Postos
5The luxury market is cyclical; LVMH's diversified portfolio and strong brand heritage make it a quality long-term investment despite current economic challenges.
LVMH's expected EPS growth of 10-12% annually, driven by organic and inorganic growth, offers attractive returns as the economic situation improves.
LVMH is a prime example of a high-quality business with heritage brands, family ownership, and a loyal customer base. $LVMUY (+1,96%)
Good day getquin community,
today I would like to introduce you to the company $RMS (-0,04%) Hermès. I will not only talk about the company Hermès, but also about the market environment and the competition. I will try to make the whole thing as structured as possible and as understandable as possible. Feel free to post your questions, suggestions and ideas for improvement in the comments. I can't guarantee for the correctness, so if there are any mistakes please note them as well. The analysis is about 1500 words long and according to an online tool it supposedly takes 15 to 20 minutes to read this text, so feel free to get a coffee before you start reading ☕.
The slightly longer and more detailed version is available here https://www.einzelaktien.com/blog/hermes-international-aktienanalyse
Table of contents
General
Hermès International was founded in Paris in 1837 and quickly specialized in high-quality leather goods. In the meantime, their product range mainly consists of Luxury fashion items. The product ranges are leather goods, silk and cashmere scarves, ties, perfume, shoes, gloves, hats, blankets, pillows, bracelets/bracelets and also interior design and stationery.
Taxes
Since Hermès is located in France, withholding tax is applicable. Unfortunately, this withholding tax is somewhat opaque. In 2021, the statutory withholding tax deduction on French dividend payments was probably 26.5% (as high as 28% in 2020). However, under certain conditions, people who do not reside in France have a reduced tax ratewhich reduces this to 12,8% can be reduced. For this, however, one must submit the form 5000-DE or form 5001-DE. According to my research at DKB, this advance exemption costs around 12€ for 3 years. It is best to do your own research on this, as I cannot guarantee the accuracy. I pack you here times two links to the topic in addition.
https://aktiengram.de/quellensteuer-frankreich-reduzieren/
Categorization according to Peter Lynch
In order to compare different companies in the best possible way, it is advantageous to categorize them. Although Hermès International already pays a dividend and therefore has more the typical characteristics of a steadily growing stock, I still include it in the category of high-growth stocks, even though such companies typically do not yet pay a dividend, but rather focus on growth. Why I see it as a high-growth company will become clear in the next step.
The most important key figures
P/E RATIO 2021: 66,35
P/E RATIO 2022: 46,09
Dividend yield 2021: 0,52%
Dividend yield 2022: 0,90%
CAGR December 31, 2011 to February 28, 2023: 18,43%
Employees: 19700
Source: https://www.finanzen.net/aktien/herm%C3%A8s-aktie
In the year the dividend per share was €4.55. In 2021, it will already be €8.
Sales:
Hermès sales have steadily increased from 2004 to 2021 with a slight decrease in 2020 but an even greater increase in 2021, making Hermès the fourth largest French fashion brand in 2021.
Operating profit:
Operating profit more than doubled from 2016 (1.696 billion) to 2021 (3.530 billion).
Rule of 40
The Rule of 40 is a key performance indicator, or benchmark, that is used for high-growth companies used (here again shows why the categorization is important) and is intended to give an indication of whether a company is doing well or not. IMPORTANT. It is only an indication and not a guarantee of success or growth.
Here I link times the contribution of @TheAccountant89
https://app.getquin.com/activity/laOUVhfFDI?lang=de&utm_source=sharing
The Rule of 40 = Sales Growth + Free Cash Flow Margin
29.17% + 25.78% = 54.95%, so as you can see, higher than 40, which is a good sign.
Or
Rule of 40 = Sales growth + EBITDA margin
29.17% + 43.22% = 72.39%, i.e. also above 40 and even significantly so.
Sharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio indicates the risk-return ratio. In general, a value above 0.5 is considered good. The Sharpe ratio of Hermès has a value of 0.75 from December 31, 2011 to February 28, 2023.
Correlation
Correlation describes a relationship between two or more characteristics, i.e. in this example whether the price of the Hermès share is equal or even opposite to the S&P 500 behaves. A value of 1 would mean that both prices are exactly the same. A value of -1 means that they are opposite and virtually mirrored. The correlation of Hermès against the S&P 500 is 0,54.
Max Drawdown (maximum loss)
The maximum drawdown, i.e. the maximum loss of the Hermès share, amounts to -40,28%. Here everyone must decide for themselves where the personal pain threshold lies and whether one panics at a loss of 40.28% or not.
A look at the past
While looking at the past is no guarantee of success in the future, I think it's still worth a look. If on December 31, 2011. 10000$ in Hermès stock on December 31, 2011, that investment would be worth a whopping 66148$ Value.
