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10Commodity rotation approach - a technical attempt to make commodity trends tangible
Reading time: approx. 10 minutes
Many shares have performed very well recently. But where there has been nothing but upward movement for a long time, there will also be setbacks at some point. The market is currently reacting sensitively - even minor news leads to significant movements. One example is the recent concerns about the credit quality of smaller US regional banks, which triggered noticeable price losses yesterday and today.
This also raises the question of whether commodities could play a greater role again in the future - not as a substitute, but as part of a broader diversification. Especially in phases when stock markets react nervously, commodities can provide a tactical counterweight. This consideration gave rise to the idea of trading them systematically - not through emotion, but through rules.
The inspiration came from a natural gas trade that @Epi had presented. It was less exciting because of the result than because of the underlying dynamics. How can something like this be mapped using rules? When does momentum arise, when is a trend sustainable - and when does it end?
This is how the commodity rotation approach came about - an attempt to understand the movements of the commodity markets with technical discipline. The approach consistently relies on momentum: it does not aim to guess the bottom, but to accompany the strength. I have not yet tried it out in practice. But the structure is in place and it shows how a tactical, signal-based commodity approach can be constructed.
Commodities rarely move evenly. They move in waves, driven by demand, inventories, politics and currency. These movements are hardly predictable - but they are measurable. The approach therefore views the market as a rotating playing field: energy, metals, agriculture - capital constantly moves between these segments. The aim is not to predict where the next impulse will come from, but to invest where the trend is already visible. Only the strongest commodity counts - the rest is left out.
The universe comprises nine liquid underlying ETFs that can be traded via WisdomTree. Each represents its own cycle, together they form the entire spectrum of the global commodities market:
- $PHGP (-0,47%) (Gold) - anchor of stability during periods of high uncertainty, typical counterbalance to risk assets.
- $PHAG (-3,17%) (Silver) - more volatile than gold, with an industrial component, strong in bull phases.
- $CRUD (+2,15%) (WTI oil) - central energy source, sensitive to OPEC policy and the economy.
- $NGAS (-2,35%) (Natural gas) - highly volatile, weather and storage-driven, with high momentum in bottleneck phases.
- $COPA (+0,86%) (copper) - leading indicator of the global economy, benefits from electrification and infrastructure.
- $PHPT (-4,09%) (Platinum) - Precious metal with industrial significance, for example in the automotive and hydrogen industries.
- $WEAT (+5,97%) (Wheat) - cyclical and weather-dependent, represents the agricultural sector.
- $CORN (+1,96%) (Corn) - basic raw material for food and energy production, often parallel to oil and agricultural trends.
- $COFF (-1,47%) (Coffee) - seasonal market with strong price fluctuations, influenced by climate and currencies.
Energy, industry, precious metals and agriculture are thus fully covered - without overlaps, but with sufficient breadth to make rotation visible.
The approach follows a fixed process that is reviewed weekly. A commodity is only included if its six-month performance is positive. It is only considered eligible for activation above one percent. This is followed by the trend check: the price must be above the GD50 and the short-term average (GD20) must exceed the GD50. Only then is the trend considered confirmed. The RSI serves as a control variable. Values between 50 and 70 signal stability, above 75 overheating, below 40 weakness. If the RSI rises too sharply or falls significantly, the approach reacts automatically: overheated movements are reduced, broken trends are sold.
The strength of the trend determines the leverage. If the six-month performance is over 10 %, a triple-leveraged ETF may be used. Between 5 % and 10 %, the 2× variant is used. Below this, the basic ETF is traded - the risk increases with the strength of the trend, not with your gut feeling.
The loss limitation is also clearly regulated. With the 1× variant, the exit takes place at a loss of more than 5 %, with 2× from 10 %, with 3× from 15 %. This means that the maximum risk per position remains constant. Profit protection takes place in two stages. If the RSI rises above 75 or the price falls below the GD50, half of the position is sold, while the rest continues to run as long as the long-term trend (GD50 > GD200) remains intact. If the price falls below GD200, the entire position is sold.
