Itochu
Price
Debate sobre 8001
Puestos
81
The big ITOCHU crash - I wish I had sold. The share has lost well over 3% in one day and there is no bottom in sight 🥺
Sell Itochu before the long absence and put money into MSCI World?
Update dividend long-term portfolio
We are currently trying to use the current fluctuations to build up our portfolio.
Additional purchase $TDIV (-1,84 %)
New purchase $QDVD (+0,02 %) / $SPYW (+0,12 %) / $QCOM (+0,59 %) / $8001 (+0,02 %) / $RICHTER (-0,4 %) / $J36 (-1,7 %)
As I would like to increase my portfolio to a total of 20 stocks, I am still looking for two companies that ideally pay dividends semi-annually / annually in April or June.
If any of you can think of good dividend payers, I would be very grateful for any tips.
ETFs are then saved with EUR 100 per month and all individual shares with EUR 50.
I wish everyone a good trading day.
In principle, however, I think a dividend strategy makes perfect sense. You should perhaps reconsider the selection of individual stocks not only according to the dividend yield, but also pay attention to the fundamental quality of the underlying shares. A dividend yield of 5% with a poor share price performance or a fundamentally difficult business area for the actual share itself is ultimately a loss if you have to cash in on these shares at some point.
From my point of view, better than dividend yield is: PERSONAL dividend yield. And that, in turn, consists of a fundamentally and qualitatively high-quality share with a secure long-term price gain and a solid personal dividend yield based on this as a percentage:
In other words, the personal percentage dividend yield that you currently receive , calculated on your original purchase price.
If this purchase price does not rise or, in the worst case, even falls: you actually make personal losses, but don't realize it, because the dividend yield on the *current* price can still be 5% (I hope I have expressed this clearly enough?).
Itochu earnings
Itochu $8001 (+0,02 %): Business results as of May 2, 2025 - Summary
Financial Year 2025 (FYE 2025)
Sales: 14.72 trillion yen (+4.9% compared to the previous year)
Operating result: 683.92 billion yen (-2.7% compared to the previous year)
Net profit: 880.25 billion yen (+9.8% compared to the previous year)
Earnings per share (EPS): 615.65 yen
Dividend: 200 yen per share (increase of 40 yen compared to the previous year)
Net profit reached a record high for the second year in a row. The increase in sales was mainly achieved through organic growth in the food, consumer goods and textiles segments. Challenges arose in the raw materials segment, particularly due to falling coal prices and operational problems in two coking coal projects.
4th quarter (January-March 2025)
Sales: 3.68 trillion yen (+3% year-on-year; below the estimate of 3.85 trillion yen)
Operating profit: 146.16 billion yen (-11% year-on-year; below the estimate of 219.18 billion yen)
Quarterly profit: 203.78 billion yen (+7.2% year-on-year; below the estimate of 215.37 billion yen)
Outlook for the financial year 2026 (FYE 2026)
Forecasted net profit: 900 billion yen
Planned investments: up to 1 trillion yen, including privatization of DESCENTE and the iron ore business in Brazil
Total payout ratio: around 50%, consisting of dividends and share buybacks totaling 150 billion yen
Itochu continues to focus on "hands-on management" with a focus on sustainable growth through targeted investments and a balanced capital structure. Analysts are optimistic: ten buy recommendations and four hold ratings.
Sources: Itochu IR, MarketScreener, Smartkarma
Is the buy-the-dip mentality now dying?
1 - Opinion (not that some users cry again in the comments that a market forecast includes a forecast on Trump)
2 - SPX chart
3 - Which stocks are interesting
1 - So there's the tariff hammer and the crash. What now?
Trump's team is probably relying on the typical crash mechanisms.
The investors with the most capital can buy much longer and more in this crash and are not as affected by price losses due to their wealth. This means that the top 0.1% of the US will also benefit the most from this crash, so there are unlikely to be any major complaints from the US elite.
According to Project 2025, however, the plan for the next few years is to make the USA less dependent on foreign markets (rather stupid, as the United States exerts influence through the strength of its economy even without using the military)
To what extent this should and can be implemented is questionable for me, because American companies are only as valuable as long as they sell globally.