Openness and honesty of the company
For me, the openness of the company is a not entirely unimportant factor and also a criterion which Warren Buffett takes into account. Hermés has its own website especially for investors, where all data and key figures are disclosed. Even the compensation of the Executive Chairmains is published regularly. In addition, Hermès deals openly with issues such as the impact on the climate and also pursues strict goals in this area. For example, Hermès aims to switch to 100% renewable energies by 2030. Biodiversity and animal welfare are also addressed. For me, this openness and honesty is a very clear plus point. How openly Hermès deals with mistakes will probably become apparent at some point.
Animal welfare
Since many of the products are made of leather, I think it is important to include this aspect as well. Hermés also deals openly with this issue. As of 2021 95% of the leather used is a by-product of the food industry. 92% of the hides used are sourced in Europe under strict regulations.
Employee well-being
In 2021, 4761 employees were newly hired worldwide, including 587 in France. 44% of employees have been with the company for less than 5 years with the company, which also shows how significant the growth is. 95% of employees work full time and the Staff turnover (total number of redundancies/average group workforce) in 2021 is 1,38%.
In February 2022, the Group paid all Group employees a bonus of 3000€ + various salary increases. 100% of wages were maintained during the lockdown. 13000 employees were eligible for the fifth Free Share Plan in 2019 and each received 24 shares.
Hermès ranked first in the Financial Times Diversity Leader Ranking in the Humpact Grand Prix Emploi France.
Hermès even states on their website how many employees have been injured at work and is very open about the issue.
Locations as of 2021
Market environment
In the following, we will now take a look at the market field and go into various key figures and statistics.
In the first step we look at the percentage growth of the market value of various apparel brands from the year 2021 to the year 2022.
A loss in market value was achieved, for example, by the brands Victoria's Secret (-3%) and Zara (-2%) posted losses.
A significant increase in market value in the market value of the following brands:
If we now look at the search behavior for Hermés, we can see here a more or less steady increase over the last 5 years. (See pictures). We also see that the greatest interest comes from Asia.
Moat
Last but not least, let's take a look at whether Hermés has a so-called moat, which gives it a decisive advantage over the competition.
Hermès' strategy is relatively simple and consists of three pillars
Hermès puts a lot of emphasis on making high-quality, long-lasting products and has been passing on their knowledge for six generations. In doing so, they focus on creative freedom and on their 6000 craftsmen. Each new leather goods workshop is a stand-alone architectural project with around 300 jobs. Vertical integration through partnerships and acquisitions supports the development strategy in terms of materials as well as techniques and know-how . More than 58% of production is integrated and 78% are located in France.
Hermés relies on an exclusive omnichannel distribution networkwhich it says has proved its worth during the pandemic. Each of the individual stores has a personalized selection of products to exceed the specific expectations of customers. In total Hermés is present in 45 countries countries.
Hermés focuses on an exciting concept of entrepreneurial spirit and independence. Every year two podiums are organized where the different collections are presented. The store managers then choose independently from these collections which of the products should be available in their store. From my point of view, this is a very smart move, as the local store manager can best assess his location-specific customers and thus is most likely to know which products are well received and which are not.
Conclusion
I find the concept of Hermés very well thought out. I particularly like the openness and honesty of the group. The figures and the growth also speak for the share. From my point of view, they think in a solution-oriented way and try to move with the times. Whether you want to invest in a company that uses leather is something everyone has to decide for themselves, and whether that could still become a problem for Hermés due to the whole environmental and animal welfare movements is probably written in the stars.
Sources:
https://finance.hermes.com/en/strategy
https://finance.hermes.com/en/climate
https://trends.google.de/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&q=%2Fm%2F0_rbk5p
https://www.finanzen.net/aktien/herm%C3%A8s-aktie
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/HMI:ETR?hl=de
Feel free to check out my blog if you feel like it.
$RMS (-0,04%)
$LVMUY (+1,96%)
$VSCO (+0,11%) #luxus
Hello dear community 👋 here my post to #börsengehandelteralltag - as CRM Manager at #getquin
Thanks to @California_Dreamin for the nomination, best regards from Berlin to London 🤗
For me it starts in the morning in the bathroom with skincare products, from $EL , $LRLCY and products from the drugstore.
*Skip now to the next section for more behind the scenes or learn here following my thoughts at 23:32 🫶 .*
Little info on the side and I promise I'll get to the point, #dm (founded in 1973 and short for drugstore) has 2020/21 in Europe a turnover of about 12.265 billion euros and is the largest drugstore group in Europe. More than 1.9 million customers shop daily in over 2,000 stores in Germany. dm revolutionized the business model (a short time before, drugstore products were still subject to fixed prices) and in 2000 there was another revolution when the #payback -card was introduced. Unfortunately, I've only been using it since last year, and I get around 10 euros a month, sometimes more, sometimes less, at dm alone. #cashback together. Rossmann has similar business figures to dm.
