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2751 skill in crypto is wallet tracking
The week ahead
Monday, May 11
17:00: Inflation expectations of the New York Fed
Tuesday, May 12
14:30: US consumer price index (CPI) 🌶
Wednesday, May 13
14:30: US Producer Price Index (PPI)
Thursday, May 14
14:30: US retail sales 🌶
14:30: US import and export prices
16:30: CLARITY Act vote 🌶
Friday, May 15
14:30: Empire State Manufacturing Index
15:15: US industrial production & capacity utilization
16:00: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (preliminary)
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They want to abolish the tax exemption for Bitcoin and cryptos after a holding period of one year
It may not itch you, as you are not invested anyway. But after that comes gold & silver. Then comes real estate (10 years). Finally come watches, art, vintage cars, spirits, wines and everything else.
In 1999, the speculation period for securities was extended from 6 to 12 months by the SPD and the Greens. In 2009, it was completely abolished by the CDU and SPD and replaced by today's flat-rate withholding tax + solidarity surcharge. More than 14 million small investors and savers are affected by this today. The greedy state is hindering your prosperity and private pension provision.
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Podcast episode 142 "Buy High. Sell Low." Alphabet, Tesla, Bitcoin tax hike
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/3FhLyIa4kkOtCXt1weC4ot?si=CxtZ40r8S5S5BfoH9HIi_g
YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ol3QdWM-JIY
Apple Podcast
https://podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/142-alphabet-tesla-bitcoin/id1695869891?i=1000765739984
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Finance Minister Klingbeil hints that the 1-year holding period for Bitcoin and cryptos should be dropped,
so that he can give away and burn even more money. Old-age provision is to be made more difficult. Poverty in old age is encouraged. 11 million people own BTC / cryptos in Germany. SPD = They are plundering Germany .
Austria collected exactly EUR 33.84 million in 2024 as a result of the abolition of the one-year holding period and the introduction of the flat-rate crypto tax (27.5% capital gains tax), which corresponds to just 0.57% of total capital gains tax revenue. This means that the actual tax revenue falls massively short of the government's initial expectations, which had originally hoped for new revenue of up to 300 million euros; the hoped-for big windfall for the state budget by putting cryptocurrencies on an equal footing with traditional shares has therefore definitely failed to materialize.
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#krypto
#crypto
Link to the video: https://youtu.be/EijNrsRfPbU
Crypto assets record inflows of 224 million US dollars - XRP tops the rankings
$XRP (+0.32%) recorded the largest inflows of all assets, attracting USD 119.6 million - the highest figure since mid-December 2025.
Digital asset investment products recorded inflows totaling USD 224 million last week.
While #xrp led the market, the downward $ETH (+0.67%) the downward trend continued with further outflows, and sentiment towards digital asset $BTC (-0.08%) remained mixed - with moderate inflows coupled with continued interest in short Bitcoin products.
Also $SOL (-0.41%) registered inflows, reflecting continued stable investor demand.
📊 Binance analysis: US midterms could trigger rally in Bitcoin and equities
According to a new analysis by Binance Research, the upcoming US midterm elections could be an important catalyst for a new upward movement in risk assets such as Bitcoin ($BTC (-0.08%) ) and equities. Historical data shows that political uncertainty around elections often leads to increased volatility - followed by a sharp rebound in markets.
_________________________
📈 1. historical pattern after midterm elections
Binance analysts point to recurring market cycles:
- The S&P 500 averaged +19% returns in the 12 months following midterm elections.
- There has not been a negative year for the index in this period since 1939.
- Bitcoin ($BTC) even gained around +54% on average after midterm cycles.
💡 Interpretation:
As soon as political uncertainty about the composition of the US Congress disappears, investors often return more strongly to risk assets.
_________________________
📉 2. why midterm years are often weak at first
Historically, midterm years themselves are often volatile or weak:
- S&P 500 average drawdown: around -16 %
- Bitcoin average decline: about -56% during midterm years
This phase is often characterized by several factors:
- political uncertainty
- restrictive monetary policy
- macroeconomic risks
The situation often only stabilizes after the elections.
_________________________
⚙️ 3. Why the election is relevant for the crypto market
US politics plays a central role for:
- Crypto regulation
- stablecoin laws
- institutional capital flows
A clearer political environment after the elections could enable more institutional investment in cryptocurrencies, analysts say
_________________________
🧠 4 Classification for investors
The analysis indicates a possible scenario:
In the short term
- high volatility
- Political uncertainty
Medium term (after the elections)
- Possible risk-on phase
- Rising demand for equities and cryptocurrencies
However, this does not mean that a rally is guaranteed - geopolitical risks, inflation or interest rate policy may continue to play a major role.
_________________________
🧠 Conclusion
The data suggests that US midterm elections are historically often a turning point for markets.
If the pattern repeats itself, Bitcoin ($BTC (-0.08%) ) and equities could see a stronger rally after the election period.
The post-election period could therefore be particularly interesting for investors.
_________________________
🔗 Source
Ground News: Binance US midterms could spark Bitcoin and stock rallies
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Crypto continues to stabilize
Digital asset investment products saw inflows of USD 619 million last week, indicating that the initial market reaction to the Iran crisis is supportive for this asset class. Early optimism is particularly evident, with an impressive USD 1.44 billion flowing into these products in the first three days of the week. However, investor sentiment weakened noticeably later in the week, which is reflected in outflows totaling USD 829 million on Thursday and Friday, even though the published labour market data was significantly weaker than expected. This decline in inflows indicates that investors are acting more cautiously in the short term and are taking possible economic uncertainties into account. Nevertheless, rising oil prices are offsetting potential declines in inflation that could result from the weak labor market figures, meaning that the general market optimism is not completely interrupted. Overall, capital flows show that despite geopolitical tensions and short-term volatility, an overwhelmingly positive attitude towards digital asset investment products prevails, with investors continuing to see opportunities in this emerging asset class and willing to accept the risk.
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How to invest in crypto:
What is my real Bitcoin entry price? 🤔
I'm having a discussion with friends and would like to hear what you think.
I currently hold around 0.208 BTC. Some of it was bought over the years, but some of it also came as a gift from family (birthday, Christmas, etc.).
The total amount of money I have invested in Bitcoin is around €5,536.
If I do the simple math:
€5,536 / 0.208 BTC = about €26,600 per BTC.
For me, that honestly feels like my "real" entry price, because that's the money I actually put in myself.
But now comes the point where the discussion started.
I exchanged some altcoins for Bitcoin in November 2024, when the price was already relatively high. As a result, some people say that my average price should actually be much higher, in some cases closer to 70k, because this exchange practically counts as a new purchase.
Others say the same thing:
The Bitcoins I received as a gift shouldn't actually be included in the average because I didn't pay anything for them.
In the end - depending on how you do the math - I end up with completely different "entry prices".
Once around 26k,
sometimes significantly higher due to the trades,
or theoretically even lower if you look at the gifts differently.
So I'll just ask around:
How would you calculate your entry?
- Just your own invested money?
- Include every trade at the price at the time?
- Or are donated coins simply a bonus without an entry price?
I just realized that the "average entry" is much less clear than I always thought.
😂😆😂😆
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#crypto


