$FMG (-7,56%)

I started a savings plan on Fortescue Metals a few months ago and am now down around 17% 🤑

The reasons for my investment included: strong margin, solid balance sheet, supposedly favorable valuation, experienced management

I thought that the one or other support not shown here would hold. This was not the case and a nice downward trend has established itself, but theoretically there would be this strong support between $13.60 and around $14. That would still be around 9% of the current price level.

The impulsive part of me wants to get rid of this position right now.

The quiet voice inside me says: delete the savings plan, keep watching and if the support holds, buy more.

On the other hand, I can do both, sell now and possibly buy later at a lower price (if there is still interest 🤓)

The share is in any case: heavily dependent on Chinese demand, is struggling with strong cost pressure, the last figures were probably not so exhilarating either, I think over 50% profit slump and I get a headache when I read that they are investing in hydrogen projects and green energy instead of their operating business. (although of course that also has potential)

🤔

The shipping industry is a dynamic market characterized by geopolitical tensions, global trade flows and technological innovation. My current portfolio focuses on the tanker sector, which is currently benefiting from high freight rates and attractive dividends. But the future belongs to the dry bulk sector, which is driven by long-term trends such as urbanization and infrastructure projects. This strategy shows how I am gradually rebuilding my portfolio - with a clear focus on when tankers will remain attractive and when the bulk sector will gain in importance.

Exemplary tanker portfolio

The portfolio consists of 9 diversified tanker stocks that deliver high returns:

- Scorpio Tankers ($STNG (-6,65%)): 20 %

- TORM ($TRMD A (-5,61%)): 20 %

- Teekay Tankers ($TNK (-5,28%)): 15 %

- International Seaways ($INSW (-6,75%)): 15 %

- DHT Holdings ($DHT (-5,01%)): 10 %

- Frontline ($FRO (-9,63%)): 10 %

- Euronav ($EURN (-10,37%)): 10 %

- Hafnia ($HAFNI (-8,79%)): 5 %

- Okeanis Eco Tankers ($OET (-10,43%)): 5 %

Why tankers are currently attractive:

- High freight rates: Geopolitical tensions such as sanctions against Russia are driving demand for oil transportation.

- Long routes: Detour via the Cape of Good Hope increase ton-mile demand.

- Attractive dividend yields: Many of these companies pay double-digit dividends.

Time horizon for tanker investments:

According to forecasts, the tanker market will remain stable until the end of 2025 as demand for crude oil transportation grows slightly (+2.5-3.5 %) and fleet capacity increases moderately (+1.2 %) [1][2]. From 2026, however, freight rates could be expected to fall if ships start using shorter routes again and demand for oil decreases due to the energy transition [3][5].

Why the bulk sector will become attractive in the long term:

The dry bulk sector offers sustainable growth through:

- urbanization and infrastructure projects in emerging markets such as China and India.

- Diversity of transported goodsincluding iron ore, coal, grain and bauxite.

- Technological innovationssuch as low-emission ships and digital optimization.

Time horizon for the bulk sector:

The bulk market will go through a slight phase of weakness until the end of 2025 (-1 to -2 % growth in demand) before picking up again from 2026 (+2-3 %) [3][7]. In the long term, annual growth of around 4-6% is forecast, driven by rising demand for raw materials and fleet modernization [4][19].

My strategy: conversion with dividends

Phase 1 (2025-2026): Focus on tanker dividends

The high dividends from my tanker portfolio will be used to gradually build up positions in the bulk sector. Meanwhile, I hold my tanker stocks as they will remain stable until at least the end of 2025.

Phase 2 (from 2026): Expansion of the bulk portfolio

With the expected decline in the attractiveness of the tanker market from 2026, I am planning a gradual shift into the following bulk stocks:

- Star Bulk Carriers ($SBLK (-7,23%)): Market leader with a high dividend yield (~13%) and a diversified fleet.

- Genco Shipping ($GNK (-6,81%)): Solid US company with a focus on low debt and sustainable distributions (~11%).

- Golden Ocean Group ($GOGL (-18,91%)): Specializes in capesize ships with attractive yields (~15%).

- Pacific Basin Shipping ($2343) (+0,5%)Leading in the Handysize segment with stable yields (~6 %).

- Safe Bulkers ($SB (-7,23%)): Focus on energy-efficient ships and grain transportation (~5-6%).

I also add strategic stocks to my portfolio:

- Fortescue Metals Group ($FMG (-7,56%)): Iron ore producer with a high dividend yield (~10%) and a strong focus on green technologies.

