4G·

Cybersecurity update - mega deals are getting closer and closer

Hello dear getquin community, today I present to you an update on cybersecurity and takeover fantasies of the big players in this industry.

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Cybersecurity remains one of the hottest sectors on the stock market. According to a recent report $CYBR (+0,01%) CyberArk is moving into the spotlight as the company plays a key role in modern zero trust architectures with its identity and access management solutions. Analysts consider CyberArk to be a potential takeover candidate, especially by players such as $PANW (-0,24%) Palo Alto Networks who want to strategically expand their platform. The industry is visibly consolidating, Trend Micro is the focus of several private equity companies, while $S (-0,32%) SentinelOne is also being traded as a target. Here in particular $CRWD (+0,17%) CrowdStrike and $PANW (-0,24%) Palo Alto Networks are seen as potential buyers who could further strengthen their position in the fast-growing endpoint security market through an acquisition. For investors, this means two things: in the short term, takeover fantasies could lead to a jump in share prices, while in the long term the major players will benefit from a stronger market position. It remains interesting to see whether this trend towards mega deals will accelerate in the coming months and who can ultimately secure the leading role in the cybersecurity market.

Source: Der Aktionär and own research

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17 Commenti

immagine del profilo
Well, the takeover is actually no longer a fantasy but has already been confirmed by both companies
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immagine del profilo
@Barrd
Thanks for your feedback Jan. You're right, CyberArk and Palo Alto have already confirmed the talks. However, the deal has not yet been finalized, so a certain amount of uncertainty remains. SentinelOne, on the other hand, is purely speculation and there is no official confirmation. This is precisely why I deliberately chose the term "fantasy".
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immagine del profilo
As always, a very detailed list Elsa. Thank you very much. I already announced here last week that I had built up an initial position in $CLAV as it is a European company where I see great opportunities as I think that the Europeans will not become dependent on the Americans in areas where this is possible.
But I would also be interested to know which are your favorites in the respective area according to your research and why?
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immagine del profilo
@Multibagger
Good morning Chris and thank you for your feedback 🙏 Just before I posted the post, it occurred to me whether I had forgotten something 🧐 Seconds later I remembered you with your favorites from the humanoid robot post 😅 After several hours of research, I was simply tired and clicked out the post despite my own warning, hoping you would spare me this time 😜

But you're right, it makes perfect sense to take a clear stance on your favorites when you're working intensively on a topic. I'm currently working on a new topic that will take up a lot of time again, but I promise I'll devote myself to this question afterwards 😃
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immagine del profilo
@EpsEra That's great Elsa and I apologize that I'm currently getting up when you're tired and going to bed.😂😎 I promise you that I will adjust my sleeping times to yours again from next week Tuesday. Best regards
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immagine del profilo
@EpsEra and after looking at your portfolio I have another question for you. You have even more positions in your portfolio than I do. What is the purpose of these many mini positions? Do you find it difficult to decide on the most promising stocks for you after all the research information, because risk diversification makes sense, but I think that's already a lot
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immagine del profilo
@Multibagger
It's nice that we add humor and imagination to the whole thing 😍 That's exactly how the exchange is the most fun and brings out the best ideas 🚀
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immagine del profilo
@Multibagger
Yes, it's true that I hold a lot of small positions for my still small budget. I basically follow a buy-and-hold strategy for the larger positions. I see the smaller positions more as a kind of watchlist plus, where I invest a very small initial tranche via a savings plan in companies that I find exciting or where I am looking for momentum.

In the book The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel, it is described that it doesn't matter how good the research or your own convictions are, as many successful investments and developments are ultimately also shaped by chance. The more diversified you are, the greater the chance of making good catches.

Long story short: The small positions are more speculative for me, but that's exactly how I discovered Irish, for example, and ended up adding it to my core.

How do you see the whole thing as an opportunity or a waste of time? And why do you have so many positions in your portfolio?
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immagine del profilo
@EpsEra I have divided my portfolio into 3 areas. Approximately one third are medium-term equity positions, one third are savings plans in equities and sector ETFs, and the last third are short- to medium-term derivative positions with a maximum term of 6 months, i.e. between 15 and 20 positions per area. For derivatives, my limit per trade is normally a maximum of 2% of the portfolio value. My return expectation is at least 45% net per year. That doesn't leave much time for buy and hold 😉 so I only have a few positions that I hold for the long term. I only do this when I see opportunities for a multiple.
At the moment, these are $BNTX, $MP, $PPTA, $IREN, $ONDS and $IPX. I will also sell the position in all the others. I will only sell the ones mentioned above if there is really bad news that shakes my fundamental attitude. By that I don't mean an interim price loss of 25% or so.
That's why I'm always interested in your favorites, as there may be a stock that I find promising. Not necessarily as a multiplier, but for 40-50% in the medium term. My expectations are relatively high, I know that. I expect the chance of a 10% price increase per month holding period.
I hope that wasn't too detailed and boring for you
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immagine del profilo
@Multibagger
That's a very interesting approach that I haven't really come across in this form before. I definitely don't find your strategy and explanation boring or too long, on the contrary, I'm glad and grateful that you're sharing your thoughts with me. I will follow your strategy with curiosity and consider adapting certain parts that appeal to me and that I can fully understand in order to further optimize my own strategy. I would also be interested to know how you came up with such a remarkable strategy. Did it develop over time or are you following a plan from a successful mentor?
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immagine del profilo
@EpsEra yes, I probably have a bit more experience than most people here. But I think the biggest difference is that I do it because I enjoy it as a hobby. If you have looked at my profile, I have a challenge with myself to turn €3,000 into €100,000 in 10 years without any major deposits. To do this, you need a net return of 45% per year. You can't achieve that with ETF MSCI World, or with buy and hold blue chips. You have to take a relatively high risk, be able to deal with volatility and not get nervous when losses occur.
So I thought about how I could achieve a minimum return of 45% and came up with this strategy, which is not set in stone but has worked quite well so far.
I don't have a successful mentor that I follow. In my experience, they only cook with water. I read a lot, including stock reports that cost money. You can certainly get the information yourself, but I often don't have the time. It's just a hobby. So that's it for now, if you have any further questions, please feel free to contact me at any time.
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immagine del profilo
@Multibagger
Sorry Chris that I'm only responding now. I hadn't heard of your challenge before and I find it really exciting. A 45% annual return over ten years is a huge challenge and very few people in this industry can achieve that. I hope that your investment pays off and that your bet works out. I will follow this with interest and look forward to keeping in touch with you.
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immagine del profilo
@EpsEra Thank you and I look forward to the further exchange.
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immagine del profilo
Hello my dear what do you think of $RBRK
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024
Hello 👋
Yes, I have had $RBRK on my watchlist for some time. It is definitely a hidden champion in the software & insurance sector in the area of cloud and data security with enormous potential due to close cooperation with Microsoft (Azure Integration), ServiceNow and SAP.
immagine del profilo
@EpsEra
Thanks for your assessment.
It has already gone well.
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