All signals are re-evaluated on a weekly basis. If another commodity outperforms in the ranking, an exit is also made - the position is rotated. The approach never holds more than one position at a time.
For a better overview, the rules can also be summarized in a condensed form:
- Momentum: Only active commodities with a positive six-month performance (> 1 %).
- Trend structure: Price > GD50 and GD20 > GD50 as a prerequisite for long signals.
- RSI filter: Entry only at 50 < RSI < 70; above 75 partial sell, below 40 sell.
- Leverage control: performance > 10 % → 3× ETF; 5-10 % → 2× ETF; < 5 % → basis.
- Stop loss: - 5 % (1×), - 10 % (2×), - 15 % (3×).
- Take profit 1: RSI > 75 or price < GD50 → 50 % Verkauf, Rest halten bei GD50 > GD200.
- Take profit 2: Price < GD200 → complete sell.
- Rotation: Weekly re-evaluation - in the event of a stronger commodity or violation of one of the rules → exit and switch.
This summary shows that the approach does not rely on intuition, but on clear, repeatable decision-making logic. It is not about the perfect forecast, but about reacting consistently - that is the core of every momentum strategy.
It is easy to see how this works in practice. Climbs $CRUD (+2,15%) rises to a six-month performance of +12 %, GD20 > GD50, RSI = 63, the entry is made via the 3× ETF. If the RSI later rises above 75, half is sold. If the price falls below GD200, the complete exit follows. Or: If another commodity in the weekly ranking, such as $COPA (+0,86%) (copper), provides stronger signals, a switch is also made. In this way, the approach remains flexible, but consistently rule-based.
The commodity rotation approach is not a rigid trading system, but an attempt to bring structure to the volatility of the commodity markets. It defines when an entry is justified, how much leverage is allowed, when profits should be secured and when to consistently exit - be it through a trend break or through relative weakness compared to the rest of the universe.
I have not yet put this approach into practice. But developments have already shown how helpful it can be to replace emotions with rules. Whether it proves itself in practice remains to be seen.
What do you think of the approach?
Are raw materials missing - or could some be removed?
What do you think of the rules - are they plausible?
Let's discuss this idea.
Black Swan: The day AI paralyzes the stock markets
AI-driven flash crash
An AI flash crash occurs when modern trading algorithms trigger massive waves of selling in a matter of seconds.
These systems are usually programmed to react to price changes or data signals, such as stop loss limits or short-term price drops.
If a share reaches a critical price, programmed algorithms automatically trigger sales.
These orders drive the price down further, causing other algorithms with similar mechanisms to also sell ("sell side momentum").
This so-called cascade effect can cause the price to plummet within minutes.
(Example: Cascade effect of critical infrastructure during heavy rainfall)
The trading speed of AI models today is so high that the smallest triggers (e.g. false signals) can result in a storm of trades in a flash.
Experts warn that many AI models are based on similar data, which can lead to "swarm thinking":
If several systems misinterpret the same signals at the same time, a small price slide can very quickly turn into a huge sell-off.
(Example: The flash crash of 6 May 2010 began with a large sell-off program being triggered for S&P 500 futures).
(https://www.advisorperspectives.com)
Although the markets recovered by the close of trading, this example shows how domino effects can be caused by automated orders.
AI can also have its own say:
Modern systems read news and social media in real time and react independently.
Bots can also incorporate completely new information (tweets or news) and generate buy or sell signals from this.
Incorrectly generated or misinterpreted messages can therefore immediately lead to sales.
1.
Possible triggers
Data error or manipulation:
Incorrect market data (prices, volumes) or cyber attacks on data can trigger false signals.
Algorithms that react blindly to data could falsely trigger sales or purchases.