Now I come to the relevance for the hashtag #börsengehandelteralltag
- what actually speaks at the drugstore groups in Germany against a #börsengang ? 🤔 dm could certainly expand further internationally, online or into new product categories. Sephora, as a publicly traded cosmetics chain, is a brand of $LVMUY (+1,96%) - but in the high-end segment. In the U.S., the largest drugstore chains/ beauty retailers are. $ULTA (+0,05%) , $M (Macy's), $TGT (+0,56%) , $CVS (+1,39%) , $WBA (-0,27%)
(Walgreens Boots) , $WALM34 and again Sephora ($LVMUY (+1,96%) ). A major online competitor for the industry is, who would have expected otherwise, $AMZN (+0,13%) .
Back to my everyday life 😅 Depending on my mood (and it's always quite relaxed in the morning, I need a quiet start to the day 😄) I either have breakfast 10-20 minutes before $NFLX (-0,31%) or do a youtube workout/ yoga with $GOOGL (+0,55%) before it then with Swapfiets 🚲the BVG 🚃 or carsharing - $VWAGY , $BMW (-1,55%)
to our new office at Hackescher Markt. Pictures of the office view and our lunch at Amrit in Berlin-Mitte last week (for me and a few other colleagues #vegan ) attached 😊
I work on the Macbook $AAPL (+0,2%) , purely digital with $GOOGL (+0,55%) and some cool tools and programs I can't link. Except Figma, soon belongs to $ADBE (+0,53%) . That was the topic in the newsletter in September - this week (KW42) I write our 33rd Community-. #newsletter which is a lot of fun for me. Saturday morning at 09:30 you can again count on having it in your inbox 🤓 Hot candidates for the profile and the post of the week so far are @BASS-T , @EnjoyCapitalism , @InvestmentPapa , @AlexanderKiel_ (edit: and of course @DonkeyInvestor and @LUD ). I would like to see another short story soon from @Lorena please 🥰
What else am I doing? Besides emails, I'm sending push notifications, dealing with onboarding new app members 👋🏼, looking at the conversion funnel (what features you guys like to use the most) and thinking about what events we need to introduce interesting and profitable for you new emails and push notifications. I would like to take this opportunity to refer you to our feedback board at https://feedback.getquin.com/ - here you can upvote feature requests or add new ones, of course this also applies to the CRM area. 😊 By the way: Download the latest app version here, if you don't have it yet. ❤️
https://app.getquin.com/activity/nPGxaRPoxc
I nominate @triathlonfan and @_Gonzo - thank you for getting me out of the toilet after 15 minutes of not being able to open the door. ✌️
@RoronoaZoro , @FrauManu and @Jenmadness I also nominate 🤗
This will now be my incoherent PS: oil your door locks 🗝️
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗡𝗲𝘄𝘀 🗞️
𝗦𝗔𝗣'𝘀 𝗖𝗹𝗼𝘂𝗱 / 𝗕𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗲-𝗔𝘂𝗳𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗴 / 𝗘𝗹 𝗦𝗮𝗹𝘃𝗮𝗱𝗼𝗿 𝗯𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗶𝗽 / 𝗞𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗶𝗺 𝗻𝗲𝘂𝗲𝗻 𝗞𝗼𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗴
𝗘𝘅-𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 📅
As of today, among others, Allstate ($ALL (+0,07%)), Barrick Gold ($ABX (+0,82%)), Brookfield Asset Management ($BAM), CSX Corporation ($CSX (-0,09%)), Dow, Inc. ($DOW (+0,42%)), DuPont de Nemours ($DD (-0,15%)), Estée Lauder Companies ($EL (+0%)) and Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton ($MOHF (+1,96%)) traded ex-dividend.
𝗤𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗹𝘀𝘇𝗮𝗵𝗹𝗲𝗻 📈
Today, among others, Li Auto ($LI (-2,67%)) presents its figures.
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 🏛️
SAP ($SAP (-0,44%)) - SAP CEO Klein says SAP is becoming one of the largest cloud companies in the world. The focus on the cloud is expected to attract new investors to the software giant. After announcing a new strategy about a year ago, SAP's share price had crashed 20 percent in one day. Klein said that decision had been the right one and that the future lies in the cloud. SAP shares were up 2.76 percent at times on Monday to 117.33 euros.
Stellantis ($STLA (-0,12%)) - German lithium producer Vulcan Energie wins a major contract from Opel parent car company Stellantis. Vulcan is to supply between 81,000 and 99,000 tons of battery-grade lithium hydroxide to the auto group for at least five years starting in 2026. The lithium is to be extracted from thermal water from the Upper Rhine Graben. By simultaneously using the heat of the water extracted from the depths, the lithium is to be CO2-neutral. In view of the growing electric car boom, Vulcan Energie is considering going public.
𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 💎
El Salvador - Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele celebrated Black Friday by buying the dip again for 20% off. Five million US dollars were invested again and the total Bitcoin ($BTC (-1,01%)) rose to 1,220 BTC for El Salvador with a value of about 66.3 million US dollars.
The Federal Government - The coalition agreement of the new federal government mentions crypto for the first time. The new coalition wants to make the "European Financial Market Supervisory Law" fit for crypto assets and companies. A level playing field between traditional finance and "innovative business models" is to be advocated.
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