, you can find it here: Dividendenopi inside Teil 1 Dividendenopi Rewind2025

As the second part is less about shares, I'll at least start with the rest and the question from @Epi about the Zockeropi. I still have one position each in the, let's say, hidden area of $EKT (+0,97 %) and $NOVO B (+1,04 %) each. Neither trading nor dividend stocks as I see it, so they are bobbing around in the middle of nowhere. Both are currently in negative territory and have a current market value of around €30,000. To be honest, I still don't really know what I'm going to do with them. In my opinion, EKT is still a rock-solid value and clearly undervalued. Despite all my understanding for the delays, which are apparently through no fault of their own, they have to deliver this year. Otherwise I will actually realize the losses, but they are absolutely manageable. And about Novo, well, what more can I say... Ignored the warnings during the high phase and took the crash in its stride. Due to the recovery over the last few days, the share is moderately down by just over 10%. Depending on my mood on the day, however, this could quickly disappear.

And to ensure that my strategy as a whole doesn't get boring and that the gambling child in me is kept in mind so that it doesn't do anything stupid with larger investments, I have turned more intensively to short-term trades since the middle of last year. In June with $DEFI (-3,28 %) and $HIMS (-1,35 %) initial modest successes have encouraged and "hooked" me by, among other things @Multibagger one or two copy trades. My play money is strictly limited to a maximum of 5% of my total capital. I haven't invested that much yet, but despite everything $IREN (-1,65 %) , $CIFR (+2,11 %) and some other trades have brought me nice profits on the side. Most recently I closed yesterday $AII (+0,44 %) closed yesterday with 40% plus. The largest position in the trading portfolio at the moment is again $IREN (-1,65 %) with EK 35€ and a slight plus. The rest, $CA1 (-1,54 %) , $DEFI (-3,28 %) , $LYC (-0,05 %) , $NB (+2,22 %) and $null are not doing so well at the moment, which is why I am currently in the red. I currently have € 20,000 invested there, but the holding period for these shares and the long is also designed for a maximum of 6 months, so I will look again in April.

So far so good.... Now comes the outing and the boring part of my investments, which still make up the majority of the capital invested. Expiring fixed-term deposits have already been and will be put into the market. Due to my age, I tend to be a bit conservative when it comes to choosing my broker and would have a stomach ache with a neo-broker for this amount. For a while I had my investments diversified with S-Broker, ING and Consors. Overnight deposits at various institutions in recent years, where the best new customer offers were available. I'm still hopping and currently have a good €370,000 in call money. The best interest rate for 12 months until mid-26 is with BBVA, where I'm realizing 3.25% thanks to a promotional bonus. Volkswagenbank, Fordbank, Stellantisbank and Renaultbank are always offering special promotions for existing customers with interest conditions to compensate for inflation. The advantage of all the aforementioned banks is the monthly interest payout for regular income, and the trend at the moment is again towards higher offers for new customers of just under 3%, so I will be shifting around a little over the next few days and weeks. Longer-term fixed-term deposits will gradually expire over the next 2 years, where I have conditions from the beginning of 24, e.g. at Kommunal Kredit for 4.5%, the others are between 3.4 and 4.1%. In total, this currently amounts to € 125,000 with annual interest payments for further cash flow.

The third large chunk, and therefore the rest of my capital, is invested in bonds and certificates. More on this in a moment. Where do I have my securities account now? Drum roll... 😇😇At the savings bank, sic!🤷‍♀️ At a large savings bank in the big city around the corner as part of a private banking agreement. I have an all-in-fee that costs really fat fees every year. 1.25% of my average portfolio value p.a. And that's a four-figure sum at the top end. Before everyone faints or thinks I'm out of my depth, a few words of explanation and insight into my decision. I can trade where I want, as much as I want and what I want within the limits of these fees. Of course, I can also pay less for a used small car, but as I mentioned, it's just not for me. One of the reasons I took this route was because of the annual costs I would otherwise incur with ING and S-Broker. Given the trading volumes, that wasn't exactly low either. For me, these costs would have been costs anyway. The decisive advantage, in addition to almost 24-hour all-round support and a personal portfolio manager, lies in trading certificates. I like to use fixed coupon express certificates for cash flow. They are available on many stocks. This year I was / am invested in Siemens, LVMH, BMW, Daimler Truck, Vonovia, Renk, among others. They all had / have interest rates between 6.5% and 9.75%. Latest "deal" a certificate on $R3NK (+1,23 %) on 29.12 with 11.7% and a new one now starting in January with 11.5%. The interest is paid out quarterly on a pro rata basis and makes a not insignificant contribution to my monthly income. I am always offered these certificates for subscription before they are issued, the issue premium is waived as part of my agreement and I receive a large part of the "internal commission" from the savings bank, which is called a customer bonus. I am attaching the statement of my Renk certificate from December 29th to make it easier to understand.