The term:
"Simulation Deception"
(https://www.tencentcloud.com/techpedia/118834)
describes artificial patterns in the market that are created by manipulated data.
For example, an attacker could use fake buy/sell orders (spoofing) to artificially simulate liquidity, whereupon AI systems panic and trade in the opposite direction.
Fake news and deepfakes:
Artificial intelligence now allows deceptively real false reports (deepfake video, fake tweets, etc.).
(Example: on July 16, 2025, Congress member Anna Paulina Luna from Florida wrote on X (Twitter) that she had heard from President Trump that Fed chief Powell would be fired immediately).
(https://www.advisorperspectives.com)
(https://www.advisorperspectives.com)
AI searched all social media posts specifically for tradable news. It found what it was looking for and a violent reaction in the bond and stock markets followed, as shown above.
In previous cases, the impact might have been weaker, as the president could have reacted more quickly and dismissed the statements before many market participants were even aware of the rumor.
Even little-known posts can lead to strong market movements within minutes thanks to AI attention.
World Economic Forum analyses explicitly warn:
Machine-generated fake news can act like a flash crash trigger.
More and more bots are able to spread such false information in order to deceive trading algorithms.
AI misinterpretation:
Even if the data is correct, AI models can misinterpret it.
Trading algorithms that process complex data (news, technical indicators) run the risk of interpreting irrelevant noise as a signal.
Lawfare cites as an example that AI-supported systems already "misread" the market in 2010 and 2016. "misread" the market and launched unfounded waves of selling.
"A few algorithms in use simply misread
the market. The unwarranted sell-off initiated by those mistaken models then caused other programs to respond in kind. The $1 trillion lost in that half hour period was eventually made up thanks to human intervention. "
In the future, such misinterpretations will be even more critical as AI models analyze huge amounts of data from social media and news.
Panic signals/cascades:
In a battered market, automated risk offs (stop sales after a fixed loss limit) can trigger a race.
If, for example, a key figure ($VIXindex level) reaches a critical value, many systems switch to safety at the same time - which can cause a variety of similar assets to fall as an artificial panic impulse.
2.
Affected asset classes
An AI Flash Crash affects various asset classes:
Equities:
This is often the first impetus of a crash.
Globally listed stocks (indices such as S&P 500, DAX, Nikkei) see massive price losses in a matter of seconds.
A shutdown of a large position, for example, can cause other algorithms to panic sell.
Historically, the stock market has experienced such sell-off waves several times.
2010 Dow $DJIA
2014 US bonds
An AI-supported flash crash would accelerate this mechanism even further. A sharp slump is usually followed by a partial recovery within a few days or weeks.
Bonds:
Bond markets can also "flash".
In the famous Treasury Flash Crash of 2014, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury Yield plummeted by 1.6% in twelve minutes, followed by a recovery - triggered by algorithmic sell orders at record levels.
(https://www.researchgate.net)
(Theoretically, AI can act against this:
In a stock panic, investors often flee into bonds (price rises, yield falls).
But AI-controlled bond funds could simultaneously and automatically reach certain thresholds and trigger the sale of bonds or bond futures.
This could lead to sharp interest rate swings in the short term, even if the fundamentals do not justify this).
Commodities:
When uncertainty is high, commodity prices often tip.
Typically, oil ($IOIL00 (+5,43%) ), gas ($NGS ) and industrial metal prices ($COPA (+0,86%) , $ALUM (-1,4%) , $ZINC (+0,71%) ) in a crash phase due to expected weaker demand.
AI programs on the commodities market (e.g. in oil or gold futures trading) could intensify this crash or even trigger a "mini flash crash" in individual commodities.
(Example: the slump in silver futures in July 2017:
Price plunge of over 11% during Asia close when thin trading was blamed on algorithm shifts).
AI in commodity markets can therefore both trigger selling spikes and initiate a rapid countermovement through post-buy programs.
Cryptocurrencies:
These are considered particularly volatile.