- Mitsui & Co Ltd. ($8031 (-0,76%)): Diversified company with interests in the bulk sector and investments in sustainable ship technologies.

Phase 3 (from 2030): Long-term consolidation

By the end of the decade, my portfolio should be fully focused on the growing bulk sector. I will focus on companies that benefit from technological innovations and sustainable practices.

Why this strategy works

1. income generation:

- The high dividends from my tanker stocks finance the build-up of a growth-oriented bulk portfolio.

2. long-term growth potential:

- The bulk sector benefits from global megatrends such as urbanization and infrastructure development.

3. diversification:

- The combination of different shipping segments reduces the risk of market fluctuations.

4. sustainability:

- Investments in companies with a focus on green technologies ensure long-term competitiveness.

Conclusion

With this strategy, I am making the most of the short-term earning power of my tanker portfolio, while at the same time building a future-proof portfolio in the dry bulk sector. The planned time horizon allows me to react flexibly to market developments and maximize both short-term profits and long-term growth.

Through targeted shifts into stocks such as Star Bulk Carriers or Fortescue Metals Group, I am creating a solid basis for sustainable success - in an industry full of opportunities!

Disclaimer: This article was created with the support of an AI. However, the specific questions, content and strategic direction were provided by me.

@Jo_Wolf
@AlterMann

Sources

[1] BIMCO: Crude Tanker Shipping Market To Tighten Slightly in 2025 ... https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/bimco-crude-tanker-shipping-market-to-tighten-slightly-in-2025-products-to-soften/

[2] BIMCO Q3 2024: Tanker shipping market outlook - Safety4Sea https://safety4sea.com/bimco-q3-2024-tanker-shipping-market-outlook/

[3] BIMCO releases dry bulk shipping market overview & outlook https://safety4sea.com/bimco-releases-dry-bulk-shipping-market-overview-outlook/)

[4] Dry Bulk Shipping Market Shaping from Growth to Value https://www.einpresswire.com/article/775452936/dry-bulk-shipping-market-shaping-from-growth-to-value-usd-5-3-billion-by-2030

[5] Tanker market growth in 2025, but product tankers will struggle in ... https://shippingtelegraph.com/markets/tanker-market-growth-in-2025-but-product-tankers-will-struggle-in-2026/

[6] Tanker Fleet Q3'24 Recap and Outlook - AXSMarine https://public.axsmarine.com/blog/tanker-fleet-q3-24-recap-and-outlook

[7] BIMCO: Strong Bulk Market May Cool As 2025 Nears - Marine Link https://www.marinelink.com/news/bimco-strong-bulk-market-may-cool-nears-515632

[8] Crude and Product Tanker Markets: 2025 Outlook Brings Diverging ... https://mfame.guru/crude-and-product-tanker-markets-2025-outlook-brings-diverging-fortunes/

[9] Chemical Tanker Shipping Market Size and Forecast 2024 to 2034 https://www.precedenceresearch.com/chemical-tanker-shipping-market

[10] Tanker Market Supply Scenarios for 2025 and 2026 - AXSMarine https://public.axsmarine.com/blog/tanker-market-supply-scenarios-for-2025-2026-risks-of-oversupply-amid-shadow-fleet-uncertainty

[11] Shipping Market Outlook: Q4 2024 Forecast - VesselsValue Blog https://blog.vesselsvalue.com/shipping-market-outlook-q4-2024-forecast/

[12] Tanker Shipping Market Overview & Outlook August 2024 - Bimco https://www.bimco.org/news/market_analysis/2024/20240829-smoo-tanker

[13] Tanker Shipping Market Overview & Outlook November 2024 - Bimco https://www.bimco.org/news/market_analysis/2024/20241128-smoo-tanker

[14] Shipbrokers and analysts' views on the tanker market in 2025 https://www.rivieramm.com/news-content-hub/news-content-hub/shipbrokers-and-analysts-thoughts-on-the-tanker-market-in-2025-83437

[15] Tanker shipping market outlook for H2 2024 - Seatrade Maritime News https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/tankers/tanker-shipping-market-outlook-for-h2-2024

[16] Sea freight situation and outlook for 2025 - Metro Shipping

https://metro.global/news/sea-freight-situation-and-outlook-for-2025/

[17] Global Shipping Outlook Is Stable in 2025 - Fitch Ratings https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/global-shipping-outlook-is-stable-in-2025-12-12-2024

