Do you know why Waiting Buffet $OXY (-4,74%) ksuft? 🙏🏼🤔

Hello everyone,

I have looked at the stocks in my portfolio with my new but still incomplete knowledge of fundamental analysis and am of the opinion that some stocks are heavily overvalued.

Perhaps they will fall back to their fundamental value soon or at some point?

Yes, actually this is bound to happen in the long term.

So I'm wondering whether I should sell now and invest the capital in fundamentally favorable stocks or in my ETFs?

I also find it interesting that some stocks were already overvalued when I bought them and some only became overvalued later.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In my opinion, some of the stocks in my portfolio are overvalued:

(not exhaustive)

Palantir $PLTR (+2,03%)

Ferrari $RACE (-0,04%)

Rheinmetall $RHM (+1,96%)

Agree Realty $ADC (-0,11%)

visas $V (-0,35%)

Hermes $RMS (+1,95%)

Microsoft $MSFT (+0,07%)

Nu 😅 $NU (+3,93%)

Asml $ASML (-0,13%)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

On the other hand, I think they are favorably valued at the moment:

(some are not really cheap, but maybe worth buying)

Amazon $AMZN (-1,26%)

Abc $GOOGL (-0,27%)

Sofi $SOFI (-1,27%)

Lockheed Martin $LMT (+2,04%)

Berkshire $BRK.B (+1,19%)

Caterpillar $CAT (-0,97%)

Occidental Petroleum $OXY (-4,74%)

Rio Tinto $RIO (-3,08%)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I think I probably wouldn't regret it if I just sold everything and put it in the $HMWO (+0,05%) and put it in the But I enjoy individual shares and the risk is limited. Still, I would like to know how you read valuations and translate them into action decisions and what you think about my specific situation and would possibly act.

"A bit of stagnation - and above all more inflation" is the title of the Bank of America economists' new forecast.

In such a scenario, companies with pricing power are in demand, i.e. those that can pass on rising costs to customers. These are companies that are already making good profits today and not in the too distant future. Their profits will not be greatly affected by higher interest rates. The companies must not be too cyclical; after all, they must also be able to withstand an economic slowdown.

The investment bank Goldman Sachs has compiled a list of 102 stocks that can still hold their own in a stagflation.

Analysts see the greatest price potential in commodity companies such as $MTDR (-2,28%)
Matador Resources, $CVE (-3,22%)
Cenovus Energy, $AA (-7,05%)
Alcoa and $DVN (-4,53%)
Devon Energy. The average price target for these stocks is around 40 percent above the current value. They are followed by tech companies such as $AMZN (-1,26%)
Amazon, $GOOGL (-0,27%)
Alphabet, $MSFT (+0,07%)
Microsoft, $META (+0,14%)
Meta and $ISRG (-0,81%)
Intuitive Surgical. The professionals put the potential here at at least 30 percent. This is followed by other commodities and media groups such as $SLB (-2,5%)
Schlumberger, $COP (-2,57%)
Conocophillips, $RIO (-3,08%)
Rio Tinto and $OXY (-4,74%)
Occidental Petroleum with a potential of between 25 and 30 percent.

Also $WMT (-0,67%)
Walmart is also on the list; analysts see a price potential of 27 percent for the retailer. For the conglomerate $DHR (-0,91%)
Danaher experts expect 25 percent and the railroad company $CNR (-2,31%)
Canadian National Railway is also at the top of the list.

Source (excerpt): WELT / Graphic: ChatGPT

Bitcoin's strength fizzles out in 24 hours + Many US stocks hit annual lows + Tesla's sales in Scandinavia slump + Okta exceeds expectations + JPMorgan puts RWE on 'Positive Catalyst Watch'

Bitcoin $BTC (-2,58%)strength completely sold off again

• Bitcoin is losing value again after a strong rise on Sunday and is trading at almost 86,000 US dollars on Bitstamp.
• Market analyst Timo Emden from Emden Research describes the price rise as a "flash in the pan", as the initial euphoria following Trump's comments on cryptocurrencies has given way to a more sober view.

Many US equities at annual lows

• Microsoft Corp. $MSFT (+0,07%)falls to a new low for the year, currently down -2.62% to $386.57. The year-to-date performance is -8.30 %.
• T. Rowe Price Group Inc. $TROW (-0,07%)falls to a new low for the year, currently -1.97 % at $103.62. The year-to-date performance is -8.41 %.
• Occidental Petroleum Corp. $OXY (-4,74%)falls to a new low for the year, currently -5.98 % to $ 45.92. The year-to-date performance is -7.04 %.
• Target Corp. $TGT (-4,59%)reaches new 52-week low, currently -3.26 % at $120.19.
• Copart Inc. $CPRT (+1,1%)falls to a new low for the year, currently -0.64 % to $ 54.42. The year-to-date performance is -5.04 %.