In this case, with an otherwise regular issue price of € 1,010 for a € 1,000 share, I have in any case already "recouped" part of my fees (saved issue premium plus lower subscription price), with other providers and lower interest rates this can be up to 2.5% and more. These express certificates usually come back in the next 6 to 9 months when the early payout levels are reached and I get back the € 1,000 nominal value, plus the interest accrued up to that point. Unfortunately, I have to pay tax on the difference between my cheaper purchase and the nominal value as a profit. The money is then immediately reinvested in corresponding new certificates. This means that I have a regular annual circulation with a corresponding volume, not every certificate is returned, and in total this recoups my fees. Sounds a bit like a milkmaid's calculation, but it works out. We can discuss this in more detail. For now, this is only part of my motivation. However, these certificates are one of the main pillars of my cash flow and are relatively default-proof thanks to downward barriers of 40 to 50%, but of course you have to look at the underlying securities.

Other investments are in capped bonus certificates with a barrier. These offer no ongoing cash flow, but "reward" you with decent returns if they perform well and are particularly suitable for sideways or slightly falling markets. For both variants, it must be said that dividends from the reference stocks are excluded and a strong upward trend in the individual underlying stocks does not lead to overperformance and in the latter case is also limited (capped) or leads to premature liquidation in the case of express certificates. If you keep abreast of the market, the risks are manageable and the maturities are limited to a maximum of 2 years, usually less.

There are other variants of these certificates, if there is interest I would present these in a separate series. They are not performance boosters, but with the right selection they can lead to stability and ongoing cash flow or pre-defined potential price gains even if the markets do not perform as everyone would like.

That's it from my side, I've let my pants down and shown how I, as an old fart with an appropriate amount of capital, try to structure my monthly returns without taking excessive risks and why and how I do it. Perhaps it will help some investors who are not so risk-averse to think about alternatives. I would like to thank everyone who has stuck with me to the end and see you soon. Your Dividend Topi

Reading time: approx. 5-6 minutes

Many of my recent articles have focused on key figures that help to clearly classify business models, risks and valuations. Beta is part of this series - and at the same time the key figure plays a special role. It is available everywhere and can be looked up quickly, but only becomes truly meaningful in the context of an entire portfolio. This is because beta does not describe the company itself, but the behavior of a share in interaction with the market.

Mathematically, beta measures the relationship between share returns and market returns. The basis is the covariance of these returns - and this is always based on historical data. However, the interpretation is inevitably forward-looking because past patterns are used to derive how a stock will typically behave in relation to the market in the future.

Formally, the key figure is

Beta = covariance(stock return, market return) / variance(market return)

In practical terms, this means that when the market moves, how much does the share typically move with it? Values around 1 mean market-like movements, higher values show stronger fluctuations, lower values a calmer behavior.

The reason why beta is often misinterpreted is that it is not stable. It depends heavily on the time period, the market phase and the chosen index. A company can continue to perform solidly, but suddenly have a different beta due to changes in interest rates or the risk environment. Beta therefore measures behavior - not quality.

To make it clearer how beta works in a portfolio, it is worth taking a look at my portfolio. It combines robust quality stocks such as Visa, Alphabet and Honeywell, growth-oriented technology stocks such as ASML, Nu Holdings and Innodata, defensive infrastructure and water stocks such as Consolidated Water, Energiekontor and Energy Recovery, the global ETF on the MSCI ACWI and a uranium block as a cyclical idea with Cameco, NexGen, Denison Mines, Paladin Energy and Yellow Cake. Bitcoin complements the whole as an independent, significantly more volatile component.

