2Wk·

Not the same: Forward P/S ratio of 16 selected tech growth stocks

Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)


Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (+1.19%)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (-1.1%)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (-0.28%)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+0.31%)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (-1.17%)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (+0.29%)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (-0.84%)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (-0.37%)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (-0.57%)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (-0.56%)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (-0.97%)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (-0.43%)


Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...


Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.


Your opinion?

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7 Comments

$RBLX? The games website? Why exactly this one?
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@RomanGorilla is cool 😉 the little ones searched like idiots.... And a lot of money is being pumped in
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I agree: I recently sold Palantir completely and switched into Trade Desk, which in my view is a real bargain at <€50.
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In my opinion, $PLTR is a good company, but expensive despite the prospects. I think you could get a first tranche at 65USD, I would feel even more comfortable at 45. Then I think you would have a very good C/R ratio.
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Palantir $PLTR is really bad. There are not many companies that can grow at 30% per year (!) over 10 years. It will be interesting to see if they can manage that...
As long as the sow is still out and about in the village, you just go along with it 😉
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May i CH ask what your buy in is at $SPOT. I would like to switch my Tesla shares. ☺️
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