Tesla's $TSLA (-0,85%)sales in Scandinavia collapse

• Tesla's sales in Scandinavia recorded a significant decline in February compared to the same period last year.
• The electric car manufacturer's market share is shrinking, while customer brand loyalty is being severely tested by CEO Elon Musk's political involvement in the Trump administration.
• In recent years, Tesla's vehicles have dominated the sales charts in Norway, Sweden and Denmark.
• But the tide has turned in 2024: According to the latest registration data from Monday, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is now falling behind competitors such as Volkswagen and Toyota, which are scoring points with new models.
• The figures speak for themselves: in Sweden, only 613 new Tesla vehicles were registered in February - a drop of 42% compared to the previous year.
• The situation is even more drastic in Norway and Denmark, where registrations fell by 48% to 917 and 509 vehicles respectively.
• This trend is particularly notable as the general demand for cars, especially electric vehicles, continues to grow in these countries.

Okta $OKTA (+3,48%)exceeds expectations

• Okta Inc. fourth quarter earnings per share of $0.78 beat analyst estimates of $0.74.
• Revenue of USD 682 million exceeds expectations of USD 668.91 million.

JPMorgan places RWE $RWE (+1,04%)on 'Positive Catalyst Watch'

• The US bank JPMorgan has placed RWE shares on its "Positive Catalyst Watch".
• According to analyst Javier Garrido's commentary published on Tuesday, he expects the Essen-based company to provide encouraging news on the use of capital with the publication of its annual results.
• He sees scope for further investment cuts of EUR 3 to 5 billion, which could open the door to further share buybacks in the future.
• Garrido's fundamental rating remains "Overweight" with a price target of 47.50 euros.

Tuesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia
• 18:00 Warner Music AGM
• No time specified: Target | Best Buy quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
• 06:45 Kuehne & Nagel Annual results
• 07:00 Bilfinger | Lindt & Sprüngli Annual results
• 07:30 Continental | Fielmann Annual results
• 09:00 Continental BI-PK
• 10:00 Bilfinger BI-PK
• 12:30 Continental Analyst Conference
• 18:00 Freenet preliminary annual results
• Without time information: Bawag Group | VAT | Thales | Prada Annual figures

• Economic data

00:30 JP: Unemployment rate 1/25

00:50 JP: Investment Q4/24

11:00 EU: Labor market data January Eurozone Unemployment rate FORECAST: 6.3% previously: 6.3%

12:30 UK: Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves, hearing in the House of Commons

15:00 EU: ECB, APP/PEPP monthly report

No time given:

CN: National People's Congress of China, press conference

US: Import tariffs on goods from China, Canada and Mexico come into force

US: Fed Richmond President Barkin, speech at Fredericksburg Regional Alliance event

The short-term key interest rate rises from 0.25% to 0.5%.

As the increase was expected, things should not go as smoothly as last August. In addition, I $OXY (-4,74%) and $TTEK (+0,77%) in the portfolio and have already seen enough red this week 😄

You also have to adapt to today's world...

The oil market is facing a potential surplus, as both the USA and China are increasing their production and demand is falling short of expectations. Analysts warn that an oversupply could put further pressure on prices, especially if China's economy does not recover as hoped. The dynamic could present OPEC+ with new challenges to maintain market stability.

You can find more information in the article on Business Insider.

The news is based on what I personally consider to be reputable sources. However, I do not guarantee their accuracy. No investment advice. Follow me for more updates!

$SHEL (-3,29%)
$CVX (-0,92%)
$XOM (-0,77%)
$OXY (-4,74%)

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is forecasting an oversupply on the oil market for 2025. The reason for this is the planned expansion in production, while demand growth is slowing down. Rising capacities in the USA and countries such as Brazil and Guyana in particular could push supply above the level of global demand. According to the IEA, these developments could stabilize oil prices or even put them under pressure.

Personal opinion:

The election of Donald Trump is also a big factor that could put a lot of pressure on oil prices. With the oil price already weak, Trump has announced that he will boost oil production during his candidacy. To me, that sounds more like oil prices will continue to fall.

$SHEL (-3,29%)
$CVX (-0,92%)
$OXY (-4,74%)
$BP. (-2%)

Source:

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-sees-2025-oil-market-supply-surplus-2024-11-14/

The news is based on what I personally consider to be reputable sources. However, I do not guarantee their accuracy. No advice.