This mix shows well why beta is useful for me on a day-to-day basis. Different stocks can be fundamentally strong and yet contribute very differently to the fluctuation profile of the portfolio. Some positions smooth out, others strengthen - regardless of whether the companies are well managed or highly profitable. It's about market behavior, not balance sheet quality.

For the beta analysis, I use conservative, market-standard 3-5 year values of major providers. Most betas are calculated on the basis of daily or monthly returns over precisely such periods - long enough to be statistically stable and short enough to realistically reflect current market phases. Where there is no official data, suitable sector values are used.

The betas used are as follows:

Large Caps

- $ASML (+2,56 %) : 1,25

- $GOOGL (+0,01 %) : 1,05

- $V (+0,14 %) : 0,95

- $HON (+1,85 %) : 1,00

Midcaps / Infrastructure

- $CWCO (+1,64 %) : 0,80

- $EKT (+0,97 %) : 0,75

- $ERII (+2,84 %) : 1,20

- $SOP (+0,72 %) : 1,10

Small Cap / High Beta

- $INOD (-3,01 %) : 1,80

Uranium segment (cyclical)

- $CCO (-0,13 %) : 1,40

- $NXE (+1,46 %) : 1,60

- $DML (+0,36 %) : 1,70

- $PDN (+3,75 %) : 1,50

- $YCA (-0,53 %) 1,30

ETF

- $ISAC (+0,36 %) : 1,00

Crypto

- $BTC (-0,56 %) : 2,50

The only thing that counts for the portfolio beta is how large each position is in relation to the portfolio.

This is how the portfolio beta is determined:

You look at how large each position is in the portfolio, multiply this proportion by the beta of the respective share and add up all the contributions. Each position therefore contributes to the overall beta in exactly the same proportion as its weighting.

If you put the weightings of my portfolio in this context, the result is as follows: the portfolio has a beta of around 1.33. This value fits the structure: a stable base, several growth-oriented building blocks and a deliberately used uranium block as well as Bitcoin as a stronger lever.

A beta at this level means a fundamentally more offensive portfolio.

• In upward phases, it develops more momentum than the market.
• It reacts faster and more strongly in corrections.
• The strongest drivers are Bitcoin, Innodata, NexGen, Denison Mines and Paladin Energy.
• Counterweights are Visa, Consolidated Water, Energiekontor and the MSCI ACWI ETF.

This shows that beta is no substitute for fundamental analysis, but it makes it clear how a portfolio is moving and why. It helps to calibrate expectations, classify fluctuations and manage the structure more consciously. A beta of 1.33 is not a judgment of quality - it is a description of movement. The only important thing is whether this dynamic fits your own investment strategy.

Finally, two questions for you:

Do you know the beta of your portfolio?

And does it play a role for you in your portfolio strategy - or not?

After some research, I am considering joining Energiekontor.

Of course, they were recently penalized quite a bit due to a reduction in their annual targets, but strong growth has been indicated for 2026. In addition, the company seems to be quite well positioned compared to the industry, especially in terms of ROE.

What do you think of the company, is anyone invested here? $EKT (+0,97 %)

Good evening to you all 🌝

$EKT (+0,97 %)

https://www.boerse.de/nachrichten/EQS-Adhoc-Energiekontor-AG-Energiekontor-passt-Ergebnisprognose-fuer-Geschaeftsjahr-2025-an/37951369

Reading time: 9-10 minutes

The 10B model I presented a few days ago looks for small, high-growth companies with the potential to grow tenfold in the long term. The Hidden Quality Radar (HQR) takes a different, complementary approach. While the 10B model targets early, dynamic scaling phases, the HQR focuses on companies with proven operational strength, a high return on capital and a stable balance sheet that have so far been underestimated or overlooked by the market. The aim is to identify quality before it is reflected in the share price - in other words, those companies that are not loud but consistently create value. The HQR thus stands for a down-to-earth approach to investing: less momentum, more substance.