[18] Dry Bulk Shipping Market by Type, Vessel Type, End-Use https://www.giiresearch.com/report/ires1614056-dry-bulk-shipping-market-by-type-major-dry-bulk.html

[19] Coal, bauxite drive dry bulk outlook - Riviera Maritime Media https://www.rivieramm.com/news-content-hub/news-content-hub/coal-and-bauxite-drive-dry-bulk-outlook-83038

[20] Cargo Shipping Market Size & Share Analysis - Mordor Intelligence https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/cargo-shipping-market

[21] Market Outlook: Strengthening in Dry Bulk, Weakened Demand ... https://mfame.guru/market-outlook-strengthening-in-dry-bulk-weakened-demand-forecast-for-2025/

[22] Dry Bulk Shipping Market Overview & Outlook October 2024 - Bimco https://www.bimco.org/news/market_analysis/2024/20241031-smoo-bulk

[23] Performance of Global Shipping Segments to Diverge in 2025 https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/performance-of-global-shipping-segments-to-diverge-in-2025-20-12-2024

[24] Dry Bulk Shipping Market Size, Share & Forecast to 2030 https://www.researchandmarkets.com/report/dry-bulk-shipping

[25] Dry bulk shipping market outlook for 2025 - Seatrade Maritime News https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/dry-bulk/dry-bulk-shipping-market-outlook-for-2025

[26] The Outlook for the Dry Bulk Market 2023 - 2030 - Shipnet blog https://blog.shipnet.no/blog/articles/the-outlook-for-the-dry-bulk-market-2023-2030

[27] Dry Bulk Shipping Market Size & Share 2025-2030 - 360iResearch

https://www.360iresearch.com/library/intelligence/dry-bulk-shipping

[28] Dry Bulk Shipping Market Trends in 2025 : Expected to Grow at a ... https://www.einpresswire.com/article/775783846/dry-bulk-shipping-market-trends-in-2025-expected-to-grow-at-a-cagr-of-2-06-by-2032.

[29] Dry Bulk Shipping Market Forecasts to 2030 - GII Research https://www.giiresearch.com/report/smrc1462597-dry-bulk-shipping-market-forecasts-global-analysis.html

[30] Bulk Carriers Fleet Growth: A Decade in Review and 2025 Outlook https://public.axsmarine.com/blog/bulk-carriers-fleet-growth-a-decade-in-review-and-2025-outlook

Hi everyone, I'm currently looking for high-dividend stocks that I think look undervalued. I would like to introduce you to my favorites and look forward to your additions. Let's get started:

$FMG (-7,56%) - Fortescue Metals Group

Fortescue is one of the world's leading iron ore producers with a dividend yield of 10.7%. The stock currently trades at a favorable P/E of 6.53 and shows upside potential of around 12% based on an intrinsic valuation of AUD 20.45. Despite a share price decline of over 36% last year, FMG remains an attractive candidate for dividend hunters due to its high EBIT margin (46.76%) and solid balance sheet.

$PLSV (-13,59%) - Paratus Energy Services Ltd.

Paratus Energy Services is a specialist in offshore energy infrastructure, particularly in Mexico and Brazil. With a dividend yield of an impressive 21.05% and a forward P/E ratio of just 6.07, the share appears highly undervalued. The current share price is around NOK 44.66, while the fair value is estimated at around NOK 89.49 - an upside potential of over 50%. The high margins (EBIT margin: 46%) and stable cash flows make Paratus an exciting choice.

$KCC (-8,34%) - Klaveness Combination Carriers

KCC is a leading provider of combined cargo ships and offers an exceptional dividend yield of 18.4%. The share is currently trading at a P/E ratio of just 4.19 and is undervalued by around 35% compared to its fair value of around NOK 119. Despite a difficult year (-17.9%), the company impresses with strong net margins (33.29%) and a solid balance sheet.

$BCE (+1,08%) - BCE Inc.

BCE is one of Canada's largest telecommunications companies with a stable dividend yield of just under 12%. After a share price decline of about 14% last year, the stock is considered undervalued (fair value: ~$85). BCE benefits from its market-leading position and continued investment in fiber optic networks, which could support long-term growth.

$NPI (-5,36%) - Northland Power

Northland Power is a global renewable energy provider with a focus on offshore wind power. The share offers a dividend yield of 6.7% and is currently trading well below its fair value (fair value: ~$41). Analysts see upside potential of over 60%, supported by major projects such as Hai Long and Baltic Power.