Here, the upper class will not sit around and wait for the basis of their wealth to be removed, especially if the rest of the world continues to act more or less globally.
So for me this attempt is more of a medium-term thing, either until Trump fires his advisors, until America gets rid of Trump or until they change their minds.
2 - Only the absolute basics $CSPX (-0,14 %)
Forward path:
As the SPX is massively dependent on technology stocks ->
It could also soon become very difficult with the suspected EU tariffs on services and a 50% increase in Chinese tariffs in the entire technology sector.
How much is questionable, however, as tariffs can also be lifted from one day to the next...
- Upward trend of all averages broken
- Completely failed almost to the 2022 high/ 50% FIB
There is now upside potential in the short term, but with Trump's momentum on tariffs, it may simply go back to the 4500 area on bad news.
In the medium term, it looks particularly volatile due to Trump, I can imagine that we will see 4000 this year. But maybe Trump will back down (edit, 3 hours later: yes he will. As I said: volatility)
3 - Interesting stocks for me:
China $1810 (-0,39 %) ...
USA $SQ (-0,15 %) buy before the next trend in case of strong price losses
Japan $8001 (+0,02 %) diversified like hardly any other company
EU $AIR (+3,19 %) Defense boom take the next few years with the most normal valuation
I would take a more relaxed approach to buying dips in the near future, otherwise the cash will be gone very quickly.
Dependence of the financial market on an unstable country $USA
If I am wrong somewhere, please correct me.
Due to the great dependence of the capital markets on America, political or structural changes in the USA represent a major risk for the entire market and also for global ETFs.
Trump and Musk are radically abolishing (or further reducing) controls on large companies in addition to creating a perfect divide in society.
But isn't the Project 2025 team interested in crashing the economy to facilitate refinancing and then even more debt? I mean, the paper is public...
And seriously: In the US, there were already only the absolutely necessary controls regarding the environment and social compatibility. With the abolition of entire authorities, it is only a matter of time before a company causes great damage to the social environment or the environment due to pure greed for profit, which then has a massive impact on companies in the medium term.
The regulatory authorities are there for something, they are not an invention of the evil left to steal money.
In addition, Trump's tax cuts will probably exceed the debt savings, even after he has taken on new ones (would estimate as early as 2026). Contrary to expectations, inflation has not decreased, especially food prices have continued to rise, tariffs will not cause these prices to fall again.
I will $VEU (-0,01 %) into the portfolio and thus slightly reduce the US $VWCE (-0,04 %) slightly lower.
In addition:
When it comes to individual stocks, I tend not to bet on America any more, if I do I'll wait for the setbacks that are sure to come this year.
America is only a hold for me.
Suggestions for improvement
Hello everyone,
I wanted to get your opinions and criticism regarding my portfolio.
Briefly about me: I am 19 years old, graduated from high school in the summer, then did two internships, one at a management consultancy and the other at a law firm. I then worked as a ski instructor from December to mid-March. I am also starting university in April.
My strategy: a mix of shares with growth potential (see $VUL (+0,87 %)
$NU (+0 %) or $HIMS (+1,55 %) ) and dividend stocks (see $D05 (-0,33 %)
$BAS (+0,71 %) or $8001 (+0,02 %) )
The core should consist of the three ETFs in the portfolio. I am currently in the process of bringing the China ETF to €1,000 of paid-in capital. I have no plans to invest in the S&P 500 and MSCI World in the near future.
During my school days, I did some reselling in addition to mini-jobs, which enabled me to build up my portfolio. I started investing in November 2021.
Please let me know your thoughts and criticisms in the comments!
Watchlist for turbulent times
In uncertain times, it is important to keep a watchlist so that you can pick up stable shares at bargain prices. I hope we go down a few more levels, another -20% would be nice, even if the short to medium-term price losses hurt.