The evaluation model again comprises five dimensions with a total of 100 points:

1. profitability & return on capital (0-20 points) - operating margin, ROIC, free cash flow ratio

2. balance sheet quality & debt (0-15 points) - equity ratio, net cash, working capital efficiency

3. growth & resilience (0-15 points) - organic sales growth, rule of 40, cyclical tolerance

4. management & capital allocation (0-10 points) - investment discipline, buybacks, dividend policy

5. market observance & valuation (0-40 points) - analyst coverage, trading volume, institutional ownership, valuation multiples in peer comparison

The higher the operational quality and the lower the market attention, the stronger the signal. The model thus combines substance analysis with a perception gap - and shows where quality is present but not yet priced by the market. Similar to the 10B model, I use ChatGPT for screening and initial analysis. Potential candidates are identified on the basis of fundamental key figures, margin development and balance sheet strength, which are then analyzed manually in greater depth - with a focus on the business model, capital allocation and structural competitive advantages. The process is therefore data-driven, but deliberately not automated: Each share undergoes a qualitative assessment before it is included in the model.

Below are three current examples that illustrate the approach of the HQR model.

$EKT (+0,97 %)
Energiekontor - 87 points (in the portfolio)

Profitability & return on capital (19/20): Energiekontor generates a double-digit operating margin and achieves returns on capital employed in excess of 15%. The integrated business model - from project development to the company's own portfolio - ensures stable cash flows regardless of short-term electricity price movements. Capital turnover is efficient and the return on capital is consistently high.

Balance sheet quality & debt (14/15): The balance sheet is conservatively structured, with a high equity ratio and manageable leverage. Debt remains sustainable even if interest rates rise, and new projects are generally financed without dilution for shareholders.

Growth & resilience (15/15): The company has a solid project pipeline in Germany, the UK and Portugal. The Rule of 40 is regularly above 40%, which underlines the combination of growth and profitability. The business model is largely independent of short-term market cycles and shows that stability and expansion need not be a contradiction in terms.

Management & capital allocation (9/10): The management pursues a long-term, value-oriented strategy with a consistent focus on own holdings and steadily increasing dividends. Capital is only deployed where sustainable returns are possible - a rarity in the renewable energy sector.

Market observation & valuation (30/40): Despite convincing fundamentals, the share is barely represented in international portfolios. Analyst coverage remains low, trading volume moderate. Valuation ratios remain below those of comparable European developers. Energiekontor is therefore a prime example of a high-quality but underestimated stock.

$RMD (-0,31 %)
ResMed - 82 points (on the watchlist)

Profitability & return on capital (18/20): ResMed has been generating operating margins above 25% with high free cash flow conversion for years. The business model is capital-light and scaling is high - a combination that enables above-average returns on capital in the long term.

Balance sheet quality & debt (13/15): The company has a solid balance sheet structure, with sufficient liquidity and a moderate level of debt. This allows the company to invest heavily in research and digitalization without having to rely on external funding.

Growth & resilience (14/15): Demand in the area of sleep apnoea is growing structurally, while ResMed is systematically expanding its cloud and monitoring platform. Sales growth remains stable in the high single-digit range and the Rule of 40 is around 45 %. Temporary market fears surrounding GLP-1 drugs have not changed the quality of the business.

Management & capital allocation (9/10): The management acts long-term, focused and with clear priorities. Capital is deployed efficiently, acquisitions are targeted and made from a position of strength.

Market observation & valuation (28/40): Despite global market leadership, ResMed is underrepresented in many portfolios. Valuation multiples are significantly below the large US medtech stocks, although margin and cash flow quality are comparable. The market is currently ignoring the structural strength - a typical HQR case.

$KID (+2,04 %)
Kid ASA - 80 points (on the watchlist)

Profitability & Return on Capital (17/20): Kid ASA is the leading supplier of home textiles, interior design and household goods in Scandinavia. The company achieves stable operating margins of between 13% and 15% and has a free cash flow ratio of over 80%. The own-brand ratio is high, which ensures pricing power and stable gross margins.

