1Yr·

Economy on 02.02.2023...

The day after the interest rate decision, what now?⤵️


The FED did not actually surprise yesterday. 25 basis points were priced in and also delivered. Also that is not yet the end, was probably clear to everyone. Bit of pressure is taken out and until May still expected with 2 increases, so that the 5% are reached. But what then? I am curious. The FED must also stop in time, before we slide into recession, if it can prevent that at all.


Meta also delivered figures yesterday. I reported on that in this post:

https://app.getquin.com/activity/mEVsalGQkW?lang=de&utm_source=sharing

For me, even after a 20% jump in one day, Meta continues not to be an investment that interests me personally, but seems to be generating a lot of attention. What's up today:


Economic data


08:00

  • DE: Trade balance December Trade balance seasonally adjusted PROGNOSE: +7.8 bn euro previous: +10.8 bn euro Exports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -3.5% yoy previous: -0.3% yoy Imports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -2.5% yoy previous: -3.3% yoy

10:00

  • DE: VDMA, Machinery and Plant Manufacturing Incoming Orders December

13:00

  • UK: BoE, Outcome and Minutes of the Monetary Policy Council Meeting and Monetary Policy Report Bank Rate PROGNOSIS: 4.00% previously: 3.50%

14:15

  • EU: ECB, Result of the Council Meeting Main refinancing rate PROGNOSE: 3.00% previously: 2.50% Deposit rate PROGNOSE: 2.50% previously: 2.00%

14:30

  • US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 195,000 previously: 186,000
  • US: Productivity ex Agriculture (1st release) 4Q annualized PROGNOSIS: +2.5% yoy 3Q: +0.8% yoy Unit labor costs PROGNOSIS: +1.5% yoy 3Q: +2.4% yoy
  • DE: Chancellor Scholz, statement with Biontech CEO Sahin after company visit to Marburg

14:45

  • EU: ECB, PK after Council meeting

16:00

  • US: Industrial new orders December PROGNOSIS: +2.0% yoy previous: -1.8% yoy

19:30

  • FR: ECB President Lagarde, speech at Franco-German Business Awards ceremony.

Untimed:

  • SE/FI: German Economics Minister Habeck, bilateral talks with his counterparts on economic, energy and trade policy issues (until Feb. 3)


Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

07:00 Sony quarterly figures

12:30 Honeywell | Merck & Co

12:30 Intercontinental Exchange quarterly figures

22:05 Amazon | Qualcomm | Alphabet | Starbucks

22:10 Ford | Apple quarterly figures


Quarterly Figures / Company Dates Europe

06:50 Nordea Bank | Banco Santander

07:00 Deutsche Bank | DWS Group

07:00 Siemens Healthineers | Siltronic | OMV

07:00 ABB | Roche | NG Groep | Julius Baer

07:30 Infineon Quarterly Figures

08:00 Shell | BT Group Quarterly Figures

08:00 Anglo American Production Report 4Q

14:00 Ferrari Annual Results


#apple
#ford
#shell
#amazon
#starbucks
#alphabet
#qualcomm
#siemens
#ferrari
#infineon
#sony
#roche
#quartalszahlen
#zinsen
#zinsentwicklung
#zinserhöhung
#fed
#powell
#inflation
#rezession
#börse
#boerse
#aktien
#wirtschaft
#meta
#nachrichten
#täglich
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback

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26 Comments

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What is your forecast for Amazon, Alphabet and Ferrari? I actually expect good figures for Amazon. Alphabet will also have held up. I am unsure about Ferrari.
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I feel the same way about meta as you do, I can't do anything with it either. No idea why 🤷🏼‍♂️
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Aren't Air Products and Chemicals quarterly figures today as well?
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Honestly, the whole situation makes me pretty desperate. Before you were worried about what to buy, because you did not know how low it still falls... Now it's the other way around. I would like to invest right now, but no idea in what. Because the correction can come at any time. Currently, the only ones that are falling are the big ones ala $MCD and especially the medical sector.
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