AI trading bots are everywhere, so cryptocurrencies are in free fall when many bots recognize "fear" signals at the same time.
(Example: In May 2021 $BTC (-0,01%)
plummeted by around 30% within hours, partly because many algorithms sold en masse after signals about China's Bitcoin ban).
$ETH (+0,21%) experienced a flash crash on one platform in 2017 because a huge sell order triggered many automated trades.
Crypto markets run 24/7, are unregulated and therefore more susceptible to algorithmic chain reactions.
3.
Risk matrix by region
The probability of occurrence and the extent of damage caused by a crash differ from region to region:
USA:
- Very high trading volume and dominant use of AI algorithms in New York and Chicago.
- Large index futures can act as initiators.
- Probability of a crash is considered moderate to high as there is a lot of automated trading here.
- Damage would be extremely highas the US markets are of global systemic importance.
- Trading halts mitigate the impact on the trading day, but the crash effect on global investor sentiment would be enormous.
Europe:
- Heavy reliance on passive funds and ETFs (e.g. from $BLK (+0,94%) iShares).
- Algorithms are widespread, but somewhat less so than in the USA.
- Probability rather mediumdamage high.
- ETF crashes show that sudden panic can also lead to chain reactions in equities.
- European banking crisis could arise if credit markets are burdened by US shocks.
Asia:
- Regulation and trading times differ.
- Flash crashes can have a rapid impact on Asia (Nikkei, SSE), especially if they start at night when trading is thin.
Medium probability and medium damage - because Asian markets close faster and usually react later.- Crashes in Asia could affect yen or euro performance, for example.
Crypto:
- Market open around the clock, little regulation, high leverage.
- The probability of a major crash in crypto is very highas price falls are more frequent and driven by AI bots.
- Damage is often limited to crypto investors, but can also affect traditional markets via linked financial assets (Bitcoin ETFs, leveraged crypto products).
The matrix overview could therefore show
- Short term (minutes to days):
A sudden flash crash would last seconds to minutes.
Prices plummet, many stop loss orders are triggered.
Stock exchanges switch on automatic trading pauses to stop algorithm spirals.
Investors lose billions in a very short space of time, many markets are temporarily illiquid.
Confidence collapses, many investors panic and are uninformed.
- Medium-term (weeks to months):
Markets should stabilize again in the following days to weeks as counter-cyclical AI and manual orders intervene.
In the medium term, economic data could be affected if a crash impacts financing conditions.
Media and public will question confidence in digital markets for months.
Investors report consequences such as increased demand for safe assets (gold, government bonds).
- Long term (years):
Regulation and market mechanisms would adapt.
We could expect a regulatory boost:
- Stricter rules for AI in trading
- Transparency obligations for algorithm models
- Supervision of financial AI by regulators (SEC, BaFin, ESMA etc.).
Already in the past, the 2010 flash crash led to new trading interruptions and considerations regarding trading system requirements.
An AI crash would likely have a disciplining effect:
Providers need to develop more robust AI models, and contingency plans (kill switches) could become mandatory.
In the long term, confidence could be slow to recover:
Institutional investors would only have limited confidence in AI systems, and many private investors might temporarily hold back or prefer alternative strategies.
4.
Specific players and technologies
BlackRock Aladdin:
BlackRock's Aladdin AI system currently manages more than 30,000 portfolios and permanently rebalances enormous amounts of capital.
If Aladdin is routinely programmed to sell too much for ETFs or funds, this can trigger billions of orders.
Nvidia & AI chips:
$NVDA (-0,69%) Supplies the hardware for many AI models and is itself a market star.
High expectations for AI have fueled Nvidia's share price for years.
Algorithms are strongly fixated on such shares.
If, for example, Nvidia's share price falls abruptly, many strategies trigger sell programs.
Such a domino effect
$NVDA (-0,69%) -> $SEMI (+0,54%) -> $CSNDX (-0,02%)
could fuel a crash.
