1Wk·

Geopolitical escalations - keep calm ✌️

$CSPX (+0.2%)
$IWDA (+0.26%)
$EIMI (-0.05%)
$CSNDX (+0.31%)
$ACWI (+1.21%)
$VUSA (+0.14%)
$VWRL (+1.33%)

In the case of geopolitical escalations, the average daily loss is 1.2%, the average total loss is 5% and the recovery time is around 47 days.

Just keep calm, stay true to your strategy and don't panic sell ✌️

The historical reaction of the S& P 500 ($CSPX (+0.2%)
$VUSA (+0.14%) ) to important geopolitical events:

Geopolitical shocks usually only have a short-term impact on the performance of the stock markets.

30 Comments

Erdbeermaus@Lumimyrsky

1Wk

seems to be quite irrelevant, depot already +-0 again

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@Lumimyrsky This morning we thought it was the end of the world, it's amazing how resilient the market is. If you wait for the dip, it won't come 🤔

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@BamBamInvest I was just thinking the same thing! Looked in the depot beforehand: Oops, green again 😂

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Sansebastian@Sansebastian

1Wk

@BamBamInvest The dip was in April ;-)

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@BavarianLion Not looking at the portfolio regularly also helps in practice. Experience has shown that watching prices fall further and further is not helpful in such phases and usually leads to reactions that you regret a little later 👍

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DiviMike@DiviMike

1Wk

@BamBamInvest Time in the market beats timing the market. It bears repeating.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@Sansebastian I hope it remains the only major dip, but I should have picked up 1-2 more values. 😁

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@BamBamInvest I've had some experience on the stock market for a while (since 2016)! However, for personal reasons (stroke of fate) I sold everything in spring 2024 and got back in this year 🙂

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@DiviMike Absolutely right, simply doing nothing is usually the better strategy.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@BavarianLion Welcome back 😁

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@BamBamInvest Just in time for me to buy NVIDIA, Alphabet and Bawag in the dip 😂 Unfortunately, I bought my ETFs at the end of March, but it doesn't matter with them anyway 😉

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

It's always good that someone posts something like this, it's especially important for newcomers to the stock market! But I think anyone who has survived Trump April can also cope with the Israel-Iran conflict 😉

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Elfuhr@Elfuhr

@BavarianLion yes, I am curious to see whether the "Trump peak" will soon be included in the charts as well

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Thom@hunter_7777

1Wk

Dips always come back, ...as you can see

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Matthias@ZaphodB

1Wk

probably also depends a little on how diversified you are. Admittedly, American securities are certainly not yet so affected, at least at the moment...however, everything will sort itself out again. I'll have to see what happens to ZIM's Israeli shipping company shares now, they've just recovered a bit - maybe a chance, we'll see.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@ZaphodB I believe that the effects of the tariffs and the attack now (depending on how long it lasts) will only be felt in the second half of the year and will be reflected in the economy, but let's see. Where there are risks, there are also opportunities, I'm curious to see what else happens over the weekend and how the market reacts on Monday.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@BamBamInvest I also think that it will only be possible to assess how the market really reacts on Monday! Besides, you don't know what will happen over the weekend! What surprises me is that we haven't heard any major reaction from the Arab states, or am I wrong? 🤔

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Matthias@ZaphodB

1Wk

@BavarianLion I haven't heard anything about this either, but I can't really imagine that anyone really wants to get involved. To be completely honest, I don't think Iran has a great deal to offer militarily. Perhaps now would be an opportunity, especially for the Iranian people, to put an end to the spook and send the mullahs into retirement. THAT would offer incalculable economic opportunities. We will see. So far, the problem has always been that nobody has "finished" anything.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@ZaphodB Exactly my opinion! If the whole people would stand up now, then there would be a chance to really change something! As for the Arab states, I don't think they want to ruin their good relations with the USA because of a few crazy fundamentalists in Iran! They will sit it out and secretly hope that the mullahs will finally be driven out 😉

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@BavarianLion I heard from a friend whose family lives in Tel Aviv that some people go out into the street to look at it and it feels like 200 rockets have come down, but all but 3-4 of them are intercepted by the defense systems. I haven't read anything more detailed yet, but I haven't done any further research either. But there will certainly be more today or tomorrow. Let's see what happens .

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@ZaphodB I have also heard that the Israelis have the best missile defense systems and that the damage is still limited, let's hope that it doesn't escalate any further.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@BamBamInvest It was clear that the "Iron Dome" would bring down almost everything 👍 2-3 missiles always get through, of course, but there's nothing much Iran can do now! Israel can penetrate Iranian airspace virtually unhindered because they have destroyed all the radar systems! If the Iranians are smart, they'll keep their heads down!

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

1Wk

@BavarianLion let's hope for the common good, regardless of right or wrong, I hope someone comes to their senses.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

1Wk

@BamBamInvest I have many Muslim friends myself and NOBODY likes the government in Iran, so maybe what Israel is doing is for the good of the whole world 😉

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portfolio_manager_2164@portfolio_manager_2164

I don't see any reference to the COVID-19 pandemic, the 2000 internet bubble, or the 2009 Great Financial Crisis

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mami_goes_boerse@mami_goes_boerse

"Stay cool, fight shock" is, as always, the motto 😉

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