I currently have almost 30 stocks on my watchlist, some of which are attractive in terms of price, while others are still far too high for me. I have not listed stocks that are already in my portfolio and that I would like to buy (in order of dividend amount):
Hercules Capital $HTGC (-0,19 %) or Main Street Capital $MAIN (-0,28 %)
Chevron $CVX (-0,01 %)
Vinci SA $DG (-0,88 %)
United Parcel Service $UPS (-0,07 %)
3i Infrastructure $3IN (-1,52 %)
Iron Mountain $IRM (-0,16 %)
Micro Star International $MSS
Nextera Energy $NEE (+0,17 %)
Partners Group $PGHN (-0,43 %)
Itochu Shoji $8001 (+0,02 %)
Canadian National Railway $CNR (-0,21 %)
Svenska Cellulosa $SCA B (-0,33 %)
VAT $VAT
Investor AB $IVSB
Assa Abloy $ASSA B (-0,62 %)
Linde $LIN (-0,99 %)
John Deere $DE (-0,09 %)
Landstar Systems $LSTR (-0,4 %)
Dover Corporation $DOV (-0,08 %)
Alimentation Couche-Tard $ATD (-0,18 %)
ASML $ASML (-0,2 %)
Infineon Technologies $IFX (+3,23 %)
Sherwin-Williams $SHW (-0,51 %)
Tencent $700 (+0,74 %)
Microsoft $MSFT (-0,39 %)
S&P Global Inc. $SPGI (+0,22 %) or Moody's Corp. $MCO (-0,21 %)
Visa $V (-0,3 %) or Mastercard $MA (-0,13 %)
Ferrari $RACE (-0,42 %)
Which stocks do you have on your watchlist?
2 years
... almost. In it since 27.02.2023 - and satisfied so far. Apart from the portfolio tracking here (approx. +27%), I am very satisfied with the return on my invested capital (gross approx. +42%).
I have made a change to the ETFs. 70% of it in the $VWRL (+0,12 %) and 30% now in the $XESX (+0,15 %) shifted. As a result, the US share has fallen to around 55% and will remain below 60% in the long term.
There are still 5 individual positions in equities:
$PLTR (+0,23 %) still by far the strongest weighting. Despite the (overdue) setback since last week. I am leaving the position as it is. In the long term, my opinion remains positive - AI model, self-sufficient data analysis and automation platform, countless conceivable use cases, strong growth in the commercial sector.
$ALV (+0,2 %) The biggest surprise for me. Invested last June as a position to give the whole thing a bit more stability. My target was at least 5-10% return + dividend in one year. Since then, my position has returned over +20%.
$DTE (-0,01 %) I added a little out of embarrassment, but this position also surprised me. I simply wanted to use the money released from the sale of $BA. (-0,74 %) in December I simply wanted to "park" it until spring with a slightly higher return than overnight interest. Since December it has already gained around 15%.
$MSFT (-0,39 %) Somehow a bit of a disappointment. In my portfolio since January 2024, currently +/- 0, although I remain convinced that the investments will bear fruit and the blue chip will make strong gains again in the long term. Since the second half of '24, the high AI investments, among other things, have been a drag here.
$8001 (+0,02 %) The negative surprise has developed into my second Palantir. With Palantir, I exercised patience until the middle of last year and endured downs, supported by my personal assessment and conviction. I am currently going through the next big test of patience with the Japanese. After approx. 1.5 years in my portfolio, after +17% in between, my position is currently at +/- 0 (in the meantime even at -8). My conviction in Sogo Shosha and the outlook remain positive. It will go in the right direction again and then bigger jumps upwards beckon.
Settle losses
Moin Moin, sold at just under -40%, leaving only a small position.
was regrouped into $MC (-0,44 %) 1x and $8001 (+0,02 %) 35x
have a nice weekend and always remember to sell losses and not to wait any longer:)
Reduction of Japan position
After $8053 (+0,07 %) last month, the next Japanese stock is leaving my portfolio. As already mentioned, I am not too bullish on the Japanese market and since Itochu has been falling for months, it was quite easy for me to sell.
As the share price continues to fall
Another 15 shares - there is no end to the downward trend at the moment. Although I bought some a few days ago, this is currently the position with the most downside, it should hopefully come back up in the long term😌
Valores en tendencia
Principales creadores de la semana