In practice, it has been shown that Nvidia reacts very volatile to macroeconomic and geopolitical news, so the next AI turbulence could drag down the entire tech sector.
AI bots on Binance (Crypto):
On crypto exchanges like Binance, many users trade with automated bots.
A large part of the crypto trading volume comes from AI-supported systems.
These bots can generate simultaneous sell or buy waves.
AI-driven ETF rebalancing:
Large index ETFs and passive funds (BlackRock iShares, Vanguard etc.) use automated systems to implement index changes.
If indices rise or fall quickly, many ETFs start rebalancing at the same time.
If the AI signal is negative, all AI-based funds could sell at the same time.
This creates massive sell orders in a short space of time.
Because the volumes involved are in the billions, rebalancing alone can drive a crash further.
Other players:
News agencies, index operators (eg. $MSCI (+3,04%) ), hedge funds with AI strategies and social trading platforms also contribute.
Any sudden outage (e.g. power failure at NYSE) or hacker attack on stock exchange systems could further irritate the AI systems on the stock market.
"When algorithms collide and markets tremble in fractions of a second, the new power of AI is revealed: speed without mercy, precision without emotion. One spark is enough - and the domino effect races through indices, derivatives and crypto-spheres. The AI-driven flash crash is no longer a distant shadow, but the echo of a future in which machines set the pace of the financial world."
Feel free to write your feedback on this post in the comments and tell me if you're interested in something like this.
My plan this morning was actually just to write a short post about this topic, but it turned out to be a bit longer. It's so easy to sit and write all day.
@Kundenservice Please increase the maximum number of pictures for a post, unfortunately I didn't get all the pictures in that I had picked out.
Sources:
- https://www.ig.com/en/trading-strategies/flash-crashes-explained-190503#:~:text=speeds%20based%20on%20pre,as%20the%20prices%20go%20down
- https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2025/07/28/ai-transforming-markets#:~:text=I%20started%20this%20article%20by,a%20flash%20crash%20or%20surge
- https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/selling-spirals--avoiding-an-ai-flash-crash#:~:text=an%20otherwise%20normal%20trading%20day,up%20thanks%20to%20human%20intervention
- https://www.ig.com/en/trading-strategies/flash-crashes-explained-190503#:~:text=2010%20flash%20crash%3A%20Dow%20Jones
- https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2025/07/28/ai-transforming-markets#:~:text=For%20example%2C%20on%20July%2016%2C,last%20week%20was%20lightning%20fast
- https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22230680857314
- https://www.tencentcloud.com/techpedia/118834
- https://www.weforum.org/stories/2023/04/technology-vulnerabilities-financial-system/#:~:text=However%2C%20IoT%20botnets%2C%20which%20tamper,grid%20and%20influence%20market%20prices
- https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/selling-spirals--avoiding-an-ai-flash-crash#:~:text=But%20this%20was%20not%20a,speed%20selling%20spirals.”
- https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/career-map/sell-side/capital-markets/flash-crashes/#:~:text=Using%20algorithms%20to%20trade%20has,plunge%20in%20the%20market%20occurs
- https://www.ig.com/en/trading-strategies/flash-crashes-explained-190503#:~:text=The%20flash%20crash%20of%20the,impact%20these%20events%20can%20have
- https://www.tastyfx.com/news/flash-crashes-explained-190503/#:~:text=The%20DJIA%20suffered%20yet%20another,NYSE
- https://www.occ.gov/news-issuances/speeches/2024/pub-speech-2024-61.pdf#:~:text=flash%20crashes%2C%20which%20have%20been,4
- https://www.zerodaylaw.com/blog/ai-compliance-safeguarding-financial-markets#:~:text=The%20reliance%20on%20AI%20for,reaching%20consequences
- https://www.nasdaq.com
- https://medium.com
- https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com
- https://www.tastyfx.com
- https://www.binance.com/en
- https://www.lawfaremedia.org
- https://www.weforum.org
- https://www.ig.com/de
- https://www.tencentcloud.com
- https://www.occ.gov
- https://www.ssrn.com/index.cfm/en
- https://www.advisorperspectives.com
- https://www.zerodaylaw.com
- https://www.curiousmonky.com
+ 6
Incidentally, the most famous algo crash was on October 19, 1987, when the Dow Jones fell by 22% within hours. That caused a few suicides! 🥶
copper
$COPA (+0,86%) what is happening here, tariff shock ? maybe a good time to $3HCL (-1,7%) entry ?