Balance sheet quality & debt (13/15): The balance sheet is solid, the gearing ratio is moderate and the equity ratio is comfortable. Thanks to the high cash flow, investments and dividends are financed entirely from current funds.

Growth & Resilience (13/15): Kid is growing steadily, driven by store expansion, e-commerce and market share gains in the premium segment. The company remains profitable even in weaker consumer phases - proof of the pricing power and loyalty of its customers. The Rule of 40 is regularly above 40%.

Management & capital allocation (9/10): The management acts in a long-term and disciplined manner, combining growth with continuous dividend increases. Capital allocation is conservative and growth-oriented at the same time - a balance that strengthens the stability of the business model.

Market Observation & Valuation (28/40): Despite a strong market position, Kid is hardly noticed outside Scandinavia. Analyst coverage is limited, institutional ownership is low. The valuation level is below international retail stocks of comparable quality. Kid thus fulfills all HQR criteria: high operating strength, reliable cash flow, low visibility.

The 10B model looks for dynamism, the HQR for substance. While one focuses on early growth phases with higher risk, the other concentrates on consistent value creation and capital discipline. Both models complement each other: the 10B model provides the accelerators, the HQR the foundations. Especially in an environment where market sentiment and narratives change in ever shorter cycles, it is crucial to understand both - when risk is rewarded and when consistency brings returns.

Which strategy convinces you more in the long term - growth through scaling or returns through quality? And which companies would you currently put on the HQR radar yourself?

Bremen, September 30, 2025 - Energiekontor AG ("Energiekontor"; $EKT (+0,97 %) ), one of Germany's leading project developers and operators of wind and solar

and solar parks based in Bremen, has sold the Würselen wind farm, which went into operation in May 2025

Würselen to the German energy supplier SachsenEnergie.

The onshore wind farm sold is the repowered Würselen wind farm in the district of Aachen in North Rhine-Westphalia with a total generation capacity of 18.0 megawatts. The wind farm is eligible for an EEG feed-in tariff and was commissioned in May 2025. The buyer of the Würselen wind farm is SachsenEnergie NaturKraft GmbH, a subsidiary of the Dresden-based energy supplier SachsenEnergie AG. After the transaction, the wind farm will continue to benefit from Energiekontor's many years of operational management experience and optimization support.

Energiekontor planned and built the wind farm more than 20 years ago. Energiekontor replaced the three previous GE wind turbines with a generation capacity of 1.5 megawatts each with three new, more powerful wind turbines from Vestas, each with a rated output of 6.0 megawatts, at the site of the former Aachen coalfield. The hub height of the new V150 turbines is around 125 meters and the rotor diameter is approximately 150 meters. The average expected annual yield of the repowered wind farm is more than 41 million kilowatt hours per year - enough to supply more than 12,500 households in Germany with renewable electricity and save more than 31,000 tons of CO2 per year.

"Repowering wind farms is an important lever for achieving the expansion targets in Germany. Replacing old wind turbines with new, more powerful models increases electricity production, reduces the impact on people and nature and makes wind farms fit for the future again. With this transaction, we and SachsenEnergie are sending out a strong signal for sustainable renewable energies for the first time. Together we are striving for further cooperation," says Peter Szabo, CEO of Energiekontor AG. "Including this wind farm, we have already sold five projects with a total nominal output of around 115 megawatts in the current financial year. Others are at an advanced stage of the sales process."

For the energy supplier SachsenEnergie, the acquisition of the wind farm is an important building block in the expansion of green generation capacities. This is also emphasized by CEO Dr. Frank Brinkmann: "We are pleased to expand our wind portfolio geographically with the Würselen wind farm and to diversify with a new partner through further wind regions. At the same time, the wind farm supports our ambitions in the further expansion of renewable energy generation." Jens-Patric Hirtz, Head of the NaturKraft business division, adds: "We are still open to cooperations. These help us to stabilize our planned growth and diversify. But what is important to us is that we want to achieve growth through our own projects. That's why we are continuing to go full throttle in project development in Saxony and beyond."