$UKW (-3,14%) - Greencoat UK Wind

Greencoat UK Wind invests in UK wind farms and offers a stable dividend yield of around 10.5%. The current share price (~126p) is well below the average target price (190p), signaling upside potential of around 50%. Thanks to its inflation-linked dividend policy and solid cash flows, UKW remains an attractive option for long-term investors.

I look forward to your additions or opinions on these stocks!

$FMG (-7,56%)

The Liebherr conglomerate is to supply the Australian mining giant Fortescue with numerous dump trucks, excavators and bulldozers - all with purely electric drives.

For the Liebherr conglomerate, it is the biggest deal in its 75-year history: In the fall, the company's mining division signed a contract with the Australian raw materials group Fortescue for the delivery of 475 new mining machines with a volume of 2.8 billion US dollars (2.5 billion euros).

The core of the order is the delivery of 360 autonomous, battery-powered giant dump trucks; the deal also includes 55 electric excavators and 60 electric dozers - all for use in Fortescue mines in Western Australia.

Emission-free mines by 2030

Fortescue committed to electromobility years ago. The aim is for the mines to be completely emission-free by 2030. To achieve this, the vehicle fleet is now to be significantly expanded. The relevant machines will be supplied by Liebherr after the two companies launched a partnership in March 2023.

Liebherr is planning significant investments to enable the delivery of the 475 electric mining vehicles. The XL-format machines will be produced in Newport in the USA (dump trucks) and in Colmar, France (excavators).

Liebherr was founded in 1949 by Hans Liebherr in Kirchdorf an der Iller (district of Biberach), but now has its headquarters in Bulle, Switzerland. However, important production sites of the globally active group of companies are still located in Baden-Württemberg - including in Biberach, Ehingen and Bad Schussenried.

https://www.schwaebische.de/wirtschaft/perfekter-deal-groesster-auftrag-der-firmengeschichte-fuer-liebherr-fortescue-3170529

Fortescue relies on white hydrogen and invests 21.9 million dollars in HyTerra. $FMG (-7,56%)

HyTerra increases Nemaha shareholding after EMG gives green light to Fortescue acquisition.

HyTerra increases Nemaha acreage by >15% to over 60,000 acres

Expanded land holdings will support upcoming significant exploration supported by Fortescue following an EGM

Three additional drill sites have been approved and work will commence at the Blythe 13-10 site.

Special Report: With Fortescue's 39.66% acquisition now complete, HyTerra has demonstrated its confidence in the Nemaha Hydrogen Project by acquiring approximately 8,000 new acres of land.

It adds to the 13,000 acres acquired in mid-October 2024 and brings the total leasehold to over 60,000 acres fully owned.

This significantly larger landholding will support HyTerra Limited's (ASX:HYT) upcoming significant exploration campaign, which is backed by a US$21.9 million investment from Andrew Forrest's Fortescue, now sealed after shareholders gave the green light at an extraordinary general meeting on Friday.

The strategic alliance agreement between the two companies is aimed at advancing the wholly owned project while exploring new opportunities globally. Fortescue's funds are already earmarked for an expanded drilling campaign over the Nemaha Ridge.

https://stockhead.com.au/energy/hyterra-bulks-up-nemaha-landholding-after-emg-greenlights-fortescue-acquisition/

Your opinion on $FMG (-7,56%) ?

Good or bad decision?

Australia is a beautiful country.

The beginning of a new era in mining.

$FMG (-7,56%)

Dino Otranto, Chief Executive Officer of Fortescue Metals, said: "We have leveraged our strong track record as a pioneer in autonomy and our technological expertise to develop zero emission fleets to enable the industry to move away from pilots and prototypes. The fully integrated AHS will be a game changer for us in reducing our carbon emissions.

We have more than 200 autonomous trucks operating in our mines, making the equivalent of two trips to the moon and back every month. It is essential that they operate efficiently and at maximum capacity," explains Otranto.

The business is historic and full of superlatives. Not only is it the biggest deal in Liebherr's history, Australia is also one of the top producers of iron ore, lithium, gold, zinc, nickel and cobalt. Australia will remain the largest lithium producer in 2023. Unsurprisingly, mining is Australia's largest export industry. Fortescue is the third largest mining company in Australia behind BHP and Rio Tinto.

https://www.electrive.net/2024/09/25/fortescue-und-liebherr-unterzeichnen-vertrag-ueber-28-milliarden-dollar/