I have continued to buy more.
Precious metal supercycle? The empire of metals strikes back
YTD return:
🥇 Gold: ≈ +39.1 %
🥈 Silver: ≈ +24.7 %
🥉 Copper: ≈ +20.6 %
⚗️ Palladium: ≈ +34.5 %
💎 Platinum: ≈ +45.4 %
🥇Gold:
📈Chart technicals: The uptrend is running in a clean rising weekly channel.
The all-time high at 3 500 $/oz (22 Apr.) is intact; setbacks to the 50-day EMA (~3 300 $) were absorbed each time.
Primary support zone: 3 200 - 3 100 $ - the previous breakout level. RSI > 60 confirms bullish momentum.
ℹ️Fundamental Driver No. 1: Central bank buying.
In 2025, the official sector is again targeting ≈ 1,000 t - the 4th year in a row of massive purchases, driven by de-dollarization and geopolitical hedging.
🥈Silver:
📈Chart technicals:
Despite +25% YTD, the price is still ~30% below the historic peak of $49. The multi-decade cup-and-handle formation is approaching the neckline at 36 - 37 $; a significant weekly close above it could activate a target above 75 $. Short-term supports: $34.8 (May breakout level) and $32.
ℹ️Fundamental Driver No. 1: Supply deficit.
The World Silver Survey reports a shortfall of 149 Moz in 2024; a further 118 Moz is expected in 2025 - largely due to solar and e-mobility demand, while 70% of production is by-product.
🥉Copper:
📈Chart technicals:
On July 8, the "blue-sky breakout" to 12 526 $/t (5.68 $/lb) took place. Volume spike and weekly RSI > 70 confirm strength. The former top band 10 500 - 10 800 $/t now serves as key support; a retest to ~11 000 $ would be technically sound without breaking the uptrend.
ℹ️Fundamental driver no. 1: Structural scarcity.
UNCTAD warns: By 2030, around 80 new mines and $ 250 bn CapEx would be needed to meet demand from the energy transition, data centers and e-mobility - otherwise the market deficit will persist.
This is where I am currently positioned:
🥇Gold:
🥈Silver:
🥉Copper:
❓Do you see a continuation of the bull market in metals and are you positioned accordingly?

New copper positions in June
As (real) interest rates fall, my overnight money reserve loses its appeal. 😏
In addition to the weekly $VWRL (+0,17%) -savings plan, I am therefore allocating capital specifically to the copper sector for the first time - tactically, not as a permanent core position.
🚀 Fundamental drivers:
- Electrification & AI boom: E-cars, charging infrastructure, grid expansion, data centers.
- Demand > supply: WoodMac/IEA see a structural deficit from 2025.
- Falling ore grades: Head grade < 0.5% ⇒ rising AISC.
- Recycling is not enough: By 2030, scrap covers < 50% of the increase.
- Geo-lump: 60% of concentrate comes from Chile, Peru, DR Congo.
🚨 Risk: In a recession, copper usually crashes first.
For me, this would be more of a buying opportunity than an exit signal.
📍 Position 1:
$COPA (+0,86%)
- WisdomTree Copper ETC
- Spot exposure
- Pure play on the price without company risk
📈 Chart:
Cup-&-Handle since 2006: Cap at ~€41 (2011 top) is currently under attack.
SMA 200 W (white) positive - first upward trend since 2012.
Volume profile: Largest cluster €30-33 → now support. - Above €41 "volume gap" begins with room for trend acceleration.
📍 Position 2:
$HBM (-4,33%) - Hudbay Minerals
- Multiple ≈ 5 x - cheap vs. majors
- Three Tier 1 assets plus Copper World (Arizona) could lift production by 50% by 2027
- Relatively ESG-friendly, stable legal systems
📈 Chart:
Weekly close > $11.6 would be a multi-year breakout with projection $14-16.
SMA 200 W rising: recent volume spike points to institutional accumulation.
Volume profile: Point-of-control at ~$6 serves as a massive floor.
📍 Position 3:
$ATYM (-6,97%) - Atalaya Mining
- The only major western EU copper mine (Proyecto Riotinto)
- Multiple ≈ 8 x, but pure copper story.
- E-LIX hydrometallurgy could reduce costs & extend life-of-mine.
- Minimal geo risk, € cash flows match EU demand
📈 Chart:
(The chart shown is quoted in British pence and has the longest history. Uses ticker E5S1 for the € price)
Ascending triangle 340 p (support) × 470 p (cap).
Close > 470 p confirms breakout with technical target 550-580 p.
SMA 200 W supports every dip since 2020.
My current copper positions:
That's it already 😁
What do you currently think of copper and are you invested?

Copper, the next gold?
Copper consumption levels are expected to increase significantly in the coming years, driven by the energy transition and the electrification of the economy. Even accounting for approximately 20% of copper being substituted by alternative materials, the average demand growth over the next 10 years has the potential to exceed 10% annually, with lower rates in the earlier years of this period.
At the same time, forecasts indicate that copper production is likely to peak around 2030, followed by a decline in known reserves, which could further drive up prices in the long term. Taking these factors into account, it seems reasonable to consider starting a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) strategy in copper, for instance, through the WisdomTree Copper EUR Hedged ETF . This product provides a practical way to gain exposure to copper prices while hedging against EUR/USD currency fluctuations (or just go for the commodity itself if no hedge is intended).
Unless there are major technological breakthroughs or substantial changes in copper substitution by alternatives in the coming years, this investment could prove attractive in the long-term horizon. However, if prices are not structurally supported before 2030, it might be more strategic to explore this type of investment closer to the production peak.
Am I overlooking something? Any thoughts?
Raw materials outlook 2025 🛢️🪙🥇🥈⛽️
- Oil
- gas
- EU emissions trading
- Copper
- Aluminum
- Gold
- Silver
Link: https://shorturl.at/5VrEF
#gold
#silber
#öl
#oiel
#kupfer
#aluminium
#metall
#edelmetalle
$SHEL (+1,86%)
$TTE (+2,37%)
$ABX
$GLDA (-0,32%)
$GOLD (-7,76%)
$LNVA
$GOLD
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$B7GN
$PAAS (-5,43%)
$PHAG (-3,17%)
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$1BRN
$IOIL00 (+5,43%)
$WTI
$WTI
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$OXYP34
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$ALUM (-1,4%)
$COPA (+0,86%)
$OD7C
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$GLEN (-0,53%)
$RIO (-2,82%)
$RIO (+0,76%)
$RIO (-2,03%)
The price of copper ($COPA (+0,86%)) fell this week by about 5% the biggest weekly loss since 2022 . The decline was driven by disappointment over the recent policy meeting in China where no additional measures were announced to stimulate demand for metals. China is a major consumer of metals and the lack of stimulus measures can have a significant impact on demand.
In addition to copper, prices for other metals such as iron ore, aluminum, tin and nickel. For example, the prices of iron ore prices the mark of 100 US dollars per ton. This general downward trend in metal prices is also being driven by a stronger US dollar reinforced. A stronger dollar makes metals traded in dollars more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

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